Service Plays Wednesday 7/1/20

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NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
EMERALD DOWNS
RACE #7
POST TIME: 8:25 PM EST
PICK: #9 Brothers(7/2 Odds) to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Canterbury Park - Race #6

#8 Drop of Golden Son	ML longshot has only run on turf three times and not since last September, but that resulted in a very sharp 3rd here against open foes, he goes for a hot Rengstorf barn, and his stalking gear in a race loaded with speed will come in handy too; upset special.
#2 A P Is Loose	Local lover is 25-11-5-6 over the lawn here, which is heady stuff in a field where a lot of these aren't nearly as familiar with the course, and he drew well too, and, like the pick, he's going to be licking his chops while sitting off the early pace; looms very large.
#3 Hot Shot Kid	Stiff ML favorite is best on paper and will be involved throughout, but note he's only 1-for-3 on turf, so his reputation was primarily built on dirt, and while he does have a Mn-bred stakes win, his margin for error is a lot slimmer than this ML suggests; trying to beat.
Race Summary	You won't be getting 15-1 on the pick, especially since he dead-heated with 'A P in that goof 3rd, but half that is fair, so play him in all the slots if the tote allows, and especially to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5 as well, since a win would knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat, and he's got as good a chance as any, especially with a positive race flow aiding his cause.

Canterbury Park - Race #7

#3 Imminent Threat	Intriguing firster catches a field of modest proven runners, seemingly tipped her hand with that gaudy 6/23 bullet 5F work, and goes for a Robertson barn that is 16% on debut; look out.
#1 Ms Kela Time	The pick's stablemate was 2nd in two starts last year and again off the 9-month break last time, so she has a recency edge, but three 2nds and the rail isn't appealing; second-best again.
#8 Hunter's Hellcat	The last of the Robertson trio was 2nd by a neck in her return from a similar layoff, from a bad post too, so she clearly hits hard, though she may not get set up like last time; mixed signals.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 3 (and the double will pays from R6), as she's supposed to be live and taking money if she's ready, and it sure looks like she is off that bullet drill, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since she looks like she has some talent, and as solid as her stablemates are, she's not going to have to be a monster to get the job done against them.

Canterbury Park - Race #9

#1 Speeding Kid	Stretch runner missed by a neck off a November layoff here last month going a half-furlong shorter, so while the cutback might not be ideal, there's plenty of speed here, and she will certainly be tighter today; mows them all down.
#7 King of the Court	ML favorite stumbled at the start last time and was 3rd behind the pick off the Diodoro claim, so obviously she's a big threat here, and she too will like the expected hot pace, though she'll be overbet off that trip; still, plenty scary.
#4 Trapalanda	Pace presser aired against lesser in her local bow last time and will be a handful on the rise, though she has some hot speed to both sides, which could make working out a trip a bit more difficult this time; mixed signals here.
Race Summary	The pace and price both seem to be right with the 1, who could actually fall between the wagering cracks with the 7 and 4 taking a lot of tote action, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, as well as the late Pk4, since she looks as strong as either of them, and if you're getting even 7-2, let alone 5-1, that's plenty of value on a miss who looks primed for a huge run second-off the long break.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mountaineer - Race #3

#6 My Little Stormy	Turf form is pretty reliable, and she can sit a bit closer to the splits if the pace is soft. Logical alternative to the big dropper.
#4 Violet Blue	No clue what to make of this one. Woodbine to Mountaineer shippers at 22% over the last seven years, but not a single one of those 123 horses was dropping from a stakes race into claiming company, let alone out of a Grade III. Sure, she didn't fully belong in those spots, but this is still a unique kind of class drop. Depends on the price. If she's 5/2, maybe. If she's 3/5, no way.
#10 Kiana's Love	Tactical type can get a really good go of things with these, but her turf form is a bit spotty, and there's no guarantee she shows up today.
Race Summary	My Little Stormy has consistent turf form and meets a likely favorite with a massive question to answer. Happy to take her as the second choice.

Mountaineer - Race #4

#2 Total Distraction	Only turf try was uninspiring, but he has been in with some tougher groups down in Tampa, and he moves into a barn that is capable of better than their start would indicate.
#4 Mutashabeh	Speed should make a break for it from the gate, but he tends to give away ground late and is probably vulnerable nearing the wire while overbet.
#7 Rum on the Rocks	Has run pretty well in both career turf tries, and he's a threat to come along late for a piece of this. May be a stretch on top?
Race Summary	Total Distraction should be tough in here, and I'll give the edge to his recent company lines over the speed of Mutashabeh in hopes that the tougher Tampa races will hold up here

Mountaineer - Race #7

#3 Untapped Energy	Likely second choice is the main danger to the chalk here, as she has run a couple of races in her career that would make her competitive with that one.
#1 Treasured Bond	Meets a pretty suspect bunch and owns solid form, but she has given away significant ground late in both starts since the stoppage and might be vulnerable late at a short price.
#4 Kara Lot	Can be in the mix in the early stages, and that alone may be enough to stick around for a piece in a pretty soft race outside of the top pair.
Race Summary	Untapped Energy is interesting from close range against Treasured Bond, who will be a short price from the fence. 'Energy has finished some of her races with enthusiasm, and 'Bond has been giving away a lot of ground late recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Scioto Downs - Race #3

#5 SUZY STAR	On the improve, needs some pace flow in Buckeye Stallion Series.
#7 ROSE RUN VAIL	Solid numbers, likely will be sent for forward position in paceless race.
#3 JUSTDONTFORGETME	Gapped off live cover, came up empty in Northfield stretch.
Race Summary	Suzy Star rallied for minor awards behind front-end, odds-on winners in her last two starts. She looms a decent value play in her current form. Play 5-3 and 5-7 exactas.

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #14

#6 PETAL TO THE METAL	Shook duel, held off fave in return, retains betting value.
#1 CORNER TABLE	Decent rally at 73-1, finished behind the favorites at notch below.
#5 AMANDEROSA	‘Strong finish’ at Yonkers, Tetrick’s choice of four drives.
Race Summary	Petal To The Metal survived a hard duel and inched away late from the trip-sitting favorite, earning a playback on the class rise. Play 6-1, 6-2 and 6-5 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #5

#1 SKYWAY VENUS	Back with own kind, figures tough from the rail, today’s Best Bet.
#5 SLOW YOUR ROLL	Hawthorne invader appears rounding to a good race, gets Lasix.
#4 IVANNA IVY	Pressed pace and faded to fall to 1-23, lures Tetrick.
Race Summary	Skyway Venus made a quick, early move to win from post 10 two starts back against similar, now starts inside. Last week, she was trapped in the second quarter, angled off the rail to race third-over and came up empty when she tipped 4-wide for the stretch drive. Play 1-4 and 1-5 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#3 Worth Avenue	It didn't work out when she tried the turf last out but had been in good form and stepped back up the class ladder; is back to the main track and can make a run at this distance.
#4 She Takes Heart	Turns back from two turns after setting or prompting the pace in her last three; should be able to stay close and finish well.
#1 Tiz Possible Dear	Gets back to the main track after coming up short on the grass; her latest dirt try brought some bad luck as she had a broken rein and was walked off as the even-money favorite. Capable of a big effort here.
Race Summary	Worth Avenue has spent much of her career against better than this and with the exception of her latest on turf has been in good form. Should be able to reel them in going 7 furlongs.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#1 Semper Fi	Was a $240K yearling and ran a couple of times vs. better last year and returned with a claiming price this year and finished 3rd; stays in for a price and can stalk and strike vs. these.
#2 Fast Magic	Takes a class drop from a higher maiden claiming event in which he finished 4th; usually shows some interest in the stretch and can make a run here.
#5 Nimble Beast	Was 3rd going longer last time and can be very tough as he turns back in distance; solid player.
Race Summary	Semper Fi ran on well in his 1st of the year and seems to have found a good level after facing some tough maidens in New York.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#1 Glory of Florida	Was claimed by Maker, who has done well with his stable's purchases; he hasn't been out since May but is a three-time winner over the strip and can be in the mix throughout.
#4 I'm a G Six	Won a handicap at Tampa last time and has been an extremely sharp claim for the Rodriguez barn; he's won 3 of 4 or the new stable and can make a strong rally here.
#2 Squeezadios	Lost a photo two back and then was 3rd in his latest; usually brings his 'A' game and get a piece of this.
Race Summary	Glory of Florida has done well over the strip, can get a good stalking trip from the inside and can get the jump on other closers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

Grants Pass - Race 8	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 8-9)
SO $4,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $6,600 • Post: 7:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $2,500 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $4,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000. OREGON BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * HOLD THAT SMILE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CASH DRIVEN: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WHERE'S MY VOUCHER: Horse had a bullet workout within the last sev en days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LUCK LASTS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
1	HOLD THAT SMILE	4/1	4/1
3	CASH DRIVEN	8/1	5/1
6	WHERE'S MY VOUCHER	9/2	9/1
5	LUCK LASTS	6/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	CASH DRIVEN	3	8/1	Front-runner	87	82	93.5	78.2	74.2
4	BOBBY MAGIC	4	7/2	Front-runner	81	78	67.4	66.1	54.6
1	HOLD THAT SMILE	1	4/1	Front-runner	83	92	0.0	90.4	85.9
6	WHERE'S MY VOUCHER	6	9/2	Front-runner	84	75	0.0	79.4	72.4
2	KNOWN DEFENSE	2	8/1	Front-runner	71	76	0.0	59.2	46.2
5	LUCK LASTS	5	6/1	Stalker	86	75	69.5	74.4	67.4
7	WINE N DIVINE	7	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	81	59.0	70.6	58.1
8	HOTNTHIRSTY	8	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	88	84	63.3	69.4	58.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / .10 Pick 6 Jackpot
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 49 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 3:33P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * LANGFUHR'S ANGEL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the high est average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BROOKLYN'S GRIP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top thr ee in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	LANGFUHR'S ANGEL	6/5	7/5
5	BROOKLYN'S GRIP	5/2	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	BROOKLYN'S GRIP	5	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	44.9	20.0	15.5
2	LANGFUHR'S ANGEL	2	6/5	Alternator/Trailer	50	41	37.5	47.1	45.1
1	BAD GAL RIRI	1	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	18.0	10.4	5.4
6	SIDE SWING	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	41	29	29.4	9.5	2.0

Unknown Running Style: CLAIRES JEWEL (10/1) [Jockey: Martinez Odilon - Trainer: Ward Ronnie P], GRAYZ MIRACLE (9/2) [Jockey: Trujillo Antonio - Trainer: De Beauville Alex].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MN-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 FLASH FLOOD 5/2
# 9 TIMEINTHETAVERN 9/2
# 5 MY MISS MARILYN 3/1

FLASH FLOOD looks strong to best this field. Has been running well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Quinonez has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 21 percent rate. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in as of late. TIMEINTHETAVERN - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Eidschun have shown strong results lately. Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. MY MISS MARILYN - Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this field of horses. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this equine look respectable in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,700 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#2 SWING MUSIC (ML=3/1)


SWING MUSIC - This speedy sort should benefit from today's shorter distance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PATTI GO GIRL (ML=2/1), #1A FANCY KELLY (ML=2/1), #4 HOTTIE STILETTO (ML=5/2),

PATTI GO GIRL - This horse hasn't shown much in the last pair of contests. Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the questionable contenders list. FANCY KELLY - Tough to play any steed in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last sixty days. I think this morning-line choice needs this race under her belt to start getting back into shape. HOTTIE STILETTO - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint events recently. Unlikely to see her doing it this time out either. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 SWING MUSIC is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #3 - Post: 6:54pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,100 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#3 SUCCESSFUL CURE (ML=7/2)


SUCCESSFUL CURE - I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. The last time he tried this distance he got a fig good enough to win this race. The Jun 8th affair at Laurel was at a class level of (81). Dropping down in class ranks a significant amount, so he should be in a good place. He has the highest earnings per start. Give the once over to this thoroughbred.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 JEBOLOGIST (ML=5/2), #9 YES SIR COLONEL (ML=3/1), #5 EAGLES CRY (ML=9/2),

JEBOLOGIST - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint events of late. Not likely to see him doing it today either. This mount hasn't been on the track since June 8th. Not even any workouts. Going to have a hard go of it with all the early speed in this clash. YES SIR COLONEL - No favorable outcomes for this less than sharp equine in a short distance race over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a formidable circumstance This racer didn't go to the head of the pack and didn't make up ground in the homestretch last time he ran. EAGLES CRY - Not likely that the speed figure he earned on June 19th will be good enough in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 SUCCESSFUL CURE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Turf. Purse: $10300 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 ECHO ALPHA SIX 3/1
# 6 I STAND CORRECTED 8/1
# 9 GO HARLEY GO 15/1

ECHO ALPHA SIX is my choice. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the front end recently. The average Equibase class figure of 65 makes this entrant difficult to beat. Has to be considered a definite contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. I STAND CORRECTED - Has longshot possibilities and could prove victorious at a big price. Must be carefully examined as he drops to compete against this less demanding field of horses. GO HARLEY GO - Has run quite well when racing a turf sprint race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

07/01/20, GP, Race 6, 2.37 ET
07/01/20,GP,6,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $48,000 (includes up to $7,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A RaceAt A Mile Or Over Since April 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Outshine	6-1	Meneses M	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	EWL	34.23	1.21/$1
099.0599	4	I'm a G Six	7/2	Arroyo A S	Rodriguez Darien	C	35.92	1.19/$1
098.3899	3	Overdeliver	9/5	Zayas E J	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	F	35.92	1.19/$1
095.9167	2	Squeezadios	2-1	Vasquez M A	Pompay Teresa M.	S	35.92	1.19/$1
095.3007	1	Glory of Florida	9/2	Camacho S	Maker Michael J.	J	35.92	1.19/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.10, ROI 1.02/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

07/01/20, TAM, Race 2, 12.56 ET
07/01/20,TAM,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	She's a Lady Griz	6-1	Spieth S	Bray Michael	JSFC	36.55	1.08/$1
098.5200	8	Reneesinheaven	9/5	Allen M	Ward Dennis	EL	35.35	1.21/$1
098.4627	7	La Wapa	7/2	Urdaneta J J	Munoz Carlos	W	35.35	1.21/$1
094.6840	9	Her Zealous	10-1	Mendez K	Manchan Bertram C.		35.35	1.21/$1
094.0403	2	Blazing Diva	20-1	Garcia J A	Dye Steven		66.67	4.48/$1
093.9653	10	Wild Embrace	3-1	Hernandez H	O'Connell Kathleen	T	35.35	1.21/$1
093.5180	6	Sena the Duchess	20-1	Rivera. Jr. J L	Wetherington Margaret		36.55	1.08/$1
093.3720	4	Discrimanation	20-1	Allen. Jr. R D	Selway Robbin L.		35.35	1.21/$1
091.7790	3	Mama Longlegs	20-1	Lopez C C	Harris Nancy S.		36.55	1.08/$1
089.5827	1	La Magnolia	30-1	Mata F	Dominguez Luis R.		35.35	1.21/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.49, ROI 0.65/$1

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari

GUARANTEED A WAGER Italy Serie A Cagliari +0,5 -117

TIP OF THE DAY A WAGER England Championship Sheffield Wed - West Brom UNDER 2,5 -127