Service Plays Thursday 7/2/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2020, 10:16 PM

Mike McClure

GOLF

Bets I've made as of 3:30 PM EST 6/29:

Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Sungjae Im +2200
Scottie Scheffler +4000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Sebastian Munoz +12500

Top 5

Coming Soon...

Top 20

Coming Soon...

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Bryson DeChambeau (7-1)
2. Webb Simpson (11-1)
3. Viktor Hovland (20-1)
4. Patrick Reed (16-1)
5. Hideki Matsuyama (18-1)
6. Sungjae Im (25-1)
7. Tyrrell Hatton (16-1)
8. Scottie Scheffler (40-1)
9. Tony Finau (33-1)
10. Rickie Fowler (30-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11 Harris English WD
12 Christiaan Bezuidenhout
13 Kevin Na
14 Doc Redman
15 Rory Sabbatini
16 J.T. Poston
17 Adam Hadwin
18 Jason Day
19 Erik Van Rooyen
20 Lucas Glover
21 Brandt Snedeker
22 Aaron Wise
23 Bubba Watson
24 Rafa Cabrera Bello
25 Brian Harman
26 Brendon Todd
27 Maverick McNealy
28 Branden Grace
29 Alex Noren
30 Kevin Kisner
31 Harold Varner III
32 Scott Stallings
33 Joseph Bramlett
34 Brian Stuard
35 Patrick Rodgers
36 Sebastian Munoz
37 Tom Hoge
38 Kyle Stanley
39 Mark Hubbard
40 Keegan Bradley
41 Emiliano Grillo
42 Danny Willett
43 Talor Gooch
44 Lanto Griffin
45 Matthew Wolff
46 Matt Jones
47 Russell Knox
48 Harry Higgs
49 Cameron Tringale
50 Adam Schenk
51 Andrew Putnam
52 Steve Stricker
53 Patton Kizzire
54 Sam Burns
55 Chris Kirk
56 Tom Lewis
57 Michael Thompson
58 Tyler Duncan
59 Luke List
60 Pat Perez
61 Bronson Burgoon
62 Cameron Davis
63 Nate Lashley
64 Jason Dufner
65 Matt Wallace
66 Sepp Straka
67 Aaron Baddeley
68 Chesson Hadley
69 Ben Martin
70 Si Woo Kim
71 Wyndham Clark
72 C.T. Pan
73 Henrik Norlander
74 Wes Roach
75 Ryan Armour
76 Kyoung-Hoon Lee
77 Zac Blair
78 James Hahn
79 Xinjun Zhang
80 Sam Ryder
81 Troy Merritt
82 Grayson Murray
83 Kevin Chappell
84 Cameron Percy
85 Charl Schwartzel
86 Beau Hossler
87 Hudson Swafford
88 Austin Cook
89 Chase Seiffert
90 Will Gordon
91 Seung-Yul Noh
92 Richy Werenski
93 Stewart Cink
94 Chris Baker
95 Peter Uihlein
96 Jimmy Walker
97 Kevin Tway
98 Scott Brown
99 Josh Teater
100 Sahith Theegala
101 Kramer Hickok
102 Brian Gay
103 Shawn Stefani
104 Tim Wilkinson
105 Robert Streb
106 Bo Hoag
107 Mark Anderson
108 D.J. Trahan
109 Wesley Bryan
110 Robby Shelton
111 David Hearn
112 Tyler McCumber
113 Bill Haas
114 Kristoffer Ventura
115 Rob Oppenheim
116 Roberto Castro
117 Fabian Gomez
118 Brandon Hagy
119 Doug Ghim
120 Peter Malnati
121 Jamie Lovemark
122 Ryan Blaum
123 Hank Lebioda
124 J.J. Spaun
125 Roger Sloan
126 Johnson Wagner
127 Vincent Whaley
128 Luke Donald
129 Ted Potter Jr.
130 Chris Stroud
131 Scott Harrington
132 Sebastian Cappelen
133 Ryan Brehm
134 Zack Sucher
135 Matt Every
136 Seamus Power
137 Ben Taylor
138 Michael Gligic
139 Jonathan Byrd
140 Lucas Bjerregaard
141 Michael Gellerman
142 Nelson Ledesma
143 Dominic Bozzelli
144 Vijay Singh
145 Rhein Gibson
146 Ricky Barnes
147 Greg Chalmers
148 Peter Kuest
149 Bo Van Pelt
150 Arjun Atwal
151 Michael Kim
152 James Nicholas
153 John Senden
154 Martin Trainer

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2020, 10:17 PM

Rick Gehman

GOLF

With his data-driven approach to betting golf, Rick Gehman continues to crush sportsbooks. Over the last eight tournaments, Gehman's bets are up $4,554 for $100 players.

Two weeks ago, Gehman told SportsLine readers to bet Webb Simpson at 30-1 to win the RBC Heritage, saying he "certainly appreciates the books dropping Simpson all the way down to 30-1" following a bad performance the week before and noting Harbour Town was a perfect course for Simpson's game. The result? Simpson fired a 22-under to win the RBC Heritage!

Last week Gehman played Doc Redman to make the top 20, a +750 longshot, and Paul Casey over Joaquin Niemann. Redman tied for 11th, Casey bested Niemann by seven strokes, and Gehman had two more easy winners.

Last week's recap

The Travelers Championship was full of close calls for us, many of which found of on the wrong side of a winning ticket. Bryson DeChambeau finished in a tie for 6th, which turned both our outright and Top 5 tickets into losers. Lanto Griffin finished one shot outside the Top 20 which failed to cash that +1200 ticket. The good news is that we hit Doc Redman Top 20 (finished T11) and our tournament matchup. It turns out to be a small loss of 0.24 units on the week, bringing the total down to +45.54 units since Pebble Beach.

Event preview

This is only the second season of existence for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, played at Detroit Golf Club. We won't have as much course history to work with but we know that this course was one of the easiest on TOUR last season. Additionally, the field you see this week won't compare to the first three weeks of the restart. Many top players have opted to take the week off and preparing for the sprint to the end of the 2020 season.

Winner - Viktor Hovland (+2100) - 0.75 units

Top 5 - Viktor Hovland (+450) - .50 units

Few golfers are playing as well as Viktor Hovland since the TOUR's restart. Three straight Top 25s and he just became the first Norweigen male to crack the Top 50 world rankings. He finished strong at TPC River Highlands, carding four rounds under 70 and finishing T11. He will look to notch his second win of the season.

Winner - Doc Redman (+4500) - 0.55 units

Top 5 - Doc Redman (+900) - .45 units

Here's the perfect intersection of recent form and tournament history. While history is limited, Redman finished 2nd last season, his best finish as a professional. He's also been excellent the last two weeks, finishing 13th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green at the RBC Heritage. He followed that up by finishing 3rd in the same stat category this week. This is a prime candidate for a line movement, so get it while it lasts.

Winner - Harold Varner III (+8000) - 0.49 units

Top 10 - Harold Varner III(+550) - 0.35 units

I understand that Varner hasn't won on TOUR but this is a shockingly high number when you compare him to the rest of this field. Varner was 5th in the field last week in Strokes Gained: Approach which is usually a key indicator for success.

Top 10 - Rory Sabbatini (+550) - 0.65 units

The "other Rory" has restarted his PGA TOUR season with a T14 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T21 at the RBC Heritage. Here's a much weaker field and an event that Sabbatini finished T3 last season.

Top 20- Wesley Bryan (+700) - 0.60 units

It hasn't been good for Bryan who missed ten straight cuts to end 2018 and has been trying to find consistent form ever since. Two consecutive weekends for Bryan including a T24 last week at the Travelers Championship.

Tournament Matchup - Will Gordon (-110) over Maverick McNealy (-110) - 1.0 units

I love a guy who is hungry and no golfer is as hungry as Will Gordon. He's now playing on special temporary membership and has to earn enough money and points to secure his TOUR card for the upcoming season. Despite the lack of name value, Gordon has performed well during his short stint on the PGA TOUR. He notched a Top 10 at the RSM Classic, two Top 20s at Torrey Pines and the Puerto Rico Open then the T3 last week in Connecticut. All of those finishes are within his last five starts on TOUR.

Tournament Matchup - Rickie Fowler to Miss The Cut (+200) - 0.5 units

Fowler has missed three of his last four cuts, one of the worst stretches of his career. He's in the midst of swing changes that have helped to provide those results. If Fowler wasn't a Rocket Mortgage ambassador, you wonder if he'd ever show up to this event. There's not a lot of positive signs coming from the Fowler camp at the moment and it could lead to another short week.

Here are Gehman's top 20 golfers, in projected order of finish:

#1 Bryson DeChambeau

It's almost impossible that DeChambeau has not carded a win yet this season. The top five players in Strokes Gained this season account for six combined wins. DeChambeau is second on that list and the only one without a victory. He's now notched six consecutive Top 10 finishes with a win seemingly coming at any moment.

#2 Webb Simpson

Simpson was a late WD last week at TPC River Highlands out of concerns around COVID-19. He's back in the field this week and looking to build off his win at the RBC Heritage. He's the best player in the field from "fairway through green."

#3 Tyrell Hatton

Hatton is the hottest player on the planet who never gets talked about. His last three starts on TOUR include a 3rd at RBC Heritage, a victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a 6th at WGC Mexico. The strength of field this week will be significantly worse than any of those events.

#4 Sungjae Im

By his own standards, Im has underperformed the last two weeks. He missed the cut at Harbour Town before finishing T58 last week at TPC River Highlands. Despite that, he's still a Top 20 player on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and one of the few elite golfers in this field.

#5 Patrick Reed

Reed is one of the few "top golfers" in this field who played this event last year. Reed finished 5th in 2019 and rebounded off his missed cut at RBC Heritage with an T24 finish last week.

#6 Rickie Fowler

Fowler is in the midst of a swing change and his results have shown he's just not "there" yet. Three missed cuts in his last four starts, something he hasn't done since 2016. Despite the bad run, there is optimism that Fowler will be back in contention once those swing changes click.

#7 Vitkor Hovland

Hovland has been excellent in the restart and has shown flashes of pure greatness. He opened with a 63 on Thursday at TPC River Highland and finished the week 69-67-68 for a T11 position.

#8 Tony Finau

Finau missed the cut on the number last week but ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green in this field. Finau has lacked winning upside in his career but still projects firmly in the top 20% of this field.

#9 Hideki Matsuyama

It was "classic Hideki" at the RBC Heritage, his only event of this restart. Matsuyama gained nearly two strokes in ballstriking and lost nearly seven in his short game. He's bad on and around the greens but not that bad. Expect him to knock a little rust off and try to improve on his 13th place finish last year.

#10 Doc Redman

He played well in the final three rounds of the RBC Heritage and followed that up with an T11 finish last week in Connecticut. This is the site of his best TOUR finish, a 2nd place finish last year.

#11 Brendon Todd

A Sunday collapse for Todd who played the final round +5 and dropped from the lead to T11. It may be hard to view it this way, but still a positive result for Todd and his best finish since his scorching run of play at the end of 2019.

#12 Scottie Scheffler

Scheffler was an awesome ballstriker but terrible putter at Colonial. Last week he was great on the greens but terrible everywhere else. If he can put those things together for a week, he'll find himself on top of the leaderboard.

#13 Jason Day

Last week was the first weekend played for Day since the restart. He stalled out on Sunday but there were plenty of positive takeaways from his opening three rounds of 67-69-69.

#14 Brandt Snedeker

Snedeker flashed that scorching hot putter at TPC River Highlands, gaining 4.99 strokes on the field. I'm terribly concerned about the rest of his game but savvy veterans are usually able to flip the script quickly.

#15 Harold Varner III

Varner's statistical profile last week was exactly what we are looking for. He gained 7.17 on Approach and lost 3.23 in his short game. He's generally a positive player on and around the greens, so he'd be labeled a prime "bounceback candidate."

#16 Branden Grace

Another victim of the cut line last week, Grace will look to bounceback this week in Detroit. It's been a rollercoaster year for Grace which includes a win in South Africa, a Top 10 at the Waste Management Open but three missed cuts in his last six starts.

#17 Kevin Kisner

With this being only the second year this event has existed, I do think there is some credence to golfers who played last year. Kisner checks that box but doesn't have much else going for him. He's missed two of three cuts in the restart and doesn't have a Top 15 since the Sony Open in January.

#18 Bubba Watson

Watson is notoriously volatile and disappointed last week at TPC River Highlands, where he has won three times this decade. The "good news" about Watson is that he is just as likely to finish Top 5 as miss the cut and he's still one of the best drivers on TOUR.

#19 J.T. Poston

Poston missed the cut at TPC River Highlands which shouldn't overshadow how good he has been since the restart. He had Top 10s in each of the first two weeks and finished 11th here at Detroit Golf Club last season.

#20 Harris English

English is one of the few golfers in the field who gains strokes in all four major categories, making his game very consistent. He didn't play last week but finished 17th at RBC Heritage, his fourth Top 20 in his last five starts on TOUR.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2020, 10:17 PM

Mike McClure

Golf

Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Sungjae Im +2200
Scottie Scheffler +4000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Sebastian Munoz +12500

Top 5

Scottie Scheffler +750

Top 10

Sebastian Munoz +900

Top 20

Sebastain Munoz +350
Cameron Tringale +700
Bronson Burgoon +700

William Hill Double Chance

Viktor Hovland or Sung-Jae Im To Win +1000

H2H Matchups

Scottie Scheffler +100 vs. Rickie Fowler

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Bryson DeChambeau (7-1)
2. Webb Simpson (11-1)
3. Viktor Hovland (20-1)
4. Patrick Reed (16-1)
5. Hideki Matsuyama (18-1)
6. Sungjae Im (25-1)
7. Tyrrell Hatton (16-1)
8. Scottie Scheffler (40-1)
9. Tony Finau (33-1)
10. Rickie Fowler (30-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11 Harris English WD
12 Christiaan Bezuidenhout
13 Kevin Na
14 Doc Redman
15 Rory Sabbatini
16 J.T. Poston
17 Adam Hadwin
18 Jason Day
19 Erik Van Rooyen
20 Lucas Glover
21 Brandt Snedeker
22 Aaron Wise
23 Bubba Watson
24 Rafa Cabrera Bello
25 Brian Harman
26 Brendon Todd
27 Maverick McNealy
28 Branden Grace
29 Alex Noren
30 Kevin Kisner
31 Harold Varner III
32 Scott Stallings
33 Joseph Bramlett
34 Brian Stuard
35 Patrick Rodgers
36 Sebastian Munoz
37 Tom Hoge
38 Kyle Stanley
39 Mark Hubbard
40 Keegan Bradley
41 Emiliano Grillo
42 Danny Willett
43 Talor Gooch
44 Lanto Griffin
45 Matthew Wolff
46 Matt Jones
47 Russell Knox
48 Harry Higgs
49 Cameron Tringale
50 Adam Schenk
51 Andrew Putnam
52 Steve Stricker
53 Patton Kizzire
54 Sam Burns
55 Chris Kirk
56 Tom Lewis
57 Michael Thompson
58 Tyler Duncan
59 Luke List
60 Pat Perez
61 Bronson Burgoon
62 Cameron Davis
63 Nate Lashley
64 Jason Dufner
65 Matt Wallace
66 Sepp Straka
67 Aaron Baddeley
68 Chesson Hadley
69 Ben Martin
70 Si Woo Kim
71 Wyndham Clark
72 C.T. Pan
73 Henrik Norlander
74 Wes Roach
75 Ryan Armour
76 Kyoung-Hoon Lee
77 Zac Blair
78 James Hahn
79 Xinjun Zhang
80 Sam Ryder
81 Troy Merritt
82 Grayson Murray
83 Kevin Chappell
84 Cameron Percy
85 Charl Schwartzel
86 Beau Hossler
87 Hudson Swafford
88 Austin Cook
89 Chase Seiffert
90 Will Gordon
91 Seung-Yul Noh
92 Richy Werenski
93 Stewart Cink
94 Chris Baker
95 Peter Uihlein
96 Jimmy Walker
97 Kevin Tway
98 Scott Brown
99 Josh Teater
100 Sahith Theegala
101 Kramer Hickok
102 Brian Gay
103 Shawn Stefani
104 Tim Wilkinson
105 Robert Streb
106 Bo Hoag
107 Mark Anderson
108 D.J. Trahan
109 Wesley Bryan
110 Robby Shelton
111 David Hearn
112 Tyler McCumber
113 Bill Haas
114 Kristoffer Ventura
115 Rob Oppenheim
116 Roberto Castro
117 Fabian Gomez
118 Brandon Hagy
119 Doug Ghim
120 Peter Malnati
121 Jamie Lovemark
122 Ryan Blaum
123 Hank Lebioda
124 J.J. Spaun
125 Roger Sloan
126 Johnson Wagner
127 Vincent Whaley
128 Luke Donald
129 Ted Potter Jr.
130 Chris Stroud
131 Scott Harrington
132 Sebastian Cappelen
133 Ryan Brehm
134 Zack Sucher
135 Matt Every
136 Seamus Power
137 Ben Taylor
138 Michael Gligic
139 Jonathan Byrd
140 Lucas Bjerregaard
141 Michael Gellerman
142 Nelson Ledesma
143 Dominic Bozzelli
144 Vijay Singh
145 Rhein Gibson
146 Ricky Barnes
147 Greg Chalmers
148 Peter Kuest
149 Bo Van Pelt
150 Arjun Atwal
151 Michael Kim
152 James Nicholas
153 John Senden
154 Martin Trainer

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 05:13 AM

Jeff Siegel's Day Makers - 7/02/20

July 2, 2020
JEFF SIEGEL’S NATIONAL DAY MAKERS FOR THURSDAY, JULY 2, 2020
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Jeff Siegel’s prime plays from around the country are offered on a daily basis to members of xpressbet.com and 1stbet.com. Always the day’s the cream of the crop, Day Makers emphasize price and wagering value and each selection should be given strong consideration both as a straight wager and as a key in vertical and horizontal exotics.
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BELMONT PARK – 7TH RACE. POST TIME: 4:32 ET
2 – SNIPER SHOT (7/2)

This lightly-raced and rapidly improving 4-year-olds moves up a level in class and must face several graded stakes performers in this one mile affai, and while his best form admittedly has been accomplished over wet surfaces we’re going to gamble that his progression will continue. The T. Pletcher-trained gelding is fresh from a career-top victory at Gulfstream Park, has trained very well since, retains regular pilot L. Saez, and should be comfortably placed on or near what projects to be an average early pace. At 7/2 on the morning line we’ll play in the win pool and as a key in the various rolling exotics.

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LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE – 7TH RACE. POST TIME 3:58 PT
1 – I’M SO ANNA (7/2)

Was supposed to be a good thing in her debut last month at Golden Gate Fields (she went off at 4/5) but whatever chance the daughter of Fast Anna had was lost when she broke several lengths slow and was eliminated. That she managed to put in a nice run to finish a willing third indicates the ability is there, so if she can leave with her field today the S. Sherman-trained filly could make amends at a much better price. The easy breezes since raced is a positive sign and this trip to Southern California is a good indication of confidence. The barn’s “go-to” rider R. Gonzalez take the call. Hopefully, it all adds up.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 05:42 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1

#2 La Kara Mia	Beautiful-bred filly is out of an NYB champion yet was only a modest 8th sprinting on turf on debut, but Rice is a sharp 26% with second-out maidens, Irad shows up, and now she gets to do what mom excelled at; expecting much better.
#3 Central Park	Rice firster goes for a patiend 6% debut barn, so she could need this, but there's a slew of solid works showing, they paid 65k for a daughter of 7.5k sire Central Banker, and like her mate, being a fresh new face isn't a bad thing; playable.
#1 Sharp Starr	Dicey ML favorite was a wide and distant 8th off the layoff last time, so this post and that tightener says she can do better, but it's not like her first two starts were any great shakes, and at 2-1 she'd be a huge underlay; making her prove it.
Race Summary	And it's not hard to surmise this was likely the plan all along with the 2, who was oddly spotted in a turf sprint on debut, since mom was a multiple graded stakes winning one-turn specialist, but she got a good spin last time and now it should be all systems go here, so play her aggressively to win and place, and you could really get some value by keying her to kick off the early Pk5, as there's nothing to fear here, and a big move forward means she'd be putting down a race the rest of these simply would not be able to handle.

Belmont Park - Race #3

#7 Jade's Dream	Lightly raced runner returned off the long layoff with blinkers and as a first-time gelding and blew way up when 2nd, while a month clear of 3rd too, so off that tightener, and a huge form reversal, he could be poised for a real breakthrough; love his chances here.
#3 Microsecond	Speedster dueled though crazy splits and paid the price late when 3rd, some 5 lengths behind the pick, though he likely won't have to work as hard early, and he's now second-time Pletcher and off the layoff too, so he could last a lot longer this time; underlaid contender.
#1 Blackjack Davey	Odd ML favorite didn't run an inch when he broke last-of-13 on debut and passed a few tired runners late to be a non-threatening 8th, so why he's 2-1 on the ML doesn't make much sense, though Rice is 26% with second-out maidens, so he could wake up; mixed signals.
Race Summary	The fact the pick was 64-1 last time will scare some people here, and that's great because the reality is that his effort was likely the real deal, since he had two huge equipment changes, and you can expect the same or even better here, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he tipped his hand with that big run, and there's no reason he can't back it up again today.

Belmont Park - Race #6

#3 Mister Winston	Brown runner surprised at 9-1 in a strong debut after stalking a hot pace early and getting up in time, and his tactical speed should get him the jump on the chalk, and the fact that one will be way overbet says this colt could offer a hint of value; look out.
#7 Creed	Heavy ML favorite will be bet off the board off the very fast romp last time, and clearly he hits hard, but that was in the slop, and he got crazy fractions to close into as well, so at false odd, on dry land, he's got some questions to answer; backwheel time.
#4 Edge of Fire	GP invader has a few runs against winners, which gives him an experience edge on the top-2, and he too has a bit more early speed than the 7, though he regressed last time, so you're allowed to wonder what he can deliver today; underneath only.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 3, but with the 7 being bet off the board that 7-2 ML might hold, and that seems like plenty of risk-reward on a runner who gives the impression he's got more to give, while owning a tactical advantage on his main rival too, so play him to win and place, and especially in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling the chalk, even though he looks a bit dressed up on paper and could be vulnerable here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 05:43 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #3

#4 Mizzona	Tactical type fits well with this group, and she appears to be one of the few in here with a ceiling high enough to deal with Spring in the Wind.
#5 Spring in the Wind	Hasn't been particularly close in recent starts, but those have come with much better groups, and she's the clear one to beat at this level.
#3 San Nicola Storm	Form tailed off near the end of 2019, but she has done almost all of her work with tougher company, so she's not impossible off the bench with this group.
Race Summary	Mizzona and Spring in the Wind should be tough to get around in this spot, but the former might offer a slightly better price on the board.

Woodbine - Race #6

#7 Occasional View	Didn't fire off the bench on the main track, but he is almost surely capable of better with that race under his belt. Those standing against have a case to make that he fired a dud in his 12yo debut and perhaps those old legs aren't what they once were.
#8 Wyatt's Town	Flat comeback run, but he occasionally fires clunkers like that and bounces back just fine. The one to beat with back efforts that would be very tough here if he can bounce back on the drop.
#1 Sumerian Bell	Tactical type will get a decent trip while tracking the splits, but his main track efforts are far superior to his turf runs.
Race Summary	Occasional View didn't show much in the comeback run, but he is probably still capable of better as the likely second choice here.

Woodbine - Race #8

#1 Canadian Secret	Dropper has always faced better company, and though the running lines are flat, this much softer group might wake him up.
#9 Jacobs Call	Chased and faded in the Hastings slop last year in the debut, and he'll get the blinkers off this time around. Forward player here?
#8 Uncle Howard	Pace player will likely make a break for the front and try to take these are far as he can, but he has already had a couple chances at this level and didn't stick around late.
Race Summary	Canadian Secret has never been in for a tag and owns some runs early in his career that would be very tough with these, and the class drop might be enough to get him back to that.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 05:43 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #3

#3 REFINED	Went down fighting after duel with the favorite at the Big M.
#2 YALL BENEATH ME	Never seen a resume as gaudy as this one.
#1 HANOVERS BEST	Mare could sit ideal trip from rail with Tetrick in bike.
Race Summary	Race worth watching, if nothing else, with out-of-town invader Yall Beneath Me arriving with five consecutive front-end wins by a combined 89 lengths. Going with Refined, who dueled with the 7-to-5 winner through a :55.4 back half at the Meadowlands but settled for second.

Hoosier Park - Race #1

#5 HORNS FOR THREE	Blew clear lead against similar, can make amends at better price.
#7 INFINITY STICK	Slowed by back-pedaling leader late on turn, regrouped to win.
#2 ALWAYS BE WITH YOU	Mare rallied into blanket finish while 4-wide, moves outside in.
Race Summary	Horns For Three picked up cover behind a rival who broke stride on the final turn, cleared to the lead for the stretch drive and came up short at 3-to-5 odds. He will have to improve to turn the tables on the same rivals.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2

#10 UNPRECEDENTED	Projected price and pace set-up offset bad starting spot.
#7 COOL ROCK	No serious threat to pace controller, hard to back at 0-32 since 2019.
#9 STATE OF PLAY	Slowed by pace, get livelier flow, use underneath in gimmicks.
Race Summary	Unprecedented hooked an odds-on, repeat winner at bullring and should get ample pace flow to rally into at a generous price. Play 10-7 and 10-9 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 05:44 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#3 Fever Temple	Was outrun on the dirt at Churchill is back to Indiana-breds; was 2nd in the Snack Stakes on grass last year and his best will make him a solid player here.
#1 Victor's Deal	On the board in 10 of 12 lifetime starts and is and brought a deep closing move on the main track last time; does his best from just off the pace and can get a good trip.
#4 Strong Tide	Will be heavily played off a 4th-place finish on the Churchill grass; makes his 1st Indiana Grand turf appearance.
Race Summary	Fever Temple is back to the turf after finishing mid-pack on dirt in Louisville; that was after a six-month break and he can be expected to show sharp improvement in his return home.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#9 Sterling Miss	Punched through with a solid optional claiming win last out here and takes a step up into to slightly better company; has taken 7 of 19 races and has had an effective, more-relaxed approach lately.
#5 Precocious Peach	Rallied well and just missed at Gulfstream in her latest; well-traveled in just 14 starts and has picks up six wins. Always worth consideration.
#8 Inthemidstofbiz	Had an outstanding spring at Oaklawn and has matured in her 4-year-old season; has been very game and can mix it up with these.
Race Summary	Sterling Miss hasn't run many bad ones, especially lately, and has a solid rally she's unveiled recently. One to hold off as she moves over to the turf.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#2 Carmella Key	Was 3rd in her last two races and was can improve off her 1st of the year; can be strong here with the added distance.
#3 Aiken to Be Taken	Was very close in her last three and has had trouble finishing the job; can be very tough if the pace works out in her favor.
#1 Backstreet Lady	Can get to the front end and will be a strong factor if she can relax through the pace; expect a good effort as she can get a ground-saving journey.
Race Summary	Carmella Key can get an ideal trip from just off the pace and can make this her graduation day; biggest late threat.

**kajok** · 07-02-2020, 06:39 AM

Alan Scozzari

GUARANTEED A WAGER Italy Serie A AS Roma -0,5 -1 +100

TIP OF THE DAY B WAGER England Premier League Sheffield Utd – Tottenham UNDER 2,5 -139

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 09:31 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 7-8)
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 9:49P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * POTENTIAL GRIZZLY: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse has a Tra ckMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CAYENNE CREEK: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OUT OF CENTS: Horse had a bullet workout within the last se ven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	POTENTIAL GRIZZLY	12/1	4/1
7	CAYENNE CREEK	3/1	5/1
5	OUT OF CENTS	7/5	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	TO THE FRONT	1	8/1	Front-runner	57	71	80.9	64.5	53.0
6	POTENTIAL GRIZZLY	6	12/1	Front-runner	88	87	80.2	76.8	71.3
2	A IS FOR ARTIST	2	12/1	Front-runner	76	60	61.0	59.5	50.0
5	OUT OF CENTS	5	7/5	Stalker	85	87	81.6	76.4	70.9
7	CAYENNE CREEK	7	3/1	Stalker	84	86	66.4	84.2	79.2
3	BROTHER CORBIN	3	6/1	Trailer	79	78	61.6	71.8	62.3
4	FLATTER HYMN	4	5/1	Trailer	64	73	40.8	69.2	61.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 09:31 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 7	DD (Races 7-8) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) Superfecta (.10 min.)
Maiden • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 67 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 7:45P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (1ST PREFERENCE TO HORSES WHICH ARE PAID UP TO DATE IN THE LEE BERWICK FUTURITY)(2ND PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * STORMY BLACK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. RS SHEZA FAST DASHER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HEY GIRL HAY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. JET BLACK MARTINI: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
7	STORMY BLACK	3/1	7/2
3	RS SHEZA FAST DASHER	8/1	5/1
9	HEY GIRL HAY	8/1	7/1
6	JET BLACK MARTINI	15/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	HOLLAND AVERY	1	20/1	Slow	0	0	7.2	0.0	0.0
2	CHLOES PRIZE	2	15/1	Slow	0	0	9.0	0.0	0.0
3	RS SHEZA FAST DASHER	3	8/1	Average	70	59	5.4	0.0	0.0
4	HQH FASHION RUNAWAY	4	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	9.0	0.0	0.0
5	KIMI LITTLE FOX	5	9/5	Average	0	0	4.5	0.0	0.0
6	JET BLACK MARTINI	6	15/1	Average	70	49	5.4	0.0	0.0
7	STORMY BLACK	7	3/1	Fast	70	64	1.0	0.0	0.0
9	HEY GIRL HAY	9	8/1	Fast	64	56	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: JRS COS I RUNAWAY (15/1) [Jockey: Candanosa Bryan - Trainer: Magnon Jason H], PATS LECACY (5/1) [Jockey: Watson Donald - Trainer: Roberts Sr Kenneth L].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 09:33 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 75

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 2. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 CHROMIUM 3/1
# 7 PACIFIC IMAGE 5/2
# 1 SOUTHERN SPIRIT 8/1

CHROMIUM looks to be a strong contender. Looks solid to be up on the lead at the first call. Must be given consideration - I like the figures from the last contest. Has posted strong Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. PACIFIC IMAGE - He has been running soundly as of late while recording strong Equibase Speed Figs. This gelding has to be given a chance just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. SOUTHERN SPIRIT - He looks formidable in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Has some encouraging angles which make this one a play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 09:33 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $47,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#5 BLUE PIGEON (ML=6/1)
#7 O SHEA CAN U SEE (ML=2/1)
#2 CONTROL GROUP (ML=5/1)

BLUE PIGEON - Ran against 'open' company last out, in with state breds today. O SHEA CAN U SEE - I believe this horse isn't a natural sprinter. Routing is his best game and those last two sprints should have him set for a big run today. Rice brings him back again. I advise you stay with this live gelding. Got to like a equine athlete who can make up a ton of ground in the stretch. This gelding came flying late sprinting last time out and should relish the longer distance of today's race. CONTROL GROUP - I wouldn't worry too much about the layoff; this horse is ready to run today. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average Equibase class figure in the group. This thoroughbred collects a lot of dough per race. I believe he will boost the lifetime bankroll in this race. The improved Equibase speed figs over the last three races is solid. Rodriguez drops him in this event in shape and ready to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CATCH A CAB (ML=9/5), #9 NUTZFORBOLTZ (ML=5/2), #1 MISSION COMMAND (ML=8/1),

CATCH A CAB - Last raced on Jun 13th at Belmont Park, finishing sixth. Unlikely to perk up off of that try today. This questionable contender will probably need at least one more start after the lackluster showing following the extended time off. NUTZFORBOLTZ - Finished seventh on Jun 26th after the long vacation. Doubtful if there will be a reversal of fortune in this affair. Didn't do alot last time. Probably won't make an impact today. MISSION COMMAND - Based on the pace scenario in this contest, this horse doesn't fit in here. With a single front-runner and this animal having to race from behind, he sure has a tough assignment. Tough to bet on at 8/1 odds after the two most recent outings.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #5 BLUE PIGEON on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5,7] Total Cost: $6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2020, 09:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Emerald Downs - Race #3 - Post: 6:04pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#5 SOMETHIN'BOUT IRIS (ML=4/1)
#1 PEACEABLE KINGDOM (ML=6/1)

SOMETHIN'BOUT IRIS - This filly is a gem of consistency, almost always on the board. The way this event sets up this filly will be in perfect position when they head for the finish. PEACEABLE KINGDOM - This rider/trainer duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +105.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DANCIN IN PARADISE (ML=9/5), #2 COASTAL TULIPS (ML=5/2), #6 FORTUNE IN SILK (ML=9/2),

DANCIN IN PARADISE - This favorite hasn't been to the track in awhile. No morning drills since last race. COASTAL TULIPS - Can't wager on this pony in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race lately. FORTUNE IN SILK - Today's affair is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race in the last two months. Not the best of omens. Tough to play any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk. Finished fourth in her most recent race with a common rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #5 SOMETHIN'BOUT IRIS to win if we can get at least 6/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

Service Plays Thursday 7/2/20

Service Plays Thursday 7/2/20

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