Service Plays Wednesday 7/8/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-07-2020, 06:37 PM

Jesse Schule

Jul 08 '20, 1:00 PM in 17h
Soccer | Newcastle United vs Manchester City
Play on: Newcastle United +2½ -120 at 5Dimes

This is a 1* free play on Newcastle United.
Manchester City has nothing left to prove in the Premier League this season, and their focus will be on the FA Cup and the Champions League moving forward. That was clear in a 1-0 loss to Southampton over the weekend, and we expect City to rest players again against Newcastle. These teams met in a far more meaningful game last week, and City won by a score of 2-0. Newcastle is 0-4-1 against City in the last five meetings, but two of those four losses came by a single goal, and the others by two goals. Asking City to win a meaningless game by three goals seems a little over optimistic.
GL,
Jesse Schule

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-07-2020, 07:33 PM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS THE LEGEND!

FREE HORSE PICKS
EVANGELINE DOWNS
RACE #7
POST TIME: 8:38 PM EST
PICK: #4 At Once(4/1 Odds) to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-07-2020, 07:34 PM

Mike McClure

GOLF

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Justin Thomas (11-1)
2. Jon Rahm (12-1)
3. Hideki Matsuyama (14-1)
4. Patrick Cantlay (14-1)
5. Xander Schauffele (16-1)
6. Collin Morikawa (28-1)
7. Brooks Koepka (14-1)
8. Sungjae Im (33-1)
9. Patrick Reed (30-1)
10. Gary Woodland (40-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:44 AM

Jeff Siegel's Day Makers - 7/8/20

July 8, 2020
JEFF SIEGEL’S NATIONAL DAY MAKERS FOR WEDNESDAY, JULY 8, 2020
*

Jeff Siegel’s prime plays from around the country are offered on a daily basis to members of xpressbet.com and 1stbet.com. Always the day’s the cream of the crop, Day Makers emphasize price and wagering value and each selection should be given strong consideration both as a straight wager and as a key in vertical and horizontal exotics.
*

KEENELAND – 4th RACE. POST TIME: 2:45 ET
2 – IT’S MINE (5-1)

This daughter of Medaglia d’Oro shows the dangerous two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern for a barn that has excellent stats with this angle, and while her dirt form doesn’t jump off the page she does have a pedigree and a style that suggests she’ll improve going long on the lawn. Comfortably drawn inside in a race that projects to have softer than average early splits, she has enough natural early speed to possibly inherit the front end and given that kind of trip could get very brave. The S. Asmusssen-trained filly is listed at 5-1 on the morning line and will offer reasonable value at that price in a race that doesn’t appear to contain any world beaters.
*

KEENELAND – 6th RACE. POST TIME: 3:51 ET
2 – GREYES CREEK (3-1)

Was a highly impressive maiden winner at Churchill Downs in his second start off a long layoff, overcoming repeated traffic trouble to the head of the lane and then displaying superior acceleration once clear to win while being geared down late. The son of Pioneerof the Nile lands a good inside post and should draft into an ideal ground-saving trip while on or near the lead in this first-level allowance turf miler. His numbers have risen with every outing and we’re expecting another career top performance today from the C.. Brown trained colt. He’s 3-1 on the morning line and we’ll be happy to take that price if we can get it.
*

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:46 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Canterbury Park - Race #4

#1 Frosty Flirt	Rousing local MCL winner did it on the dirt and sprinting, but she also did it off an October layoff, owns some solid local turf runs, drew perfectly, and meets a weak crew; call right back.
#3 Awesome Sunset	Tactical miss was running well on the turf against better at Sam Houston, now makes her first grass start for a 20% Bravo barn, and should offer a square price too; would be no surprise.
#6 According to Aspen	ML favorite was running well with competitive numbers when last seen here, but that was 9/1, so she's likely to need this, and would be a huge underneath if she's close to this price; tabbing.
Race Summary	You should get fair value on the 1, and you need it, as taking on winners is never easy, but she has a world of confidence off that win and sure doesn't meet much, so play her to win and place, and especially to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5, as a repeat of her last makes her a big threat here, and kicking off the sequence at about $10 is never a bad thing.

Canterbury Park - Race #5

#4 My Award	Longshot added blinkers and woke up a bit for the first time, still has upside off just four lifetime starts, and while she rises in class, there's only one here to fear; bombs away.
#6 All Native	Stiff favorite easily beat the pick on debut when 2nd last time and might lap this field if she runs back to it, but note she was 26-1 that day, and that's long gone; backwheel time.
#3 River Swan	Tricky read was a distant 3rd at the level two-back then was in way over her head last time, so the drop makes sense, but consistency is not part of her package; underneath if at all.
Race Summary	You're going to get a big price on the 4 to find out if the blinkers really made a difference, and while she has almost 10 lengths to make up on the 6, the gap could definitely close, and there's no one else here she needs to be worried about, so give her a look in all the slots, and in the 10% takeout Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since a win would blow up both sequences, and stranger things have happened, especially when you're talking Minnesota breds.

Canterbury Park - Race #7

#5 Greatest Gal	Expected price player didn't have the smoothest of trips off the extended break last time, but her form last year was solid, and off that tightener she may move way forward; can surprise.
#1 Summer Lovin	Class dropper goes from 10k to 5k, so she'll be bet hard off that, but she didn't run an inch last time, and her form looks to be going south, not to mention she's 0-for-7 locally; trying to beat.
#2 Victim	Tricky read made her first start for Sterling and was a decent 5th at the level, in what was by far the best she's done of late, so if she doesn't regress, she'll be in the mix; exotics contender.
Race Summary	You should sneak out better than the 7-2 ML on the pick, as the 1 will take a lot of action and a few others will too, so 5-1 or so seems like enough risk-reward to see if she can build off that comeback, so play her in all the slots, and in the 10% takeout Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, as she looks primed to shake off the cobwebs and run much better this time.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:46 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#5 Nomiraclesneeded	Showed a little bit of life in the late stages of that last one, and this spot is softer overall with just a couple of standout types to beat.
#6 She's a Trooper	Reliable finisher tends to be there in the late stages, but she has lacked that final gear to punch home. Not sure I want too short of a price on a filly who can win this, but who has seven underneath slices in eight tries.
#10 Belle Magie	Good local effort on the turf last time out, and something similar would be good enough to keep her in the mix. Still, thinking she'll find one or two a bit too good for her today.
Race Summary	Nomiraclesneeded isn't out of the question at a fair price after passing a few late against $50,000 company at Churchill. The other two listed here have had 15 chances total and are pretty much out of excuses at what will be underlaid prices tonight.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#4 Orbital Deity	Has run well on the turf locally and should be a fair price in this spot after an even sort of try last out. If she can hold that form, she can play with these.
#2 Loopy	Forward player tends to give away ground late, but she should have the front end to herself in this spot and might be able to finally get brave.
#6 Mountain Melodies	At least a little bit interesting that Reed will give her a chance against this kind after the flat run that was her last for Maker. Turf is a question, but she had been a relatively consistent kind. Underneath?
Race Summary	Orbital Deity has had 13 chances and does not feel like a good bet at anything below her 6/1 ML price, but she can get the right trip in a spot where the favorites are iffy.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#1 Zurlin	No getting around this one for me as she owns a long string of races that are simply better than what the rest here can offer. The price will be prohibitive, but she should be a real handful and makes tons of sense as a multi-race single on compact tickets.
#7 My Hat	Owns some modest kinds of turf runs, but they might be decent enough to land an underneath share and spice up the gimmicks with the chalk on top.
#3 Her Name Is Star	Was rolling late when falling short last time out, but the top choice is also a finisher, and she seems likely to outkick this one.
Race Summary	Zurlin should only need to hold her form in order to handle this bunch, as she has faced much better than she's going to find in this spot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:47 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #3

#7 OUTSPOKEN MAN	Good effort while first over, has upset chance.
#4 HOLY MOMENT	Finished third in split race that timed one second faster.
#6 KING STREET	Chased fave from pocket, second in 3 of last 5 starts.
Race Summary	Outspoken Man is worth a price stab at 20-1 on the morning line and should be used on exotic wager tickets. He’s 0-for-13 but he sustained a first-over rally alongside the favorites when third last week. Play a 4-6-7 exacta box.

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #3

#2 KENTUCKY PROUD	Useful debut, can use his speed wisely in this spot.
#1 JK LUCKY CHARM	Paced evenly in well-bet seasonal debut, has rail and Dunn.
#5 SWEET MILO	Passed ‘Kentucky’ to finish third after long layoff for Team Burke.
Race Summary	Kentucky Proud faded after chasing the two favorites through a :27 third quarter. He gets Lasix for his second start, draws favorably and should be a forward factor throughout.

Northfield Park - Race #3

#5 PSYCHOTIC VIRGIN	All-or-nothing type play for new connections in seasonal debut.
#7 TWIST IT KARRY	Has speed, held second in last two starts, has provisional driver.
#4 BEND THE KNEE	Caught 7-1 pace-setter in slow final quarter to win.
Race Summary	Psychotic Virgin has shown little in nine starts but could awaken on the barn change with Wrenn in the bike. She has little to beat, if ready, so play 5-4 and 5-7 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:48 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#9 Bourbon in May	Was claimed two back by Maker stable, which does well with claims. He was bumped up in claiming price, failed and is back to the tag at which he was haltered. Has a good late move on many occasions and should be the one to hold off.
#8 Colonist	Takes a significant class drop and was even in Grade 1, 2 and 3 races over the past two years. You have to wonder about the drop to this price, but it might just be what it takes to get him back into good form.
#4 My Point Exactly	Just missed at this level two races back and had been in good form until his latest; will make them go for it early in the game.
Race Summary	Bourbon in May fizzled in the step up in class off the claim and should find some major relief in return to the price at which he was claimed. Maker has had good luck with these types and can get a victory in this one.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#1 Allurstra	Didn't fire vs. a tougher group in his latest but has several decent races on his form and can be a factor throughout.
#2 R Mercedes Boy	Was on the board in his last four without a win; has tailed off a bit in sprints but could garner some courage as he does a mile today.
#6 Create Again	Ran evenly in a much tougher race last time and should benefit from the drop in class; hasn't worked out as a $40,000 claim by Creque barn but this drop should assistant him.
Race Summary	Allurstra has changed some tough customers lately and should find this company and a mile distance to his liking.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#1 Baccarat Fashion	Has been in graded stakes, allowance and top optional claiming races since last fall and can wake up on this class drop was a solid 3rd two back and can handle these.
#4 J's Indian Charm	Ultra and ships in from Tampa, where he held on for a win three back; can be super tough if left along early.
#5 Bargainaire	Was 2nd in her last three races and gets a favorable pace setup here; can bring a strong rally.
Race Summary	Baccarat Fashion gets the drop she needs and can get back to good form against fillies and mares that have not seen many of her type; likely to improve.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:49 AM

Steve Janus

Jul 08 '20, 11:30 AM in 4h
Soccer | Antalyaspor vs Trabzonspor
Play on: Trabzonspor -107 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Sharp Play on Trabzonspor -107

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 05:50 AM

Hunter Price

Jul 08 '20, 1:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Hull City vs Bristol City
Play on: Hull City +229 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Pick on Hull City +229

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 08:10 AM

Cappers Access

MLS (July 8th)

Inter Miami -2.20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 08:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 67 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 3:57P
(PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PAQUIME: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Track Master Power Rating. EL CASADORA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. INSOFAR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing. SMOOTH MUSIC: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
10	PAQUIME	6/1	9/2
2	EL CASADORA	9/2	5/1
1	INSOFAR	12/1	6/1
11	SMOOTH MUSIC	10/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	SMOOTH MUSIC	11	10/1	Front-runner	0	0	71.6	55.3	48.8
10	PAQUIME	10	6/1	Front-runner	64	63	70.2	60.1	56.6
6	EL PIQUIN	6	30/1	Front-runner	62	39	64.4	38.9	27.4
1	INSOFAR	1	12/1	Front-runner	64	61	60.7	57.8	51.3
2	EL CASADORA	2	9/2	Alternator/Front-runner	74	69	65.3	51.4	46.9
9	BARREL PROOF	9	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	47.4	46.5	36.5
8	NIAGARA CHARLIE	8	30/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	45.5	44.6	32.1

Unknown Running Style: LEMME C UR VOUCHER (20/1) [Jockey: De La Cruz Fernando - Trainer: Klopp Randy L], BARRISTER TOM (10/1) [Jockey: Baze Tyler - Trainer: Ewing Michael Ann], PASION AZTECA (30/1) [Jockey: Bowen Rocco - Trainer: Leonard III George],

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 08:14 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $12,500 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 7:11P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MANGELSEN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MANGELSEN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth s tart after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	MANGELSEN	3/1	5/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	MANGELSEN	5	3/1	Front-runner	80	86	106.2	80.2	75.2
2	SUCH	2	12/1	Front-runner	71	61	91.6	71.1	60.6
4	OUTLAW X.	4	4/1	Stalker	82	74	45.5	68.9	57.9
10	LIAM SKYE	10	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	60	44.7	69.7	58.2
8	I'M D'CAT	8	6/1	Trailer	74	77	64.0	70.1	60.6
6	CLASSIC GREELEY	6	20/1	Trailer	77	66	47.4	64.5	53.0
9	SILVER KING	9	5/2	Trailer	79	82	43.6	78.7	76.7
1	FAST VERDICT	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	69	60.7	58.4	47.4
3	STRIKING STAR	3	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	57	44.8	37.2	20.2
7	MY CLASSIC BOWTIE	7	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	65	31.7	53.3	35.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2020, 08:15 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #3 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,300 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#1 ARROWSPHERE (ML=5/2)
#5 IMMACULATE HEART (ML=3/1)
#4 LORETTAS SONG (ML=9/2)

ARROWSPHERE - Sophisticated handicappers will tell you that this entrant has strong speed. Have to give this mare a good shot. Ran a nice race in the last race within the last month. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback. IMMACULATE HEART - Salazarbecerra was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. Salazarbecerra's agent must enjoy anytime Atala gives them a mount; win percent together is fantastic. This filly's last speed figure earned on June 13th is utmost in last race speed figures. LORETTAS SONG - This thoroughbred ran outside the top 3 at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last race out in the mud. She should improve right here without a sloppy track. Ceballos and Faulkner teamed up together are a horseplayer's friend.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 HOT VALENTINA (ML=7/2), #3 SQUATCHINGWITHLYSS (ML=6/1), #6 SASSY ANGEL (ML=8/1),

HOT VALENTINA - This equine doesn't have a champion's attitude. Always finishes near the winner. SQUATCHINGWITHLYSS - Difficult to play this entrant this time out. Make her show you something in a short distance race before you play her in a race of 6 furlongs. Not normally the kind of horse one plays off of any kind of long layoff. SASSY ANGEL - Awfully difficult to bet on this horse when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 ARROWSPHERE to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

Service Plays Wednesday 7/8/20

Service Plays Wednesday 7/8/20

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