Service Plays Friday 7/10/20

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #8 - Post: 4:44pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $53,200 Class Rating: 84

Rating:

#2 CRUMLIN QUEEN (ML=4/1)
#5 HANIEL (ML=6/1)


CRUMLIN QUEEN - Equibase speed figures on the turf point to this thoroughbred as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance-surface. Faced tougher last out at Woodbine. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this animal on my list of probable winners in this race. My expertise says this is the only stalker in the race. Closed well in last event. Longer distance should help. When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This horse has the highest average class in the entire field. Recent Equibase speed figures show solid pattern of improvement. HANIEL - I certainly see good things for this steed right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DESERT POEM (ML=5/2), #6 SPIDER DANCE (ML=7/2),

DESERT POEM - The sixth place finish position in the last event was not the best. SPIDER DANCE - Oddsmaker's morning line of 7/2 make this thoroughbred a pass by my standards.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 CRUMLIN QUEEN is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Retama Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 78

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS, ACCREDITED TEXAS-BREDS WHO ARE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT ........................................ 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 BOLSONARO PZ 9/2
# 5 LETHAL WOMEN 12/1
# 9 DUSTYS DELIGHT 12/1

BOLSONARO PZ is the best bet in this race. Huitron has a solid win percentage of 19 in baby races. Has very strong speed figures and has to be considered for a bet here. Fits well here and the conditioner has outstanding credentials with younger horses. LETHAL WOMEN - Fits in well here based on Sanchez's strong results with 2 year olds lately. There is a decent chance that this entry's late pace will improve on Lasix. Ought to be worth a wager based on the sire's (Lethal Corona) offspring very good win rate - 20 percent.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

07/10/20, KEE, Race 3, 2.12 ET
07/10/20,KEE,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $77,000 (includes up to $19,250 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 Since May 10 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Heros Reward	5-1	Gaffalione T	Barkley Jason	W	38.03	1.33/$1
098.2636	2	Hidden Ruler	8-1	Cohen D	Ortiz John Alexander	S	36.49	1.25/$1
097.6586	7	Alfie Solomons	5-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Ward Wesley A.	JT	38.03	1.33/$1
097.1186	8	Breaking News	7/2	Rosario J	Moquett Ron	C	36.49	1.25/$1
096.4615	5	Luna's in Charge	12-1	Lanerie C J	Bauer Philip A.	F	38.03	1.33/$1
096.4016	1	Gozilla	9/5	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	EL	23.81	1.43/$1
095.8524	3	Solomonic	15-1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Shorter Aaron		38.03	1.33/$1
094.9158	4	Wild Popit	8-1	Bejarano R	Morse Randy L.		40.00	1.67/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 38.18, ROI 1.15/$1

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:28pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $37,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#6 SILLY NOTION (ML=8/1)
#4 LITTLE BIT GOOD (ML=4/1)
#7 MRS. MAISEL (ML=5/1)


SILLY NOTION - Don't throw this horse out due to her last race at Gulfstream Park where she ended up fifth on the soft turf. Expect better today. Look for this one to go all the way to the winner's circle at some pretty decent odds right here in this race. Ran fifth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the finish. This horse is a hot commodity. Claimed in her last two races. LITTLE BIT GOOD - You always have to be on the watch for bankroll building jockey/handler tandems; we have an instance right here. Last out, finished fifth in the slop at Gulfstream Park. Will most certainly do better right here. MRS. MAISEL - Last ran at Gulfstream Park and finished sixth. Reviewing her past performance lines, I see she was close at the finish, within 5 of the winner. Ran last out against better company at Gulfstream Park. The move down in class should suit her well. This filly recorded a nice speed rating of 80 in her last event. That speed fig should be high enough to win this time. Look for this filly to run a lot better right here in this race. Last event at Gulfstream Park finishing sixth on the soft turf is no sign of her true talent.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 LA RUSIA (ML=5/2), #1 R CALLI KIM (ML=7/2), #3 LET'S BE HONEST (ML=7/2),

LA RUSIA - You always think this horse has a shot to win, but she falters regularly. Jun 17th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. R CALLI KIM - The affair on Apr 26th was versus maiden claimers. Pass on this one today versus the tougher group. LET'S BE HONEST - The Equibase speed figures are going downward. I'm not playing this runner off of that trend.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #6 SILLY NOTION on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

07/10/20, BEL, Race 10, 6.08 ET
07/10/20,BEL,10,6F [Turf] 1:05:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Six Furlongs on the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Tiny Magoo	5-1	Davis D	Miceli Michael	SFE	32.26	1.87/$1
098.5759	14	Frenchie Frou Frou	9/2	Franco M	Sciacca Gary	W	32.26	1.87/$1
098.3325	6	Running On Entry(b+)	3-1	Franco M	Toner James J.	C	32.26	1.87/$1
097.1324	13	Fusi	8-1	Alvarado J	Atras Rob	L	32.26	1.87/$1
096.5716	5	Vinda Machine	20-1	Cardenas L	Weaver George	T	32.26	1.87/$1
096.3444	8	Little Red Button	8-1	Ortiz J L	Stephens John D.		32.26	1.87/$1
095.3953	9	Silent Empress	4-1	Cancel E	Clement Christophe		32.26	1.87/$1
094.8832	15	Magical Romance	8-1	Cardenas L	Metivier Richard		32.26	1.87/$1
094.7895	12	Big Red Girl	10-1	Gutierrez R	Baker Charlton		32.26	1.87/$1
093.8321	10	Adorable Maya	8-1	Maragh R R	Bush Thomas M.		32.26	1.87/$1
093.5128	4	Nikki's Dream	12-1	Lezcano J	Gullo Gary P.		32.26	1.87/$1
092.8835	2	Idaka	50-1	Silvera R	Barker Edward R.		32.26	1.87/$1
092.5833	11	She So Naughty	8-1	Alvarado J	Rodriguez Rudy R.		32.26	1.87/$1
092.2296	16	Painite	6-1	Maragh R R	Donk David G.		32.26	1.87/$1
090.2959	1	Wall Eye	15-1	Carmouche K	Chichakly Amira		32.26	1.87/$1
089.9775	7	Mind of Gold	30-1	Harkie H K	Ramdat Rohan		32.26	1.87/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 26.15, ROI 0.80/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Tiny Magoo	5-1	Davis D	Miceli Michael	SE	40.00	1.20/$1
099.4591	5	Vinda Machine	20-1	Cardenas L	Weaver George	T	40.00	1.31/$1
099.3284	14	Frenchie Frou Frou	9/2	Franco M	Sciacca Gary		40.00	1.20/$1
098.4406	15	Magical Romance	8-1	Cardenas L	Metivier Richard		40.00	1.20/$1
098.3385	13	Fusi	8-1	Alvarado J	Atras Rob	L	40.00	1.31/$1
098.3051	12	Big Red Girl	10-1	Gutierrez R	Baker Charlton	F	40.00	1.31/$1
097.9420	6	Running On Entry(b+)	3-1	Franco M	Toner James J.	C	54.55	1.61/$1
097.2764	9	Silent Empress	4-1	Cancel E	Clement Christophe		36.90	1.09/$1
096.9228	2	Idaka	50-1	Silvera R	Barker Edward R.	W	40.00	1.20/$1
096.6583	8	Little Red Button	8-1	Ortiz J L	Stephens John D.		40.00	1.20/$1
094.6569	4	Nikki's Dream	12-1	Lezcano J	Gullo Gary P.		36.90	1.09/$1
093.7809	10	Adorable Maya	8-1	Maragh R R	Bush Thomas M.		42.62	1.24/$1
093.7731	16	Painite	6-1	Maragh R R	Donk David G.		54.55	1.61/$1
092.9419	11	She So Naughty	8-1	Alvarado J	Rodriguez Rudy R.		40.00	1.20/$1
091.4778	7	Mind of Gold	30-1	Harkie H K	Ramdat Rohan		36.90	1.09/$1
091.1367	1	Wall Eye	15-1	Carmouche K	Chichakly Amira		40.00	1.31/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 23.33, ROI 0.67/$1

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Cappers Access

MLS (Fri)

Seattle Sounders +105

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PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

Fri Jul 10, 2020

Denmark - Division 1- Vendsyssel FF vs. Vejle Boldklub over 2.5 -108 (1:00 PM)
Portugal - Primeira Liga- Sporting Lisbon vs. Santa Clara OVER 2 -146 (2:15 PM)
Portugal - Primeira Liga- Pacos de Ferreira vs. Braga OVER 2.5 +101 (4:30 PM)
Italy - Serie B- Empoli vs. Frosinone UNDER 2.5 -138 (3:00 PM)

Spain - La Liga- Real Sociedad -133 Granada CF (1:30 PM)

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Paul Leiner

Horse Pick and Soccer 7/10

Fri Jul 10, 2020
Hit a small exacta and both soccer plays yesterday. Here's a pick from Gulfstream and a soccer pick.

100* Over 2.5 Santa Clara/Sporting CP

Gulfstream race 1
#1 Camino de Estrela $10 wps
$2 exacta box 1-4-5