Service Plays Monday 7/13/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:11 AM

Rob Vinciletti

Jul 13 '20, 3:00 PM in 8h
Soccer | Southampton vs Manchester United
Play on: Manchester United -1½ -110 at Mirage

Monday Featured Free Play
The Comp Play for Monday in Premier League Soccer is on Manchester United -1.5 goals at 3:00 eastern. Manchester United is playing very well and comes in off a 3-0 road win over Aston Villa. They have won 19 of 21 at this venue and our simulation Model shows a 3-0 win here. Southhampton cant move up in standings and wont have much to play for here. They dont have the horses up front to stay with Manchester United. Look for a multiple goal win here. Play on United. Make it Manchester United -1.5 goals. RV- GC Sports

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:11 AM

Steve Janus

Jul 13 '20, 4:00 PM in 9h
Soccer | Real Madrid vs Granada
Play on: Real Madrid -213 at BMaker

1* Free Sharp Play on Real Madrid -213

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:14 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Canterbury Park - Race #4

#3 Bye Bye Bennie	Class dropper was facing tons better off the long layoff last time when a middling 6th, now drops and goes second-off, and could offer a hint of value as well; looks primed.
#10 Gopher Gold	ML favorite is the class and will like this easier group on the drop, but he's never tried turf, isn't bred for it, and is trying two turns as well; the horse to beat has some knocks.
#1 Dixie Blues	The horse with the best turf form hasn't shown it in almost two years, but got his prep off the long break out of the way, and should improve returning to the grass; worth a look.
Race Summary	You aren't getting that 12-1 ML on the pick, but even 5-1 or so in this field is plenty good enough, especially when it's easy to surmise this was the plan all along, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5, as he figures to improve in a big way off his return, and that would be plenty good enough to give him a big chance against a group like this.

Canterbury Park - Race #5

#5 Whiskyforbreakfast	Stiff ML favorite drops in class off a solid 2nd in his return, meets a weak field, and still ha plenty of upside off just two starts; imposing.
#4 Don's Final Final	Logical sort was a month behind the pick two-back then rebounded last time, and a repeat puts him in the picture clearly the main danger.
#7 Shattered Dreams	Stalker has been running in some fast races and now drops in class, but he's never tried two turns, and drew poorly; using underneath only.
Race Summary	Swing away with an aggressive win bet if you sniff that 8-5 ML on the pick, as he looks more in the odds-on range, but his real value comes in the 10% takeout Pk5, as well as in kicking off the late Pk4, as you can single him, which will allow for more coverage in the other legs, as he looks to have this field over a barrel.

Canterbury Park - Race #6

#1 Off the Meds	Price player was a fine 2nd off the small layoff last time, drew best of all, should get an honest pace to rally into, and could get a bit overlooked on the board; upset special.
#10 Heat Flash	Broberg runner goes for a potent barn and showed he's back with a big run at LS, though this wide draw and underlaid price take away some of the appeal; still, plenty scary.
#8 Pine Grove Road	ML favorite beat the pick by a 1 1/4 lengths last time and therefore will be a handful here, but the 10 will be glued to him the entire way, and he could regress too; trying to beat.
Race Summary	You should get plenty of value on the, as not only is the horse who beat him last time back, but a top new shooter is here too, but it's the pick who drew perfectly, and has every right to improve on his last, so play him in all the slots, and especially the 10% takeout Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win would add plenty of value to both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:15 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#3 Tristan's Triology	Finished with some enthusiasm last time out, and he'll go second off the bench here while getting class relief. Doubt he's offering the 4/1 ML price.
#1 Baysider	Didn't miss by much at this trip two starts back, and after fading going long, the cutback should work in his favor.
#5 My Brother Steve	Longshot makes the third start off the layoff, and while he almost never shows up with a run that would be competitive here, there are a couple of back tries that could land a piece at a huge number if he steps up today.
Race Summary	Tristan's Trilogy is probably never getting back to the 2018 form, but he's capable of something a bit better than that try against allowance company last out.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#9 Thisaintjumpstreet	Has a little bit of versatility as far as running style, and he should be able to sit behind the two speed players and launch a bid ahead of the deeper finishers.
#8 Walking Princess	She's the clear one to beat in this second start off the bench, and she hasn't been in this easy in quite some time. Probably handles these.
#1 Vaughn	Finisher didn't really get rolling last time out, but she can do better with that run under her belt, and she has some races from last year that stack up nicely.
Race Summary	Thisaintjumpstreet should be able to settle in behind Walking Princess and #2 J Z's Diva in the early going, and the price will be right to see if she can take advantage if that pace comes back.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#3 Duches of Grace	Price player easily cleared the maiden ranks at Belterra last out, and there are a few players in here who are going to take plenty of cash, leaving this mare with a real chance in this second start off the layoff with the nice win in her pocket.
#6 Starry Affair	Looked like she might have some potential off the mice maiden win back in 2018, but she went evenly in a stakes try and hasn't been heard from since. Would be no surprise if she got home first and no surprise if she finished last.
#9 Fancy Fierce	Best stuff stacks up well here, but she's also going to get overbet off the 16-length romp with a perfect trip in the slop last time out. Deeper waters here.
Race Summary	Duches of Grace will almost surely be double digits on the board in this one after an easy maiden win at Belterra that produced a slow fig, but that came off the bench, and she might have more to offer this time around.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:15 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #2

#1 It's Cold in Dehere	Ran on well to hit the board in her last three and Amoss stable has been tough everywhere lately; has beaten better rivals than what she faces today.
#4 Kalalou	Ran on strongly and was up in time at Prairie Meadows last out and has the class to be a strong late threat.
#2 A.P. Princess	Ran off to an easy 3 1-4-length score over overmatched foes at Belterra but was competitive at Oaklawn and Turfway earlier; her best gives her a big chance.
Race Summary	It's Cold in Dehere can be closer to the pace than usual, can take advantage of a ground-saving trip and should have enough left to hold off her opponents.

Indiana Grand - Race #4

#7 Glamour Gal	Was 4th in a fast race here and tired against some of these two back at Churchill; she should get a more aggressive run through the early portion and can dig in here. Goldencents filly usable at a good price.
#5 Sister Kitten	Was in the mix throughout and held second at Churchill (ahead of 3rd pick Loving Moment) and has some good late energy to show. Clearly a big player.
#3 Loving Moment	Was too late in her bid vs. strong foes at Churchill and attempts to rally against a slow pace; gets a better pace set-up and could be motoring late.
Race Summary	There are plenty of fillies and mares from good barns and will get there fair share of play. That leaves Glamour Gal as a possible very-good price and her best effort gives here a big chance at an upset.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#2 Comfort Me Now	Was close-up through slow fractions and drew off to an easy score last out; he's at his best from just off the pace and won't have to improve much to get a repeat win.
#9 Classy Cowboy	Has exceptional speed, will be on the front end and could back up the pace to his liking; could be hard catch today.
#3 Uphold	Comes out of much tougher open allowance races in 2019 and fits well in his return; goes with blinkers off.
Race Summary	Comfort Me Now's last race was too good to ignore and he really improved from 4th in a five-furlong to the 4 3-4-length win going two turns last out. Looks improved as a 4-year-old and could be dismissed at a good price as he just won last time vs. N3L state-bred foes.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:16 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 13, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park has 10-races scheduled for Monday evening. It's a competitive card and my focus will be on the 0.20 Late Pick 4 sequence which begins in Race 7.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

2-Siddhartha (9/2)-Took advantage of a quick pace and drew off with a .55 back half to snag a win and was bet down to 3/2. Meets a new crew tonight but Shepherd may work a similar trip, so best to respect.
3-Day Delight (8-1)-This colt has been tough to figure this year. Roy can work a nice trip from this post but will need to finish off the mile. Starts inside of the two program chalks and is worth a swing at a nice price.
6-Night Watchman (5/2)-Had a rough journey from a bad post in the Gold Final and now drops to a spot to start another winning streak. Program chalk is a threat but needs a smooth trip and to mind manners.
7-Sundown Kid (7/2)-Filion takes a seat on McIntosh trainee as Henry opts to #6. Raced the back half in 55.2 but couldn't catch the winner. Fits better versus this group and maybe Filion can find a little more down the lane.

Race 8

1-Salome (7/2)-Qualified at Phl in 201.4 all on her own. Kadabra filly was in the Nifty Norman barn and appears to have some ability. Could be over bet but best to respect.
4-Mag N Lady (6-1)-Qualified on 7/3 and raced the back half in 58.1 and Roy is aboard again. May race closer to the lead and pick off some gals down the lane.
8-Stonebridge Strong (8-1)-Qualified back on 6/19 and that is a concern but will assume ready. If they go to the half in a minute or so, this filly could be flying late. Did have the fastest 2nd half and last quarter of anyone in the field.

Race 9

1-Cliffhanger (7/2)-Should like the company, and there is not much gate speed in this race. Sometimes when that's the case many leave but it's doubtful the opening half goes in 54.3 this time. McNair can control things and steal a quarter.
8-Icy Blue Scooter (9/2)-Was better in last when dropped to this level but is 0-6 this year. The race will be in front of JMac and 7-year-old could win if the pace is lively and the steer is top notch.

Race 10

2-HP Bruxelless (7/2)-Filion wanted the lead in last and used up some gas to get it before being dispatched by #9. My guess is this time a pocket trip could fall into place which leads to a brush down the lane to roll by.
6-Lovedbythemasses (10-1)-Looking for better tonight than last at GeoD. Has hit the board in all 7 starts at Wbsb with 5 wins. Saftic has some options from this post and can come off cover at a square price.
9- Villefranche As (3-1)-Winner of 2 straight has gotten the top and wasn't threatened when leaving from post 5 & 6. With a smooth trip it could be picture time again and some may single. Will respect, but from the 9-hole will use others.

0.20 Late Pick 4

2,3,6,7/1,4,8/1,8/2,6,9
Total Bet=$$14.40

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 05:50 AM

Hunter Price

Jul 13 '20, 2:30 PM in 7h
Soccer | Wycombe Wanderers vs Oxford United
Play on: Wycombe Wanderers +284 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Wycombe Wanderers +284

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:38 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 8	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 67 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 5:15P
(PLUS UP TO $5,440 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. LADY LUTE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LADY LUTE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	LADY LUTE	9/2	4/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	LADY LUTE	4	9/2	Stalker	65	53	49.3	50.2	47.7
3	KLASSY POINT	3	30/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	48.3	2.8	0.0

Unknown Running Style: TIZ MAGIC (8/1) [Jockey: Wade Lindey - Trainer: Jacks Karen E], PRINCESSOFCHITOWN (12/1) [Jockey: Eramia Richard E - Trainer: Davidson M Brent], DOHA (12/1) [Jockey: Risenhoover Sasha - Trainer: Wallis Nathan], HATCHET GURL (5/

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:39 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 4	WPS, Exactor, Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $3,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:34P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000 (COLTS AND GELDINGS PREFERRED)(*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FAFA FOOEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layof f. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DES BOIS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. J M R VICTORY LAP: Today is a sprint and this i s the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
4	FAFA FOOEY	2/1	3/1
2	DES BOIS	8/5	4/1
5	J M R VICTORY LAP	3/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	DES BOIS	2	8/5	Front-runner	69	46	68.8	54.4	49.9
5	J M R VICTORY LAP	5	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	65	63	33.4	40.8	34.8
1	EBORACUM	1	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	47.4	60.2	54.2
4	FAFA FOOEY	4	2/1	Alternator/Trailer	75	71	21.0	59.0	55.5
3	DIAMOND VISION	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	53	49	0.0	19.9	9.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:40 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #6 - Post: 3:10pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#1 ROLL ON BIG MAMA (ML=8/1)
#3 WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT (ML=4/1)

ROLL ON BIG MAMA - Racing over a familiar track, where she has won multiple times before, I have to put this one at the top of my list of top contenders. WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT - The June 22nd race at Parx Racing was at a class level of (90). Dropping down in the class scale significantly, so she should be in a good position to win. I like to play this handicapping angle, a pony coming back off a nice contest within the last month or so. That 82 fig this mare earned in her last event tells me she's a key player in today's event. 68-75-82 are last three Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something she should do again right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 NOT LEAVING (ML=5/2), #2 MONACO PRINCESS (ML=7/2), #5 KAREN'S GEM (ML=6/1),

NOT LEAVING - Today's event is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance event in the last 60 days. Not the best of signs. Hasn't raced or had any drills since June 17th. Not much value on this morning-line favorite. Unlikely that the speed fig she earned on Jun 17th will be good enough in this affair. MONACO PRINCESS - Tough to bet on any horse like this that didn't finish in the money after the extended vacation and comes right back. Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance race to be worth the chance at short odds in a sprint. KAREN'S GEM - 75/68/58, are the lessening Equibase speed figures for this questionable contender.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 ROLL ON BIG MAMA is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:42 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9240 Class Rating: 69

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MONEY BARON 12/1
# 3 PRETTY SPECIAL 5/1
# 4 RANGER BOB 4/1

MONEY BARON has a decent shot to take this competition and is a strong value bet given the line at 12/1. Will almost certainly go to the front end and might never look back. Must be in form if the conditioner is bringing him back so quickly. PRETTY SPECIAL - He has strong class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be given a shot for this event. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is strong for this horse. RANGER BOB - Look for a much better attempt with the drop. Over time, this conditioner has a very good ROI at this distance/surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:42 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 49

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 TOMASITA 5/1
# 10 LOGI 12/1
# 1 LITTLE MOLITTA 6/1

TOMASITA looks very good to best this field. LOGI - She has recorded very strong figures under today's conditions and should fare well against this group of animals. Looks to have a very good class edge based on the latest company kept.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:44 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#3 I'M NOT JOKING (ML=3/1)
#4 NIKKI BELLA (ML=8/1)

I'M NOT JOKING - This mare was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think she's ready for today's event. Has run good races in the first or second starts back off of a vacation. Looking at this mare's running lines, I see she's almost always on the board. NIKKI BELLA - Bennett brings her back again. I recommend you stay with this strong mare.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MIA BELLA ROSSA (ML=2/1), #6 BARLEY JACK (ML=4/1), #2 LE WEEKEND (ML=6/1),

MIA BELLA ROSSA - Tough to bet on any steed in a sprint event if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple of months. BARLEY JACK - Just cannot wager on this vulnerable equine. Didn't show me anything last time out or on March 9th. 87/83/56, are the declining speed figs for this vulnerable equine. LE WEEKEND - Hard to recommend any horse with lessening Equibase speed figs of 84/78/54.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - I'M NOT JOKING - I don't care what type of athletic competition you're in, when you drop down to easier competition the experience of facing stiffer competition strengthens you. This mount is live today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 I'M NOT JOKING is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-13-2020, 08:48 AM

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