Service Plays Wednesday 7/15/20

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 6	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 5:22P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. CLUB SODA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CLUB SODA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. RED CLAY MAGIC: Today i s a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1A	CLUB SODA	3/1	5/2
8	RED CLAY MAGIC	8/5	4/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1A	CLUB SODA	6	3/1	Front-runner	88	91	104.6	84.6	80.1
1	CANIHAVEITLIKETHAT	3	3/1	Front-runner	71	81	74.6	58.6	43.1
8	RED CLAY MAGIC	9	8/5	Alternator/Front-runner	96	83	70.4	77.2	74.2
4	GOLDEN TIGER	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	94	88	78.8	73.8	65.3
3	POPULIST	2	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	75	63.0	75.4	64.4
5	ADMIRAL BROWN	5	5/1	Trailer	79	76	43.8	74.0	67.0
7	NO DEBATE	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	71	84.2	63.5	52.0
6	BELMONT HILLS	7	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	64	67.8	62.4	48.9
2	WICKED CITI	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	68	39.3	60.0	46.5

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 74

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 PATRIOTSNBLUE 6/1
# 3 SPARKLINGONTHEBEACH 12/1
# 7 FLINT RIVER BUX 15/1

My selection in this race is PATRIOTSNBLUE. FLINT RIVER BUX - I think having Aguilarorozco ride this gelding is a smart selection. Has performed soundly lately in short races, posting a nifty 65 avg speed rating.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,200 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#7 SCIENCE TO WIN (ML=15/1)
#2 STORMCOAST (ML=3/1)
#10 DUPLICATOR (ML=4/1)


SCIENCE TO WIN - I think the shorter distance will help this gelding stay the trip. This entrant could be tough in this race, especially since Barrios rode in the last race and now should be more familiar with this one. The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. Horse has improved at least two speed fig points in last 2 races. I look for that to continue in this field. Classic handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. A live one today. STORMCOAST - You'll be generating money right and left by turning your betting money onto this jock/trainer combination. This gelding is in excellent condition right now. Ended up first last time around the track and comes back soon. Trainer, Jenkins, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. DUPLICATOR - Gelding shipped to this track and won; now goes for a double. This gelding has a lot of ability on the grass. Could be long gone by the time they turn for home.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RUM ON THE ROCKS (ML=9/2), #9 J W RUCKUS (ML=5/1), #3 RAISON KARTER (ML=8/1),

RUM ON THE ROCKS - No pace in this field to help set-up his late rally. J W RUCKUS - This gelding hasn't had any recent accomplishments in short distance events. I find it hard to play him in this event. RAISON KARTER - When scrutinizing today's class figure, he will have to notch a better speed fig than last time out to be competitive in this turf sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 SCIENCE TO WIN to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	7 with [2,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,7,10] with [2,7,10] with [2,4,5,7,10] with [2,4,5,7,10] Total Cost: $36

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #5 - Post: 2:50pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,300 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#3 MISS LAURA LOU (ML=3/1)
#5 PINK PAJAMAS (ML=9/2)
#4 ANNISQUAM (ML=8/1)


MISS LAURA LOU - I like a campaigner that manages to be in the money as often as this mare. Almost always in the money so don't leave her out of your exotic bets. Schuster drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more information to think this horse has a shot at this level. Trainer, Schuster, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. PINK PAJAMAS - I think this mare is ready to run a good one. She's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. The Jul 1st event at Thistledown was at a class level of (80). Dropping to a lower level a significant amount, so she should be in a good position. After a nice race two starts ago, this equine bounced. Now today, I expect another good performance. ANNISQUAM - This mare's last race was back on February 5th but I do believe she can run a good one coming off a vacation. Taking a big class drop in class figure points from her Feb 5th race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this one the edge. Just check out her last speed fig, 59. That one fits well in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ALMIGHTY STORM (ML=5/2), #2 COOL IRIS (ML=7/2), #1 BLACK BUTTE (ML=6/1),

ALMIGHTY STORM - The finish of fifth in the last race shows me that this horse may be tailing off. COOL IRIS - This racer hasn't been close to the winner at the wire lately. BLACK BUTTE - This horse hasn't been close to the winner at the finish of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #3 MISS LAURA LOU on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 15, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 WITT'S GOLD 7/5
# 1 LEGENDARY LARRY 8/5
# 4 NORM'S PLACE 6/1

WITT'S GOLD looks strong to best this field. Looks competitive to be close to the lead at the first call. I can't pass on this gelding given one of the strongest jockey and conditioner combos on the grounds. Gamblers using horses with this jock and conditioner duo have done well as of late. LEGENDARY LARRY - Could best this field here, showing very strong numbers of late. With a nice class figure average of 88, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this group of horses. NORM'S PLACE - Kling makes a blinkers change (going off today), looking for better results. Should definitely be considered here if only for the strong speed rating posted in the last race.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

07/15/20, GP, Race 4, 1.34 ET
07/15/20,GP,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $55,000 (includes up to $10,000 FBIF - Florida Bred Incentive Fund). FOR STATE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	11	Whistler Dixie	12-1	Lebron V	Hamm Timothy E.	W	34.88	1.21/$1
099.4467	7	Frankly My Dear	3-1	Maragh R	Iwinski Allen	FEL	33.60	1.19/$1
099.2350	8	Naval Wave	9/2	Jaramillo E	McPeek Kenneth G.	J	32.17	1.06/$1
099.2230	2	Causingahullbaloo	6-1	Zayas E J	Casse Mark E.		32.17	1.06/$1
098.9798	5	Raining Sunshine	8-1	Prado E S	McPeek Kenneth G.		32.17	1.06/$1
098.6518	3	Gulf Coast Gal	4-1	Vasquez M A	Nicks Ralph E.		32.17	1.06/$1
098.0551	4	Extinquish	20-1	Rios J M	Yates Michael	T	33.60	1.19/$1
097.9163	10	Nyssa	10-1	Torres C A	Braddy J. David	C	36.36	1.31/$1
095.8267	6	Battle Cry	20-1	Meneses M	Rodriguez Angel M.		32.17	1.06/$1
095.3394	9	Sophisticurl	12-1	Camacho S	Barbazon III Lester	S	32.78	1.09/$1
094.6814	1	Mangrove Mamma	15-1	Panici L	Bates Larry		32.17	1.06/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.53, ROI 0.92/$1

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Cappers Access

Nascar (Wed) Kyle Busch +700

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GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE HORSE RACING WINNER 7/15/20
RACE #8 from EMERALD DOWNS
POST TIME: 6:03 PM EST
Free Pick: #7 Winning Bluff 9/2 Odds to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige

Top Picks

Abdul Razak Alhassan
Jack Shore
Calvin Kattar

Fight Picks

Calvin Kattar (-300) vs. Dan Ige (+250): Kattar
Tim Elliott (-120) vs. Ryan Benoit (+100): Elliott
Jimmie Rivera (-135) vs. Cody Stamann (+115): Stamann
Molly McCann (-120) vs. Taila Santos (+100): McCann
Abdul Razak Alhassan (-325) vs. Mounir Lazzez (+265): Alhassan
Khamzat Chimaev (-320) vs. John Phillips (+260): Chimaev
Ricardo Ramos (-155) vs. Lerone Murphy (+135): Ramos
Modestas Bukauskas (-220) vs. Andreas Michailidis (+190): Michailidis
Jared Gordon (-145) vs. Chris Fishgold (+125): Gordon
Diana Belbita (-160) vs. Liana Jojua (+140): Belbita
Jack Shore (-700) vs. Aaron Phillips (+500): Shore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

NASCAR

Bets I'm making:

Most of my All-Star Race betting will be live betting once the race has started, or at least after the qualifying and fan vote have taken place. The only pre-race bet I'm making is Denny Hamlin +650

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Denny Hamlin (13-2)
2. Joey Logano (8-1)
3. Chase Elliott (13-2)
4. Kevin Harvick (9-2)
5. Kyle Busch (5-1)
6. Brad Keselowski (8-1)
7. Ryan Blaney (10-1)
8. Martin Truex Jr. (17-2)
9. Kurt Busch (14-1)
10. Alex Bowman (18-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Erik Jones
13. Matt Kenseth
14. Ryan Newman
15. Cole Custer
16. Justin Haley