Service Plays Friday 7/17/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-16-2020, 10:21 PM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
LAUREL PARK
RACE #8
POST TIME: 4:33 PM EST
PICK: #14 Whiskey and You(6/1 Odds) to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 05:12 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Pick 4 Analysis

July 17, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Hoosier Park has 14 races scheduled with the 0.50 Pick 4 beginning in Race 3 and that sequence will be my focus. On Thursday in Anderson the driver with the hottest hands was Ricky Macomber with three wins. It was a team effort as the leading conditioner on the night was Jamie Macomber with three trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections are based on a fast track.

Race 3

2-Secret Threat (3-1)-Even effort to finish 3rd as the post-time favorite and now drops. The Tyler George barn has been sizzling, 17 wins in last 30 days. But 8-year-old has only 5 starts in '19-'20, so there are issues but will respect here.
5-Rock Solid Image (4-1)-Faded in last from the 8-hole in 152.2 which was a tick off lifetime best mark in 2019. Gets a good post draw and has the gate speed to lead from start to finish.
6-Elite Awards (15-1)-Tossing last from the 10-hole and price shot has beaten better here after the restart. Drops to a spot to shine. Macomber drives his own so Hiteman takes a seat and 9-year-old knows his way to the HoP winner's circle.

Race 4

3-Blazin River N (7/2)-Qualified at HoP in 151.2 on 7/8 and went the back half in .54 all on his own. Choked as the chalk on 7/26 at this same class. Very lightly raced 5-year-old is a threat if all systems are go.
4-Mykindachip (4-1)-Stayed inside versus better as they went to the half in 53.4. Didn't hit the board but still had a 27.2 last quarter and now faces easier. Winner of >$940k has won 23% of HoP starts (22-97) and looks like a player tonight.

Race 5

7-Keyston Tenacious (5/2)-Program chalk drops out of Open company and this is a better spot for a picture. Has hit the board 14 times in 21 starts at HoP and booked 6 wins. The post might be a challenge but can win with a good steer.
8-Roan Color (6-1)-Rolled the back half in 54.2 to beat the $30k claimers last week at 32-1. That opportunity is gone but should be a square price here. It looks like the pace could be hot and if so chances for a picture go up.
9-TYD Theglyde (8-1)-Faced 5 from this field last week and picked up a 3rd place check. Similar to #8, went the 2nd half in a swift .54. Slow starter is pace dependent but is worth a swing at 8-1 in the morning line.

Race 6

2-Rockin Mercedes (3-1)-Was used a couple of times in HoP debut, and 1st start in the George barn to score at 9/2 at this same class. Dover invader deserves respect and should be bet hard.
3-Rock N Fantasy (6-1)-Bumps up after a sharp score versus $12k claimers last week. Loses Widger to #6 but De Long can provide a good steer. Uppal barn has been rolling, might be overlooked at the windows and surprise at a nice price.
5-Rush To Judgement (7/2)-Has been facing $20k and $25k claimers and should like the company but is 0-5 at HoP. Will use but best work has come on the 5/8's at DTN and might be over bet on the class drop.
6-N Expense (9/2)-Was used hard in the opening half last week and faded down the lane as a 6/5 choice. My guess is Widger may work a different trip and come off cover. Pace should be honest and could roll by late at a square price.

0.50 Pick 4

2,5,6/3,4/7,8,9/2,3,5,6
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 05:13 AM

Steve Janus

Jul 17 '20, 7:30 AM in 1h
PGA | Sungjae Im vs Marc Leishman
Play on: Sungjae Im +110 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Sungjae Im +110

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 05:14 AM

Las Vegas Freeze- Twitter VIP

$4000 KBO- NC DINOS -1.5 -110
$5000 SOCCER- West Ham under 2.5 -140
$4000 SOCCER MLS- Kansas City ML +100

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 05:58 AM

Hunter Price

Jul 17 '20, 3:00 PM in 8h
Soccer | Lugo vs Tenerife
Play on: Lugo +373 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Lugo +373

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 05:59 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #2

#10 Brunate	Price player had a bit of a trip last time but ran well to be 2nd to a rousing winner, while well clear of 3rd, and meets a crew there for the taking; can surprise.
#1 Dawn's Early Light	The chalk has the best form here and clearly is the one to beat, but a short price and the rail are no bargains, and he has no upside either; trying to beat on top.
#4 Kabob	Longshot had some trouble on debut for a Handal barn that is 0'fer with firsters, but this is a sharp barn, this one will improve, and will be a big price; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 10, and aside from the 1 there's no one to fear here, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5, and to kick off the early Pk4 as well, since a win would add some value to both sequences, and he looks to be coming up to a strong race in the third start of his form cycle.

Saratoga - Race #0

#3 First Rate	Stalker will try two turns, which is an unknown for him on the dirt, but he's certainly bred for it, gets Jose Ortiz, and meets a field with plenty of early speed to sit just off of; look out.
#4 The Rock Says	Odds-on ML favorite will take some beating off the Atras claim (31%), and his best wins this easily, but his last against lesser was disappointing, and he'll be way overbet; backwheel time.
#5 Ghost Game	Well-bred son of Ghostzapper will try two turns but is another who is bred for the trip, and now goes off the claim for J T Servis, a 2-for-4 move, and he can stalk too; could be very live.
Race Summary	The price and the pace should both be right with the 3, and, aside from the 4, who will be way overbet, there's no one here he can't compete with, so give him a look to win and place, and in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling the chalk, which means a win by the pick would play a lot longer than what tote toteboard might show.

Saratoga - Race #7

#3 Passing Out	Lightly raced miss was a no-chance 3rd to a loose Rushing Fall in the GIII last time, yet ran huge to pass a few, now gets a ton of class relief, and yet won't be favored; love her chances here.
#9 Blowout	The most fancied of the Brown quartet (yes, that's correct) has speed and was classy at 3, but she hasn't been out since Oct., so this could be a prep for bigger down the road; second-best.
#1 Catch a Bid	Course and distance stakes winner at 3 came back with a solid win at CD, when walking on the lead, but she won't get that trip here, and will likely be overbet too; using her underneath only.
Race Summary	You could do worse than getting $9 on the pick, but that's in play here with four from Brown taking a lot of money, even though this miss has the class and form that you could argue makes her the favorite, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying her in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she ran huge last time, and looks poised for a breakthrough run, which means she'd be throwing down a race even the heady quartet might not be able to handle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 06:00 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #3

#6 Snow Job	Chased the speed before fading late in the Gulfstream debut, and he meets a field without a ton of early speed. Forward player fits here.
#5 Makoto	Even kind of run in the turf debut, but the dam has produced some really good two-turn horses, so there might be some upside here on the stretchout.
#1 Seville Row	Has shown a bit of finishing punch in the two turf tries, but her overall form still feels a bit light in this spot. Underneath.
Race Summary	Snow Job flashed some speed in the debut and figures for another good go of things near the top. She figures capable of staying on better with that race under her belt.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#6 Fiya	Not sure he beat much in that win, but he sure looked good doing it. He didn't fight a bit of mild early restraint -- something that might serve him well here in a race with plenty of speed -- and was confidently handled in the lane before being asked a bit. He can win right back.
#8 Abuelo Paps	Tries turf for the first time here with a quick maiden win under his belt, and he has some ability to settle and finish like the top choice.
#3 Matta	Turned in a couple of really nice turf sprints last year, and he should be in line for a really nice trip from close range here.
Race Summary	There might be some pace coming from the wider draws, and that may allow Fiya to settle just behind decent splits. His turf debut was awesome, and something similar would keep him in the mix with winners. Wouldn't want him beating me in the payout leg of the Stronach 5.

Laurel Park - Race #9

#2 Saintly Samurai	Doesn't meet a ton of other pace except for the guy drawn on the rail, and this one scored at the trip here last summer. Mixes it up early and holds off the finishers?
#7 Sparty	Has some ability to sit near the top, and that would probably serve him well from the wide draw today. Think he's dicey late.
#1 Welling	Probably has to try to go from the fence with Saintly Samurai able to show some speed from right outside of him, but the maiden win was pretty solid and this mile trip, and he's in the kind of form to win this.
Race Summary	Saintly Samurai can get the right kind of forward trip, likely from just off the rail runner, and he exits a couple of pretty tough spots from last year.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 06:01 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#5 YEN	Rallied into slow pace to enhance 7-9 in-the-money record.
#2 SHEZ KADABRA COOL	Decent numbers while no factor from outside posts.
#6 SUSIES LADY	Bothered when fave broke stride early, loomed 3-wide in early stretch when she broke.
Race Summary	Yen followed the winner 3-deep in the outer flow on the final turn and surged late to finish third. She benefitted when the favorite went off stride early in the race but was compromised by a slow middle half mile. Play a 2-5-6 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #1

#5 MCMAEDLE	Best numbers, best company lines, seeks first win of year on class drop.
#1 DIXIE LULLABY	Rallied mildly while second-over at notch below, moves outside in.
#7 ISLAND OF ROCK	Can carry speed farther in this field, could make exotics pay.
Race Summary	Mcmaedle met odds-on winners in three of his last four starts, gets needed class relief and should be on the move early in a pace-less race. He is strictly the one to beat despite an 0-15 record in 2020.

Hawthorne - Race #11

#8 STRAIT RATE	Better than latest appears, must use on all tickets despite post.
#3 RJ WULFY	Faded through :55.4 back half, gets second-time Lasix.
#1 BRIGHT BOY	Rallied from clouds to finish second in last pair, moves outside in.
Race Summary	Strait Rate stayed inside while the outer flow developed, was blocked with run in mid-stretch, then finished strong in the 4-path while out of the money. He had a useful comeback off a lengthy layoff prior, so let’s make him today’s Best Bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 06:02 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#1 Whyruawesome	Dropped to the bottom last time and responded with a sharp score; had been running vs. much higher levels and should be able to have this step up in class.
#3 Quijote	Drops in class after running 5th; taking a sizable step down the ladder and fits with these.
#5 Tiz Approved	Has the speed to get on or very near the front end and won three in easy fashion until losing last time; serious player.
Race Summary	Whyruawesome was good last time out, was claimed by Marcial Navarro, and can be in the mix throughout.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#2 Miss Miami	Comes out of much tougher races and moves over to the main track, where she ran third in more of her dirt opportunities; rates the class edge.
#1 Talkthetalk	Ran from a bit off the pace in her last two and got good results -- a win and a 2nd; can secure a ground-saving run just off the leaders and can be a late player.
#3 Flashing Diamond	Was 3rd in two of her last three and is an eight-time winner over this strip; can be troublesome with a well-timed move.
Race Summary	Miss Miami ran well in races than came off the turf and is being aimed for the dirt this time; tired in her latest but can get a solid off-the-pace run vs. these.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#8 War Star	Ran from back in the pack last time and made a strong run for 3rd vs. similar; can win with a better start and a clean trip.
#3 Heir Ball	Set the pace and held on for the win last time and has taken three of her last seven; was claimed two back by David barn and that operation goes for its 2nd straight.
#4 Merseyside	Comes out of a tougher race and can be on or close to the leader in this one; Joseph barn still hitting at 24 percent.
Race Summary	War Star was buried in the pack for much of her latest but made a strong move once clear; one to hold off in this one.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 08:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for North Dakota Horse Park

North Dakota Horse Park - Race 8	$2 Win, Place, Show Second Half Late Double / $1 Exacta $.50 Trifecta / $.10 cent Superfecta
Stakes • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $2,500 • Post: 9:00P
WELCOME HOME S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UP. $150 TO ENTER, DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY. WEIGHTS: 3 YEAR OLDS .124 OLDER.126.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PIERPONT is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PIERPONT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. EMPIRICAL DATA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	PIERPONT	6/5	2/1
5	EMPIRICAL DATA	5/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	PIERPONT	2	6/5	Front-runner	86	89	88.4	74.8	71.8
5	EMPIRICAL DATA	5	5/2	Front-runner	77	71	70.8	64.8	57.8
3	STARS ALIGNED	3	7/1	Alternator/Trailer	88	73	56.8	67.2	59.7
4	MADIBA	4	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	93	80	50.6	73.2	67.7
6	SAVAGE WARRIOR	6	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	69	27.5	41.7	34.7
1	GEAUX DANGEROUS	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	50	50	0.0	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 09:00 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 10	Win / Place / Show / Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 Min) Superfecta (.10 Min) / Daily Double
Optional Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $31,500 • Post: 10:02
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, WAIVER CLAIMING OR IOWA BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 17 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * RANSOMED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest Track Master Power Rating. TONI ANN'S MIRACLE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MADISON WAY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	RANSOMED	9/5	5/1
5	TONI ANN'S MIRACLE	3/1	5/1
6	MADISON WAY	8/1	5/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ELIZABETH RULES	1	3/1	Front-runner	74	77	82.4	64.4	53.9
5	TONI ANN'S MIRACLE	5	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	84	85	64.2	79.8	73.8
6	MADISON WAY	6	8/1	Stalker	92	86	71.2	78.2	74.2
4	RANSOMED	4	9/5	Stalker	94	80	67.2	80.2	75.7
3	EURO ME	3	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	81	53.4	68.2	59.7
2	STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	87	65.8	72.6	64.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 09:01 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Ellis Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:40pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $37,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#6 SHUSH (ML=6/1)
#7 TUFF BIRD (ML=9/2)

SHUSH - I have to like this filly's winning probability at the shorter trip. This jockey and handler's horses have been generating a beneficial return on investment. The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Colebrook. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. TUFF BIRD - Ran last out against a better group of horses at Churchill Downs. The move down the ladder based on class should suit her well. This animal has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Leparoux, and this one could bound home the winner.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 CURTAIN BLUFF (ML=5/2), #4 REARRANGE (ML=5/2), #3 SENSE YOU LEFT (ML=3/1),

CURTAIN BLUFF - Don't figure that this runner has what it takes to be victorious this time around. REARRANGE - This horse will most likely be near the rear of the pack as this bunch crosses the wire. SENSE YOU LEFT - This pony ran a run-of-the-mill rating in the last race. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's race running that figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 SHUSH to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 09:01 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

07/17/20, SAR, Race 9, 5.46 ET
07/17/20,SAR,9,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 STAKES. Shine Again Stakes. Purse $85,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A SWEEPSTAKE IN 2020 OTHER THAN STATE-BRED. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $200 to pass the entry box and an additional $200 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $1,000 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3%divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake in 2019 allowed 2 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance in 2020 allowed 4 lbs.; of such a race in 2020 allowed 6 lbs. Starters to be named at the closing time of entries. A presentation will be made to the winning owner (overnight race scratch rules will apply).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Risky Mandate	9/2	Cohen D	Amoss Thomas M.	SC	36.36	1.68/$1
098.9379	6	Joy Epifora (ARG)	12-1	Ortiz J L	Correas. IV Ignacio	W	44.64	1.68/$1
098.5684	5	Indian Pride	6/5	Castellano J	Brown Chad C.	TE	36.36	1.68/$1
098.5294	9	Blamed	7/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Mott William I.	JL	34.02	1.25/$1
096.9052	3	Positive Spirit	12-1	Gaffalione T	Stidham Michael		35.42	1.62/$1
095.7896	7	Honor Way	20-1	Franco M	Baker Charlton	F	36.36	1.68/$1
095.3784	4	Bella Ciao	30-1	Lezcano J	Sano Antonio		35.42	1.62/$1
095.0923	10	Please Flatter Me	8-1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		36.36	1.68/$1
094.6099	8	Slimey	30-1	Rosario J	Cannizzo David A.		36.36	1.68/$1
094.3861	1	Estilo Femenino	20-1	Alvarado J	Asmussen Steven M.		35.42	1.62/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.55, ROI 1.00/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-17-2020, 09:02 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Stronach 5

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 91

FOR STATE BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 17 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 HEIR BALL 5/2
# 8 WAR STAR 9/2
# 11 CAT'S ASTRAY 7/2

My pick for this event is HEIR BALL. This mare has been consistently running well in her latest outings. Has been running very well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Jaramillo has a win percent of 23 over the last 30 days. WAR STAR - The Equibase speed fig of 95 from her last affair looks competitive in here. Solid average speed figures in turf sprint races make this horse a key contender.