Service Plays Saturday 7/18/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Running Aces - Race #5

#4 SWAGASAURUSREX	Brushed to clear lead, second best, takes class hike.
#6 MARCED MAGIC	One to beat at this level in bid for his 29th victory.
#1 MARKTENTWENTYSEVEN	Surged late at 6-1 pace-setter, just missed.
Race Summary	Swagasaurusrex made a strong middle move but settled for second best after a :56.4 back half as the favorite. He steps up in class but can win with a well-timed bid. Play a 4-6-ALL trifecta.

Meadowlands - Race #9

#4 ALLYWAG HANOVER	Eye-popping moves in last pair, might be this good.
#5 TALL DARK STRANGER	Picked up where he left off as champion 2yo in near-perfect career.
#9 PAPI ROB HANOVER	Plagued by outside posts since return, appears rounding to big effort.
Race Summary	Allywag Hanover pierced the wind and rain at Harrah’s Philadelphia with an explosive turn of foot to remain unbeaten in three starts this year. He might be good enough to upset last year’s Breeders Crown champion Tall Dark Stranger and $764k earning stablemate Papi Rob Hanover for a trainer that has four Meadowlands Pace wins. Play 4-5 and 4-9 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4

#9 SPRINGBRIDGE DUEL	Lived up to the hype in his debut, can’t go beyond.
#8 TWIN B FIGHTER	Stayed in at key juncture, free to late, got up for second behind fave.
#4 TWIN B HEART THROB	Sat pocket trip behind top one, held third, makes third start.
Race Summary	Four 2-year-old arrive in this sire stakes test off debut victories, but none were as impressive as Springbridge Duel, who blasted to command in the second quarter and drew away from the field on his own courage in the stretch. He is today’s Best Bet despite post 9 assignment.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#1 Running for Ritz	Has exceptional speed from the gate, can get a padded lead and should be able to hold on; in a good spot to get his first win since 2019.
#5 Win With Pride	Clearly off to an easy win last out and despite taking a step up should be able to run well vs. these.
#3 Flashy Kyem	Made a strong move to the lead and then had little left, finishing 2nd; capable of a big effort with a well-timed move.
Race Summary	Running for Ritz has the opportunity to run them off their field early on and is long overdue to hold on; makes second start for Catenese stable.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#1 Sensible Myth	Has a good chance to save ground and position herself just off the pace today; possesses the finishing move to win this.
#4 Classy of Course	Loves it on the front end and will have a good opportunity for that; would not be a surprise.
#2 Sassy Justice	Was claimed in his latest by the Winebaugh stable, which is always capable of winning a race; can be in the mix throughout.
Race Summary	Sensible Myth comes off a closing 2nd keeps Panici and should be very tough in her second local start after a 3.5-month breather.

Gulfstream Park - Race #11

#2 Quenane	Has won four of her last five and won a race similar to this three races back; capable of closing well for the win.
#1 Red Crescent	Pressed the pace and finished 3rd in a handicap last out; makes 4th start of the year and can be a factor from the first stride.
#3 Harvey Wallbanger	Didn't fire last time but has several good starts over this strip; good closer.
Race Summary	Quenane rarely runs a bad one and loves the track; can be in good position from the start and can get the jump on closers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jul 18 '20, 8:35 PM in 11h
Fighting | Luana Carolina vs Ariane Lipski
Play on: Luana Carolina +100 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Luana Carolina +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 4	Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5
Claiming $14,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 75 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 4:00P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 18, 2020 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $10,000 1 LB.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MISERY MOON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the hig hest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GRAY RIVER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BEAUTY ISLAND: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ANNE WITH AN E: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	MISERY MOON	2/1	5/1
3	GRAY RIVER	5/1	6/1
4	BEAUTY ISLAND	5/2	6/1
2	ANNE WITH AN E	7/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	BEAUTY ISLAND	4	5/2	Front-runner	73	70	80.4	67.4	59.9
3	GRAY RIVER	3	5/1	Front-runner	75	72	79.4	65.2	59.7
5	MISERY MOON	5	2/1	Front-runner	76	73	77.2	74.2	71.7
2	ANNE WITH AN E	2	7/2	Stalker	68	72	69.8	67.0	59.5
6	GREMALATA'S GIRL	6	10/1	Stalker	64	61	56.4	58.0	48.5
1	OPPORTUNE	1	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	67	50.8	54.6	46.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6	$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta(.10cent minimum wager) $1 Daily Double
Claiming $16,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $7,165 • Post: 8:20P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KICK IT PAPA JOE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LOOKE AT ME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ROUSING FREIGHT: Hor se ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VICTORIOSO DINASTIA: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. UP FOR KIDS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	KICK IT PAPA JOE	2/1	5/1
6	LOOKE AT ME	8/1	6/1
2	ROUSING FREIGHT	7/2	7/1
1	VICTORIOSO DINASTIA	7/2	9/1
5	UP FOR KIDS	8/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	VICTORIOSO DINASTIA	1	7/2	Average	76	78	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	ROUSING FREIGHT	2	7/2	Slow	87	74	6.9	0.0	0.0
3	LOVEPOP	3	3/1	Average	80	71	5.0	0.0	0.0
4	KICK IT PAPA JOE	4	2/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	86	81	8.5	0.0	0.0
5	UP FOR KIDS	5	8/1	Average	82	72	5.2	0.0	0.0
6	LOOKE AT ME	6	8/1	Average/Trouble-prone	93	75	5.9	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#11 SMART WARRIOR (ML=4/1)
#6 WINSTON'S WAY (ML=6/1)


SMART WARRIOR - I like to bet on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last 30 days. In this race here, this beautiful animal has recorded the highest speed rating at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. Dropping 7 lbs from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. WINSTON'S WAY - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your betting money onto this jock/trainer combination. I like that recent contest on Jun 27th at Laurel where he ran third. Another way to judge class is earnings per race. This horse has the uppermost in the field. I think he'll be close at the end. The improved speed figs over the last 3 races is solid. Capuano drops him in this event fit and ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #13 TIGER KINGDOM (ML=3/1), #7 TARGET ROCK (ML=5/1),

TIGER KINGDOM - 3/1 is not worth the risk for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race of late. TARGET ROCK - 5/1 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when looking at the most recent efforts.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #11 SMART WARRIOR on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $60300 Class Rating: 84

INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR ONTARIO SIRED ALLOWANCE WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 LET'S HAVE FUN 7/2
# 3 SPANISH BALLERINA 3/1
# 4 SECRET ARCHANGEL 6/1

LET'S HAVE FUN looks respectable to best this field. May see a turnaround with blinkers going on in this competition. The speed figure of 75 from her latest race looks decent in here. SPANISH BALLERINA - Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good handicapping angle. This horse ranks at the top in this field. May best this group of horses in this race here, showing solid numbers of late. SECRET ARCHANGEL - Has posted sound Equibase speed figs in turf sprint races in the past. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface.

[golden contender]

Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

On Saturday the comp play is on Rio Avenue in early soccer Primeira leauge play. Rio Avenue has a 10 point advantage over Santa Clara in the table. Santa Clara has a poor away form in the campaign and has recently dropped points in four of their last five road games. RIO has won 4 of 5 here in the series. Rio is off a scoreless draw last out but should have ball control here and hit the back of the net mote than once. Sprinkle in revenge for a 3-0 loss at Santa Clara in last league meeting and we will Side with the home team here. On Saturday the card has a Platinum Supreme top play in serie a league, the Haskell invitational at Monmouth Park, the UFC Flyweight Championship and a play on the ESPN Subway series in MLB. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Primeria League Soccer Comp Play make it Rio Avenue. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #9 - Post: 9:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#1 FABULOUS GIRL (ML=5/2)
#2 ADARI (ML=7/2)
#3 TA (ML=5/1)


FABULOUS GIRL - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the capability to make her presence felt. I really like that most recent effort on June 27th at Prairie Meadows where she finished third. A repeat performance from any of last 3 races around the track, and this one should be in 1st place. That 69 fig this mare notched in her last event tells me she's a main player this time. ADARI - Good return on investment for this rider and trainer twosome. Chleborad drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to figure that this one will be one to beat at this level. I like to see fast morning drills. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. I think that the addition of blinkers today will keep her mind on the race at hand. Is ranked number one in the field in earnings per start. A dominant effort today will boost the lifetime bankroll. TA - Got to appreciate a good work horse. This filly's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should run well today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 STARVANA (ML=9/5),

STARVANA - I can't play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the assignment executed now and then.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ADARI - Some may pass on this one given her lackluster showing at Prairie Meadows in last race. But that was on a track listed as good. Watch out for this horse today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 FABULOUS GIRL on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 55

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 HOURS PRIOR TO POST TIME FOR THE RACE.).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 GOD WINK 5/1
# 5 SUMMER WAR 12/1
# 6 CRIMSON LUCK 15/1

GOD WINK is my choice. The Lasix change (now going off Lasix) may spark a return for this filly. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field lately. Could go off at a solid price and has some positives going for her. SUMMER WAR - Appears to be the type to be helped now going off Lasix here. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. CRIMSON LUCK - The conditioner wheels this entrant back quickly to race again. With Graham getting the mount, watch out for this pony.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Laurel Park

07/18/20, LRL, Race 3, 1.40 ET
07/18/20,LRL,3,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $47,000. (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE SIRED OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 18 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Horses which have not run since March 15, 2020, may enter a claiming race and waive the claiming price ifthe horse is entered for a claiming price not less than the claiming price of it's last start. This rule is only applicable for a horse's first start back for a period of 90 days, starting with the first day live racing resumes in Maryland). (If deemed iinadvisable by management to run this race on the Turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five and One half Furlongs) (Rail at 17 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Stroll Smokin	6-1	Perez X	Robb John J.	TSL	39.78	1.64/$1
099.2060	4	Completed Pass	7/2	Cruz A	Gonzalez Claudio A.	EW	39.78	1.64/$1
098.4807	3	Tricks to Doo	5/2	Lynch F	Delacour Arnaud		39.78	1.64/$1
097.9019	5	Oldies But Goodies(b+)	9/2	Pimentel J	Trombetta Michael J.	J	39.78	1.64/$1
096.9802	1	Clever Triad	6-1	Toledo J	Merryman Ann W.		39.78	1.64/$1
096.5093	7	Love You Much	9/2	Ruiz J	Allen. III A. Ferris	FC	39.78	1.64/$1
096.2077	6	Dontmesawithme	20-1	Karamanos H	Stites Flint W.		39.78	1.64/$1
093.2878	2	Jammer	20-1	Hamilton W	Leaf. Jr. Robert		39.78	1.64/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 38.78, ROI 1.62/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Stroll Smokin	6-1	Perez X	Robb John J.	JTFEL	30.77	1.38/$1
099.0457	3	Tricks to Doo	5/2	Lynch F	Delacour Arnaud	S	30.77	1.38/$1
097.9830	4	Completed Pass	7/2	Cruz A	Gonzalez Claudio A.	W	30.77	1.38/$1
097.7288	5	Oldies But Goodies(b+)	9/2	Pimentel J	Trombetta Michael J.		30.77	1.38/$1
097.3825	7	Love You Much	9/2	Ruiz J	Allen. III A. Ferris	C	30.77	1.38/$1
096.5548	6	Dontmesawithme	20-1	Karamanos H	Stites Flint W.		38.46	1.24/$1
096.4225	1	Clever Triad	6-1	Toledo J	Merryman Ann W.		27.70	0.82/$1
093.5308	2	Jammer	20-1	Hamilton W	Leaf. Jr. Robert		30.77	1.38/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.55, ROI 0.90/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

07/18/20, GP, Race 3, 12.58 ET
07/18/20,GP,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 18 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Abarrio Forever	8-1	Meneses M	Perez Carlos Luis	S	38.64	1.33/$1
099.5001	1	Mermaid Kisses	5-1	Burgos A	Ward Dennis	W	33.13	1.19/$1
098.8689	6	Suzie Its You	12-1	Garcia J A	Orseno Joseph F.	FE	31.37	1.57/$1
098.2743	2	Beast of Wildwood(b-)	4-1	Vasquez M A	Walder Peter R.	T	31.61	1.13/$1
098.1048	7	Socially Astray	3-1	Camacho S	Sano Antonio	J	32.43	1.12/$1
097.9677	3	Poseidons Princess	9/2	Fuentes M	Pilotti Larry	L	27.34	1.25/$1
095.7610	8	Joplin	20-1	Olsson F	Mongeon Kathy P.		28.96	1.11/$1
095.4170	5	Gran Brandy	7/2	Trejos J	Barboza. Jr. Victor	C	31.61	1.13/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 24.74, ROI 0.86/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Jul 18 '20, 3:05 PM in 3h
Soccer | Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961
Play on: Dinamo Zagreb -271 at 1BetVegas

FREE PLAY on Dinamo Zagreb -271

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SI MMA expert Casey Olson


Last four cards ... 15-2 run (88%)


Figueiredo vs Benavidez 2

After Henry Cejudo rode off into the sunset and vacated the flyweight title, these two squared off for “nexties” back in February, and the result unfortunately left both leaving the night without the belt.

Figueiredo came in missing weight; with a victory he couldn’t leave with the belt and only Benavidez could be crowned with a win. After a clash of heads in the second round, Figueiredo scored a KO, and the UFC was left to run it back between the top two in the world. Now, who takes the rematch?

While Figueiredo comes in with a chip on his shoulder, looking to validate last February’s KO of Benavidez yet again, we are seeing a different side of Joe B. from an emotional standpoint.

Always the pro, Benavidez is coming in with no well wishes for his opponent. He can count maybe three in his career that he’s truly disliked now with Figueiredo. With these emotions we rarely see from the guy even before weigh-ins, coupled with the fact that this is his fourth and probably last crack at the title, the travel, testing protocols, it will be a lot before we even get to fight time.

Benavidez is coming into this event at 35 years of age, and he will be the oldest fighter on the entire card. A loss would make him the only fighter to go 0-4 in title fights in the UFC.

No pressure right? In this matchup, he will have the higher output volume no doubt about it. The problem I see though is he tends to get into chess matches with his opponents regardless of their skillset, and look to match them at what they are best at. This will be problematic against Figueiredo just as it was in their last match. Figueiredo's fighting style is typically lower output than his foe, but when he attacks, it's with power and the best accuracy amongst the division. (52.5% significant strikes landed per attempt). He’s earned 15 of his 18 wins by way of stoppage, and has no real holes in his skillset. We saw that in their first fight as he almost submitted Benavidez late in the first round, only to follow up with the KO early in the second.

Figueiredo is making the flight with only just over 4 pounds to drop in order to make the weight, which should be a breeze. With a full 25 minutes to work, I like the odds of another finish for the Brazilian.

PREDICTION: DEIVESON FIGUEIREDO VIA ITD +100



ARIANE LIPSKI (12-5) VS LUANA CAROLINA (6-1)

I'm going to take a stab at the plus money on Carolina. She looked great in her UFC debut against “Zombie Girl” and had 251 total strike attempts, landing 126 and doubling the output cruising to a decision win as a big underdog.

She’s in the dog spot again here against Ariane Lipski, who will have the experience advantage, and will look to trade carrying on her kick name, “The Violence Queen.” Carolina has decent grappling, but will most likely look to press and engage on the feet. Lipski will trade, but has the much lower accuracy, and limited movement which results in her absorbing more than landing on average.

Carolina is coming in with the highest SLpM on the card at 6.53, mostly due to her small sample, but I see the trend continuing. She will continue to move forward, Lipski will miss, and Carolina will score.

PREDICTION: LUANA CAROLINA +110



BRETT JOHNS (16-2) VS MONTEL JACKSON (9-1)

I see this as a great matchup for Jackson. Height, reach, speed, all in favor of the prospect. Jackson will need to stay sharp and follow his corner’s gameplan, as Johns can be sneaky with the takedowns. We saw this in Johns’ last match against Tony Gravely, where Gravely got sucked in and attempted to grapple a little too much, which resulted in Johns locking in the submission choke. Jackson should look to keep it standing and pick him a part on the feet at a distance. His takedown defense will be key if he wants to win this one, along with an early start, looking to score and take at least the first two rounds on his way to a decision win.

PREDICTION: MONTELL JACKSON -200 (Take a look at via DEC -110)



DAVI RAMOS (10-3) VS ARMAN TSARUKYAN (14-2)

Stylistically, I just see this as a great spot for Tsarukyan. The future contender will look to grapple and score with heavy activity from the top position. He’s been known to wear on his opponents to the point where they give up submission opportunities. From the feet, he’s great at catching kicks, and don’t be surprised if you see multiple attempts at single legs down to the mat. Ramos will struggle to takedown Tsarukyan, and it will probably be sixes on the feet, with a slight lean to the Armenian.

PREDICTION: ARMAN TSARUKYAN -200



CARLOS FELIPE (8-0) VS SERGHEI SPIVAK (10-2)

If you saw my tweet earlier this last week, you know where I’m at here. UFC debuting fighter, Felipe, hasn’t had an MMA fight in over 3 years. Not by choice. He was suspended for taking fat burners that had banned substances, so he had to sit on the sidelines for a bit. I believe he took a boxing bout back in 2018, but nothing since.

Although he is undefeated, I don’t see too much in the tool kit other than power in his hands. He’s pretty aggressive in striking and looks to get into wars. Not too much footage out there on him, but when his opponent closes, it looks like some decent grappling will cause him some issues. Spivak should have enough grappling to cause some of this. A good sample and comparable skillset matchup was Spivak vs Tuivasa. Spivak landed six takedowns against the heavy Tua Tuivasa which eventually resulted in a submission win.

As long as Spivak can close and avoid the strikes, he should have the advantage on the mat and wear Felipe down. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see Filipe talk in there to try and suck Spivak into keeping it standing. Don’t do it Serghei.

PREDICTION: SERGHEI SPIVAK -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

Sat Jul 18, 2020
England - FA Cup- Arsenal (n) vs. Manchester City OVER 3 -138 (2:45 PM)
Norway - Eliteserien- Mjondalen vs. Bodo Glimt OVER 3 -171 (12:00 PM)