Service Plays Tuesday 7/21/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 05:45 AM

Al Cimaglia: Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis

July 21, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Scioto Downs has 15-races set to go with the 0.50 Pick 5 beginning in Race 5. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

1-R J P (9/5)-Hasn't raced since 7/4 and this will be the 1st start at ScD for 6-year-old Burke trainee. This is a significant price drop and the lowest level in quite a while. Offers no value but needs to be used.
4-Major Deception (3-1)-Beaten chalk was bet down to 9/5 and had no chance in last. Draws well and the Morgan barn has been rolling. Doesn't have much gate speed and is trip dependent, but can take a picture if Miller finds live cover.

Race 6

2-Badger Quinn (9/2)-Got on the engine from the 7-hole and didn't look back versus this kind on 7/9. Gets a new pilot and could be posing again if Badger is as good as in last.
8-Silver Spir (5/2)-Program chalk has won 7 of 15 at ScD. 11-year-old has won 2 straight and one was from the 8-hole. Best to not overlook, veteran likes to win.

Race 7

5-Town Icon (4-1)-Form has been dull but did leave aggressively in last and now get a ++ driver change. Page could leave and race close to the lead. Best to respect, could be sitting on a big try.
7-Ilikethemtrashy (9/2)-Drops, fits with this bunch and Noble sticks. Barn is ice cold but could leave and get the pocket ride behind #5 and trip out.
10-Air Force Hanover (9/5)-Drops to a spot to shine, went off as 3/2 chalk versus NW of $5k last 4 and came 2nd. The best horse has the worse post but if #1 leaves in 2nd local start, that might help Smith work out a winning trip.

Race 8

3-Can't Break Rosie (7-1)-Rosie is camera shy but is not alone and is worth using versus a suspect group. Page should keep her engaged from this post.
4-Itza Prince (4-1)-Tried hard versus better in last and now could leave from this post and get the top. There isn't much gate speed in the race and Smith could take control.
7-Attache (4-1)-3-year-old is 0-6 at ScD but has faced some tough company. Comes off a nice try versus better and if pace is honest Miller should have in striking range at the top of the lane.

Race 9

1-Upfront Supersonic (12-1)-Only 1-23 at ScD but that win came at this same class on 6/19 from the rail. Fits here and Sutton can be aggressive. Will take a swing versus a group without much form.
4-Christina One (7/2)-Steps-up after a confident win versus easier. Smith's choice over the 1, 2 and 10 should be put in play and could take another picture with a top a try.

0.50 Pick 4

1,4/2,8/5,7,10/3,4,7/1,4
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 05:46 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Canterbury Park - Race #5

#1 Thealligatorhunter	Firster comes with bullets in the holster and another very sharp drill, lures local ace Quinonez, and goes for a 19% Padilla barn; looks very live.
#7 Kid's Inheritance	Dangerous sort lures Eikleberry, so right away you know there's intent here, Berndt is 19% with firsters, and this attack post is perfect; very scary.
#2 Passthecat	ML favorite was a distant 2nd on debut, and that gives him a big experience edge, though the top-2 appear to have some talent; needs to improve.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 1, as we kick off the 10% takeout Pk5, and you want to see him live and taking money, and if that's the case you can play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the sequence, as they're only going 5Fs here, and if he breaks running, he may not come back.

Canterbury Park - Race #6

#1 Dreaming Biz	Price player returns from 11 months off, made her turf and two-turn debut, and still got up in time, and while facing winners is never easy, there's a ton of upside here; call right back.
#2 Lila's Lucky Lady	Expected favorite closed with a rush to beat open 30k's last time, drew perfectly here, and meets a meek group of Mn breds, though she figures to be a bit overbet too; second-best.
#8 Two Be Royal	Uninspiring ML favorite likely needed her last off the long break, so to be a closing 3rd bodes well here, but she drew poorly, and has no edge on paper either; using her underneath only.
Race Summary	That 6-1 ML would be plenty of risk-reward to see if she can take the next step up the class ladder, and with plenty of room for improvement, she can be played in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since a win would add plenty of value to both sequences.

Canterbury Park - Race #8

#5 Mischievious Mo	Stiff class dropper was facing eons better in the MSW ranks at FG when last seen, and off those modest runs this drop makes sense, for a Berndt barn that is aces around here; look out.
#1 Cintarosa Ranch	Intriguing sort got to the turf last time and really woke up when 3rd, and while the pick will be tough, this dude drew well and should only improve off that run; theft is on the agenda.
#7 Semi Charmed Day	Class dropper has some middling form yet will be bet for Robertson, even though he seems to be going the wrong direction, and there's no guarantee the blinks right the ship; tread lightly.
Race Summary	You certainly won't get rich on the 5 but he just likes a better horse than this group, especially since he's the class off the FG races, so play him aggressive to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him in the 10% takeout Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, as that will allow for more coverage in the deeper surrounding legs, as he looks like he's got this field over a barrel.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 05:47 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#6 Bret's at Caddies	Hate to take too short a number here, but his guy should be tough here with what looks like a pace edge in a spot without much other early speed. He'll be in the mix from the start.
#8 Pence	Not sure he's going to get the right kind of setup here. He needs a bit of pace to chase at this abbreviated trip, and he was pretty easily handled by the top choice a couple times last year.
#10 Tiz Wicked	Tactical type can be involved out of the gate, and if the top choice can't see out the trip, he'd probably be the one to inherit the lead as that guy gives way.
Race Summary	Looks like a single or spread kind of race. Bret's at Caddies likely won't be a fair price, he owns a long string of races that would probably handle this bunch. and he can move forward off the fading route try in the comeback.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#5 Creative Story	Taking a price swing here on a guy who owns a couple of pretty decent back turf tries. Some of those Penn race from last year stack up nicely, and the price should be solid off the dull run last out.
#6 Atlantic Sun	Reliable type is the one to beat at what is likely a short number, but he has some versatility that benefit him in this spot. Thinking he can sit a touch closer today.
#4 Discovered	Occasionally shows some decent pace, and that might be his best way to land a spot underneath. He was in with better last out at CD, so he's got at least a touch of upside here at a square price.
Race Summary	Creative Story should be a longshot tonight, but he owns a couple of pretty solid back turf races. Even if he doesn't offer all of his 20/1, something in the double digits is attractive to hope he can run back to one of those.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#6 Smart and Broke	Seems like a lot of the local marathon races are either won by pressing types who assume command early and draw off, or grinding finishers who simply don't stop. This guy is the latter and should appreciate the longer trip. Interesting enough.
#8 Delp	Respect the team, but not super excited about taking this guy on his way out of the Amoss barn while in very flat form. He has a sort of miler pedigree, so he's a touch suspect stretching out, too.
#9 Mutashabeh	Should really have the front end all to himself from the wide draw, but he doesn't have a ton of late kick, so there's a real chance that he's vulnerable late.
Race Summary	Smart and Broke has a grinding finishing ability that might play well in a race where Mutashabeh should be the one to catch, but 'Broke might be the one plugging along best of all late in this 11f trip.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 05:48 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #13

#2 MALLOY	Battled gamely outside of the favorite, figures close again.
#9 COPPERHEADROAD	In good form cycle, coming off win, bad starting spot.
#3 DON’T SASS ME	Late foot in latest, better post, Palone’s choice on a double call.
Race Summary	Malloy dueled alongside the favorite and stayed on well to finish third at this level. He draws favorably and gets the nod to trigger 2-3 and 2-9 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2

#6 COMBS HANOVER	Worked hard to win after three weeks away, take right back.
#5 THREEFIFTYTWO	Responded to front-end tactics, earned top speed figure to go 5-for-11.
#3 HAYEK	Good first gear, seeks three in a row for high-percentage tandem.
Race Summary	Combs Hanover was wide early, made two moves and caught the pace-controlling favorite. He’s ready for a step up in class. Play 6-3 and 6-5 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4

#6 BIG MYRTLE	Burned money again, tries to upstage in-the-money finishes.
#4 NECTAR	Held the 1-to-5 favorite at bay to win at Rideau.
#3 UPTOWN CALLIE	Rallied for third at Yonkers, missed a week sick.
Race Summary	Big Myrtle took late money but failed as the favorite for the third start in a row. She ran well, however, meeting a challenge while on the lead, but couldn’t hold off the trip-sitting winner. Play a 3-4-6 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 05:48 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #2

#5 Stop Hammertime	His last two-turn dirt race produced a second-place finish; prefers being up close and will likely do that today.
#4 Rainy Day Dreamin	Toggles back and forth between claiming and allowance races and has the speed press throughout this route; could be overlooked.
#7 Max Express	Closed to third in a quick sprint and makes his first dirt stretch-out of the year; capable and will be well backed.
Race Summary	Stop Hammertime seems to enjoy two turns and can be a factor from flagfall to finish; rates an edge at the distance.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#1 Marv's Magic	Closed stoutly in the quarter for a third-place finish last out; decent router is well placed.
#5 You Gotta Wanna	Has taken on graded stakes coming going long and didn't fire in his first of the year, which came at Churchill; adds blinkers and has a ton of class.
#2 Tez	Missed by a head last time and tries a longer distance; seems to get better the farther he runs.
Race Summary	Marv's Magic finished full of run and can be a factor going today's distance of 1 3-8 miles; capable closer fits with these.

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#9 Jess Go Blue	Made a super run for 2nd after a bad start in her career debut on trial day and a good start day gives her a chance to break to maiden in this $186 grander.
#10 Stone Lake	Clearly a big player as he's won both of his starts with something to spare; they'll have to step up their game to beat him.
#3 Zz Stones Ablazing	Was up in time for a trial win and continued improvement will make him a solid factor; should be a good price.
Race Summary	Jess Go Blue was well meant in the trial but wasn't sharp at the break and made a good run to quality; troublesome with a smooth trip today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 07:17 AM

Hunter Price

Jul 21 '20, 1:30 PM in 5h
Soccer | Bologna vs Atalanta
Play on: Bologna +954 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Bologna +954

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 09:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.10 Superfecta
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $9,700 • Post: 3:20P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 21. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TIGER LISA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIGER LISA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ANITA MARIE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MISS BLISS: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (w ithin 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
4	TIGER LISA	6/1	4/1
5	ANITA MARIE	3/1	5/1
1	MISS BLISS	5/2	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	TIGER LISA	4	6/1	Front-runner	82	85	90.0	73.2	66.2
5	ANITA MARIE	5	3/1	Front-runner	79	73	88.2	70.4	63.4
1	MISS BLISS	1	5/2	Front-runner	80	77	82.8	68.4	59.4
2	SICCAR	2	8/1	Stalker	77	69	68.4	62.6	54.6
3	LEADING INDICATOR	3	6/1	Stalker	83	77	64.2	72.4	68.4
6	DREAM FEVER	6	7/2	Trailer	78	70	57.4	63.4	56.9
7	HALO'S PARADISE	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	65	55.6	62.8	49.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 09:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:12P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SILKEN GOODS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. COOK MEMORIES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NIECE JACKIE DAVIS : Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HOPPESTRY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Ra ce within the last 30 days.
9	SILKEN GOODS	4/1	4/1
2	COOK MEMORIES	2/1	6/1
4	NIECE JACKIE DAVIS	9/2	7/1
5	HOPPESTRY	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	BENTEN	6	15/1	Front-runner	78	75	83.8	51.2	38.2
4	NIECE JACKIE DAVIS	4	9/2	Front-runner	75	65	53.4	62.8	57.3
5	HOPPESTRY	5	4/1	Stalker	72	59	62.8	65.0	56.5
7	PAIGE'S STAR	7	12/1	Stalker	74	72	44.8	58.4	48.4
9	SILKEN GOODS	9	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	83	86	77.8	64.0	57.5
2	COOK MEMORIES	2	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	84	65	38.2	63.6	59.6
3	LOVE BROKE THRU	3	12/1	Trailer	73	66	34.0	61.2	48.7
8	QUITE A BABE	8	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	70	65	33.4	52.6	39.6
1	BOLD CONCEPT	1	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	60	36.8	55.4	39.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 09:09 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,750 TO $12,500 3 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 ATOMIC HAZE 5/2
# 4 WE GOT IT COVERED 3/1
# 2 TARGETED 8/1

ATOMIC HAZE has a very strong shot to take this race. Hernandez has a win percentage of 26 over the last month. Earned a strong Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Keep this gelding in your exotics as Hernandez has given backers some double digit profits. WE GOT IT COVERED - Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 54 speed figure which is one of the most favorable in this group of horses in this race. He has a good opportunity for this event as conditioner, Pedersen, has sharp win rate with horses going this distance. TARGETED - Has a solid shot for this event if you like back class. Magalhaes has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the gate.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 09:10 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4950 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT THE CURRENT MEET AND DID NOT FINISH 1ST, 2ND OR 3RD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 MALLORY'S BANDIT 4/1
# 1 SURVEY 5/2
# 5 CONSUMERCONFIDENCE 10/1

MALLORY'S BANDIT has a decent shot to take this race. Displays strong Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Reliable average Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races make this racer a solid choice. SURVEY - Lately Ferrell has provided wagerers with a decent winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. CONSUMERCONFIDENCE - This equine has to be in sound condition coming back to race so soon.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 09:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:02pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,300 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#2 GLIDING ALONE (ML=8/1)

GLIDING ALONE - Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. Look for this gelding to show better in this race. Last event at Belterra Park finishing seventh on a sloppy track is no indication of his true talent.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DIAMOND DUST (ML=2/1), #3 TWO EAGLES (ML=3/1), #6 LET'SCALLITEVEN (ML=7/2),

DIAMOND DUST - Couldn't make up any ground whatsoever on April 18th. Hard to play this time around at the expected odds. Equibase speed figures tell a story of lessening condition. TWO EAGLES - The extended layoff since September 20th is somewhat disturbing. LET'SCALLITEVEN - Don't think this vulnerable equine is worth 7/2 in this race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - GLIDING ALONE - In today's route on the grass this steed has the best speed rating at the distance.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 GLIDING ALONE to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with 3
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 09:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:22pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#4 FLAT RATE (ML=5/2)
#1 PAHALL REVEAR (ML=7/2)

FLAT RATE - Lake brings him back again. I suggest you stick with this strong gelding. I really like sprinters that make a rapid turnaround. Early speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. Trainer, Lake, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. PAHALL REVEAR - This jock and trainer have a high winning percentage together. A racer coming back this soon after a nice effort is a good omen.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MARCH SCREAMER (ML=4/1), #6 WICKED GRIN (ML=9/2), #3 AMERICAN RIVER (VEN) (ML=6/1),

MARCH SCREAMER - 4/1 odds isn't enough for this participant when examining the most recent outings. WICKED GRIN - Difficult to wager on at 9/2 odds after the two most recent showings. Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests of late. Unlikely to see him doing it today either. AMERICAN RIVER (VEN) - Tough to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does. 6/1 odds isn't enough for this participant when examining the most recent showings.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FLAT RATE - Betting the horse with the best last race speed figure is a good angle. None higher than this gelding's last one.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 FLAT RATE is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**golden contender** · 07-21-2020, 09:23 AM

Rob V: Tuesday Comp Play

The Serie A- comp Play in Italian league soccer is on Atalanta at 1:30 eastern -1 Goal. Expect big effort from Atalanta after coming off tough draw last out. Multiple goal win here vs a down trodden Bologna squad off one of their worst losses of the season and they have allowed 12 goals in 6 games. Atalanta have revenge for a 2-1 loss in December after winning the prior 7 in the series. Atalanta is 2nd in the table. Look for Atalanta to coast at -1. RV- GC Sports

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-21-2020, 10:24 AM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORSTHE LEGEND!

FREE HORSE PICKS
CANTERBURY PARK
RACE #7
POST TIME: 8:40 PM EST
PICK: #3 Golden Gopher(5/1 Odds) to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)