Service Plays Friday 7/24/20

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Tony George

7.24.20

Action bets

4 Units - #967 / #968 - Minnesota vs Chicago White Sox (Under 9) -110 *8 EST
2 Units - #974 San Diego (-145) over Arizona *9:10 EST

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Marc Lawrence

MLB Opening Day Shocker

Play - Atlanta Braves w/Soroka vs DeGrom

Edges - Braves: Soroka is 4-1 in his last five team-starts in this series … Mets: DeGrom is 2-8 in his last ten team-starts in this series, including 1-7 at home … We are never shy about fading defending Cy Young award winners early on the following season, especially when they are not in peak physical form. We recommend a 3* play on Atlanta. Thank you and good luck as always.

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WUnderdog
mlb
TampaBay -133 vs toronto bluejays

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Stephen Oh

MLB

CINCINNATI -178

DETROIT @ CINCINNATI | 7/24 | 6:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:13 PM
The Reds are winning about three-quarters of my simulations, making them a strong pick despite the price you have to lay. Cincinnati is a team on the upswing and should get off to a good start behind Sonny Gray, who posted a 1.78 ERA over his final 10 starts last year.

36-12 IN LAST 48 DET ML PICKS | +2223

20-16 IN LAST 36 CIN ML PICKS | +287

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Adam Goodwyn

MLB

CINCINNATI -169

DETROIT @ CINCINNATI | 7/24 | 6:10 PM EDT
10:40 AM
I like the Reds here, and so does my model. They brought in a ton this offseason, and my numbers reflect that. My model has the Reds winning 68.57 percent of the time. The spread currently translates to a win percentage of 61.83 percent. So, my model sees an edge of 6.73 percent. Look for Sonny Gray and the Reds to come out strong on Opening Day.

ARIZONA +121

ARIZONA @ SAN DIEGO | 7/24 | 9:10 PM EDT
10:35 AM
Wisdom meets youth in this game, as the Padres' young Chris Paddack faces off with veteran and new Diamondback Madison Bumgarner. My model likes the D-backs winning this game 49.03 percent of the time. The payout for the D-backs translates to an expected win percentage of 44.84 percent. So my model sees an edge of 4.19 percent. Let's pour one out for all the savvy vets. D-backs with the value here.

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Vernon Croy

MLB 7/24/2020 7 Unit - Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay (Action)

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Bob Weir

Horse Racing

Saratoga Race 7 (4:40 p.m. ET)
This is a wide-open turf sprint to start the Pick 4. I will spread here and get narrow later. 2 Towering Gaze (5-1) had a little trouble in her debut and then showed improved speed in her next start and tired. Her third start could be the charm. The speed in her last start should prove helpful from this inside post. Capable.

7 Magnolia's Lady (9-2) also showed improved speed in her second start for trainer Linda Rice. She can improve and fits here.

8 Snicket (5-2) comes in for red-hot trainer Christophe Clement. She finished second in her last two starts, finishing ahead of both Towering Gaze and Magnolia's Lady. Must use.

9 Cake (8-1) finished behind the above horses in her career debut but can make big improvement in her second start for trainer Steve Asmussen, who hits at 22 percent with second-time starters.

10 Quantitativbreezin (3-1) ran second in her debut, earning a field-high Beyer Speed Figure. But it came in a maiden claiming race, and on Friday she runs into a protected maiden special spot. I don't love her but must respect the connections (trainer Brad Cox and jockey Javier Castellano).

11 Kaz's Princess (8-1) exits a debut at Penn National. She moves to a tougher circuit but can run in a state-bred spot. On Friday she attracts Irad Ortiz Jr., who won five races on Thursday. Could surprise.

A: 2,7,8,9,10,11
B: None

Saratoga Race 8 (5:14 p.m. ET)
A 5-year-old for trainer Chad Brown and Klaravich Stables, 7 Free Enterprise (5-2) did not get to the races until his 4-year-old season. He's a consistent type who can make his own trip on or near the pace. He fits, will be bet and must be used.

1 Mount Travers (7-2) ran surprisingly well in his comeback race at Belmont in the mud. Given a little time to recover from the big effort, he could be the one to beat with any move forward. Must use.

9 Strike That (3-1) finished a distant second to talented sprinter Volatile in his last start. (Volatile is the morning-line favorite in Saturday's Grade 1 Vanderbilt.) There are no Volatiles in this race. Must consider.

A: 1,7,9
B: None

Saratoga Race 9 (5:46 p.m. ET)
Quick Call Stakes
2 Jack and Noah (1-1) comes in off an impressive win in the Sir Cat Stakes at Belmont, immediately taking control out of the gate and never being challenged. The second- and third-place finishers return to try again, but Jack and Noah is the proven speed in this turf sprint. The other potential speed horse is trying turf for the first time and is no guarantee to pressure the pace. A repeat seems likely.

8 Turned Aside (2-1) finished second in his last start behind Jack and Noah. Perhaps this 3-year-old needed that start after a seven-month layoff. He's eligible to improve but must improve.

A: 2
B: 8

Saratoga Race 10 (6:18 p.m. ET)
1 Aintitfunkynow (2-1) takes the all-important drop from maiden special to maiden claiming for top connections (trainer Mike Maker and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr.). His late kick may look a little better at this level.

3 Bricco (3-1) ran a nice return race in his last start, making the lead before being outkicked late. He should be more fit in his second start back for a trainer, James Bond, who targets this meet. Big chance.

5 Operative (6-1) will also get his first chance at the maiden claiming level -- on the turf. His last race was rained off the turf. He gets a big rider upgrade to Jose Ortiz and fits here.

At the B level, there are few to include who can improve. 9 Golden Idol (15-1) tried turf last time off the layoff and split the field at this level... Trainer Raymond Handal has become well known for not having horses fully cranked at debut or off layoffs. 10 Yah Huh (20-1) ran OK in his last start and should run better this time... 7 My Primo (8-1) gets back on the turf for the first time since October and has several races that fit in this field... 12 Mommie's Jewel (10-1) stretches out off an even sprint try. He must overcome this outside post.

A: 1,3,5
B: 7,9,10,12

Wagers
All-A ticket
$1.00 Pick 4: 2,7,8,9,10,11 with 1,7,9 with 2 with 1,3,5 ($54)

Three-A, one-B tickets
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,7,8,9,10,11 with 1,7,9 with 8 with 1,3,5 ($27)
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,7,8,9,10,11 with 1,7,9 with 2 with 7,9,10,12 ($36)

Total: $117

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Joe D'Amico's

DIAMOND PLAY

8* Twins

Take Minnesota. This is my DIAMOND PLAY. Game 967. 5:10 pm pst. Minnesota returns this season as one of the best teams in baseball. The Twins enter 2020 very bitter after finishing the 2019 regular season at 101-61, only to get swept by the Yankees in the Division Series. They start the year off with Jose Berrios on the mound. The RH went 14-8 with an ERA of 3.68 last year, making it three solid campaigns in a row. Lucas Giolito gets the nod at home here. The RH comes off his best campaign yet (14-9, 3.41), but is just 27-26 with an ERA of 4.60, lifetime. The line here is a bit skewed as the Twinkies injury list rivals that of a Belichick/Patriots list. I'm not letting that scare me right now. This is a team on a mission. They are 4-0 the last four games played at the White Sox and 5-1 the last six overall vs. the White Sox. TAKE MINNESOTA. Thank you.

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Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s pick
White Sox

Play on
Minnesota

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Cajun Sports

Diamond Club Insider

8* Twins w/ Berrios

The Minnesota Twins hit the road for their season opener in the Second City as they take on the host Chicago White Sox Friday night. We have the Twins in a pair of super situations the first looks at the Twins when they are on the road and installed as the favorite. Since the 2012 campaign Minnesota has been money in the bank producing an ROI of +19.2 percent and a profit of +$2,175. The Twins have cashed the winning ticket almost seventy percent of the time in this situation posting a SU record of 68-30 for 69.4 percent winners. Our TPR Index projects a run advantage of +1.29 runs. Now we look at the starting pitcher for the Twins as Jose Berrios will take the bump on Friday night in the Second City. Berrios has an ROI of 68.9 percent against the Chicago White Sox with his team posting a record of 12-2 SU (+9.65 Units). Individually Berrios has compiled a record of 11-2 SU over that same span with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.014. Berrios held the Sox to three or fewer earned runs in all but one of those fourteen starts against this White Sox team. Our BbPPI has Berrios with a projected game average of 7.61 while the Sox starter Giolito comes into this contest with a projected game average of 4.98. The combination of all these factors make a strong case for the Twins. So, we are going to lay the short price with Minnesota on the diamond Friday night. MLB Best Bet 8* Minnesota Twins w/Berrios