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ARIZONA +114
ARIZONA @ SAN DIEGO | 7/25 | 9:10 PM EDT
12:07 PM
I really like the D-backs here. I think you are getting great value, and my model has them winning 49 percent of the time. The spread translates to a 46.73 winning percentage. So my model sees an edge of 2.27 percent. I think Robbie Ray has a big year and the D-backs bounce back from a tough opening night.
TAMPA BAY -146
TORONTO @ TAMPA BAY | 7/25 | 3:10 PM EDT
12:04 PM
I like the Rays to bounce back today and even this series, 1-1. My model sees the Rays winning 61.93 percent of the time. The spread translates to a win percentage of 59.35 percent so I see an edge of 2.58 percent.
MINNESOTA -116
MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/25 | 2:10 PM EDT
12:02 PM
I think the Twins are cheap, and I like them at -116. My model sees the Twins winning this game 56.67 percent of the time. The -116 spread translates to a win percentage of 53.71 so my model sees an edge of 2.96 percent. I like the Twins to spoil Dallas Keuchel's debut in a White Sox uni.
OAKLAND -132
L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 7/25 | 4:10 PM EDT
11:59 AM
I like the Athletics to take this game and open the season 2-0. My model sees the Athletics winning this game 62 percent of the time. The -132 spread translates to a win percentage of 56.88 so my model sees an edge of 5.12 percent.
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