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SAN FRANCISCO +127
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/28 | 9:45 PM EDT
12:45 PM
The Giants already have surprised people with two +280-or-higher wins on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers. My model likes them here against the Padres as it has them winning this game 50.67 percent of the time. At roughly a +125 payout, the model sees a seven-percent edge. Take the value on San Francisco here.
HOUSTON +116
L.A. DODGERS @ HOUSTON | 7/28 | 9:10 PM EDT
12:40 PM
My model has the Astros winning this game 49.93 percent of the time. At a spread around +115, you are getting roughly a three-percent edge. Although Dodgers RHP Walker Buehler is always tough, so is Houston's deep lineup. Take the value on the Astros here.
PITTSBURGH +150
MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 7/28 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:32 PM
My model has the Pirates winning this game 46.37 percent of the time. At a +150 payout, you are getting roughly 6.68 percent value here. I like the value play on Pittsburgh, which I expect to bounce back after a brutal ninth-inning collapse on Monday.
SAN DIEGO -141
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/28 | 9:45 PM EDT
2:17 PM
Defeating the Dodgers in consecutive games has not changed oddsmakers' perception of the San Francisco Giants. San Diego’s starting pitching has allowed two runs or fewer in each game this season. The Giants have plated three runs or fewer in three of their first four games. Take the Padres.
5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +418
6-3 IN LAST 9 SD ML PICKS | +343
4-2 IN LAST 6 SF ML PICKS | +177
CHI. WHITE SOX +117
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 7/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
2:14 PM
On Tuesday, the White Sox and Indians will partake in an AL Central doubleheader. In the second matchup, look for the White Sox to prevail. The last time starting pitcher Carlos Rodon faced the Indians, on April 3, 2019, he allowed one run on two hits while striking out nine in 6.0 innings. Back the White Sox.
5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +418
18-5 IN LAST 23 CHW ML PICKS | +1018
ATLANTA +122
ATLANTA @ TAMPA BAY | 7/28 | 6:40 PM EDT
2:08 PM
Monday’s series opener for the Braves against the Rays quickly got out of hand to the tune of a 14-5 loss. Yet look for Atlanta's hot bats (8.0 runs per game over the last three games) to propel the Braves on Tuesday. Grab Atlanta as the value.
5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +418
23-12 IN LAST 35 ATL ML PICKS | +982
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