Service Plays Thursday 7/30/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-27-2020, 08:08 PM

Mike McClure

Golf

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Jon Rahm (11-1)
2. Justin Thomas (12-1)
3. Rory McIlroy (11-1)
4. Bryson DeChambeau (12-1)
5. Patrick Cantlay (20-1)
6. Xander Schauffele (22-1)
7. Tyrell Hatton (28-1)
8. Collin Morikawa (25-1)
9. Viktor Hovland (25-1)
10. Hideki Matsuyama (30-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-27-2020, 08:08 PM

Mike McClure

Golf

2020 BARRACUDA CHAMPIONSHIP

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Patrick Rodgers (25-1)

2. Ryan Moore (16-1)

3. Matthias Schwab (28-1)

4. Jhonattan Vegas (28-1)

5. Talor Gooch (33-1)

6. Bud Cauley (28-1)

7. Sebastian Munoz (50-1)

8. Sam Burns (28-1)

9. Lanto Griffin (33-1)

10. Alex Noren (25-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 04:56 AM

Mike McClure

Golf

WGC-FEDEX ST. JUDE INVITATIONAL

Bets I've made as of 11:00 AM EST 7/27

Outright Winner

Jon Rahm +1100
Justin Thomas +1200
Abraham Ancer +5500
Max Homa +10000

Top 5 Finish

Abraham Ancer +800
Daniel Berger +550
Patrick Reed +750

Top 10 Finish

TBD

Top 20 Finish

Patrick Reed +150
Abraham Ancer +175
Collin Morikawa +120
Tyrell Hatton +110
Max Homa +350

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Jon Rahm (11-1)
2. Justin Thomas (12-1)
3. Rory McIlroy (11-1)
4. Bryson DeChambeau (12-1)
5. Patrick Cantlay (20-1)
6. Xander Schauffele (22-1)
7. Tyrell Hatton (28-1)
8. Collin Morikawa (25-1)
9. Viktor Hovland (25-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 04:56 AM

Sal Johnson

Golf

WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

So, how many of you thought Michael Thompson was going to win last week at the 3M Open? If you raised your hand, you get a trip to the fibber's Hall of Fame.

Thompson looked like a seasoned pro, with birdies on two of the last three holes, to beat Adam Long (another player nobody saw coming) by two shots.

Thompson was in a bit of trouble entering the event, as he ranked 151st in the FedExCup standings with only the Barracuda Championship and Wyndham Championship left to keep him from going back to the Korn Ferry finals for the second straight year to save his PGA Tour card.

Instead, he gets to go to Memphis for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, then on to the PGA Championship. His game was in total disarray, with all of his strokes gained stats in negative territory aside from his putting. He ranked 180th in driving distance and 131st in greens in regulation.

Since his T-14 at the Memorial last year, Thompson had just two top-25 finishes. But Thompson found a way to piece everything together, and stories like this are the reason betting on golf is so difficult. It's not so predictable, and the Michael Thompsons of the world are going to win one out of about every four times. Since we had pretty predictable winners the first six weeks after the break, what happened at the 3M Open was overdue.

The only players in the top 25 of the 3M Open who are playing this week are Thompson, Tony Finau (T-3), Max Homa (T-3) and Matthew Wolff (T-12).

Finau and Wolff will be on our radar in Memphis, while Thompson and Homa can be thankful for their good fortune that they will be playing on the PGA Tour in 2021.

There are a lot of question marks with several marquee players based on the last seven weeks.

Defending champion Brooks Koepka, who also will defend his title at next week's PGA Championship, has really struggled. Every part of his game is poor, but is it his game or is it a flare-up of his left knee issue?

His main problems are not hitting greens and a balky putter. He is 155th in the FedExCup standings, which means he has three events left to make the playoffs or he will sit them out for the first time since 2014.

It also could be the courses. After playing well at the Heritage, he faltered at the Workday Charity and the Memorial, both at Muirfield Village, a course he hasn't played well in past years.

He has been good at TPC Southwind, so he could bounce back, but if his poor putting continues (he is 140th in strokes gained putting), it may not happen.

The big criticism of Koepka is that he doesn't muster the same level of enthusiasm for regular tournaments as he does for majors. He had better muster up some now.

Another player who has been totally lost is Dustin Johnson. Since the break, he has been on a roller-coaster ride between winning at the Travelers and missing the cut. He shot 80-80 at the Memorial, and after an opening round of 78 at the 3M, he withdrew with a possible injury. Johnson's manager said Johnson experienced tightness in his back, but with rest and treatment he would be OK for Memphis and the PGA. It could have been just to buy him some time.

Johnson also plays well at TPC Southwind, winning in 2012 and 2018, so you have to think he can put it together. His tee-to-green game is solid, but his putting is questionable, as he ranks 141st in strokes gained putting.

Rory McIlroy has probably seen his worst stretch of golf in years. In four starts since the break, he had one top-25 finish (T-11 at the Travelers). However, Colonial and Harbour Town are not on his regular schedule for a good reason -- he doesn't like the courses. Muirfield Village probably isn't high up on his list, either.

His stats haven't been out of whack, so I am not worried about him. He finished T-6 last year at TPC Southwind, so I think he will be OK.

Players you should keep a close eye on this week include Daniel Berger, who has won twice at TPC Southwind and Billy Horschel, who has five top-tens in his last six starts.

Phil Mickelson has six top-12s, including two runner-ups (2013, 2016), in the last seven years at Southwind, and Webb Simpson was runner-up last year and tied for third in 2014.

TPC Southwind

After a great run at Firestone South, the WGC event moved to Memphis, and last year was its first year at TPC Southwind. It was a big success, with Koepka winning by three strokes over Simpson.

The course played easy because of the great weather, and the scoring average of 69.50 made it the 25th-toughest course on the PGA Tour in 2019. It was the first time the course played under par, but that might be because the field was only 78 players, compared to 144 at the old St. Jude Classic.

The course underwent a complete overhaul of the bunkers, with several eliminated and a couple added, but overall the course will be about the same as last year.

The fairways are zoysia turf, which is a treat for the pros to hit from because they can get more spin from their irons. Most of the field will find the course delightful.

Keys to winning

Another hitter's delight, with a twist. It's important to keep the ball in the fairway. The bermuda rough is gnarly and makes it tough to get the ball on the green. If it's wet, it will be even tougher.

Hitting greens is important, and only 62.2 percent were hit last year, making it the 12th-toughest course on tour. Those who hit greens will thrive this week.

Look for those who are ranked high in strokes gained tee-to-green to have success. Koepka was sixth in that stat in winning last year.

Weather is going to play a big part in determining the winner. Each day is calling for thunderstorms, with a 90 percent chance Thursday, 60 percent Friday and Saturday and 40 percent Sunday. Temperatures should be in the mid-80s, with high humidity.

With conditions like this, players will need to have a lot of patience.

√ Getting it in the fairway is critical. TPC Southwind was the 19th-hardest course on the PGA Tour in 2019 for hitting fairways.
√ The course has always been demanding as far as greens hit. In 2019, only 62.2 percent were hit, making it the 12th-hardest on tour.
√ When you look back at the history, be sure to check this event for only 2019 and then the defunct FedEx St. Jude Classic.
√ Weather will be a problem, with hot, sticky weather and a lot of thunderstorms that will test players' focus.

One of these three should win

1. Justin Thomas

√ Has been close to perfect since the break. Yes, he missed the cut at the Travelers, but was second at the Workday Charity and is 34 under since the break.
√ Was T-12 last year in this event at TPC Southwind.
√ First in strokes gained tee to green, third in strokes gained approach the green and fourth in par breakers. All of these show how well he is playing coming into this event.

2. Webb Simpson

√ Won the Heritage, was T-8 at Rocket Mortgage, and he plays his best in the South.
√ Was runner-up last year, T-3 at Southwind in St. Jude Classic in 2014.
√ Is 14th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 14th in greens in regulation, 17th in scrambling and first in par breakers, so Simpson could have a great week in Memphis.

3. Jon Rahm

√ Won at Memorial and is 17 under in his last five rounds, Is historically a streaky player, and once he gets on a roll it lasts a couple of events.
√ Was seventh at last year's WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
√ Is ninth in strokes gained tee-to-green, 17th in greens in regulation, 24th in strokes gained putting and T-10th in par breakers, and he could have a strong showing.

Players with solid credentials

4. Rory McIlroy

√ Was T-4 last year, T-7 in 2012 and T-29 in 2010, so he likes the course
√ Hasn't played his best since the break. Was T-11 at Travelers, but Colonial, Harbour Town and Muirfield Village aren't his favorite courses, so that could explain his poor play.
√ Is third in strokes gained tee-to-green, 56th in greens in regulation and sixth in par breakers, which are all great stats for TPC Southwind.

5. Patrick Cantlay

√ Was T-12 in this event last year.
√ Has been solid since the break, finishing T-11 at the Travelers, T-7 at Workday and T-32 at Memorial.
√ Is eighth in strokes gained tee-to-green, 19th in greens in regulation and third in par breakers, all great stats for TPC Southwind

6. Viktor Hovland

√ Has never played at TPC Southwind, but the course sets up for his game.
√ Has played six times since the break and made the cut all six times, including a third-place finish at the Workday Charity.
√ Is 12th in strokes gained tee-to-green, T-44 in greens in regulation and 18th in par breakers, all indicating he should play well at TPC Southwind.

Players you should consider

7. Daniel Berger

√ A good pick because of his great record at TPC Southwind. He won the St. Jude Classic in 2016 and '17.
√ Won at the Charles Schwab and was T-3 at the Heritage, and he plays his best in the South.
√ Is 18th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 72nd in greens in regulation and 13th in strokes gained putting.

8. Billy Horschel

√ Was T-9 last year in the inaugural WGC event in Memphis and was T-4 at the Classic in 2017, T-8 in 2015, T-6 in 2014 and T-10 in 2013.
√ Was T-13 at Memorial and T-7 at Workday Charity.
√ Is 50th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 90th in greens in regulation and 30th in strokes gained putting, which are all good stats for a long-shot pick.

9. Matthew Fitzpatrick

√ Was T-4 last year at Southwind.
√ Has been consistent since the break, finishing third at the Memorial and T-14 at Heritage.
√ Is 67th in strokes gained tee-to-green, sixth in strokes gained putting and 16th strokes gained total.

Anything is possible

10. Dustin Johnson

√ Very good record at TPC Southwind. Won in 2012 and 2018, was fifth in 2016 and T-20 last year.
√ Having a messy year, winning last month at Travelers, missing the cut at the Memorial and withdrawing at 3M. He is 23 over in his last three rounds.
√ Struggling with every part of his game, and his back could be a problem. Still, he has the potential, and on this course he is worth the gamble.

11. Tony Finau

√ Was T-27 last year at Southwind.
√ Game has been hot recently. He was eighth at Memorial, T-3 at 3M Open and is 50 under par since the break.
√ Is 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 27th in greens in regulation and ninth in par breakers. Before last week, his biggest problem was in the final round, but at the 3M Open he shot 68 on Sunday.

12. Tommy Fleetwood

√ Was T-4 last year, so he likes the course
√ Missed the cut in his first event back last week

13. Phil Mickelson

√ He was 57th last year but was runner-up in 2016 and 2013. He also was T-3 in 2015, ninth in 2017 and T-12 in 2013, so he has a good record at Southwind.
√ Has made cuts, and was T-54 at Memorial, T-58 at Workday and T-24 at Travelers.
√ None of his stats are great, but Phil has that reputation that you never know what he will do next.

Might want to hold off

Bryson DeChambeau

√ Was T-48 in WGC event last year, missed the cut in the Classic in 2017 and was T-45 in 2015.
√ He was the hottest player in golf until he hit it out of bounds twice on the 15th at Muirfield. TPC Southwind doesn't seem to suit his game. It's a bombers course, but the rough is severe, even for short shots.
√ Best to take a pass on him and wait for next week on a course that suits him better.

Brooks Koepka

√ He won it last year and was T-2 in 2016, T-3 in 2015, so the course is perfect for him.
√ Was seventh at Heritage but has struggled since, missing the cut at Workday and 3M. His nagging knee could be hurting.
√ Forget what his yearly stats are, because they aren't very good. We just don't know how he is physically, and it's probably best to just hold off.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 04:56 AM

Mike McClure

Golf

Barracuda

Bets I'm making:

Patrick Rodgers +2500
Sebastian Munoz +5000

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Patrick Rodgers (28-1)
2. Ryan Moore (22-1)
3. Matthias Schwab (33-1)
4. Jhonattan Vegas (40-1)
5. Talor Gooch (40-1)
6. Bud Cauley (40-1)
7. Sebastian Munoz (50-1)
8. Sam Burns (28-1)
9. Lanto Griffin (33-1)
10. Alex Noren (22-1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 04:56 AM

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST

YESTERDAY 5:48 PM

L.A. CLIPPERS +4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Lakers could be without star Anthony Davis as the NBA restart begins Thursday in Orlando with the purple and gold facing the Clippers. The Model not only has the Clippers covering the spread in 67 percent of simulations but winning the game outright even though they will be without Sixth Man of the Year candidate Lou Williams. While this is a neutral site, the Clips have covered their past six in the series when the designated road team.

20-5 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +1448
10-4 IN LAST 14 LAC ATS PICKS | +556

5-3 IN LAST 8 LAL ATS PICKS | +178

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 04:57 AM

Tim Doyle

L.A. LAKERS -178
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:56 PM
The Clippers are a mess right now. The Lou Williams “Magic City” dinner aside, their continuity seems to be lacking, Kawhi Leonard can’t make a shot in the scrimmages. The Lakers need this win for their self-esteem and confidence to believe they are the better team. The Lakers are catching the Clippers at the right time.

6-1 IN LAST 7 NBA ML PICKS | +695

OVER 220.5
UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS | 7/30 | 6:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:52 PM
NBA commissioner Adam Silver has given the Pelicans life to potentially get that No. 8 seed in the West. What I like about them is they have an identity. They want to play fast (5th in the NBA at 116 points per game) get up and down and score points. Defense is sometimes optional (117 points per game). My fear with the Jazz is that they are still mad at each other from the whole Rudy Gobert fallout. I think points are a plentiful, though.

10-5 IN LAST 15 NBA PICKS | +574

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 04:57 AM

Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST

11:17 AM

NEW ORLEANS -2.5
UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS | 7/30 | 6:30 PM EDT
The big news surrounding this game is the availability of Zion Williamson. He had to leave the bubble to deal with a personal matter and has been cleared from quarantine. He did some light work in practice Tuesday, but did not participate in five-on-five work. If he is unable to play, that would obviously deal a significant blow to the Pelicans. Still, the Jazz will be without one of their best scorers in Bojan Bogdanovic (wrist). Even if Williamson doesn’t play at all, the Jazz don't have enough firepower to keep up. Lay the points.

96-60-3 IN LAST 159 NBA ATS PICKS | +2999
17-7-2 IN LAST 26 NO ATS PICKS | +930

8-3 IN LAST 11 UTA ATS PICKS | +470

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 07:35 AM

baseball33

Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 08:42 AM

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 8:27 PM

L.A. CLIPPERS +159
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
Clippers coach Doc Rivers says his team is "made for the bubble" because of its depth, and that theory will be put to the test Thursday night. The club will be without rugged big man Montrezl Harrell and likely without the quarantine-defying Lou Williams. But the Lakers could see limited action from Anthony Davis, who is dealing with an eye injury, and their backcourt will lack depth after Avery Bradley opted out. The Clippers caught the Lakers off-guard on opening night and look for a repeat as the NBA bubble era tips off Thursday.

45-31-1 LAST 77 NBA SIDES | +1100

Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
8:31 AM

L.A. LAKERS -4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
No team is particularly equipped to lose arguably its third-, fourth- and fifth-best players on short notice, but the Clippers, at least as far as contenders go, are particularly threatened because they have fairly low-variance stars. Kawhi Leonard has scored 40 points only twice this season. Paul George has once. Neither is particularly suited to scaling up to make up for the absence of Patrick Beverley (questionable), Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell (both out), and that will make offense hard to come by for the Clips.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +334
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS | +189

Tim Doyle
BIG TEN BALLER
TUE 7/28

L.A. LAKERS -178

L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Clippers are a mess right now. The Lou Williams “Magic City” dinner aside, their continuity seems to be lacking, Kawhi Leonard can’t make a shot in the scrimmages. The Lakers need this win for their self-esteem and confidence to believe they are the better team. The Lakers are catching the Clippers at the right time.

6-1 IN LAST 7 NBA ML PICKS | +695

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 08:42 AM

Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
8:33 AM

UNDER 224.5
UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS | 7/30 | 6:30 PM EDT
Nobody seems to realize how important Bojan Bogdanovic (out for season) was to Utah's offense. The Jazz scored 113.5 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor and 105 without him, representing the biggest negative gap on the entire roster. An absent Zion Williamson for the Pels would further limit scoring, but even if he plays there's hardly a better big man in basketball for the task of containing him than Utah's Rudy Gobert. Throw in shooting rust, and this should be a fairly low-scoring affair.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA PICKS | +334

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 08:43 AM

Brady Kannon
Xander Schauffele 22/1
Sergio Garcia 80/1
Sungjae Im 90/1
Scottie Scheffler 100/1

Match-ups
D. Johnson (+120) over Hatton
Im (-145) over Willett
Horschel (-145) over Spieth

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 10:45 AM

Rick Gehman

Golf

Course Preview

TPC Southwind is a staple on the PGA TOUR as it had been used for the FedEx St. Jude Classic since 1989. Last year, this event received Invitational status and was elevated to a World Golf Championship event. It's a par 70, checks in around 7,200 yards and features bermuda grass greens.

Field Preview

Another stacked field as 45 of the top 50 players in the world converge on Memphis for the latest World Golf Championship event. Remember, this is a no-cut event so barring any withdrawals or disqualifications, we will see four rounds out of every golfer. Henrik Stenson will make his debut since the restart of the TOUR and Jon Rahm will be making his first start as the #1 player in the world.

#1 Bryson DeChambeau

DeChambeau is the undisputed best golfer on the planet since the TOUR's restart. Even with his missed cut at The Memorial, sparked by a 10 he took on the 15th hole on Friday, he's gained 2.39 strokes per round on the rest of the field. That's the most of anyone who has played at least 10 rounds.

#2 Justin Thomas

Of golfers with more than 10 rounds played in the restart, Thomas and DeChambeau are the only two that can boast more than two strokes gained per round. Thomas should have won the Workday Charity Open and has (3) Top-10 finishes in his five starts since Colonial.

#3 Jon Rahm

The newly minted #1 golfer in the world will look to improve on his 7th-place finish at this event last season. Rahm's been on an absolute tear in his last five rounds. He's played those at a combined 17 under par.

#4 Rory McIlroy

The lowest ranking on McIlroy this season is more about the rest of the field, than it is about McIlroy. His game hasn't been as sharp as it was before the shutdown, but he's still dominant off-the-tee and finished 4th here last season.

#5 Viktor Hovland

Hovland was the only golfer on TOUR to play all 24 rounds to open the TOUR's restart. That's a testament to how much he was willing to play but also making every cut. He notched (5) Top-25 finishes in those six events. He's been lights out from tee-to-green and should be well rested after skipping the 3M Open last week.

#6 Xander Schauffele

Schauffele offers the value of consistency, with (4) Top 20 finishes in his five starts since the break. He's third in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green since the restart.

#7 Tony Finau

If golf tournaments were only two rounds, Finau would win them all. Unfortunately he's struggled consistently on the weekends as he did again last week. Yes, he finished T3, but it's going to continue to feel like a disappointment until he wins in those situations.

#8 Daniel Berger (30-1 longshot)

Berger's missed cut at The Memorial was his first MC since the Houston Open last year. He still has (5) Top 10s in his last six starts and won twice at TPC Southwind before this became a World Golf Championship event.

#9 Patrick Cantlay

Cantlay had two solid weeks at Muirfield Village, finishing 7th at the Workday Charity Open and 32nd at The Memorial. He was one of the few guys to make the cut both weeks. He finished 12th last season at this event.

#10 Collin Morikawa

His 48th-place finish at The Memorial looked nothing like his victory at the Workday Charity Open the previous week but he was one of the few golfers able to make he weekend in each of those events. Morikawa will go as far as his putter allows him, because the rest of his game is sublime.

#11 Webb Simpson

It's easy to forget about Simpson with the amount of star power in this field, but his last three starts have included a victory and an 8th-place finish. He finished runner-up last season to Brooks Koepka at this event.

#12 Tyrrell Hatton

We haven't seen Hatton since his T4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, now his fourth consecutive Top 6 finish on TOUR. He doesn't play often, but when he does, he plays well.

#13 Patrick Reed

Reed is seemingly always a factor in big events and that was no different at this event last year when he finished 12th. He notched another Top 10 at The Memorial in his last start and was the winner of the last WGC event on the calendar, WGC Mexico.

#14 Gary Woodland

It was slow out of the gates for Woodland in the restart, but he switched drivers and has found his swing recently. He was in contention at the Workday Charity Open before finishing 5th and backed it up with a 22nd at The Memorial.

#15 Tommy Fleetwood

It was a mixed bag for Fleetwood at the 3M Open, his first PGA TOUR start since the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. He flashed brilliance but his rust prevailed, leading to a missed cut. Expect him to work through those TOUR repetitions at TPC Southwind, where he finished 4th last season.

#16 Abraham Ancer

The ultimate competitor who can pop up in any field, Ancer has (3) Top 15s since the restart and finished 12th at the WGC Mexico, the most recent World Golf Championship event.

#17 Matthew Wolff

At only 21 years old, Wolff's game is maturing right before our eyes. He finished second to DeChambeau at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before finishing strong at The Memorial for a T22. He was in contention again last week at the 3M Open, which is something I believe we will be seeing more often moving forward.

#18 Jason Day

Day has played six events since the restart, missing the cut three times but boasting (2) Top 7 finishes at Muirfield Village. He's going to be one of the more volatile options each week, but Day has played well as of late.

#19 Brooks Koepka

Koepka is the defending champion this week, but more surprisingly, this was his last victory on TOUR. Koepka is still dealing with knee discomfort and hasn't seen much success or consistency in the last 12 months.

#20 Dustin Johnson

The biggest question mark in the field. Johnson's win at the Travelers Championship only a few weeks ago feels like a year ago. In his three rounds on TOUR since, he's shot 80-80-78. The last led to his withdrawal from the 3M Open. All that being said, Johnson has dominated TPC Southwind in his career.

#21 Bernd Wiesberger

One of my favorite longshots last week, Wiesberger shook off an opening round 73 to finish 66-66-68. That was the sixth best score over the final three rounds.

#22 Joaquin Niemann

Niemann's game continues to mature but remains volatile in terms of results. The positive is that he does maintain a decent bit of win equity from lower in the field.

#23 Kevin Na

Na has been transparent about dealing with back soreness but that didn't stop him from a Top 10 at The Memorial, his second such finish in his last three starts. Na remains a constant threat to withdraw from an event but, when healthy, can compete in any field.

#24 Rickie Fowler

Fowler has been in the midst of swing changes for months, with better results coming more frequently. He finished T12 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and 22nd at the Workday Charity Open before missing the cut at The Memorial.

#25 Henrik Stenson

This will be Stenson's first start anywhere in the world since the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. We certainly don't know what to expect from his game, but Stenson is a historically great ball-striker who has played well at TPC Southwind in the past.

#26 Matt Kuchar

Kuchar has been quiet in the return to golf, but he's made three straight cuts, including at both events at Muirfield Village. He offers a level of safety and consistency that can be valuable in fantasy formats.

#27 Louis Oosthuizen

Similar to Kuchar, Oosthuizen has successfully made the weekend in four of his last five starts but doesn't have a finish better than 46th. He finished 20th at this WGC event last season.

#28 Danny Willett

Willett was in contention at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before finishing 4th and later finished 32nd in difficult conditions at The Memorial. Those are two solid finishes at two courses that couldn't be more different. That's a good sign for Willett investors moving forward.

#29 Hideki Matsuyama

Matsuyama's story starts and ends with the putter. He's historically poor on the greens and it has held him back from consistently high finishes. While he certainly possesses upside, he's one of the most volatile golfers on TOUR and will be painful to watch with the flatstick in his hands.

#30 Jordan Spieth

Spieth is an enigma, but finished 13th at The Memorial. I don't care about his finishes as much as I care about how he does it. He gained over four strokes on approach that week, one of his best performances in the last two years.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-30-2020, 10:45 AM

SDQL

UNDER 9
WASHINGTON @ TORONTO | 7/30 | 4:05 PM EDT
10:34 AM
Washington is 0-6 OU when the line is within 20 cents of pick 'em following a road game in which it drew five-plus walks and 0-7 OU as a road underdog when coming off a non-series opener as a favorite against a left-hander after facing three straight righties. Toronto is 0-9 OU as a home favorite after a game as a home underdog in which its pitchers registered at least 10 strikeouts. Since last July, the Blue Jays are 0-7 OU at home following a non-series opener in which it notched fewer than six hits and its bullpen allowed at least one run. We make the Under the play.

CLEVELAND +106
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/30 | 7:07 PM EDT
10:12 AM
The Indians are a character-revealing 15-0 on the road with a negative line against a division rival that is ahead of them in the standings. Cleveland won those games by an average of 4.47 runs, and 13 of them were multi-run victories. Fitting in perfectly here is the fact that the Twins are 0-11 at home when they are not the favorite and are facing an opponent that is behind them in the division. Cleveland is loaded with value here.

L.A. DODGERS -157
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 7/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
10:04 AM
The Diamondbacks are 0-7 SU at home following a road game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 0-6 SU as an underdog with no rest in the first game of a series after a road contest in which they used at least five pitchers. Los Angeles is 10-0 SU as a road favorite following a game as a favorite in which they used five-plus pitchers. The Dodgers also are a reliable 11-0 as a road favorite against a starter with an ERA higher than 3.50. Lay the price with Los Angeles.

SAN DIEGO -180
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/30 | 9:45 PM EDT
10:00 AM
San Diego squandered a late three-run lead on Wednesday and suffered a 7-6 loss. The Padres are 13-0 SU as a favorite of more than -130 in the last game of a series after losing by one run. The Giants, on the other hand, are 0-8 SU when +140 or higher at home after they scored six runs and 0-8 in the last game of a series against an NL foe when they are +140 or higher following a come-from-behind win, losing by an average of four runs per contest. San Diego should drive home the stake.

N.Y. YANKEES -240
N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 7/30 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:49 AM
The Yankees are 9-0 in franchise history as a road favorite with J.A. Happ on the mound when they won in his last start against the current opponent and 14-0 SU in the last game of a series as a favorite after they registered at least 10 strikeouts. Baltimore is 0-8 in the last game of a series as an underdog when playing a team that has a better record. The price is high, but not high enough. The value is with the Yankees.

Service Plays Thursday 7/30/20

Service Plays Thursday 7/30/20

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