If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Thursday the Return of the NBA and we have our totals play in the Lakers vs Clippers game, we also have a powerful MLB Card led by the American League Game of the Month. MLB Comp play below.
Thursday MLB comp play is on the under 9.5 runs in the Washington vs Toronto game at 4:05 eastern. Ryu pitching for Toronto has gone under in 4 of his last 5 against Washington beating them in his last 4 starts. In the Series these two have gone under the last 3 days with no more than 6 runs in any game. Fedde has pitched under in his last 4 starts. To tie in a long term system we play the under for a home favorite of -135 or more that lost by 2 or more runs as a home dog and had 4 or less hits vs an opponent like Washington that scored 4 or less runs in a road favored win. Since 2004 these home teams have gone under in 14 of 19 games. Look for this game to stay under 9.5 runs. On Thursday the Return of the NBA Starts and we have the Late total in the Lakers vs Clippers game. We also have the American League Game of the Month from a 34-2 system which we included with analysis and Soccer. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Comp Play we are going under 9.5 in the Toronto vs Washington game. RV- GC Sports
5 Unit Play. Take #704 Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 over LA Clippers (9:05p.m., Thursday July 30 TNT) (FanDuel, Stations, and some offshore books have -4.5 - Will still bet the Lakers at -5) The late game tonight in the bubble will have a NBA Playoff feel and if the Clippers had their complete team tonight I would probably pass. But they don't and the Clippers will be missing Montezl Harrell, Lou Williams, and Patrick Beverley is questionable. The Lakers will have Anthony Davis on the court and with the King back playing basketball I see the Lakers making a big statement tonight I see the Lakers winning big against a short-handed Clippers squad. Before the pandemic the Lakers were 7-3 ATS as a favorite and again King James will dominate the Clips.
SAN FRANCISCO +157
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/30 | 9:45 PM EDT
12:43 PM
My model has been on the Giants all year. My model likes them to win this game against the Padres 46.57 percent of the time, compared to a projected oddsmakers' win percentage of roughly 38 percent. I see a roughly 7-percent edge. Take the Giants Thursday for any spread above +150 for a solid value play.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224
SEATTLE +183
SEATTLE @ L.A. ANGELS | 7/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
12:38 PM
The Mariners' bats came alive Wednesday in a back-and-forth game against the Angels. I love the young talent on this Mariners team. My model does as well and sees the Mariners winning this game 40.9 percent of the time. With a price around +180, I see an edge around 5 percent.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS | +68
BOSTON +135
BOSTON @ N.Y. METS | 7/30 | 7:07 PM EDT
12:36 PM
The Red Sox got a big win against Mets ace Jacob deGrom on Wednesday, and I like them on the value play again Thursday. My model has the Red Sox winning this game 47.83 percent of the time. With a price over +130, you are looking at a win percentage around 43 percent so I see a 3-4 percent edge.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224
WASHINGTON +143
WASHINGTON @ TORONTO | 7/30 | 4:05 PM EDT
12:34 PM
The Nationals finally got the timely hit Wednesday to take home the win and my model likes them again Thursday. My model has the Nationals winning this game 50 percent of the time. With any price above +125, you are looking at a solid value play. My model sees an edge of roughly 7 percent.
Comment