Service Plays Thursday 7/30/20

[FATMANWINS]

jack brayman
30 reds

[FATMANWINS]

maxwell
40 clev

[FATMANWINS]

delaney
30 twins

[FATMANWINS]

newman
40 mets run line

[FATMANWINS]

valentino
50 jazz

[FATMANWINS]

deangelo
20 pads run line

[FATMANWINS]

chuck obrien
25 lakers

[FATMANWINS]

shawn michaels
25 twinkies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vic Monte Sports

Detroit +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Goodwyn

SAN FRANCISCO +157
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/30 | 9:45 PM EDT
12:43 PM
My model has been on the Giants all year. My model likes them to win this game against the Padres 46.57 percent of the time, compared to a projected oddsmakers' win percentage of roughly 38 percent. I see a roughly 7-percent edge. Take the Giants Thursday for any spread above +150 for a solid value play.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224

SEATTLE +183
SEATTLE @ L.A. ANGELS | 7/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
12:38 PM
The Mariners' bats came alive Wednesday in a back-and-forth game against the Angels. I love the young talent on this Mariners team. My model does as well and sees the Mariners winning this game 40.9 percent of the time. With a price around +180, I see an edge around 5 percent.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS | +68

BOSTON +135
BOSTON @ N.Y. METS | 7/30 | 7:07 PM EDT
12:36 PM
The Red Sox got a big win against Mets ace Jacob deGrom on Wednesday, and I like them on the value play again Thursday. My model has the Red Sox winning this game 47.83 percent of the time. With a price over +130, you are looking at a win percentage around 43 percent so I see a 3-4 percent edge.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224

WASHINGTON +143
WASHINGTON @ TORONTO | 7/30 | 4:05 PM EDT
12:34 PM
The Nationals finally got the timely hit Wednesday to take home the win and my model likes them again Thursday. My model has the Nationals winning this game 50 percent of the time. With any price above +125, you are looking at a solid value play. My model sees an edge of roughly 7 percent.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +224

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUnderdog

MLB

Arizona+1.5 vs la dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(BOB BALFE)
7:07 PM EST
Rotation #966
Twins -110 over Indians
Berrios/Bieber
The Twins picked up where they left off last year with the home run power and it’s very important they win the games with their ace on the mound because the pitching rotation gets very iffy. Cleveland has not been that hot on offense. Last night this team lost a classic pitchers duel in which they had the much better pitcher but couldn’t take advantage of putting up any runs themselves. I expect another pitching duel. Minnesota is the team that can put a few out of the park to break a low scoring affair. Take the Twins.

[Darklgt911]

Scoutspicks
10* KC -145
10* SD -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker
Tampa Bay Rays

Your pick.
Atlanta Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

UNDER 9.5
WASHINGTON @ TORONTO | 7/30 | 4:05 PM EDT
3:45 PM
The Nationals have only scored 18 runs this season in six games, and one of those games was a nine-run game against the Yankees. Juan Soto is still out, and Howie Kendrick is also out of the lineup. The Blue Jays get Bo Bichette back but they’re still only averaging just over four runs per game. The Nationals pitching staff has a 2.45 ERA which is good for fifth in the league while the Blue Jays pitching staff has a 2.83 ERA which is good for sixth best in the league. Take the under.

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB PICKS | +460

SEATTLE +183
SEATTLE @ L.A. ANGELS | 7/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
3:45 PM
Marco Gonzales is 5-1 with a 4.17 ERA in his career against the Angels and Dylan Bundy is coming off a 6.2 inning gem in his Angels debut. Bundy faced Seattle once last season and gave up four earned runs in 5.1 IP. The Angels have the lineup advantage especially with Anthony Rendon back but that still gives the Mariners good value.

6-1 IN LAST 7 MLB ML PICKS | +560
9-2 IN LAST 11 LAA ML PICKS | +728

11-6 IN LAST 17 SEA ML PICKS | +263

BOSTON +143
BOSTON @ N.Y. METS | 7/30 | 7:07 PM EDT
3:44 PM
Martin Perez really struggled in his Red Sox debut giving up four earned runs in five innings pitched. However, he is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA in three career appearances against the Mets. Steven Matz has never faced the Red Sox before, but they hit lefties very well. This game should be closer to 50-50 so there is some value on the Red Sox.

6-1 IN LAST 7 MLB ML PICKS | +560
4-2 IN LAST 6 BOS ML PICKS | +125

CLEVELAND +105
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/30 | 7:07 PM EDT
3:44 PM
Shane Bieber is coming off a dazzling season debut where he had 16 strikeouts in six innings. He is 3-0 with a 4.14 ERA in seven career starts and eight career appearances against the Twins. Jose Berrios is 5-2 against the Indians but he has a 3.92 ERA in 11 career starts. The Indians have the advantage in the bullpen and they’ve been playing well to start the season. This line should be closer to 50-50, take the value on the Tribe.

6-1 IN LAST 7 MLB ML PICKS | +560
16-6 IN LAST 22 CLE ML PICKS | +823

5-0 IN LAST 5 MIN ML PICKS | +500