Service Plays Saturday 8/1/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    Service Plays Saturday 8/1/20

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    #2
    The Prez

    UFC FIGHT NIGHT TKO

    4% Vicente Luque -185

    The man known for many victories long before he became a mixed martial art champion with the title of "The Silent Assassin" has recorded an 11-3 mark in his UFC career. And notably, there has been but one bout in his 11 wins that have gone to the judges’ cards. That being the legendary knock-down-drag-out versus Mike Perry. The value on Luque in this bout alone is worth investing in on Saturday night. The fighter himself, however, should be a 2 and one- half buck-chuck chalk (-250) over Randy Brown.

    The Silent Assassin’ is a class of his own, genuinely accepting, of an invitation to fight anyone and anywhere.

    Do not mistake "silent" with being a kind and gentle soul. The "Assassin" is a better description of Luque. The American-born Brazilian is a knockout waiting to happen. The only subtle and gentle attributes of Luque in the ring are his techniques of putting himself in a position to earn the kill. Yes, there is a silent and subtle movement to Luque's footwork and technique but those are technical aspects that make him one of the most dangerous octagon warriors in the sport.

    Luque is vastly superior to his foe this weekend. Not only is he a viper when utilizing his technical striking skill it takes more than a hand or foot to the chin to alter his equilibrium. In so many words Luque has a chin that appears to be made of lead, as his hands and feet seem to weigh in at. And the aforementioned might not be his most seasoned fighting skill. When the man previously known as Luque takes his opponent to the mat a submission is the most likely outcome, a TKO that is likely to come while being choked out.

    The losses on his UFC record are difficult to diagnose. Luque fell to Stephen Thompson at UFC 244. And the Assassin was unable to penetrate, weaken or distract Leon Edwards and his focus. And after watching a number of Luque bouts over the last couple of years it is evident that he was never the biggest or the best athlete in his circle. He believes, and likely is, the toughest, however.

    Luque's intended kill this weekend, Randy Brown is longer and has a four-inch reach advantage over the Assassin. At 6’3” the ‘Rude Boy’ has used his physical attributes to register a 12-3 career mark more than his technical set. It is fair to state that Brown has utilized his reach (78”) to keep from having to fight the more compact and stronger MMA welterweights.

    And while it would be a mistake to underestimate Brown's grappling ability comparing Brown to Luque when it comes to whom is superior on the matt is an insult to TSA.

    With all due respect to Brown this is a mismatch waiting to happen on Saturday night. Brown has offered evidence that he can take a licking and keep on ticking. His chin has held serve against stronger as well. But TSA is better standing up and bringing the fight to his opponents inside. His Jiu-Jitsu skill set is much more advanced and striking than his brown belt might suggest. and there is no one foe in the welterweight division that can keep up with Luque if the fight goes to the matt.

    All of this goes from being analysis to reality this weekend

    There has yet to be a line released for the Luque TKO prop but if that proposition is in line with the money-line in the fight an additional 2% investment on Luque gaining a TKO as the fight result is worthy of pushing across the sportsbook counter, as well.

    LUQUE -185
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358283

      #3
      Kyle Marley

      UFC

      Over the past 16 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up nearly $20,000!

      Marley has hit 15 of his last 16 UFC main event picks, a stretch that includes five consecutive upsets! At UFC Fight Night last Saturday, he accurately picked a win for Robert Whittaker (-135) against Darren TIll (+115) in the middleweight main event. He also called a win for Mauricio Rua (-200) over Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (+175) in the co-main event.


      Edmen Shahbazyan (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260): Shahbazyan via TKO

      I like Shahbazyan and I believe the UFC does, too. I think he could be a title contender in the next year or two, and this is the third time the UFC has booked this fight. It seems like they want another big win for him and Brunson could be a good name for his resume. Brunson isn't a bad fighter -- he is a solid striker and wrestler -- but he is very hittable. Shahbazyan probably has the edge everywhere in this fight other than experience. With five rounds to work with, he is going to test Brunson's chin and I think he puts him away at some point.

      Joanne Calderwood (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160): Calderwood by decision

      Calderwood is passing up on a title shot to take this fight on short notice. If she loses, she is going to regret that decision, but I think this is a good match for her to get a paycheck and a bit more experience before she rebooks the match with Valentina Shevchenko. I expect Calderwood to be faster, sharper and more active. She'll be landing the harder shots and is the better wrestler as well. I think she is better everywhere and I don't think she would take a last-minute fight and risk her title shot if she wasn't in shape.

      Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Randy Brown (+160): Luque via submission

      I think Luque is better and more dangerous everywhere. The issue is that he looks like he could be on the decline because he has taken a lot of punishment the last couple years. Brown is going to have the size and reach advantage on the feet. Luque doesn't go for takedowns often, so maybe the fight stays standing. The worry is that Brown can maybe keep it close on the feet or put him away. I would still say Luque is the better and more dangerous striker and I think he has a huge edge on the ground if he looks to get it there.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358283

        #4
        Mike McClure

        NASCAR


        The projected top 10, according to the model (odds via William Hill):

        1 Martin Truex Jr 15-2
        2 Kevin Harvick 14-5
        3 Denny Hamlin 11-2
        4 Kyle Busch 11-2
        5 Ryan Blaney 10-1
        6 Chase Elliott 12-1
        7 Brad Keselowski 12-1
        8 Joey Logano 12-1
        9 Erik Jones 30-1
        10 Kurt Busch 28-1
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358283

          #5
          Stephen Oh
          DATA SCIENTIST

          MON 7/27

          OVER 5.5
          N.Y. RANGERS @ CAROLINA | 8/01 | 12:00 PM EDT
          My model has the goal total going Over 5.5 in almost 60 percent of the simulations. Defense normally reigns supreme in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but the Hurricanes will have a tough time keeping the Rangers off the scoreboard. New York ranked fourth in the Eastern Conference during the regular season with 234 goals while C Mika Zibanejad finished fifth in the league with a career-high 41 tallies. Carolina also will be without Ds Dougie Hamilton (undisclosed) and Brett Pesce (shoulder), likely for the entire series.

          4-1 IN LAST 5 NHL PICKS | +290
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358283

            #6
            Bill Marzano

            PITTSBURGH -165
            MONTREAL @ PITTSBURGH | 8/01 | 8:00 PM EDT
            YESTERDAY 7:02 PM
            The Penguins are a very experienced team and healthy now after having nine players test positive for COVID-19. Pittsburgh went 2-1-0 against Montreal this season - winning the final two meetings - and still is loaded, with Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and D Kris Letang leading the way. The Penguins have two solid goaltenders and allowed the fifth-fewest shots per game and fourth-fewest power-play goals in the NHL. Montreal won only four of its last 14 games prior to the stoppage, but it does have Carey Price in net, and he always gives his team a chance to win. The Penguins had a plus-28 goal differential on the season, while the Canadiens were minus-9. Look for this veteran Pittsburgh team to take care of business.

            10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +593
            3-0 IN LAST 3 MON ML PICKS | +316

            6-3 IN LAST 9 PIT ML PICKS | +273

            EDMONTON -152
            CHICAGO @ EDMONTON | 8/01 | 3:00 PM EDT
            YESTERDAY 12:51 PM
            This is a matchup of offense versus defense, and the edge goes to the Oilers. Leon Draisaitl (110 points) and Connor McDavid (97) were first and second in the league in scoring. Edmonton was No. 1 on the power play and second on the penalty kill. The Oilers have two solid goaltenders in Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen, although whenever you have Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews and D Duncan Keith, you have a chance - but that’s it. Chicago can score, but G Corey Crawford missed significant time getting ready due to testing positive for Covid-19. Chicago allowed a league-high 35.1 shots per contest and collapsed in the third period this season, allowing the fifth-most goals in the NHL.

            10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +593
            4-3 IN LAST 7 CHI ML PICKS | +39
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358283

              #7
              Kyle Marley

              UFC

              Edmen Shahbazyan (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260): Shahbazyan via TKO

              I like Shahbazyan and I believe the UFC does, too. I think he could be a title contender in the next year or two, and this is the third time the UFC has booked this fight. It seems like they want another big win for him and Brunson could be a good name for his resume. Brunson isn't a bad fighter -- he is a solid striker and wrestler -- but he is very hittable. Shahbazyan probably has the edge everywhere in this fight other than experience. He is going to test Brunson's chin and I think he puts him away at some point.

              Joanne Calderwood (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160): Calderwood by decision

              Calderwood is passing up on a title shot to take this fight on short notice. If she loses, she is going to regret that decision, but I think this is a good match for her to get a paycheck and a bit more experience before she rebooks the match with Valentina Shevchenko. I expect Calderwood to be faster, sharper and more active. She'll be landing the harder shots and is the better wrestler as well. I think she is better everywhere and I don't think she would take a last-minute fight and risk her title shot if she wasn't in shape.

              Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Randy Brown (+160): Luque via submission

              I think Luque is better and more dangerous everywhere. The issue is that he looks like he could be on the decline because he has taken a lot of punishment the last couple years. Brown is going to have the size and reach advantage on the feet. Luque doesn't go for takedowns often, so maybe the fight stays standing. The worry is that Brown can maybe keep it close on the feet or put him away. I would still say Luque is the better and more dangerous striker and I think he has a huge edge on the ground if he looks to get it there.

              Lando Vannata (-145) vs. Bobby Green (+125): Vannata by decision

              This is a rematch from 2017 when these guys fought to a draw in the Fight of the Night. Vannata landed more significant strikes, takedowns (four) and a knockdown. However, he had a point taken away for an illegal knee and that is what cost him the win. I don't see this being a totally different fight and I can see them getting another bonus. I will lean with Vannata because I thought he won the first fight, and he is the more aggressive and higher-IQ fighter.

              Kevin Holland (-200) vs. Trevin Giles (+175): Holland via submission

              Aside from fight IQ, Holland should be better everywhere. I think he can finish on the feet or the ground. I don't always trust him to fight how he should, so it's tough to lay juice on him, but he is the rightful favorite. I think Giles is a solid fighter and maybe even the better wrestler, but I think Holland is going to be the more active striker, landing the harder blows, and I also think he has the grappling edge.

              Jonathan Martinez (-200) vs. Frankie Saenz (+175): Saenz by decision

              I think Martinez is the better, faster striker and, if this fight stays on the feet, I expect him to get the win. Saenz can hang on the feet and his real edge is going to be his wrestling. I think he can keep Martinez against the cage and work for takedowns to edge out the rounds. Martinez can be put on his back and Saenz is willing to chain wrestle, so I think that is a clear path for him. With him being the underdog I have to pick him for that reason. He is 39 years old, but this is still a dog-or-pass fight and I think he can do enough to win at least two rounds.

              Gerald Meerschaert (-180) vs. Ed Herman (+160): Meerschaert by decision

              Meerschaert is taking this fight on short notice, up a weight class. I don't see him being at a size disadvantage though, and I would still give him the grappling edge. On the feet, I expect Meerschaert to land more shots, but see Herman landing the harder shots. He is more likely to get a knockout. Both guys are solid at getting submissions, but they can be susceptible to them as well. Meerschaert is a guy I like to bet at dog odds, but I'm not sure I can pull the trigger with this line.

              Ray Borg (-215) vs. Nathan Maness (+185): Borg by decision

              Maness is making his UFC debut and it is a tough one. Maness has looked decent on the feet and I give him all the advantages there. He has height, reach, power, volume and more tools. However, that is not the fight Borg wants and he is going to look to chain wrestle and grapple. I think Maness could be decent on the ground, but it is hard to think he will have any edge over Borg and he is probably going to need this fight to stay standing to get the win. I will take the veteran, but I am not as confident as oddsmakers appear to be.

              Markus Perez (-190) vs. Eric Spicely (+170): Perez by TKO

              Spicely has been a guy I look to fade and it's really just the submissions you have to worry about with him. He looked improved on the feet in his last fight and I like the volume he threw, so I don't like Perez as much as I would have before seeing that fight. I still expect Perez to be the better striker and much more likely for a knockout, but he lacks volume and that could hurt him if it hits the scorecards. I would say Perez is probably better on the ground as well, but that is where Spicely excels and he is live for a submission upset. I think Perez should look to keep it standing and maybe just land takedowns late in rounds where Spicely doesn't have enough time to reverse them or pull off a sub from the bottom. I think Perez can get a knockout if this fight does stay standing, so that is my pick.

              Timur Valiev (-180) vs. Jamall Emmers (+160): Valiev via by decision

              Valiev is making his UFC debut and he is pretty hyped up. He is well-rounded, dangerous and probably has the edge everywhere here except size and maybe wrestling. I like Emmers' wrestling and think he could use it as his path to victory, but I can't trust him to execute a smart game plan. I think he can win, but I have to lean with Valiev because he has more ways to win. Emmers doesn't look to wrestle as much as he should, so I think Valiev wins with his striking.

              Chris Gutierrez (-320) vs. Cody Durden (+260): Durden by submission

              Gutierrez is coming off a dominating performance a few weeks ago in which he chopped his opponent's leg down so hard he couldn't stand anymore, and he was barely touched himself. This recency bias, plus Durden taking this fight on a week's notice, are why Gutierrez is a huge favorite. I think that line is off, though. Durden is a good wrestler and, aside from the big kicking edge for Gutierrez, I think he can hang on the feet as well. The leg kicks are the big worry, but they are almost the only worry. I think Durden has a big edge on the mat and could finish with a submission or ground-and-pound. I favor Gutierrez on the feet but, once he lands a few legs kicks, I don't see Durden wanting to stand much longer. He should look to wrestle early and often. I am going to take the underdog to get the upset in his debut, and I think he does it with a wrestling-heavy game plan.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358283

                #8
                Brandon Wise

                UFC

                Edmen Shahbazyan (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260): Shahbazyan by decision

                This is quite the step up in competition for the 22-year-old prospect. But he's every bit as good as the hype says he is. Shahbazyan will utilize his well-rounded game to take apart Brunson over the 25 minutes of action, In doing so, he will get to a second round for just the second time in his career to score an important win. Brunson has put the wheels back on the track after two straight first-round TKO losses, but this is a tough spot for the veteran against a fighter many believe will be wearing the belt one day.

                Joanne Calderwood (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160): Calderwood by decision

                Talk about calling your own number. This is as risky as it gets for Calderwood, who was set up to fight for the title before champion Valentina Shevchenko suffered an injury. Both women have combined to go the distance 56 percent of the time in their careers, with Maia reaching the scorecards in her last five while Calderwood has done so in three straight. Calderwood is the better overall fighter and should display such over the course of 15 minutes.

                Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Randy Brown (+160): Luque by TKO

                This has Fight of the Night potential written all over it. Both guys have a high finishing rate (10 of 12 wins for Brown, 16 of 18 for Luque). They've both faced some stiff competition since joining UFC, but Luque seems the better overall fighter and has had better success against higher levels of competition. Luque should be able to utilize his awkward Muay Thai stances to create angles for solid punches and kicks to land before scoring the finish.

                Lando Vannata (-145) vs. Bobby Green (+125): Vannata by decision

                I'm nota huge fan of this matchup given how both have fared of late, but the lean goes toward the favorite. Vannata is a tricky puzzle to solve and Green's best success in his win over Clay Guida in June was slowing down his insane pace. Green's success also came from not having to worry about the power coming back his way from Guida, which will not be the case here. Vannata should establish his power early and stymie Green's offense.

                Kevin Holland (-200) vs. Trevin Giles (+175): Holland by submission

                Holland is a rising star at middleweight as long as he keeps his focus. He's 4-2 since joining UFC with losses to former light heavyweight title challenger Thiago Santos and another rising star in Brendan Allen. Giles has shown a tendency to get caught in guillotine chokes since joining the promotion and I expect Holland to take advantage when the opportunity is there.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358283

                  #9
                  Stephen Oh
                  DATA SCIENTIST
                  8:12 PM

                  INDIANA +5.5
                  PHILADELPHIA @ INDIANA | 8/01 | 7:00 PM EDT
                  This line opened with the Sixers favored by 4, and all of the money on Philadelphia has now made the Pacers the value. People are jumping on the fact that Joel Embiid, who did not play in Indiana's two wins over the Sixers this season, will play on Saturday. But my model says that Indiana covers this spread about two-thirds of the time. You're getting good value with the Pacers at this price.

                  22-5 IN LAST 27 NBA PICKS | +1648
                  10-5 IN LAST 15 IND ATS PICKS | +451

                  2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ATS PICKS | +89
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358283

                    #10
                    Andrew McInnis
                    5% NHL Return to Play Series Play
                    Game: (805) PANTHERS at (806) ISLANDERS
                    Date/Time: Aug 1 2020 4:00 PM EDT
                    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                    Play Rating: 5%
                    Play: ISLANDERS -110
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                    Comment

                    • golden contender
                      Senior Member
                      • Jun 2010
                      • 2863

                      #11
                      Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

                      Saturday card has an NBA Platinum Supreme play, an NHL 5* Total MLB Power System Plays and another Big Soccer Play. MLB Comp Play below



                      The MLB Comp Play for Saturday is on the NY. Yankees at 7:15 eastern. The Yankees fit the system below that is 18-4 since 2004 and plays on home favorites of 140 or higher with a total of 10 or higher that scored 5 or more runs in a home favored win at -140 or more and are playing a team that scored 2 or less runs with 5+ hits in a road dog loss. Home teams have scored 7 or more runs in this system and NY should a the multiple run win as they have tough Actin Tanaka has won 3 of 4 vs Boston. Godley goes for Boston and he lost his last 4 starts dating to last season. Look for the Yankees to take this one. On Saturday we tart the Month Big with an NBA Platinum Supreme play, an NHL Afternoon 5*, MLB Game 2 Series System Plays and a Mexican League Soccer total of the Year. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Comp Play. Go with the Yankees. RV- GC Sports.




                      SU: 18-4

                      Jun 28, 2006 box Wed home Blue Jays Ted Lilly - L Nationals Shawn Hill - R 6-1 5 W -3.5 U 13-7 0-0 6-0 -190 10.5 9
                      Jun 29, 2006 box Thu home Reds Bronson Arroyo - R Royals Bobby Keppel - R 6-5 1 W 1.0 O 9-10 0-1 3-1 -250 10.0 9
                      Aug 20, 2006 box Sun home Phillies Randy Wolf - L Nationals Pedro Astacio - R 12-10 2 W 12.0 O 12-14 0-5 9-0 -160 10.0 9
                      Aug 04, 2007 box Sat home Yankees Phil Hughes - R Royals Kyle Davies - R 16-8 8 W 13.0 O 21-13 1-0 9-0 -290 11.0 9
                      Aug 19, 2007 box Sun home Yankees Chien Ming Wang - R Tigers Jeremy Bonderman - R 9-3 6 W 2.0 O 13-9 0-1 6-1 -180 10.0 9
                      Aug 01, 2009 box Sat home Rays Jeff Niemann - R Royals Bruce Chen - L 7-1 6 W -2.0 U 8-5 0-2 6-0 -300 10.0 9
                      Sep 08, 2009 box Tue home Yankees Chad Gaudin - R Rays David Price - L 3-2 1 W -5.5 U 5-8 0-0 2-0 -145 10.5 9
                      Jun 16, 2012 box Sat home Rangers Justin Grimm - R Astros Lucas Harrell - R 8-3 5 W 0.5 O 11-9 0-1 5-3 -200 10.5 9
                      Sep 13, 2012 box Thu home Rangers Derek Holland - L Indians Zach McAllister - R 4-5 -1 L -1.0 U 11-13 0-3 2-1 -230 10.0 9
                      Jul 22, 2016 box Fri home Red Sox Eduardo Rodriguez - L Twins Kyle Gibson - R 1-2 -1 L -8.0 U 4-10 1-1 1-1 -165 11.0 9
                      Jun 28, 2017 box Wed home Red Sox Rick Porcello - R Twins Adalberto Mejia - L 1-4 -3 L -5.0 U 7-7 0-0 0-4 -161 10.0 9
                      Aug 23, 2018 box Thu home Rockies Kyle Freeland - L Padres Joey Lucchesi - L 4-3 1 W -3.0 U 7-9 1-0 1-1 -190 10.0 9
                      May 11, 2019 box Sat home Red Sox Rick Porcello - R Mariners Felix Hernandez - R 9-5 4 W 3.0 O 10-6 1-0 5-4 -190 11.0 9
                      May 26, 2019 box Sun home Twins Jake Odorizzi - R White Sox Dylan Covey - R 7-0 7 W -3.0 U 6-5 0-1 7-0 -260 10.0 9
                      Jul 20, 2019 box Sat home Yankees Masahiro Tanaka - R Rockies Antonio Senzatela - R 11-5 6 W 4.5 O 14-7 0-2 9-0 -250 11.5 9
                      Aug 17, 2019 box Sat home Red Sox Eduardo Rodriguez - L Orioles Asher Wojciechowski - R 4-0 4 W -6.5 U 7-5 0-0 4-0 -330 10.5 9
                      Aug 25, 2019 box Sun home Astros Framber Valdez - L Angels Jaime Barria - R 11-2 9 W 2.5 O 10-4 0-0 10-0 -200 10.5 9
                      Sep 15, 2019 box Sun home Cubs Jose Quintana - L Pirates Trevor Williams - R 16-6 10 W 10.5 O 19-14 1-1 10-2 -250 11.5 9
                      Jul 25, 2020 box Sat home Red Sox Martin Perez - L Orioles Alex Cobb - R 2-7 -5 L -1.0 U 9-10 1-1 0-5 -190 10.0 9

                      Aug 01, 2020 Sat home Yankees Masahiro Tanaka - R Red Sox Zack Godley - R -220 10.0

                      Comment

                      • TAWJR
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2019
                        • 176

                        #12
                        Anybody have scout picks ratings of plays tia

                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358283

                          #13
                          Stephen Oh
                          DATA SCIENTIST
                          YESTERDAY 8:18 PM

                          OAKLAND -145
                          OAKLAND @ SEATTLE | 8/01 | 9:10 PM EDT
                          The A's are simply a much better team than the Mariners, who have a young squad that's pointing to the future. Seattle's Taijuan Walker, who is making his way back from Tommy John surgery, gave up 5 runs in 3.1 innings in his season debut in Houston. That won't be good enough against an underrated Oakland lineup. My model says that the A's win about two-thirds of the simulations so you're getting good value at this price.

                          8-2 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS | +655
                          34-24 IN LAST 58 SEA ML PICKS | +1368

                          25-18 IN LAST 43 OAK ML PICKS | +599
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358283

                            #14
                            Brewers / Cardinals game postponed
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358283

                              #15
                              SDQL

                              L.A. DODGERS -145
                              L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 8/01 | 8:10 PM EDT
                              9:50 AM
                              Justin Turner, the Dodgers clean-up hitter, was 0-4 yesterday with two strikeouts. The team has done very well in this spot, going 15-0 since September 2015, as a 140-plus favorite after a road game in which Turner struck out at least twice. This was true four times last season, and the Dodgers won by scores of 7-3, 10-5, 16-2 and 9-0. L.A. should dominate here, and playing them over their team total is probably a good investment as well.

                              4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +68

                              CINCINNATI -177
                              CINCINNATI @ DETROIT | 8/01 | 1:10 PM EDT
                              9:46 AM
                              Cincinnati struck out eight times and had only three hits yesterday as a -160 favorite over the Tigers. The Reds have bounced back famously in this spot, going 28-0 as 135-plus favorite before their 95th game of the season when they are off a game as a 120-plus favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits. The Tigers are 0-13 in the second game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored first, trailed and won and 0-13 after a game in which they used more than two pitchers and their bullpen did not allow a run, as long as they are not a 125-plus favorite. We are on the Reds.

                              4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +68

                              BOSTON +157
                              BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 8/01 | 7:07 PM EDT
                              9:42 AM
                              Boston’s bullpen blew it yesterday, but the Red Sox are 12-0 before their 135th game of the season as a 140-plus road dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and their starter allowed fewer than seven runs. Yes, that’s 12 straight wins as a 140-plus dog. Boston is also 7-0 straight up after a game as a road dog in which J.D. Martinez was hitless in at least three at-bats. With the Yankees 0-3 straight up in franchise history as a 200-plus home favorite in August with Masahiro Tanaka, we are on the Red Sox.

                              4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +68
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