1-22-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #1

    1-22-09

    Las Vegas Insider - NCAA

    Purdue head coach Matt Painter brought in terrific freshman class last season and the Boilermakers won 25 games while reaching the second round of the NCAA tourney. Now sophomores, guard Moore (13.8-4.8-2.8), the 6-8 Hummel (13.8-8.0) and the 6-10 Johnson (12.1-5.5) are the mainstays of this year's 18th-ranked team, which enters this game at Minnesota 14-4. Painter was a little nervous when Hummel was suffering from some troublesome back spasms recently but it doesn't seem to be anything too serious. Grant (7.9) and 5-8 freshman Jackson (4.9-3.4 APG) join Moore in the backcourt to round out Purdue' starting lineup, while guards Green (5.6-4.2) and Kramer (4.5) plus 6-9 senior Calasan (7.3-3.5) are the main reserves. In Minnesota, Tubby is once again working his 'magic.' The man can coach, it's that simple. He took over a devastated Minnesota basketball program which won only nine games two seasons ago and went 20-14 in his first year last season. He lost three starters from that team but enters this game 16-2 and ranked 21st in the nation. Minnesota opened the year 12-0, including a 70-64 win over Louisville in a neutral-site game at Phoenix. The Gophers finally lost 70-58 to Michigan St on Dec 31 (their only home loss TY at 12-1) and then this past Sunday, missed 12 of their first 13 shots in the second half of a 74-65 loss at Northwestern. Lawrence Westbrook (14.1) is the team's lone double digit starter but depth is the key to this team, as the Gophers are capable of going 12-deep. Nolen (8.1-3.7-5.3) joins Westbrook in the backcourt with the 6-7 Johnson (9.6-4.1), the 6-11 Sampson (6.3-3.8) and the 6-10 Iverson (6.1-3.8) starting in the frontcourt. The main reserves on this very deep team are guard Hoffarber (7.8) and 6-8 forward Carter (5.4-3.6). Purdue has held 14 of its 18 opponents below 40 percent shooting this year and its 36.0 FG percentage allowed leads the nation. Purdue is forcing a Big 10-best 16.7 turnovers per game and after committing a season-high 19 turnovers Sunday, the Gophers will have to take care of the ball. Purdue has not been tested very often away from home yet, playing just one true road game in its first 14 (an easy win at Ball St). In two road games in Big 10 play so far, the Boilermakers have lost 67-64 at Penn St and won 63-61 at Northwestern, where Minnesota just lost. I'll note here that not only did Minnesota go scoreless for a 7:32 stretch in Sunday's game at Northwestern but the Gophers also only had 11 FT attempts (made five) compared to 27 by the Wildcats, who made 21. Those things happen on the road in conference play and expect Minnesota to get some of those favorable calls here. Purdue has lost five of its last six visits to Minnesota and Tubby should make that SIX of seven after tonight.

    Las Vegas Insider on Minnesota


    7* Revenge Rout

    St Mary's joined Gonzaga as one of two WCC teams to receive an at-large bid to last year's NCAA tourney. The Gaels lost six games prior to last year's first-round NCAA loss but FIVE came against NCAA tournament teams. The only starter lost from LY's team is guard Golden (7.0) and St Mary's enters this game 17-1, with its lone loss coming at Anaheim in a late-November tourney (75-62 to UTEP). The Gaels enter this game on a 14-game winning streak and will be ready for the team which beat them last year in the WCC tourney (at this very venue) in two overtimes. San Diego was the reason both St Mary's and Gonzaga needed at-large bids, as after upsetting the Gaels, the Toreros upset the Bulldogs in the conference final. It was quite a first year for San Diego head coach Bill Grier (former Gonzaga assistant), as San Diego followed its WCC tourney title by upsetting U Conn in the first round of the NCAA tournament. However, things have not gone as smoothly this year. Brandon Johnson had a breakout season last year (16.9-4.1-3.5) and the senior guard was expected to be the team leader again this season, He was but then went down with a season-ending injury after eight games. It's helped that Trumaine Johnson got back on the floor shortly after that, as the sophomore has played very well since rejoining the team on Dec 22. He's averaged 13.1-2.1-2.7 with San Diego posting six straight wins since losing that Dec 22 game vs Boise St. Dorr (6.6-3.6-2.4) and Jackson (6.4) join him in a three-guard lineup with Lewis (5.5-3.1) and Ginty (4.7) adding excellent depth. The 6-7 Pomare (14.8-7.0) is again the team's best big man joined by the 6-6 Jones (10.6-5.4) in the starting lineup. The 6-9 Mafra (4.8--2.3)is a JUCO transfer and his size has helped. The problem in this matchup though, is that the Gaels have a terrific frontcourt. The 6-11 Samhan (13.8-9.7), the 6-7 Simpson (13.1-11.2) and the 6-7 O'Leary (6.1-5.1) are all back from LY. In the backcourt, the Gaels are led by the exciting Mills (19.1-3.9) with Hughes (8.5-3.5 APG), McConnell (4.7) and Hunter (4.6) adding depth. St Mary's will want this one pretty bad after last year's double-overtime loss in the WCC tourney and don't be fooled by San Diego's 4-0 start in conference play. Those wins have come over San Francisco, Santa Clara, Pepperdine and Loyola-Marymount, four schools with a combined record of 20-57 (.260).

    Revenge Rout on St Mary's


    Weekly Wipeout Winner - NCAA

    Lorenzo Romar has had some memorable years in Seattle with three straight NCAA teams (two Sweet 16s) but two years ago his 19-13 team went uninvited to the postseason and last year's 16-16 team lost at home 72-71 to Valparaiso in the new CBI tourney to end the year 16-17. However, Washington has an NCAA bid in their sights this year, opening 13-4 (4-1 in the Pac 10). The guard combo is one of old and new, with senior Dentmon (13.8-2.9-2.5) being joined by 5-8 freshman Thomas (15.8-3.0-3.2), who is reminding many of Nate Robinson. Overton (4.6) and Turner (4.2) are the top reserves. The 6-7 Brockman (15.8-10.7) is now a senior (seems like he's been there forever!) and is having a superb season. The 6-6 Pondexter (10.0-6.0) and 6-8 freshman Gant (3.5-3.8) join him in the starting lineup with 6-9 sophomore Bryan-Amaning (8.6-5.5) providing excellent play off the bench. USC is 12-5 (3-2 in the Pac 10), after sweeping the Arizona schools this past weekend at home. The Trojans are led by a pair of 6-5 guards, Lewis (15.8-3.3) and Hackett (10.6-4.2-5.6) plus three pretty good forwards. The 6-9 Gibson (14.9-10.2) and two 6-7 freshman, DeRozan (12.5-5.1) and Washington (8.6-5.8). Tim Floyd knew OJ Mayo was a "one-and-done" guy but the 6-8 Jefferson (12.1-6.3) went undrafted and couldn't return because he hired an agent. How good would USC have been TY with both of those guys? Anyway, this year's team lost forward Cunningham (role player) to a season-ending injury and the frontcourt depth leaves a lot to be desired. In fact, Washington just returned last Saturday vs Arizona, after missing five games. Lewis watched practice the other day with his left foot in a boot but claims he'll be OK here. However, he was seen walking gingerly from the trainer's room to the locker room after practice. The team is calling it a mild sprain but we'll see? USC beat Washington in both meetings last year but with Thomas joining Dentmon in TY's backcourt, that duo will put lots of pressure on its Trojan counterparts, especially if Lewis is less than 100 percent. It's also worth noting that led by Brockman, Washington is one of the nation's best rebounding teams.

    Weekly Wipeout Winner on Washington
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #2
    Re: 1-22-09

    Ben Burns

    Game: Washington Wizards at Los Angeles Lakers Jan 22 2009 10:35PM
    Prediction: under
    Reason: I'm playing on the Wizards and Lakers to finish UNDER the total. Both these teams played last night and both saw their games finish above the total. The Wizards enjoyed a high-scoring win at Sacramento while the Lakers slipped over the number vs. the "rival" Clippers. However, with both teams playing the second of back to back games, I look for this evening's game to prove somewhat lower-scoring than most are expecting. While the Lakers have seen the UNDER go 6-4 the last 10 times that they played the second of back to back games, the last time that the Wizards played the second of back to back games, they scored just 89 points, en route to a 92-89 loss vs. Chicago. The last time that they played a road game, after having played the previous night, they managed a mere 85 points, losing 97-85 at New Orleans. I expect the Wizards, who rank among the lowest scoring teams in the league, to have some trouble scoring again tonight against a Lakers defense which is stronger than many realize. Note that even with last night's result, the Wizards have still seen the UNDER go 12-5 their last 17 games. They've also see the UNDER go 20-11 as underdogs this season, including a profitable 4-1 mark when listed as underdogs of greater than a dozen points. Therefore, it's not all that surprising to also find the UNDER at 14-5-1 their last 20 games against teams with a winning record. The Lakers have held back to back opponents to double-digits. I expect them to deliver another strong defensive effort and for that to lead to tonight's game staying below the generous number. *Blue Chip
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99936

      #3
      Re: 1-22-09

      Wayne Root

      Chairman- GW
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99936

        #4
        Re: 1-22-09

        Dr. Bob
        Wednesday College Free Best Bet
        **Weber State (-11 ½) over SACRAMENTO STATE
        07:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 785
        Sacramento State is among the worst teams in the nation and the Hornets have lost 7 of their 8 home games by 12 points or more against a schedule of teams that is a couple of points worse than Weber State. Weber State is an impressive 43-25 ATS in all games under coach Randy Rahe (9-6 ATS this season) and the Wildcats apply to a very good 142-60-5 ATS big road favorite situation while Sacramento State applies to a negative 32-88-5 ATS weak home court situation. My ratings favor Weber State by 12 points in this game and I’ll take Weber State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 3-Stars at -11 or less.

        Wednesday College Opinions
        FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (pk) over North Texas
        Florida International is 4-2 straight up and 4-2 ATS in 6 games since leading scorer Alex Galindo began playing after missing the Panthers’ first 14 games – in which the team was 4-10 straight up and 2-8-1 ATS. FIU is underrated and should be favored by 4 points at home against North Texas. I’ll lean with Florida International at -2 or less.

        SAN DIEGO (+3 ½) over St. Mary’s
        San Diego struggled offensively in their first 11 games of the season, as top guard Brandon Johnson was shooting just 39% from the field and then was injured after 8 games while the other guard De’Jon Jackson was also having a tough time finding the bottom of the net. Help arrived in game 12 when Trumaine Johnson joined the starting lineup after missing the first 11 games. Johnson has averaged 13.1 points on 49% shooting (excellent for a guard) and knocking down 48% of his 3-point attempts. Johnson is also a good defensive player that has averaged 1.9 steals and San Diego’s offense is about 7 points better with Johnson than it was without him early in the season. The Toreros are an underrated team that is a perfect 9-0 ATS as an underdog or pick in conference games under coach Bill Grier. My ratings make this game a pick and I’ll lean with San Diego based on the line value at +3 points or more.

        Oregon State (+17 ½) over CALIFORNIA
        Cal’s 9 game winning streak came to an end at rival Stanford last Saturday and that loss actually sets up the Bears in very negative 19-61-2 ATS situation tonight. Oregon State is a better team this season than they’ve been in recent years and Craig Robinson (America’s First Brother-in-Law) is a good coach, but the Beavers still struggle against teams with better talent. My ratings favor Cal by 19 ½ points in this game even after adjusting for the slow pace that Oregon State plays at, and the lack of line value will keep me from making the Beavers a Best Bet. I’ll lean with Oregon State at +17 based on the strong situation and I’d take Oregon State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +19 points or more.

        Tenn-Chattanooga (-4) over NC Greensboro
        Greensboro is improving with their new starting lineup, but Chattanooga is still an underrated team and my ratings favor the Mocs by 7 points in this game. I’ll lean with Chattanooga at -5 or less.
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99936

          #5
          Re: 1-22-09

          Private Players Pitt 4*UCLA , 4*St. Marys , 3*Florida International,3*Illinois Chicago , 3*Jacksonville St ,3*Boston Celtics
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