Tuesday 8/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 4

Brooklyn @ Milwaukee

Game 751-752
August 4, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
117.228
Milwaukee
119.793
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 18 1/2
231
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+18 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Sacramento

Game 753-754
August 4, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.661
Sacramento
115.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+6); Over

Phoenix @ LA Clippers

Game 755-756
August 4, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
115.473
LA Clippers
129.164
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 13 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Indiana

Game 757-758
August 4, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
124.588
Indiana
114.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 9 1/2
240
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-1 1/2); Over

Boston @ Miami

Game 759-760
August 4, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
118.203
Miami
120.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+3 1/2); Over

Houston @ Portland

Game 761-762
August 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
117.439
Portland
117.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
Even
240
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4
244
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+4); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Tuesday August 4
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Miami

-- The Celtics are 10-0 ATS (9.75 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Gordon Hayward had a plus/minus at least 5 more than the team margin.


ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Indiana

-- The Magic are 0-12 ATS (-10.33 ppg) when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road last meeting.


OU Total Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Indiana

-- The Magic are 12-0 OU (12.00 ppg) after they had 30+ assists last game.


OU Total Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Portland

-- The Rockets are 0-8 OU (-19.62 ppg) off a win as a dog in which they trailed after the third quarter.

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NBA Bubble Bets - Tuesday
Tony Mejia

Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Time/Venue: 1:35 p.m, Visa Athletic Center
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Nets 31-35/1-1 (32-34, 1-1); 54-13/1-1 (37-30, 1-1)
Line: NL

Line Analysis: This is a preview of the likely Eastern Conference first round series considering that the Wizards have opened with three straight losses and aren’t likely to finish within four games of the Nets to force a play-in series after falling to them on Sunday. Unfortunately, Brooklyn isn’t going to play its top three guys on the Orlando roster, sitting Caris LeVert (thigh contusion), Jarrett Allen (load maintenance) and Joe Harris (hamstring/back). This spread would approach 20 points if we could count on the Bucks showing up with something to prove after a loss to Houston but the early buzz is that they’re resting players too. My original line if everyone was playing had Milwaukee laying 13 with a total of 237. We’ll see what they come up with when lines are released in a few hours but FanDuel has the Bucks laying 17.5 points which would be a bargain if we knew their regulars were suiting up.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Without LeVert and Harris on the wing, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot will look to continue a strong showing and we’ll see more of Tyler Johnson off the ball. Rodions Kurucs, Lance Thomas and rookie Donta Hall will be tasked with replacing Allen, who had 22 points and 15 boards against the Wizards and does an irreplaceable job of protecting the paint.

Chirs Chiozza will get the bulk of the minutes running point and veteran Garrett Temple should also get plenty of minutes. If the Bucks opt to rest Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton, you’ll want Donte DiVincenzo, Marvin Williams, Sterling Brown and DJ Wilson on your DFS squad. Eric Bledsoe and Pat Connaughton may return from their coronavirus-related absences but guard Wes Matthews will sit out with calf soreness.

Handicapping Notes: The Bucks clinch the top seed in the East with their next win or Toronto loss, so they’re in no danger of falling out of the top spot even if resting players blows up in their face and they suffer a second straight loss. A setback would be the fifth in six games, but wouldn’t be cause for alarm just yet since the bulk of those came months ago and Saturday’s result against the Rockets came thanks to blowing a late lead.

Nothin’ But Bet: A first basket/winner double is the way to bet this one and DiVincenzo scoring in a Milwaukee win is the most likely scenario given the uncertainty surrounding this one. It pays +1100 at FanDuel.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings

Time/Venue: 2:35 p.m. ET, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Mavs 40-29/0-2 (35-31-3, 0-2); Kings 28-38/0-2 (33-31, 0-2)
Line: DAL -6/237, DAL -260 ML, SAC +215

Line Analysis: The Kings have lost as both a favorite (Spurs) and underdog (Magic) in the bubble and haven’t looked good doing it. They’ve been outscored by an average of 12.5 points despite the solid efforts of point guard De’Aaron Fox, so it’s no surprise to see them in an underdog role even with the Mavs coming off an upset loss to Phoenix on Sunday night.
Dallas blew a late lead and fell in OT against Houston last Friday in a game that bookmakers essentially saw as a pick’em and also faltered in the second half against the Suns, falling as a six-point ‘dog. Their next two games will be against the Clippers and Bucks, so the Mavs would be best-served winning this one to avoid a potential freefall. Dallas was favored by 8.5 and 9 points at home when it welcomed the Kings in this season and was a four-point road ‘dog in Sacramento on Jan. 15. The Mavs have won two of three straight up but pushed in their road win, so both teams are 1-1-1 ATS against one another in 2019-20.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Dallas is probably going to be without shooter Seth Curry, who landed on the latest injury report with right leg soreness. He’s played a significant role off the bench that now figures to be played by Trey Burke. Delon Wright is probably in for a minutes increase and pressure will be ramped up on Tim Hardaway Jr. to produce after he shot 1-for-12 in the loss to Phoenix, missing all eight of his 3-point attempts.

The Kings got a career-high scoring effort from Fox in the opener but he wasn’t as effective against the Magic. He’ll need to be aggressive since no one on Dallas can stay with him defensively, although you can count on Wright to give it a try. Harry Giles scored 23 points off the bench and will need to join Richaun Holmes in being active and making Kristaps Porzingis work on the defensive end.

Handicapping Notes: Sacramento gave up 43 first-quarter points against the Spurs to immediately lose control of a game they were favored in and surrendered 44 in the loss to Orlando, barely showing up. The Kings are still just three games back of eighth-place Memphis so they’re not out of it yet but Portland, San Antonio and New Orleans are all ahead of them in the standings, making this one a must-win. If they can’t defend with some intensity early, Luke Walton deserves to come under significant fire.

Nothin’ But Bet: The team total for the Mavs at FanDuel has been set at 121.5 (-110) and I think they’ll surpass that considering the Kings have allowed an average of 130.5 through their first two losses.

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Time/Venue: 4:05 p.m. ET, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Suns 28-39/2-0 (31-35-1, 2-0); Clippers 45-21/1-1 (36-30, 2-0)
Line: LAC -9/230, LAC -390 ML, PHX +310

Line Analysis: The Clips are favored by one point more than I expected they would be given the players they’re missing and Phoenix’s upset of the Mavs. This total is a basket shy of my initial figure, so I’ll explore whether there’s value on the ‘over’ when contemplating my action. L.A. destroyed New Orleans 126-103 in a game that went ‘under’ unless you got in before the massive line shift that saw the total move from 226 to 232.5. Phoenix’s game against Dallas also stayed ‘under’ 235 when the Mavs missed their game-winning 3-point attempt at the buzzer.

Totals in this series were set at 225 for the first two meetings and climbed to 232.5 for the most recent meeting on Feb. 26. Phoenix was a 7.5-point home underdog and lost by 10, but it won the first matchup between the teams at home on Oct. 26 as a 10-point underdog in a game Paul George missed. L.A. won the middle meeting 120-99 on Dec. 17 at Staples.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Lou Williams is listed as questionable to play in this game as he comes out quarantine after being outed following his trip to Atlanta’s Magic City Gentleman’s Club to dine on chicken wings. He hasn’t practiced and therefore may require a few more days since L.A. squares off with Dallas on Thursday. Power forward Montrezl Harrell remains away from the team. The Suns will again be missing small forward Kelly Oubre (knee), giving Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson more run. Center Aron Baynes may also be available considering he’s gotten in some practice time.

Handicapping Notes: Phoenix center Deandre Ayton should be fresh since he was on the bench for most of Sunday’s upset of Dallas, playing just 21 minutes due to foul trouble. He usually bounces back well after disappointing efforts and had 24 points and 12 rebounds in the bubble opener against the Wizards, so count on him being assertive early. Devin Booker has Ricky Rubio to help him facilitate offense but they’ll have to deal with the defense of Patrick Beverley and Paul George, which will certainly complicate matters. Booker has averaged 22 points and nine assists in two games against the Clips this season but has shot just 38.5 percent.

Nothin’ But Bet: Kawhi Leonard (+160), Booker (+185) and Paul George (+250) have much better odds at FanDuel to finish as this game’s high-scorer, but I’d back Ayton based on the potential payoff alone. The second-year Suns center is +1000 to emerge with the most points out of this one and I’m of the belief he’ll bounce back from Sunday’s foul-plagued effort. He’s averaged 21.5 points in two games against the Clippers this season.

Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers

Time/Venue: 6:05 p.m. ET, Visa Athletic Center
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Magic 32-35/2-0 (33-32-2, 2-0); Pacers 41-26/2-0 (36-28-3, 2-0)
Line: IND -1.5/223.5, IND ML -130, ORL +110

Line Analysis: The Pacers are favored by only a bucket since they played yesterday, picking up a double-digit win over the Wizards. Victor Oladipo didn’t play to rest up for the second of this back-to-back so he’ll be ready for this one against his former team. The total is slightly higher than I’d expected it would be but the books may have finally wised up to the Magic’s offensive improvement in terms of efficiency that has led to the ‘over’ connecting in 14 consecutive games involving Orlando. The high side is on a 4-1 run in Pacers games. Indiana won both regular-season meetings played in November and the ‘over’ connected each time but those totals were much lower, hovering just above 200.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Indiana point guard Malcolm Brogdon returned from a neck issue that kept him out of Indiana’s upset of Philadelphia over the weekend and finished with 20 points, seven rebounds and six assists. There have been no reports of him sitting out the second of a back-to-back but you should monitor the situation considering he was scratched roughly 90 minutes before tip-off on Saturday. Oladipo’s availability and the emergence of T.J. Warren and Aaron Holiday over the past few games gives head coach Nate McMillan a glut of scoring options and playmakers along the perimeter.

Jonathan Isaac tore his ACL in the fourth quarter of a game the Magic had in hand, which is extremely unfortunate. He was going to be the x-factor in Orlando’s run at whoever winds up playing the East’s No. 2 seed, as is expected. Guard Markelle Fultz is similarly on a minutes restriction but is also ramping up to playing his typical complement of minutes despite what happened to Isaac, who hurt himself planting awkwardly on a drive to the basket. Isaac’s absence means there’s more pressure on Aaron Gordon to continue producing after he torched Sacramento for 22 points on 8-for-12 shooting. Terrence Ross added 25 points off the bench and made five 3-pointers, so he’s also in line for minutes with Isaac out.

Handicapping Notes: This is a much different Magic squad that Indiana will be getting a look at since they’ve picked up where they left off in March in clicking offensively. Oladipo being part of Indiana’s equation while power forward Domantas Sabonis remains out means the Pacers are much different too, so it will be interesting to see who adjusts best, McMillan or Orlando head coach Steve Clifford. With a nine game cushion on the Magic, Indiana is in no danger of slipping to seventh but it remains locked in a race with the 76ers for the No. 5 seed, leading by a single game. The Pacers are one game back of Miami for No. 4, so they have a ton to play for. Isaac would’ve surely drawn the sizzling Warren, who has averaged 43.5 points through two games to date, so Clifford will have to rely on Gordon and Wes Iwundu, which likely won’t be as effective.

Nothin’ But Bet: My favorite prop of the day is found in this game, where FanDuel has set the number on Orlando sixth man Terrence Ross’ 3-point makes at just 2.5. He’ll definitely fire off at least six attempts and seems to be in a good rhythm so we might empty the bank account on him making at least three 3’s.(-118).

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat

Time/Venue: 6:35 p.m. ET ESPN, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Celtics 44-22/1-1 (38-24-4, 0-1-1); Heat 42-25/1-1 (34-31-2, 1-1)
Line: BOS -3.5/222, BOS ML -158, MIA +134

Line Analysis: This total appears spot on, as I had 223 and 222.5 when putting my numbers together, but the Heat are getting a little more respect from oddsmakers than I anticipated since they’re playing the second of a back-to-back. Boston has looked sharp in holding off Portland after going toe-to-toe with Milwaukee to open bubble play, so they could’ve been favored by another point or two.

The Celtics were a two-point underdog in Miami in the most recent showdown between these Eastern Conference contenders and won 109-101. The total was set at 218.5, nine points higher than it was placed for the only matchup the teams have played in Boston this season, a 112-93 Celtics’ rout on Dec. 4.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: The Heat played a physically taxing game against Toronto on Monday afternoon but should have all their players available a little over 24 hours later. Jimmy Butler, whose status for that Raptors game was in doubt until the morning, appears to be a go.

The Celtics are the healthiest they’ve been all season and should therefore have all hands on deck. Although Boston will play Brooklyn on Wednesday, expect them to empty the clip here and rest whoever needs to sit against the Nets. Brad Stevens’ squad is 2.5 games up on Miami for the No. 3 seed and is now four games behind Toronto, who is unlikely to be caught for No. 2 and the Atlantic Division title. That makes this contest the most important one Boston is scheduled to play among these seeding games.

Handicapping Notes: Kelly Olynyk has been fantastic thus far for Miami, but the play of many of its other x-factors has been inconsistent. Duncan Robinson wasn’t allowed to breathe by the Raptors along the perimeter and All-Star forward Bam Adebayo really struggled to set his usual tone against Pascal Siakam and the long Toronto frontcourt. Rookie guard Kendrick Nunn really struggled on both sides of the ball, which could lead to veteran Goran Dragic ultimately reclaiming his hold on a position they’ve shared for most of the season.

Boston’s Jayson Tatum rebounded from his awful performance against the Bucks where he managed just five points by torching the Blazers for 34 points. Defensively, Butler is the opposite extreme from Carmelo Anthony, so it will be really interesting to see how he fares here. The Celtics have won five consecutive matchups against Miami, which takes those types of streaks personally.

Nothin’ But Bet: Robinson was smothered along the perimeter on Monday, which really affected the flow of Miami’s offense. Count on him being prodded to be more aggressive in this one, which means he’ll fire up at least six or seven 3-pointers. Ride the over on 12.5 points (-114) for the young marksman.

Houston Rockets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Time/Venue: 9:05 p.m. ET, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Rockets 42-24/2-0 (31-35, 2-0); Blazers 30-38/1-1 (28-37-3, 1-0-1)
Line: HOU -4.5/242.5, HOU ML -194, POR +162

Line Analysis: This line goes to show you how much respect the Blazers are rightfully getting with Jusuf Nurkic and Zach Collins now on board since no other team vying for the No. 9 seed in the Western Conference would be an underdog of under seven points against Houston. This will be the first game where the Rockets are conclusively favored in the bubble and they’ll face the Lakers next on Thursday, so it will be fun to see how they handle a target on their backs.

The Rockets were a 5-point road favorite in Portland for their most recent meeting on Jan. 29 but were routed 125-112. The Blazers split their visits to Houston, losing 132-108 on Nov. 18 as a 7.5-point underdog before posting a 117-107 upset as an 8.5-point ‘dog on Jan. 15. The totals have been set at 231, 237 and 242, with the ‘under’ prevailing on two occasions.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Eric Gordon will be out a few weeks with his ankle injury, but Mike D’Antoni has committed to a shortened rotation and has elevated Austin Rivers into Gordon’s role. Despite getting into the bubble late, James Harden and Russell Westbrook have looked healthy and been extremely productive.

The same can be said about Damian Lillard, who was nursing foot pain and not really practicing in the lead-up to these seeding games but delivered 30 points and 16 assists in the near-upset of Boston. Nurkic also scored 30 points and looks extremely healthy, having banished former starter Hassan Whiteside to a bench role. The extra few months of rest have really benefited him and make him this game’s x-factor since the Rockets have no one to match up with him.

Handicapping Notes: Because Nurkic wasn’t a part of any of the regular-season matchups and they all came prior to the Rockets really committing to microball by trading Clint Capela away for Robert Covington, you can’t take much away from what transpired in Portland taking two of three from the Rockets. This one will really be about who shoots it best from the perimeter, how effective Harden and Westbrook are in attacking the paint to help land Portland’s bigs in foul trouble and how P.J. Tucker fares protecting the paint and rebounding against multiple 7-footers. You can count on the Blazers winning the rebounding battle, but that hasn’t slowed the Rockets down yet.

Nothin’ But Bet: Westbrook has to rebound even more effectively than he normally tasks himself on the to-do list, so expect that to lead to a very productive night on the glass for him. Ride the over on 7.5 boards (-124).

NBA Daily
Free Pick

The Magic have really mastered this transition from a team focused on executing at the defensive end to one executing at a high level on offense, and that emphasis will be even greater with Isaac no longer part of the equation. Without Sabonis to play through, the Pacers offense has more of a rhythm and they’re less likely to get bogged down setting up in the halfcourt. Ride the over in Magic/Pacers.

NBA Betting Results
Reseeding Action

Take Note

Favorites posted a 5-1 SU & ATS mark on Monday
The 'under' has prevailed more often than the high side in three of the five days of action and went 3-3 yesterday but remains down for the duration due to an 0-6 Saturday
Nuggets (+5.5, ML +200) were the lone underdogs to win outright on Monday
The point-spread has only mattered in three games so far (Clippers-Lakers, Celtics-Blazers, Spurs-76ers)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Betting Trends, Records to Watch
Joe Williams

The first weekend of the WNBA regular season is in the books from the IMG Academy bubble in Bradenton, Florida, or the "Wubble", as the players have affectionately called it.

Betting Results
Last Week/Year to Date

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under - O/U



The first weekend of WNBA saw plenty of over results, but the first full week in the Central Florida bubble saw plenty of defense and a lot more under results. Underdogs also edged the favorites against the spread, and 'dogs are barking a little more loudly so far.

WNBA Team Trends

Atlanta Dream
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-2-1 O/U)

Last Game - L 93-77 (-1) vs. Indiana (Push 170)
Have alternated straight-up wins and losses so far, W-L-W-L
Under is 2-0-1 across past three after an over result in Game 1 vs. Dallas
Have allowed 93 or more points in three of their four outings

Chicago Sky
Record (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-2-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 88-86 (+4, ML +170) vs. Washington (Under 178.5)
After over went 1-0-1 in first two, under has cashed in past two
Two of their three victories have been exactly by an 88-86 score
Have scored 88.3 points per game (PPG), ranking fourth in WNBA


Connecticut Sun
Record (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U)

Last Game - L 78-69 (-3.5) vs. Minnesota (Under 156)
One of only two winless teams in the WNBA
0-2 SU/ATS vs. Minnesota in the Wubble, hitting under both times
Ranked second-to-last (11th) in points per game (75.8) and field-goal percentage (37.7), while checking in 12th in free-throw percentage (70.5)

Dallas Wings
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 79-70 (+6.5) vs. Las Vegas (Under 171)
2-1 SU/ATS against Eastern Conference teams, 0-1 SU/ATS vs. Western Conference teams
After Over connected in first two games, Under has cashed in the past two
Averaged 94.0 PPG in first two outings, averaged 73.0 PPG in previous two

Indiana Fever
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-1-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 93-77 (+1, ML +100) vs. Atlanta (Push 170)
Have alternated straight-up wins and covers so far, L-W-L-W
Over hit in first two contests, Under 1-0-1 in the previous two outings
No. 2 in the league in free-throw percentage (85.4)
Second-to-last in field-goal percentage allowed (46.8)

Las Vegas Aces
Record (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-2-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 79-70 (-6.5) vs. Dallas (Under 171)
Have allowed exactly 70 points in two of the past three games (both under results)
Playing without C Liz Cambage, who has opted out for the season
Despite no Cambage, Aces lead the WNBA in rebounds per game with 39.8

Los Angeles Sparks
Record (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 75-81 (+4.5) vs. Seattle (Under 162.5)
After covering in opening game win vs. Phoenix, Sparks are 0-3 ATS across past three
After Over hit in first two outings, Under has connected in previous two
Rank No. 4 in WNBA in points per game allowed (82.3)

Minnesota Lynx
Record (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U)

Last Game - W 78-69 (+3.5, ML +140) vs. Connecticut (Under 156)
3-1 SU/ATS as an underdog so far
Under is 3-0 in each of their three victories, Over is 1-0 in their lone loss
Lynx rank 2nd in WNBA in points per game allowed (77.3) and defensive field-goal percentage (42.0)

New York Liberty
Record (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 67-96 (+11) vs. Phoenix (Under 169.5)
One of only two winless teams in the WNBA
Only team which has yet to cover through four games
Over hit in first two outings, Under has hit in each of the past two
Rank No. 1 in WNBA in free-throw percentage (86.3)
Dead-last in offensive points per game (74.0), field-goal percentage (35.2) and 3-pointer percentage (23.1)

Phoenix Mercury
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 96-67 (-11) vs. New York (Under 169.5)
Have scored 96 or more points in each of the past three outings (99.3 PPG)
Merc have yielded 95 or more points in three of their four games
Under cashed in game Aug. 2 after three Over results to open the season

Seattle Storm
Record (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - W 81-75 (-4.5) vs. Los Angeles (Under 162.5)
No. 1 in WNBA in scoring defense (75.3) and defensive field-goal percentage (38.0)
After Over hit in first two outings, Under has connected in each of the past two
2-0 ATS as a favorite of 9.5 points or better

Washington Mystics
Record (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 88-86 (-4) vs. Chicago (Under 178)
After going 3-0 SU/ATS, loss and non-cover vs. Sky was first of the season
Over cashed in first two outings of the season, Under hit in past two contests
No. 2 in WNBA in offensive points per game (92.5), No. 1 in 3-pointer percentage (40.6)
No. 3 in scoring defense, allowing just 81.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA picks and predictions for August 4
Jason Logan

Seattle faces winless Connecticut Tuesday, but the Storm are averaging only 40 points per first half so far in 2020.

WNBA betting is back on the board after a Monday pause to the 2020 schedule, with three games on deck.

We no longer have any undefeated teams but there are a couple winless clubs looking for their first taste of victory, including the Connecticut Sun who are in action versus the Seattle Storm in Tuesday’s late game.

We size up the odds and give our favorite WNBA free picks and predictions for August 4.

Dallas Wings vs Chicago Sky

The Sky could be worth a wager when it comes to WNBA futures, currently sitting at +1,500 to win the title. Chicago is 3-1 to start the season and coming off a big win over the defending champion Washington Mystics on Saturday.

Chicago is likely to be without center Stefanie Dolson again but gets guard Sydney Colson in the lineup, after she missed the start of the season due to COVID. That adds depth to an offense averaging more than 88 points per game to start the year.

Dallas backs into Tuesday off a loss to the Las Vegas Aces. The Wings have struggled mightily from beyond the arc in their past two games, shooting just 12.7 percent from distance, including a 4-for-30 night beyond the arc in the loss to the Aces. Dallas is depending on those 3-balls to fall, and until they do, we'll be fading the Wings.

PREDICTION: Chicago -8 (-110)


Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm

The Sun can’t seem to keep the momentum going in the final 20 minutes this season. Connecticut is averaging 41.8 points per first half – 55 percent of its total offense – then falls off a cliff after the break, with a league-low 34 points per second half.

That’s nearly the opposite for the Seattle Storm, who have started slow in the opening two frames and finished strong in the second half. Seattle is averaging only 40 points per first half so far in 2020.

The extra day off on Monday is a blessing for Connecticut, which has had to lean heavily on its starters for big minutes due to a thinned roster. Head coach Curt Miller has even limited practice time between games in order to keep his players fresh. As a bright spot, the Sun are hoping to have Briann January back from quarantine later in the week.

Connecticut hasn’t played since Saturday, so we expect a strong push from the Sun in the first half as they try to avoid going 0-5 to start the schedule.

PREDICTION: Connecticut first half +5.5 (-110)

Sunday's record: 1-1
Season record: 9-8


WNBA Betting Card August 4

Chicago -8 (-110)
Connecticut first half +5.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 4

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 613-614
August 4, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
103.334
Chicago
116.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 13 1/2
177
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 7
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-7); Over

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 615-616
August 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.325
Atlanta
95.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 15 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 7 1/2
176
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-7 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Seattle

Game 617-618
August 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
112.622
Seattle
111.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1 1/2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 10 1/2
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+10 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Aug 04 '20, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | White Sox vs Brewers
Play on: White Sox +124 at pinnacle

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Chicago White Sox +124
The Key: We are getting the red hot White Sox at a great price tonight. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games overall while outscoring the opposition 33-13. They have gotten their offense going, and their pitching staff has been dynamite. Now the White Sox send their ace to the mound in Lucas Giolito. He shut out the Indians through 6 innings in his last start and will give the Brewers problems here. Giolito went 14-9 with a. 3.41 ERA and 1.06 WHIP while averaging 11.6 strikeouts per 9 innings last year for the White Sox. Take Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Aug 04 '20, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | SFO vs COL
Play on: UNDER 11½ -105

1 Dimer on Giants vs Rockies under 11½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Aug 04 '20, 9:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Dodgers vs Padres
Play on: Padres +120 at sportsbook

Free Play on Padres +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Aug 04 '20, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Angels vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners +180 at 5Dimes

In the first series which was just a week ago the Mariners bats were very hot as they took 2 of 3 against the Angels. I don't care who the Angels have on the mound, they dont deserve to be this price whatsoever. Both of these teams are pretty equal right now and the value clearly lyes with the Mariners here at +160.