Friday 8/7/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:19 PM

Ray Monohan

Aug 07 '20, 6:40 PM in 20h
MLB | NYY vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 8½ -110

UNDER 8.5
6:40 first pitch Friday evening at Tropicana Field in Tampa Bay the Yankees 9-2 (5-1 V) come to town to take on the Rays in game 1 of a 4 game set. 5-7 (5-2 H) Starting pitchers for this one are Masahiro Tanaka (3.38 ERA, 1.88 WHIP) and Blake Snell (5.40 ERA, 1.80 WHIP).
The last time these two teams met was September 2019 and the Rays won 4-0.
I'm hearing Tanaka is still building up his arm strength after the concussion he got in July. Last game out he tossed 51 pitches only allowing 2 runs (1 earned), in 2 2/3 innings. I'm expecting approx. 70-80 pitches from him Friday.
On the other side Snell is also building up arm strength after three-plus innings against the Orioles. In that game Snell allowed 3-runs. He carries a 3-6 record vs. the Yankees into this matchup with a 4.41 ERA in 16 career starts.
Some betting trends to consider for this one. Under is 5-2-1 in NYY last 8 on astroturf. The Rays have been better against the Yankees, 20-15 the past four years versus 10-29 in the Bronx which tells me Snell and the rest of Tampa Bay will be dialed in for this one.
“I’m way more focused because it’s such a talented team. I face them all the time. There’s no better feeling than beating the Yankees." - Blake Snell
Going against conventional wisdom with this total play on Friday.
I'm on the UNDER 8.5. The pitchers show up!
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
TGIF 5* FREE MLB O/U Play

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:19 PM

Red Dog Sports

Aug 07 '20, 3:00 PM in 16h
Soccer | Real Madrid vs Manchester City
Play on: Manchester City -139 at pinnacle

Manchester City -139
Real Madrid 1
Man City 2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:19 PM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Astros @ Athletics
TIME: 9:10 PM EST
PICK: UNDER 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:20 PM

Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Angels/Texas Rangers under 9 1/2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:20 PM

Hawkeye Sports

Friday's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs + 135

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:20 PM

Atlantic Sports

Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Los Angeles Dodgers - 240

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:20 PM

#1 Sports

Friday's Free Play: Colorado Rockies - 105

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:20 PM

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the Milwaukee Brewers w/Lauer +115 over Cincinnati

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 09:20 PM

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Friday: Los Angeles Angels - 160

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2020, 10:08 PM

Mike Anthony

Utah Jazz vs. San Antonio Spurs (NBA) - Aug 7, 2020 1:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/-110 San Antonio Spurs Rating: 1* NBA Comp

DeMar DeRozan is a smooth athlete that always finds ways to get buckets and get good looks, he will again be lighting it up against the Jazz here. DeRozan is better than the 14 pts that he put up vs the Grizz on 8.2.20 - and will show it off here - the Spurs never have hesitation going to him for big buckets, DeRozan will lead San Antonio. Utah has not been pushing the ball a lot - letting guys just mill around at times, and not hammer it down court all game long. Utah brings no pressure with their pacing and Donovan Mitchell hasn't been shooting like he was, at just around 38% since the restart. He has been playing as if he is no longer the team leader. San Antonio get a rare win here on Friday afternoon action as your FREE PLAY.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2020, 05:16 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 7, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Hawthorne Racecourse has 11-races scheduled with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

4-JB's Hero (6-1)-2nd start off of a sick scratch and Leonard sticks. 0-12 this year but this entire field has trouble winning. Does have 4 wins at Haw and only the 7 and 9 have had that much success at the Stickney oval.
7-In Your Eye (5-1)-Paced the back half in 56.2 in last and finished a close 2nd. Lackey needs to put into striking range and if pace isn't dull 6-year-old may roll by down the lane.

Race 9

3-Maximus (5/2)-Hoosier invader drops into a good spot, has won 9 of 14 at Haw and was Wilfong's choice over the 6. 4-year-old was a 7-time winner in 2019 banking >$74,000 and could take 1st picture in 7 tries this year.
4-Bold And Brassy (9/2)-Seekman's choice over the 5 drops after finishing 2nd in NW5kL4. Skimmed the pylons in last start but rolled the back half in 54.2. This looks like a spot to shine but is 0-6 at Haw.
7-Jersey Jim (6-1)-Another who drops but last start was dull. Caught a pocket ride and faded down the lane. Beaten even money favorite deserves another shot versus this group and the track last week seemed to favor closers.

Race 10

2-Incedible Evan (9-1)-Has had excuses in last 3 and offers a nice price tonight. Wilfong takes a seat and he has driven before. My thinking is a 2-hole trip could be in the cards behind the chalk.
3-He's Masterful (2-1)-Program favorite loses Leonard who drives #6 for his father and that may help the price. Stewart has won with the 4-year-old last fall and he may leave to get the top and not look back.
8-Ringo Hotspur (25-1)-Ringo has been starting slowly but this time could be different. This is the 2nd start off the bench and did mind manners in last. Franco's choice over the 7/10 is a risky play but should offer long odds.
9-Frontier Muffler (9/2)-Came 2nd in last and beat 4 from this field. Starting outside won't help but last start was the best effort for new barn and upswing may continue. Smolin could leave as there isn't much gate speed in this field.

Race 11

2-Straight Munro (9/2)-Leonard's choice over the 9 should be a threat versus this group. The post draw could help set-up a nice close-up seat and lead to a brush down the lane.
5-RG's Tracer (5/1)-Came off a sick scratch, was bet down to 1/2 and had an even effort to finish 3rd. Team Seekman entry could be ready for an aggressive try. There's not much gate speed inside and 3-year-old can get on the engine.
9-Chick Magnet (25-1)-Was a sick scratch on 7/24 and then raced in the slop, before that form was good. Looking for a top effort and the post makes for a big price.
10-Bright Boy (5-1)-Broke at the start in the slop last week. 4-year-old recovered quickly and finished 2nd. This is a game horse so Smolin could find live cover and grind it out. Best to respect even with this post draw.

0.50 Late Pick 4

4,7/3,4,7/2,3,8,9/2,5,9,10
Total Bet=$48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2020, 05:16 AM

Weekly Bankroll Builder: August 7 Stronach 5 Play

August 5, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Weekly Bankroll Builder: August 7 Stronach 5 Play

Back to battle in this week’s Stronach 5, which once again has a 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some
prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update. ***

Leg 1: Laurel Park R6 (3:21 ET) – 2yo MSW at 5 furlongs

A seemingly tough, non-descript 2yo dash kicks off the sequence, though at least we have the benefit of being able to watch the tote to see who’s live and taking money, and who isn’t, which can often be a key indicator in these events. And that becomes even more imperative here, as those who have run don’t seem to be any great shakes, which means the firster #1 DEPOSITORY (10-1) has to hit hard off a slew of encouraging works for Lynch, who is a stiff 22% on debut and 28% with 2yos. With that being said, experience is a big edge at this time of the year with 2yo, so Lynch’s other runner, #4 SAN ANTONE (5-2), who was 2nd in both starts at Del Park, along with #9 ALWAYSINAHURRY (7-2), and #7 DON’T DARE ME (7-2), who were also 2nd in their respective debuts up in Wilmington, also merit strong consideration.

Pk5 A horses: 1,4,9,7 (listed in order of preference)

I was tempted to put both #8 ALPHA QUEUE (10-1) and #10 KAKE’SCHARMINGBOY (8-1) on the top line, as they debut for strong connections, but with Gaudet at just 8% with firsters, and Matz a slightly better 11%, I’ll it’s best to limit their use to a secondary role, unless the tote screams ready.

Pk5 B horses: 8,10

Potential B add-ins: #5 Gallant George (15-1), #6 Ladneedsahandler (12-1)

Leg 2: Gulfstream Park R8 (3:40 ET) – 3up AOC (25k/N1X) at 5 furlongs (turf)

Toss the two-turn dud last time and #5 FRENCHMAN STREET (5-2) is close to a single, as his turf sprint form against much better is stellar for Maker, and this attack post and his tactical speed are going to make him mighty tough to beat—if that last didn’t throw him for a loop. If it did, just maybe #10 SOVEREIGN WARRIOR (8-1) can take advantage, as he was a very sharp and close 4th in a stakes last time, will be close throughout, and could be four times the price as well.

Pk5 A horses: 5,10

I’m going to go it alone on the top line, as ‘Street looks close to a single, but I’m also using ‘Warrior equally, so I don’t think it’s prudent to add to the ticket, when I have two very strong opinions on the top line.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #9 Cable Channel (4-1), #7 Tench (6-1), #2 Go Gone Gone (3-1)

Leg 3: Laurel Park R7 (3:59 ET) – 3upfm 5k N3L* at 1-mile

This one won’t make things easy on your bankroll, as there are countless runners you could use, yet all of them are impossible to trust off class drops and mixed form. I’m going to use as many as I can, between the two slots, since I have no strong opinion and want as much coverage as I can cram in. The list starts with #8 WIN THEN GRIN (4-1), a Charles Town invader who was facing allowance runners at two turns and held her own, and has a pair of local wins on her resume, so she should have some foundation for this one-turn mile, over a track she seems to like. If things get too hot early then both #10 PRINCESS GEORGIA (10-1) and #9 ORTINOLA (6-1) will be herd from late, as both drop in class, and the former should like getting back to the dirt after a no-show on turf last time.

Pk5 A horses: 8,10,9

I’ll slide in the speed of #7 SI MAMACITA (9-2), who may be fastest of all in a race that has a few pace players, but none that can match her early foot, and rising in class off a N2L win and being the fresh new face here might now be a bad thing, though she almost blew a 4-length late lead, which gives cause for concern. I don’t know what to make of #3 CALINAS SONG (6-1), who has been in for a much higher tag sprinting lately at Del Park but didn’t do much running, but with Gonzalez calling the shots I think her presence here is noteworthy, and it’s not like she needs to freak to be a threat either.

Pk5 B horses: 7,3

Potential B add-ins: #2 Carousel Magic (6-1), #1 Simmard Shenanigan (15-1), #5 Hand Rail, #11 Hoss Kitten (12-1)

Leg 4: Gulfstream Park R9 (4:14 ET) – 3up 10k MCL at 1-mile

I’d like to think we can lock this up by using #8 ATCAPOTE (4-1) and #9 TONY SMALL (2-1), as they simply seem a lot better than a slow bunch, are best on figures, and, with each being 0-for-10 lifetime, they still haven’t quite checked off the lifetime maiden box just yet. As for who I’m actually taking on top, I’ll take the former for the small surprise, if only because he’s a better price and is proven going this far.

Pk5 A horses: 8,9

The next logical runner is #6 MOZANO (7-2), who is tactical enough to get the jump on the top pair and has been in the money in three straight, though he also seems a few lengths them, hence I’m using him underneath.

Pk5 B horses: 6

Potential B add-ins: NONE

Leg 5: Laurel Park R8 (4:32 ET) – 3up AOC (35k/N2X) at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

I don’t want to quite call this a match race between #4 PAGLIACCI (3-1) and #6 TEMPT ME TWICE (7-2), but it sure looks that way on paper, as the former was 2nd, and a half-length ahead of the latter, in a race four of the eight entered come out of on 7/15 at Del Park. And once again it looks like ‘Twice’s tactical speed gives him a big edge over the closing kick of Pagliacci, so I’ll play it that way, though I’ll use them both equally, since the margin is a slim one.

Pk5 A horses: 6,4

The only true alternative I can see is #1 ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO (12-1), who was 5th behind the top pair last time, but only 2 ½ lengths behind ‘Twice, and considering it was his turf debut too, he’s eligible to run better here, though the rail offers no bargains.

Pk5 B horses: 1

Potential B add-ins: #7 Sky Magician (6-1), #8 Fort Fortitude (7-2), #5 Cuestion de Tiempo (9-2)

The tickets:
Main Ticket: 1,4,9,7 with 5,10 with 8,10,9 with 8,9 with 6,4 = $96
Leg 1 B Backup: 8,10 with 5,10 with 8,10,9 with 8,9 with 6,4 = $48
Leg 3 B Backup: 1,4,9,7 with 5,10 with 7,3 with 8,9 with 6,4 = $64
Leg 4 B Backup: 1,4,9,7 with 5,10 with 8,10,9 with 6 with 6,4 = $48
Leg 5 B Backup: 1,4,9,7 with 5,10 with 8,10,9 with 8,9 with 1 = $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2020, 05:51 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #1

#8 Selfmade	Mott 3yo needed his last off the Dec. break yet held well for 2nd after dueling early, in what was his turf debut, drew the perfect outside attack post here, and won't be favored; look out.
#1 Klickitat	Stiff ML favorite has been 2nd in four straight, so he clearly will be a handful here, but he's also now 0-9-5-1 and loves running underneath, at very short prices too; second-best again.
#6 Spiritual King	Open MSW dropper hasn't been in with NYBs since a sloppy dirt debut, so this is a sizable drop in company, and that turf sprint last time could set him up for better here; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 8 but they will bury the 1 hard off all those near misses, yet it's the pick with all the upside off that promising turf debut in his return, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by using him to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since budget players will be leaning on the chalk, even though, unlike the pick, we've already seen his ceiling, and what he's capable of.

Saratoga - Race #4

#4 Kemba	MSW dropper got to the turf last time and really improved for Handal to be a pace pressing 3rd, should relish the drop, can build off that, and looks to be a square price too; upset special.
#7 Baseline Drive	The heavy chalk for Brown will be bet hard off the MSW debut 4th, but that was against Fl breds, and she didn't kick it in late, for a barn that is enduring a cold spell here; backwheel time.
#6 Hot Button	Cox firster (15% on debut) has a slew of works showing and lures Irad, so there's intent here, but it's not easy winning at two turns in your unveiling, and she'll be overbet too; tabbing today.
Race Summary	That 10-1 ML on the pick seems like a ton of value, especially when you view her turf debut, the field she faces here, and the fact Handal can do no wrong at the meet, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she fits nicely with a group like this off that Belmont run, and yet a win would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences.

Saratoga - Race #7

#6 Excess Capacity	Kantarmaci re-claim was a decent 4th back in the barn last time against a tough group of NYB N1X foes, so this can be viewed as a drop in class, and the cutback, and her pressing style in a race without a ton of early speed, should have her in the right spot off the far turn; look out.
#3 Archumybaby	Stalker is another who should trip out just off the pace here, and she won at the level two-back and enters off a solid 3rd against better last time, for a Noda barn that is white hot at the meet, though that may cause her price to dip into the underlaid status here; still, looms plenty scary.
#1 Lady by Choice	Logical contender was just a half-length behind 'Baby when 4th last time off the Maker claim, and Irad rides back a gal who should be winding up off the far turn, though her 1-for-7 record at this 7F trip tempers the enthusiasm a bit, at least on top; limiting her use to underneath only.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 6, and Kantarmaci is having a banner meet from limited starters, so you can be confident this miss will fire her shot against a group like this, especially with what looks to be a positive race flow as well, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she meets a field there for the taking, and fits as well as any of them.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2020, 05:52 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #5

#6 Mosby's Ranger	Has flashed pace in both starts and should be able to get a pretty big jump on the chalk into the stretch. There also isn't a ton of other pace signed on in here.
#8 Perfect Kind	The clear one to beat in this second start off the layoff, but the price will be short on this one while making her 11th lifetime start, and it's not as though she knocking right on the door with close margins at the wire.
#1 Officer Country	Probably better going long, but he went evenly against a better group at GP and might be able to land a piece with these
Race Summary	Mosby's Ranger will try to have a go of it from the gate, and he should be able to stick around better while cutting back and dropping in class.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#5 Cuestion de Tiempo	Tactical type has been in with some decent Florida groups, he should be able to get the right kind of trip behind two or three pace players.
#8 Fort Fortitude	Forward player tends to chase and give way late, so even though he can win this, he'd feel pretty short to me at something like the 7/2 ML price.
#6 Tempt Me Twice	Third start off the break may be what it takes to get him home, and he just missed last out in a fast race. Maybe.
Race Summary	Cuestion de Tiempo has a bit more finishing punch than some of the other runners who will be in the front half of this, and he may offer a better price than the others listed, too.

Laurel Park - Race #9

#6 Lordhavemercy	Makes the third start off the layoff after a flat effort on sealed footing last out, and his two-back run stacks up well with these. Playable on the bounce back.
#1 Bourbon Street	Showed the way early at this level last out, and there isn't a ton of pace to hassle him from the inside draw today. Think he might be overbet, but he's a big player.
#3 Kelli's Smile	Steps up into a protected spot off the claim, and she's fast enough to track Bourbon Street in the early going. Best stuff might do.
Race Summary	Lordhavemercy didn't fire last time out, but he has a couple of interesting back races that would make him attractive at something like the 6/1 ML price.