Friday 8/7/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Meadowlands - Race #1

#2 TOUGH MAC	Figures tough off last pair with clean trip in amateur drivers’ race.
#4 CHIEF JUSTICE	Held off top one at Harrah’s Philly, no factor from posts 9 and 10 recently.
#8 SUPER MANNING	35-time winner can carry his speed farther in second start this year.
Race Summary	Tough Mac rallied for second at 5/8s and one-mile ovals from outside posts. There’s no Tetrick in amateur drivers’ race, but owner-trainer-driver at least knows the horse well. Play 2 with 3,4,8 with ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4

#5 GOLD ORCHID N	Takes magnified class drop, looks to get back on the winning track.
#2 FIREBBY A	Second to fave in return, rallied for third from post 8 last week, returns home.
#4 MANHATTAN AGAIN	Stepped up, advanced first-over, just missed reaching the fave.
Race Summary	Gold Orchid N, 17-for-56 with more than a quarter-million in the bank, gets major class relief from her last pair and looms the one to beat against unproven types at this level lately. Play 5-2 and 5-4 exactas.

Hawthorne - Race #2

#7 MAJOR ATTRIBUTE	Nightmare trip as the beaten favorite at this level, can make amends.
#1 SOME NOBODY	Hoosier Park invader in consistent and races well from up-close.
#8 BRYSEN	Used up in 2 of last 3 starts, will be wining it again from outside starting spot.
Race Summary	Major Attribute was shuffled on the final turn and lacked room in the stretch until he swung 4-wide and surged too late at the 5-to-2 winner. He’s a good play anywhere near his 5-1 morning-line offering.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#6 Genghis	Was claimed in his last three, most recently by the Dobles stable; hasn't been on turf since last year when third at GP West and in his last one pressed the pace and tired to fourth. The blinkers are off today, which could help him relax.
#9 Imperial Moment	Was a clear maiden winner at this distance on turf last time and a repeat from off the pace would make him very tough here; Prado should have him moving well late.
#8 Remaster	Ran on well and just missed last time vs. good company; beat N2L rivals two back and is in strong turf form.
Race Summary	Genghis hasn't been on the turf for a while but has some class to him and can respond for Team Dobles. Solid player today.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#1 Cross Tea	Cross Traffic filly is highly eligible to improve in her second career start after running sixth vs. maiden specials; she drops in for a maiden tag and moves over to the main track, where she has had some decent works.
#6 Princess Caro	Will be the favorite off a solid second in a maiden claiming race last out; fits well and could be difficult to outrun.
#7 Independent Miss	Was second in her last two and shortens up in distance; can press throughout.
Race Summary	Cross Tea drops out of a strong maiden race and can improve in this class drop.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#8 Rocket Joe Cooper	Made a good move into second and closed ground on the winner and was clear of the third horse; has the class to prevail.
#2 Bourbon in May	Was up in time vs. similar last time and Maker barn continues at a 21-percent clip; one to hold off.
#3 Cree's Bklyn Law	Is a main-track-only entrant and will be difficult to beat if this comes off the turf; would go for his third straight win.
Race Summary	Rocket Joe Cooper was runner-up in a fast pace and has been very good when given the opportunity to run on turf; rates an edge here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 7
Patrick Everson

Oakland rides a six-game winning streak into a weekend series against Houston. Caesars opened the host Athletics slim -106 favorites, with Zack Greinke and the Astros -104 in Friday's game.

MLB betting odds are up for the Friday slate, and sportsbooks are seeing action on the opening numbers. Among the highlights: the defending AL Champion Astros traveling to face the streaking Athletics, winners of six in a row and leaders of the AL West.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

MLB line movement

The A’s sit 9-4 and 2.5 games ahead of the Astros heading into the 9:10 p.m. ET opener of a three-game weekend set. Caesars opened Oakland a favorite, but by the slimmest of margins at -106, because Houston (-104) is sending out Zack Greinke.

The Yankees are 9-4 and atop the AL East entering a four-game road set against the Rays, including a Saturday doubleheader. Friday’s 6:40 p.m. ET start is another tight opener at Caesars, with New York -106 and Tampa Bay -104.

And the Cardinals return after eight days off due to COVID concerns within the team. St. Louis hosts the Cubs, who are out to a 10-3 start and already four games up in the NL Central. Caesars held off on posting this game Thursday night for an 8:15 p.m. ET first pitch.

MLB public betting

The Consensus indicates Greinke and the Astros are much more appealing than the surging A’s, even with Oakland sending out Chris Bassitt, who’s 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA in two starts. Houston was drawing 69 percent of picks in the Consensus on Thursday night.

The Yankees weren’t quite as popular early in the Consensus, but were landing 63 percent of picks against the Rays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951BALTIMORE -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 30-12 SU (20.4 Units) in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

953NY YANKEES -954 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 93-59 SU (34.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

955ATLANTA -956 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 12-1 SU (10.9 Units) in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.

957DETROIT -958 PITTSBURGH
DETROIT is 42-72 SU (-37.1 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

959MIAMI -960 NY METS
MIAMI is 4-13 SU (-12.3 Units) vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

961TORONTO -962 BOSTON
BOSTON is 11-33 SU (-24.6 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

963MINNESOTA -964 KANSAS CITY
MINNESOTA is 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) against right-handed starters in the current season.

965CLEVELAND -966 CHI WHITE SOX
CLEVELAND is 40-20 SU (18 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

967CINCINNATI -968 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 474-496 SU (-71.6 Units) in home games when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1996.

969CHICAGO CUBS -970 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 11-2 SU (8.8 Units) in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

971LA ANGELS -972 TEXAS
LA ANGELS are 29-14 SU (14.5 Units) in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

973ARIZONA -974 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 8-25 SU (-16.6 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

975HOUSTON -976 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 12-2 SU (11.6 Units) in home games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

977COLORADO -978 SEATTLE
COLORADO is 55-67 SU (-34.9 Units) in road games vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse since 1996.

979SAN FRANCISCO -980 LA DODGERS
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-25 SU (14.5 Units) in road games as an underdog of +200 or more since 1996.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, August 7

National League
Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Braves (9-5):
Wright is 0-1, 7.50 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Braves won seven of their last nine games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Phillies (3-4):
Velasquez allowed four runs in three IP (60 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 1-6, 5.20 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Philly lost four of its first seven games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in their games.

Miami @ New York
Marlins (6-1):
Alcantara allowed two runs in 6.w IP in winning his first ’20 start; he is 2-3, 2.79 in eight starts vs New York.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Miami won its last five games.
— Under is 5-2 in their games.

Mets (5-8)
Wacha is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts this season, 3-0, 3.32 in four starts vs Miami.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: under 2-0

— Mets lost won six of their last eight games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Reds (5-8):
Bauer is 1-0, 0.66 in his first two ’20 starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Cincinnati lost its last three games, outscored 19-2.
— Four of Reds’ last five games stayed under the total.

Brewers (5-5):
Lauer is making his first ’20 start; he is 14-17, 4.36 in 52 career starts, 1-1, 2.00 in four starts vs Cincinnati.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Milwaukee split its first ten games; they’re 0-2 at home.
— Under is 6-4 in their games.

Chicago @ St Louis
Cubs (10-3):
Lester is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts this season, 6-6, 3.26 in 20 starts vs St Louis, 4-2, 2.62 in nine starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Cubs won six of their last seven games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Cardinals (2-3)
Flaherty allowed two runs in seven IP (89 PT) in winning his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 2.70 in nine starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— St Louis is playing for first time in nine days.
— Cardinals lost their last three games.
— Over is 2-0 in their wins, 0-3 in their losses.

Arizona @ San Diego
Diamondbacks (5-8):
Weaver is 0-2, 14.73 in two starts this year, 2-4, 3.60 in seven starts vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Arizona is off a 3-4 homestand.
— Snakes are 1-3 in series openers.
— Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Padres (7-6)
Davies is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts this season, 3-2, 4.13 in five starts vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— San Diego lost four of its last five games.
— Padres are 4-0 in series openers.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

San Francisco @ Los Angeles
Giants (6-8):
Samardzija is 0-1, 9.31 in two starts, 2-5, 3.83 in nine starts vs LA.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Giants lost four of their last five games.
— Under is 5-1 in last six road games.

Dodgers (9-4)
Urias is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts this season, 0-2, 1.40 in 13 games (7 starts) vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Dodgers won four of their last five games.
— LA won three of four series openers.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

American League
New York @ Tampa Bay
Bronx (9-3):
Tanaka allowed two runs in 2.2 IP (51 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 10-4, 3.20 in 18 starts vs Tampa Bay, 5-3, 4.33 in nine starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Bronx won nine of first 12 games (5-3 on road)
— Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Rays (5-7):
Snell is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts (5 IP) this year; he is 3-6, 4.41 in 16 starts vs Bronx.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
— Rays are 5-2 at home.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games .

Toronto @ Boston
Blue Jays (4-6):
Roark allowed one run in five IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Blue Jays lost four their last five games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Toronto has been on the road this whole time; they don’t play in Buffalo until Tuesday.

Red Sox (4-8):
Weber is 0-2, 11.57 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 1-0-1

— Red Sox lost four of their last five games.
— Boston lost four of its five home games .
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Twins (10-3):
Smeltzer allowed six runs in 4.2 IP in two relief stints this year; this is his first ’20 start. He was 2-2, 3.86 in 11 games (6 starts) as a rookie LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Twins won six of their last seven games.
— Minnesota is 4-1 in series openers.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Royals (4-10):
Junis allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (64 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Royals lost six of their last seven games.
— KC is 1-4 in series openers.
— Over is 3-1 their last four home games .

Cleveland @ Chicago
Indians (8-6):
Civale is 1-1, 3.75 in two starts this season, 2-1, 4.40 in three starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Cleveland won its last three games.
— Under is 12-2 in Indian games this season.

White Sox (7-6):
Cease is 1-1, 6.48 in two starts this year, 0-1, 8.00 in two starts vs Cleveland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Chicago won six of its last eight games.
— White Sox are 1-4 at home this season.
— Over is 4-1 in their home games .

Anaheim @ Texas
Angels (5-8):
Canning is 0-1, 3.37 in two starts this season, 0-1, 7.56 into starts vs Texas.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Angels are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.

Rangers (3-8):
Lyles allowed four runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Texas is off a 1-5 road trip (over 5-1).
— Rangers are 2-3 in their new home stadium (under 4-1).

Houston @ Oakland
Astros (6-6):
Greinke is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts this season, 8-2, 2.78 in 18 games (14 starts) vs Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: over 1-0-1

— Astros split their first six road games.
— Over is 4-0-2 in their last six games.
— Houston is 1-4 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.

A’s (8-4):
Bassitt is 1-0, 0.93 in two starts (9.2 IP) this season, 2-1, 3.97 in six games (5 starts) vs Houston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Oakland won its last six games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games .

Interleague
Baltimore @ Washington
Orioles (5-7):
Milone is 0-1, 5.63 in two starts this season, 1-0, 0.73 in two starts vs Washington.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Orioles lost their last four games, scoring total of eight runs.
— Baltimore is 1-3 in series openers.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Nationals (4-5):
They haven’t named a starter yet.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Washington won three of its last four games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Nationals still haven’t played a road game.

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Tigers (5-5):
Boyd is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-2 Totals: under 1-0-1

— Detroit lost three of its last four games.
— Under is 4-0-2 in their last six games.

Pirates (3-10):
Kuhl is making his first ’20 start; he was 18-20, 4.40 in 61 starts from 2016-18. He’s allowed one run in five IP in two relief stints this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Pirates lost seven of their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 0-5 in series openers.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

Colorado @ Seattle
Rockies (9-3):
Senzatela is 2-0, 2.45 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Rockies won nine of their last 11 games.
— Colorado won four of five road games.
— Under is 4-1 in Colorado road games.

Mariners (5-9):
Kikuchi is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts this season,
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Seattle lost five of its last six games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Mariners are 1-3 in series openers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, August 7

Trend Report

Baltimore @ Washington
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Washington
Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games when playing Detroit

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets
NY Mets is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Kansas City is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs

LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home

Houston @ Oakland
Houston
Houston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Arizona @ San Diego
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Arizona

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Colorado @ Seattle
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Seattle's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, August 7

Baltimore @ Washington

Game 821-822
August 7, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Milone) 15.705
Washington
(Sanchez) 17.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-175); Over

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

Game 823-824
August 7, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 14.908
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 16.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-105); Over

Detroit @ Pittsburgh

Game 825-826
August 7, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 15.259
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 14.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-115); Over

Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 827-828
August 7, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Wright) 16.339
Philadelphia
(Velasquez) 17.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-105); Under

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 829-830
August 7, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(TBD) 00.000
NY Mets
(Wacha) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami

Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A

Toronto @ Boston

Game 831-832
August 7, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Roark) 00.000
Boston
(Weber) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto

Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Minnesota @ Kansas City

Game 833-834
August 7, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Smeltzer) 16.840
Kansas City
(Junis) 14.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-160); Over

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 835-836
August 7, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Civale) 16.007
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 17.042
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-105); Under

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee

Game 837-838
August 7, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 16.936
Milwaukee
(Lauer) 15.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-125); Under

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 839-840
August 7, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 16.330
St. Louis
(PnceDeLeon) 15.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+130); Under

LA Angels @ Texas

Game 841-842
August 7, 2020 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Canning) 15.781
Texas
(Lyles) 14.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-165
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-165); Under

Houston @ Oakland

Game 843-844
August 7, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Greinke) 17.153
Oakland
(Bassitt) 16.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-115); Under

Arizona @ San Diego

Game 845-846
August 7, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Weaver) 16.557
San Diego
(Davies) 15.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+110); Under

Colorado @ Seattle

Game 847-848
August 7, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Senzatela) 16.307
Seattle
(Kikuchi) 17.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-105); Over

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers

Game 849-850
August 7, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 17.885
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 16.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-250
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+200); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

51NY ISLANDERS -52 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

53NASHVILLE -54 ARIZONA
NASHVILLE is 15-19 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

55PITTSBURGH -56 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

58COLUMBUS -57 TORONTO
COLUMBUS are 22-16 ATS (4.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss where team got shut out since 1996.

60CHICAGO -59 EDMONTON
CHICAGO is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

61VANCOUVER -62 MINNESOTA
VANCOUVER is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, August 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (37-24-0-10, 84 pts.) vs. FLORIDA (36-28-0-8, 80 pts.) - 8/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 89-72 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-5 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-5-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (36-28-0-8, 80 pts.) vs. ARIZONA (35-30-0-8, 78 pts.) - 8/7/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 36-36 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 15-19 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NASHVILLE is 305-241 ATS (+25.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 223-188 ATS (+30.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 6-5 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 6-5-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (41-24-0-7, 89 pts.) vs. MONTREAL (33-32-0-9, 75 pts.) - 8/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 27-32 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 12-9 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONTREAL is 33-41 ATS (-60.7 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (+34.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-7 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLUMBUS (34-23-0-15, 83 pts.) at TORONTO (37-26-0-9, 83 pts.) - 8/7/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-5 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (34-31-0-8, 76 pts.) at EDMONTON (38-27-0-9, 85 pts.) - 8/7/2020, 6:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 23-17 ATS (+41.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 17-8 ATS (+25.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CHICAGO is 33-37 ATS (+86.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-6 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CHICAGO is 11-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 16-22 ATS (+38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-5 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-5-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANCOUVER (37-28-0-6, 80 pts.) vs. MINNESOTA (36-28-0-7, 79 pts.) - 8/7/2020, 10:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, August 7

Trend Report

NY Islanders @ Florida
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 11 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Islanders
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Nashville @ Arizona
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 16 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Nashville

Pittsburgh @ Montreal
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Montreal
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh

Edmonton @ Chicago
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Toronto @ Columbus
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Minnesota
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 14 games
Vancouver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 7
Patrick Everson

Max Domi and the 12th-seeded Canadiens can knock out the fifth-seeded Penguins in Friday's Game 4 of their qualifying-round series. However, Caesars has Pittsburgh a -160 favorite.

NHL betting odds hit the board for Friday’s six qualifying-round games, as the revamped NHL playoffs resume in the double bubble. Among the noteworthy matchups is Penguins vs. Canadiens, with Pittsburgh playing for its postseason life in Game 4 of the best-of-5 series.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s contests.

NHL line movement

Pittsburgh blew a 3-1 second-period lead in Game 3 against Montreal, ultimately losing 4-3 as the Canadiens took a 2-1 series lead. Still, Caesars books opened Penguins -160/Canadiens +145 in a 4 p.m. ET faceoff, and there was no line movement Thursday night.

The Blue Jackets notched a 4-3 overtime victory against the Maple Leafs on Thursday, and there’s no rest as the two teams meet in Game 4 Friday. Columbus can clinch the series in this 8 p.m. ET puck drop. Caesars held off on posting the moneyline Thursday night.

The Blackhawks can also advance with a Game 4 victory over the Oilers. However, Caesars pegged Edmonton a -125 favorite, with Chicago +110 in a 6:45 p.m. ET meeting.

NHL public betting

Consensus can often help discern where the public is, and it appears the desperate Penguins are the play, getting 67 percent of early picks. Oilers-Blackhawks was a little closer to two-way play, with Edmonton seeing 59 percent of early picks in Consensus.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement for August 7
Patrick Everson

Pascal Siakam and the Raptors aim to lock down the East's No. 2 seed in a Friday night battle against the Celtics. The SuperBook opened Toronto -3, and that line held steady Thursday night.

NBA betting odds are posted and seeing money for Friday’s six-game slate. The marquee matchup is the day’s final game, an Eastern Conference clash between the Boston Celtics and the defending NBA champion Toronto Raptors.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

Toronto is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in the NBA Bubble and aims to seal the Eastern Conference’s No. 2 seed Friday night. The SuperBook opened the Raptors a 3-point favorite over the Celtics, and there was no line movement Thursday night for a 9 p.m. ET tipoff.

The Grizzlies are clinging to the eighth seed in the West, but face a tough chore against the Thunder, who are coming off a 105-86 rout of the Lakers on Wednesday. Oklahoma City opened a 3.5-point favorite and moved to -4.5 late Thursday evening for a 4 p.m. ET start.

NBA public betting

Consensus in the Celtics-Raptors clash indicates a solid preference for Toronto, which was drawing 65 percent of picks Thursday night. The preference is even greater for the Thunder, landing 72 percent of Covers Consensus picks against the Grizzlies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

701UTAH -702 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

703OKLAHOMA CITY -704 MEMPHIS
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog in the current season.

705SACRAMENTO -706 BROOKLYN
SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

707ORLANDO -708 PHILADELPHIA
ORLANDO is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

709WASHINGTON -710 NEW ORLEANS
WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses in the current season.

711BOSTON -712 TORONTO
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, August 7

Trend Report

Utah @ San Antonio
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah

Oklahoma City @ Memphis
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Sacramento @ Brooklyn
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games
Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Brooklyn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Orlando @ Philadelphia
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Orlando's last 16 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

Washington @ New Orleans
Washington
Washington is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Orleans's last 14 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, August 7

Utah @ San Antonio

Game 701-702
August 7, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
111.866
San Antonio
122.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 10 1/2
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8
227
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-8); Over

Oklahoma City @ Memphis

Game 703-704
August 7, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
123.639
Memphis
114.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-4 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Brooklyn

Game 705-706
August 7, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
116.274
Brooklyn
115.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 4 1/2
233 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+4 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Philadelphia

Game 707-708
August 7, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
119.034
Philadelphia
117.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+4 1/2); Over

Washington @ New Orleans

Game 709-710
August 7, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
106.194
New Orleans
121.493
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 15 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
236
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-6 1/2); Under

Boston @ Toronto

Game 711-712
August 7, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
116.755
Toronto
129.142
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 12 1/2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3); Over