Sunday 8/9/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 08:12 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 9, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The Sunday night 11-race card at Hawthorne Racecourse will feature the 0.50 Late Pick 4. The sequence has a 15% takeout plus a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-Bobcat Bay (9/2)-Last race was in the slop from post 10 and previous try was from the 9-hole, so should relish the post relief. Could be forwardly placed from the start. Bates can work a ground saving trip and has the speed to take a picture.
3-Me Dock JohnsonIII (7-1)-This is another who has been trying hard and now gets an inside post draw. Paced the back half in 56.4 last week and 5-year-old could finally post a win in Stickney in 13th try.

Race10

1-Stright Up Jazz (12-1)-Will take a swing with a Springfield shipper who qualified nicely there. That angle has worked at this meet and at 12-1 in the morning line the risk reward is there in a race without a standout.
3-Martha Max (6/5)-Scioto invader qualified here and was staked there. Coming back now is usually not a good a thing and ScD performances were dull. Shows enough speed to be a player here but others need to be used.
8-Bootsy Bombay (30-1)-Another who has been training in Springfield, wasn't Wilfong's choice, he picked the 10. Did pace the 2nd half in 57.4 and qualified just 5 days ago. Using at a price and hoping Warren can work a nice trip.

Race 11

1-Scorecard Dandy (5/2)-Stayed inside on a sloppy track and broke maiden on 8/2. Did pace the 2nd half in 57.3 and can get a similar trip here.
4-Yummy Candy (4-1)-3-year-old filly is 0-9 lifetime and 0-6 at Haw and isn't racing poorly but has had excuses. Bates needs to work a nice trip. That should be easier from a good post and fits with this crew.
10-Sherri's Babe (25-1)-Left in a hurry from the 8-hole in the slop and went to the half in .55 last week but faded down the lane. Did show decent speed in qualifier. Maybe Robbins can rate this 3-year-old and work a good journey to surprise at a price.

Race 12

4-Cassie's Marie's T T (4-1)-Closed nicely on a sloppy track in 1st local start to cash a 2nd place check. Wilfong could be more aggressive tonight and get into better striking range at the top of the lane.
5-Trendy H (10-1)-Will toss last, had broken equipment and raced well in previous 2 starts at this level. Has been camera shy but only win did come here and is usually in the hunt hitting the board in 6 of 9 starts at Haw.
6-Johnny's Gal June (5-1)-Drops to the same level as last win and should be a player with a smooth trip.
7-Lookintomyeyes (5-1)-Has had excuses in last 2 and now Bates is back between the pipes. Has been competitive this year finishing in the money in 9 of 12. Should be a square price and likes the track only missing the board once in 7 starts.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,3/1,3,8/1,4,10/4,5,6,7
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 08:13 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga/Del Mar Wagering Strategies - 8/9/20

August 9, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga/Del Mar
Sunday, August 9, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Del Mar Best Plays:

Second Race – Post Time: 2:30 PT
3-Heywoods Beach (3-1)

Exits a strong edition of the Oceanside Stakes and this drop to the first-level allowance ranks combined with a much better post should allow the J. Sadler-trained colt to regain his winning form. Ran better then line shows when forced to lose ground without cover from a poor draw in the Oceanside, but with the addition of blinkers the son of Speightstown projects to be on or near the lead throughout. Reunited with “win rider” U. Rispoli, he’s listed at 3-1 on the morning line and will offer good value in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single at or near that price.

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Tenth Race – Post Time: 6:30 PT
6 – Smooth Like Strait (5/2)

Projects as the controlling speed in this year’s edition of the La Jolla Handicap and given that type of trip the M. McCarthy-trained colt should be very difficult to catch. A stakes winner over this turf course as a 2-year-old and fresh from a highly-rated score in the War Chant Stakes at Churchill Downs in the May, the son of Midnight Lute has looked sharp in a series of recent easy dirt drills to have him fit and ready. He switches to top turf rider U. Rispoli and likely will continue his improving pattern. We’ll use him as a win play and a key in our rolling exotics at or near his morning line of 5/2.

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Saratoga Analysis & Wagering Strategies:

RACE 1: Post 1:10 ET. Grade: C-
Use: 2-Stoney Bennett; 3-We Should Talk

Forecast: The main players in today’s opener – a $12,500 claiming sprint – have question marks, though it would hardly be surprising to see them run one-two. Stoney Bennett, second off a long layoff for L. Rice but plummeting in class after a sharp runner-up effort in an optional/starter’s allowance sprint at Laurel Park in June, certainly is fast enough to beat this field but the veteran gelding had been off for more than a year prior to his last start, so his current physical condition is suspect. We Should Talk, claimed in four of his last five starts, returned to the R. Atras barn when haltered for $12,500 in February but has been away since then. If he returns as well as he left the Gemologist gelding, first or second in nine of 21 career starts, clearly will be the one to fear most. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics but otherwise pass the race.
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RACE 2: Post 1:44 ET. Grade: X
Single: 5-Seasons

Forecast: Seasons is a first-timer by Tapit from Winter Memories and has trained like a good thing for J. J. Toner. A bullet recent workout around dogs on grass (4f, :48.3, fastest of 11) was visually quite pleasing (view workout), so in a juvenile maiden two-turner on turf for fillies that didn’t come up particularly strong, she appears well-placed to win at first asking. Listed at 9/5 on the morning line but likely to go lower, she can be used as a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 3: Post 2:20 ET. Grade: B+
Use: 2-Say Moi; 4-Critical Value

Forecast: Say Moi shows rising speed figures with each outing and earned a huge number when second to Spice Is Nice while more than seven lengths clear of the rest in a hot allowance race at Belmont Park last month. The Union Rags filly retains J. Rosario, shows a recent bullet recent workout (4f, :48.1b, fastest of 83) and seems likely to be the controlling speed. However, there’s really not much we can do with her at even money on the morning line. As a saver in your rolling exotics you may want to consider the progressive Bodemeister filly Critical Value, a sharp state-bred stakes winner over seven furlongs in her sophomore debut in late June. She’s nowhere near as fast on pure numbers as ‘Moi but projects to enjoy a good stalking trip and appears to have room for further improvement.
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RACE 4: Post 2:54 ET. Grade: B
Use: 3-Lightfoot Miss; 6-Saratoga Commando; 7-Fouette

Forecast: This looks like a pretty good maiden special weight sprint for juvenile fillies and we expect that it will take a nice sort to win it. Saratoga Commando has been impressive in the a.m. with a series of sharp, breezing drills and is bred to win early (Majesticperfection). The C. Brown-trained filly acts like she has plenty of early speed but hasn’t been allowed to show it. Fouette, a $400,000 yearling filly by Nyquist, is comfortably drawn outside for the powerful S. Asmussen/R. Santana, Jr. team and at 9/5 on the morning line is the likely choice and one to beat. A bullet gate drill (5f, :59 flat, fastest of 26) over the Saratoga main track last month jumps off the page. Lightfoot Miss is a W. Mott first-timer by Violence and has done everything asked of her in the morning. The workout times aren’t fast, but a :47 3/5 gate drill last month (third fastest of 70) indicates she has plenty of ability, and at 6-1 on the morning line she’s certainly worth including somewhere on your ticket.
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RACE 5: Post 3:28 ET. Grade: B+
Single: 2-Ms Boombastic

Forecast: Ms Boombastic finally makes it to the races in August of her 3-year-old season and does so in a middle distance turf event for older maiden fillies and mares that didn’t come up particularly strong. A $125,000 auction purchase at the 2019 OBS March Sale, where she previewed in :21 seconds and looked terrific doing it, the daughter of Mr Speaker has worked smoothly for W. Mott without being asked for speed while looking plenty fit and ready for a big effort first time out. Certainly bred to run long on the lawn, she’s listed at 6-1 on the morning line and will offer plenty of wagering value at or near that price both in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post 4:07 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 5-Secondary Market; 6-Primacy; 8-Palio Flag; 8-Pop a Choc

Forecast: Here’s a much better than par first level allowance sprint for fillies and mares that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Several of these appear on their way to bigger and better things. Pop a Choc turned back to a sprint for the first time, switched to dirt, and demolished a fairly representative maiden field from the rail last month at Belmont Park while earning speed figure that makes her tough right back. Drawn comfortably outside and appearing the type that can win on the lead or from a stalking position, the daughter of Bernardini retains Johnny V., wo can choose his spot depending upon how the race flow develops. Primacy crushed a maiden field in June at Belmont Park with a career top figure and while there wasn’t a whole lot behind her the daughter of Union Rags did it the right way and certainly should be capable of better if needed. A strong, healthy work tab since that race indicates the C. Brown-trained filly is right on edge. The other C. Brown entrant, Secondary Market, is a “must use” as well at 6-1 on the morning line.. When last seen 11 months ago the daughter of Into Mischief was burying a good maiden field at Belmont Park with huge figure and her work tab on the comeback trail at Monmouth Park indicates she hasn’t lost a step. Palio Flag was a maiden debut winner at Keeneland last month in good style with a nice number, and as a daughter Curlin should continue to improve with experience and maturity. She has a good stalking style and is ideally suited for this extended sprint distance.
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RACE 7: Post 4:43 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 4-Aunt Nadine; 5-Mo Me Mo My

Forecast: Mo Me Mo My shows up in a seller for the first time, remove blinkers, switches to J. Rosario, and has back speed figures that are better than par for this level. The D. O’Neill-trained daughter of Uncle Mo exits a much stronger race and should greatly appreciate this softer assignment. Aunt Nadine ran well to be second in a similar restricted (nw-2) $40,000 turf sprint here last month in her first outing since vanning up from Gulfstream Park and in her first start since joining the S. Asmussen barn. The daughter of Uncle Mo has every right to produce a forward move and should settle into a comfortable second flight, stalking spot and have every chance when it counts. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a preference on top to Mo Me Mo My.
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RACE 8: Post 5:17 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Venezuelan Rug; 3-Shamrocket; 8-City Man

Forecast: Let’s take a shot at a price in this stronger than par first-level allowance affair restricted to 3-year-olds over nine furlongs on the inner turf course. Venezuelan Hugearned a big number two runs back when winning a starter optional claimer from Givemetwenty, who came out of that race to win a similar event and then yesterday captured the $100,000 Not Surprising S. at Gulfstream Park. In his most recent outing, the son of Constitution had a dreadful trip while every wide without cover in a race won by Decorated Invader and wasn’t knocked about through the lane when the cause was lost. From his good rail draw and with a series of sharp local drills to have him ready to bounce back, the D. Gargan-trained colt retains L. Saez and may be good enough to pull off a surprise at 6-1 on the morning line. City Man is a major player after finishing fourth but beaten less than a length in the Transylvania S.-G3 at Keeneland last month. The C. Clement-trained colt returns to the allowance ranks today and has enough tactical speed to be positioned wherever regular rider J. Rosario wants him to be. Shamrocket, the “other” C. Clement entrant, is a legitimate contender based on speed figures,. He continues to improve with every outing and with another forward may be hard to contain in the final furlong.
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RACE 9: Post 5:50 ET. Grade: B+
Use: 1-Endorsed; 4-Its All Relevant

Forecast: Endorsed was in too tough when a respectable seventh in the Met Mile but before that was an excellent runner-up to Code of Honor in the Westchester S.-G3 while six clear of the rest when earning a triple-digit Beyer speed figure. Stakes-placed over this track and distance last year, the W. Mott-trained colt looks every bit the 7/5 that he is on the morning line and should be capable of producing a winning late bid. Its All Relevant is the controlling speed and if not policed will take this field a very long way. A winner of 12 of 27 starts and never sharper since being claimed for $32,000 by Rudy last December, the veteran Hard Spun gelding has speed figures that make him a threat, so at 6-1 on the morning line you probably should include him as a saver or a backup.
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RACE 10: Post 6:22 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Imperio D; 8-Brunate

Forecast: The finale is a modest maiden claiming New York-bred sprint with not much depth. The logical contenders are Imperio D and Brunate, the two-three finishers in a similar affair here last month, with a neck separating the pair at the wire. Brunate may have bit more improvement in him so we’ll give him a slight edge on top in a race that we’re not planning to get too involved in. Both can be used in your rolling exotics.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 08:15 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Saratoga Mandatory Empire 6 Ticket Sunday

August 9, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Sunday is a Empire 6 mandatory payout day at Saratoga, and while I normally get after the Late Pick 4, I’m willing to jump into the big pool.

Of course, no one would expect it to be an easy proposition, and it certainly is not. Below is a suggested $86.50 ticket on the Empire 6, which goes in 20-cent increments. For those who follow weekly on the Late Pick 4, the same numbers lining up in races 7 through 10 run $36 on the 50-cent Pick 4 minimum, so that option as well.

The Empire 6 goes in races 5-10 and the featured event is the $85,000 Alydar Stakes, which brings out a field of veterans, most notably Endorsed, Bodexpress and Tenfold. Here’s a look at the Empire 6 races:

Race 5 (3:28 p.m. ET, maidens)

The opening leg comes down to WINDFALL PROFIT and BASTET.
WINDFALL PROFIT had the misfortune of losing photos in his last two and he could get his break today. BASTET finished with interest going seven after faltering on the front end of his first one. He apparently learned a lot in his return and continued improvement could be enough.

Race 6 (4:07 p.m. ET, allowance)

Chad Brown having a pair of strong of runners in the same race seems as right as rain in New York, but an “outsider” could have a hand in the outcome.

Brown’s promising runners SECONDARY MARKET and PRIMACY will battle it out with Michael Trombetta-trained ESCAPE FUND for top honors here, and ii might not be easy.

ESCAPE FUND had a professional debut as he waited patiently until being asked, and when that happened, she was on his own in the final furlong. She scored by four lengths in that six-furlong race and there’s nothing that says she can’t be just as deadly going 6.5 furlongs.

SECONDARY has been off since last September, but we’ve seen that before: Long layoffs are not a problem in this stable. She romped going this distance in a maiden win at Belmont and has trained well for her return. Stablemate PRIMACY took three starts to break her maiden and she’ll attempt to parlay that Belmont win into Saratoga success.

Race 7 (4:43 p.m. ET, claiming)

A trio of runners rate the edge in turf sprint, and AUNT NADINE’s improvement in her first over the grass makes for a great opportunity here. She can from just off the pace and finished second. It was her first attempt for the Steve Asmussen barn after running for Jorge Navarro.

MO ME MO MY tired in her first at Saratoga after shipping in from Santa Anita. She’s been in some difficult races and should improve with this step down in class. SUMMER FORTUNE showed speed in all three starts and goes to the turf for the first time. Gets some class relief and fits well with these.

Race 8 (5:17 p.m. ET, allowance)

The fourth leg has the most runners on the ticket as four runners look good enough to warrant attention.

SHAMROCKET just missed at this distance last time after breaking his maiden going longer and is a serious threat at this distance in his second against winners.

MR JAGGERS broke his maiden at this distance and has another opportunity to be close up throughout.

BUY ME CANDY didn’t fire last out but his best gives him a chance here. Another with an opportunity to stay closer from the beginning.

CITY MAN closed well for fourth in the G3 Transylvania at Keeneland. Has enough speed to overcome his post and stay in range.

Race 9 (5:50 p.m. ET, Alydar Stakes)

The Alydar drew a decent field overall, but three of these are accustomed to races with larger purses.

BODEXPRESS ran fifth in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Invitational and most recently was third in the G3 Hal’s Hope. He should be able to get some confidence back as he should get on the lead or very close to it. Has the class to be a strong player, as do TENFOLD and ENDORSED.

TENFOLD is a bit Jekyll-Hyde in his ways as he has run close to some of the best but has lost to some he should’ve defeated. He has picked up his game a bit this year as he was sixth in the Pegasus, fourth in the G2 New Orleans Classic and third in the G1 Hollywood Gold Cup at Santa Anita. He’s plenty good enough to show his late run in this spot.
ENDORSED has run some good races and was in the mix for three-quarters before tiring in the G1 Met Mile. He has shown the ability to adjust to pace on occasion and hold his own in this event.

Race 10 (6:22 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

IMPERIO D and BRUNATE rate the edge in this maiden-claiming event to end the day.

IMPERIO D comes off his best effort as he took the lead and was caught late. A similar try over this surface gives him a legit chance.

BRUNATE was on the board in his last two and finished a neck IMPERIO D. If you like IMPERIO D, you have to like this one.

Saratoga Empire 6:
5) #5 Windfall Profit, #6 Bastet.
6) #1 Escape Fund, #5 Secondary Market, #6 Primacy.
7) #4 Aunt Nadine, #5 Mo Me Mo My, #10 Summer Fortune.
8) #3 Shamrocket, #5 Mr Jaggers, #7 Buy Me Candy, #8 City Man.
9) #1 Endorsed, #5 Bodexpress, #6 Tenfold.
10) #1 Imperio D, #8 Brunate.
20-cent Empire 6: 5-6 with 1-5-6 with 4-5-10 with 3-5-7-8 with 1-5-6 with 1-8. ($86.40).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 08:17 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #5

#2 Ms Bombastic	Mott firster has a slew of works for this, appears to have lured main man Alvarado away from her mate (#6), and catches a field of experienced gals there for the taking; look out.
#5 Windfall Profit	Major player lost her second straight heartbreaker last time, which isn't a great omen, not to mention the 7-1 is lone gone, though she may still be on the improve; the gal to beat.
#6 Bastet	Improving miss woke up in her second start, which is hardly a surprise for Mott, and this attack post works too, though you wonder if Alvarado is on the live one; still, very playable.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 2 as we kick off the huge mandatory payout Empire 6, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, which would be a good indicator she's ready to fire, and if that's the case you can play her to win and place, and especially to kick off the sequence as well, as the proven runners don't look overwhelming, which means if this gal can run she'll be a real handful.

Saratoga - Race #6

#1 Escape Fund	Rousing MSW debut winner freaked here last month at huge odds, which you won't see here, but the pubic might be scared by the 34-1 and stay away, and in a race loaded with speed, she has every right to settle and run them down again; call right back.
#9 Pop a Choc	Impressive MSW winner got to dirt and freaked for Casse, and a repeat here would make her tough, especially from the perfect outside attack post, but she won't fool them again, and with a ton of speed to her inside, doubling up won't be easy; may tire late.
#6 Primacy	Brown charge got the job done at 1-5 last time and will be bet hard here facing winners, and her stalking style should play out nicely, but the barn is struggling here of late, and they haven't been kicking it in in the lane like they normally do; underneath only.
Race Summary	You should get fair value on the 1, who you know likes it here and who should trip out too, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the mandatory payout Empire 6, as well as to kick off the late Pk5, as this is a toughie, and a win in the 8-1 range would knock a lot of tickets out, in a race where there should be a lot of spreads.

Saratoga - Race #9

#3 Spinoff	Stalker catches a short field with plenty of speed, should like stretching back out, and owns an easy win over the track/distance; lots to like from the pick.
#6 Tenfold	Closer is another who will be running on late, and this drop in class will help too, though eight straight losses makes him tough to play on top; second best.
#2 Backsideofthemoon	Stretch runner will be a price but drew well and is another who will like the pace, so while a win may be out of reach, he can get a piece; exotics price appeal.
Race Summary	That 5-1 ML on the pick seems very fair, especially since he's back doing what he does best, so play him aggressively to win and place, and especially in the mandatory payout Empire 6, as well as the late Pk5/Pk4, since he looks primed for a big effort, and if he does pay $10 or so, a lot of budget tickets will be hitting the floor.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 08:17 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #3

#4 Judah	Slight edge in what feels like a very top-heavy race, as he just missed off the layoff and can turn the tables on the guy drawn outside of him.
#5 Atlantic Sun	Handled the top choice by a neck two starts back before settling for the runner-up spot last out, and he's probably going to give up at least a small early jump to Judah.
#8 Victoryatvicksburg	Woke up in a hurry with the local company, and he may be able to take to the new footing while trying the turf. Not totally sold, but someone has to finish third.
Race Summary	Judah and Atlantic Sun were separated by a neck when they met, and Judah may offer a slightly better price on the board in their rematch.

Mountaineer - Race #1

#3 Hide and Street	Cutback runner will probably have to finish late, but she's in good form and gets what feels like a pretty decent setup today.
#6 Opeongo	Pace player is dangerous at this kind of trip, but there are a couple other forward players lined up here who might be able to hassle her in the early going.
#5 Annisquam	Hasn't been on the grass in some time, but she owns three wins from six career turf starts and can get a first jump run today.
Race Summary	Hide and Street has never won at this trip, but she's 2-for-2 locally and is probably just quick enough to avoid getting outrun in the early stages. I'd be very interested at something like the 6/1 ML price.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#7 Truffles and Gold	Has never tried the turf, but the form perked up locally and gives this guy a claim on the top spot if he's able to handle the new footing.
#8 Unusual Poppy	Has shown nothing in recent starts, but there is some turf on the bottom side of his pedigree, and there is some mild hope that he'll land an underneath spot at a huge number.
#6 Armonico	Showed the way until late last out going two turns, and though he stacks up well here, that 0-for-6 local slate on the grass is a worry.
Race Summary	Truffles and Gold will need to prove he can handle the new footing, but that last run stacks up well, and this is far from a deep spot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 08:18 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#3 Bourre' Trick	Ran evenly going short in his debut and should enjoy the opportunity to stretch out; remains on the turf and improvement is probable.
#4 Chess's Dream	Has worked well and the Maker stable is always worth a look; bred for the turf and could get a major piece of this.
#12 Andres Eduardo	Improved position to fourth going seven furlongs in his debut, should be able to handle the turf and likely has the speed to overcome his post early.
Race Summary	Bourre' Trick ran a decent race first time out and can be a pace factor going long, and he bred to run longer.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#3 Great Sister Diane	Closed strongly and finished second in the In a Breeze Stakes last out and an similar effort can get her to the winner's circle.
#8 Kelsey's Cross	Won a similar stakes race two back and has been in several graded stakes; strong chance vs. Florida-breds and will be bet as such.
#7 Lovely Luvy	Won two of her last three and steps up to stakes company; steady closer can run into the exotics.
Race Summary	Great Sister Diane was an impressive second after falling very far back during the early going; rounding into top form.

Gulfstream Park - Race #11

#2 Passion Plus	Ran third at this level last time in a much-improved effort; has been over her head on many occasions but may have found her comfort zone here.
#5 Rosa Star	Was fourth in the In a Breeze Stakes two back and is a front-running threat on turf.
#3 Fiber Optic	Was claimed in her last four races but won't be today; makes first start for Gallegos stable and goes long for the first time in more than a year.
Race Summary	Passion Plus has been moving downward in class and ran well for this price last out; will be moving well late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:40 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 4	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $2 Rolling Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $0.50 Rolling Super High Five
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 2:45P
FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (THE OWNER OF THE WINNER WILL RECEIVE A $10,000 INCENTIVE AWARD DIRECTLY FROM THE CALIFORNIA THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS' ASSOCIATION.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. DYNAMIC DUO is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DYNAMIC DUO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RUNKERRY: Hors e has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. UNION DANCE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	DYNAMIC DUO	6/1	3/1
2	RUNKERRY	6/1	5/1
6	UNION DANCE	9/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	RUNKERRY	2	6/1	Front-runner	85	82	69.4	75.8	69.8
6	UNION DANCE	6	9/2	Alternator/Front-runner	86	78	69.2	73.0	68.0
4	DYNAMIC DUO	4	6/1	Trailer	83	78	53.8	76.2	71.7
5	STRIKE IT LUCKY	5	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	69.2	64.7

Unknown Running Style: THISMUSTBETHEPLACE (3/1) [Jockey: Frey Kyle - Trainer: Mathis Andy], NIGHT GIG (8/1) [Jockey: Monroy Francisco - Trainer: Tamayo Isidro], HOT SOUP (5/2) [Jockey: Amador Silvio Ruiz - Trainer: Delia William].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 2	2nd Half Daily Double $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box$1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 4 (races 2-5) $.50 Wheel
Claiming $15,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $10,300 • Post: 7:22P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 9 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUNSAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TRUFFLES AND GOLD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MY BROTHER STEVE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SKY KNIGHT: Tod ay is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ARMONICO: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Ho rse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
7	TRUFFLES AND GOLD	9/2	4/1
9	MY BROTHER STEVE	4/1	6/1
3	SKY KNIGHT	3/1	7/1
6	ARMONICO	5/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	LIL DEUCE COOP	4	5/1	Front-runner	0	0	94.8	53.3	42.8
7	TRUFFLES AND GOLD	7	9/2	Front-runner	76	67	85.8	53.4	51.4
5	MACHEN OF THE HILL	5	20/1	Front-runner	39	36	50.0	34.1	20.6
3	SKY KNIGHT	3	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	75	59.4	35.4	30.9
9	MY BROTHER STEVE	9	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	71	49.0	56.2	43.7
2	GRAN TOGOSHI	2	20/1	Trailer	61	55	2.8	51.2	40.2
6	ARMONICO	6	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	74	60	57.5	64.5	54.5
1	HANDSOME LIL J J	1	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	54	60.4	47.7	40.2
8	UNUSUAL POPPY	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	51	52	22.7	24.6	6.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:41 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Allowance - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $74000 Class Rating: 98

SAR - R8 - INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT AMILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT ANY DISTANCE ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 CITY MAN 7/2
# 9 WILL SING FOR WINE 8/1
# 2 OUR COUNTRY 8/1

I've got to go with CITY MAN. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Clement running at this distance are the most competitive in this group of horses in this race. Has been running admirably lately and will probably be close to the front end early on. This colt has to be given consideration just off the earnings per start in turf route events alone. WILL SING FOR WINE - Formidable average speed figures in turf route races make this pony a contender. Has to be carefully examined based on the formidable speed figure recorded in the last contest. OUR COUNTRY - He has been running very well and the Speed Figures are among the top in this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:42 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:06pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#8 JACK B WINKLE (ML=20/1)
#11 BABY BROTHER (ML=12/1)
#10 ROAD TO PEACE (ML=20/1)
#7 MONEY COME (ML=20/1)

JACK B WINKLE - The June 17th affair at Gulfstream Park was at a class level of (87). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points considerably, so he should be in a good place. BABY BROTHER - Budhoo brings this colt back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his colt is on top of his game. This rider and trainer have a profitable ROI when they work together. Lets try to beat the chalk with this colt. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. ROAD TO PEACE - Took a drop in class last time out, running against the same type today. MONEY COME - I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a good race within the last month or so. Fuentes was aboard this gelding last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This thoroughbred has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 65 to 69 to 85 in a row. The latest speed rating of 85 is the highest last race speed fig in the group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 OUTAMINE (ML=5/2), #2 CAPTAIN DUKE (ML=4/1), #4 FLAWLESS MOON (ML=9/2),

OUTAMINE - That was just not a very good showing in the last clash. CAPTAIN DUKE - Will not be easy for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list. FLAWLESS MOON - This horse didn't show any front speed in the last event. Now he is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #8 JACK B WINKLE on the nose if you can get odds of 6/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [8,10,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	[8,11] with [7,8,10,11] with [7,8,10,11] with [4,5,7,8,10,11] with [4,5,7,8,10,11] Total Cost: $72

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:43 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 1:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#2 SHISHKA (ML=8/1)
#6 LEFOOTWOSTOMPS (ML=4/1)

SHISHKA - Pottinger brings her back again. I recommend you stay with this live filly. Filly is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a top effort today. LEFOOTWOSTOMPS - First-timer has been working over this very track. I think that's a big plus in her favor. The jockey and trainer combination have a positive ROI when they join forces. A strong handicapping angle is Lasix for the first time. Attard gives it to this one for this race. Attard will try adding the 'hood' today in hopes of an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WHAT'S THE RUSH (ML=5/2), #9 TACKLE THE NORTH (ML=3/1), #5 CAPTURE THE MOMENT (ML=6/1),

WHAT'S THE RUSH - Probably won't make much of an impact today. TACKLE THE NORTH - Don't believe this racer will make an impact in today's event. That last rating was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating. CAPTURE THE MOMENT - 6/1 is not priced right for any horse in a sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint event of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 SHISHKA to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:44 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $9180 Class Rating: 86

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 BARGAIN BOY 4/1
# 2 INJUNS CARITAS PGS 5/2
# 3 OLIVERSSWEETPRINCESS 7/2

BARGAIN BOY is my choice. Andrade has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent clip. Must be carefully examined based on the quite good speed fig earned in the last competition. Should be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. INJUNS CARITAS PGS - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be close to the front end early on. OLIVERSSWEETPRINCESS - Looks solid against this field and ought to be one of the leaders. The speed figure of 79 from her most recent contest looks quite good in here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:45 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/09/20, SAR, Race 4, 2.54 ET
08/09/20,SAR,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $72,000. (UP TO $12,528 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Steal My Sunshine	4-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Ward Wesley A.	JTE	34.92	1.42/$1
097.4149	6	Saratoga Commando	5/2	Ortiz J L	Brown Chad C.		31.34	1.21/$1
096.9247	3	Lightfoot Miss	6-1	Alvarado J	Mott William I.	W	31.34	1.21/$1
095.9712	5	Rookery	6-1	Gaffalione T	Catalano Wayne M.		31.34	1.21/$1
095.1723	7	Fouette	8/5	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		31.34	1.21/$1
092.4320	1	Joqular	20-1	Franco M	Ribaudo Robert		31.34	1.21/$1
092.2266	4	Union Gables	10-1	Velazquez J R	Gullo Gary P.		31.34	1.21/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.00, ROI 1.60/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2020, 10:46 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

08/09/20, MTH, Race 1, 12.50 ET
08/09/20,MTH,1,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $1,000 To $14,000 1 lb. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Analyzeyourvision	4-1	Lopez P	O'Connell Kathleen	S	72.73	2.05/$1
098.8033	6	Big Perm	9/2	Gallardo A A	Sweezey J. Kent	JW	47.37	1.31/$1
098.4378	10	If Not Now	3-1	Juarez N	Thomas Jonathan	TFEC	50.72	1.22/$1
096.5947	1	The Jewel Factor	10-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Spina Chuck	L	47.37	1.31/$1
096.2744	9	Dohko	8-1	Castillo I	Alcala Cesar		47.37	1.31/$1
095.6534	4	Millies Party Boy(b-)	8-1	Ferrer J C	Frangella. Jr. James A		47.37	1.31/$1
095.1523	2	Swift Kid	10-1	Herrera J R	Machado Antonio		47.37	1.31/$1
094.8418	11	Masterio	8-1	Peterson F	Ryan Derek S.		47.37	1.31/$1
092.5983	5	Hidden Style	15-1	Maragh R R	Stephens John D.		47.37	1.31/$1
092.4531	8	Feisty Kitten	10-1	Mejia T B	Pimental John I.		47.37	1.31/$1
090.3630	7	Storm Alfeet(b-)	20-1	Garcia W A	Goodwin Gabriel		47.37	1.31/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 35.71, ROI 0.87/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	10	If Not Now	3-1	Juarez N	Thomas Jonathan	TFEC	51.06	1.32/$1
099.8014	3	Analyzeyourvision	4-1	Lopez P	O'Connell Kathleen	JS	41.25	1.09/$1
098.2469	6	Big Perm	9/2	Gallardo A A	Sweezey J. Kent		47.13	1.17/$1
097.2569	4	Millies Party Boy(b-)	8-1	Ferrer J C	Frangella. Jr. James A		47.13	1.17/$1
097.0688	11	Masterio	8-1	Peterson F	Ryan Derek S.		41.25	1.09/$1
096.7175	9	Dohko	8-1	Castillo I	Alcala Cesar		41.25	1.09/$1
096.0988	1	The Jewel Factor	10-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Spina Chuck	L	41.25	1.09/$1
095.1887	2	Swift Kid	10-1	Herrera J R	Machado Antonio		41.25	1.09/$1
092.2345	8	Feisty Kitten	10-1	Mejia T B	Pimental John I.		41.25	1.09/$1
092.2049	5	Hidden Style	15-1	Maragh R R	Stephens John D.	W	41.25	1.09/$1
091.3551	7	Storm Alfeet(b-)	20-1	Garcia W A	Goodwin Gabriel		41.25	1.09/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 41.67, ROI 1.24/$1