Service Plays Tuesday 8/4/20

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Tom Fornelli

MILWAUKEE -135
CHI. WHITE SOX @ MILWAUKEE | 8/04 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:51 AM
The White Sox offense is living up to the hype surrounding all the young, talented bats in the lineup, but this isn't a great matchup for them. Sox hitters struggle to make contact against big velocity like what Brandon Woodruff is bringing. Plus, after having to use the bullpen for seven innings on Monday night, I wouldn't be surprised if the Brewers find plenty of runs late after getting past Lucas Giolito (who isn't a terrible matchup for them himself).

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB ML PICKS | +478
4-2 IN LAST 6 MIL ML PICKS | +413

6-3 IN LAST 9 CHW ML PICKS | +258

CLEVELAND -157
CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | 8/04 | 6:10 PM EDT
11:48 AM
I'm honestly surprised by the price here considering the matchup of starting pitchers. I thought the juice would be much heavier on Cleveland with Shane Bieber going and Tyler Mahle for Cincinnati. It should be. So I'll take this value on Cleveland.

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB ML PICKS | +478
2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS | +59

SEATTLE +183
L.A. ANGELS @ SEATTLE | 8/04 | 10:10 PM EDT
11:44 AM
In this juiced ball era I like to look for pitchers who don't get a lot of groundball contact, and give up a lot of hard contact. Particularly when they're favored. We've found one tonight in Angels' starter Andrew Heaney. The good news for the Angels is that Heaney has great strikeout and walk rates, but when he does allow contact, it can lead to trouble. The kind of trouble that makes Seattle attractive at this price. Also, if you're looking for a fun prop, take a shot on Seattle's Kyle Seager to go deep. Even though Heaney's a lefty, Seager matches up well with him.

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB ML PICKS | +478
3-0 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS | +306

HOUSTON -125
HOUSTON @ ARIZONA | 8/04 | 9:10 PM EDT
11:41 AM
There are worrying signs about Madison Bumgarner through his first two starts with Arizona. While his ERA isn't horrible at 4.09, his xFIP is a terrifying 5.53. His groundball rate of 25.8% is absurdly low, yet even for all the fly balls he's giving up, only 5.9% have left the park. That's likely to change against this Astros lineup. The fact Bumgarner's fastball is averaging 88 mph after checking in at 91.5 mph for his career isn't a great sign, either.

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB ML PICKS | +478
4-3 IN LAST 7 HOU ML PICKS | +110

UNDER 8
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 8/04 | 8:15 PM EDT
11:37 AM
The weather in Chicago has been pretty consistent over the last week. The wind has been blowing in strongly off the lake, which makes Wrigley a pitcher's paradise. In the last four days at Wrigley there have been an average of 5.25 runs scored per game. The last two days have seen five runs total. Today's weather calls for more of the same, as anything hit in the air will have to be destroyed to have a chance to find the empty bleachers.

9-5 IN LAST 14 MLB PICKS | +443
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 KC O/U PICKS | +202

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

BOSTON -3
BOSTON @ MIAMI | 8/04 | 6:30 PM EDT
12:35 PM
This is a rough spot for the Heat, who are in a back-to-back situation after a tough loss to the Raptors. The Celtics have had a day of rest and provide a lot of matchup issues for Miami. The Heat are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as an underdog.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA PICKS | +190
3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS ATS PICKS | +190

HOUSTON -130
HOUSTON @ ARIZONA | 8/04 | 9:10 PM EDT
12:30 PM
The Astros' lineup is as deep as any in MLB and they are getting consistent pitching from both starters and relievers. They have won 40 of their last 52 against left-handed starters. The D'backs are just 3-14 in their last 17 as an underdog.

10-4 LAST 14 MLB SIDES | +416

UNDER 8
CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | 8/04 | 6:10 PM EDT
12:24 PM
The Indians have played Under in 10 of 11 games and starter Shane Bieber is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA. Reds starter Tyler Mahle will be facing the AL's weakest-hitting team with a .193 batting average. Cincinnati has played 7-1-1 to the Under in interleague games as an underdog.

11-5 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS | +401

CAROLINA -1.5
CAROLINA @ N.Y. RANGERS | 8/04 | 8:00 PM EDT
12:16 PM
The Hurricanes have been the faster, more physical and better overall team They are taking advantage of all the Rangers' mistakes. Look for them to complete the sweep Tuesday in dominating fashion. Lay the -1.5 goals for a +170 return.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NHL ATS PICKS | +265
2-1 IN LAST 3 CAR ATS PICKS | +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Goodwyn

MILWAUKEE -130
CHI. WHITE SOX @ MILWAUKEE | 8/04 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:57 PM
The Brewers lost Lorenzo Cain over the weekend, as the Gold Glove center fielder opted out due to the pandemic, but my model still sees production throughout their lineup. Today, it has Milwaukee winning this game 61.73 percent of the time. A spread close to -125 translates to a win percentage of roughly 55. Anything with juice of -130 or lower, I would take the Brewers, as my model sees a five-percent edge.

SAN FRANCISCO +157
SAN FRANCISCO @ COLORADO | 8/04 | 8:40 PM EDT
12:50 PM
My model has the Giants winning this game 44.03 percent of the time. With a spread above +150, I would take San Francisco on the value pick. A +150 spread translates to a win percentage of roughly 40, so bettors are looking at a four-percent edge. Look for the Giants to bounce back after giving up a big lead late on Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

PORTLAND +4
HOUSTON @ PORTLAND | 8/04 | 9:00 PM EDT
2:01 PM
Portland has welcomed the return of center Jusuf Nurkic. The 7-footer scores (15+ppg), rebounds (10+), passes (3+ assists per game) and blocks shots (1.8 per game), The return of Zach Collins and the addition of Carmelo Anthony also have provided a boost. Portland's power rating has improved five points from March to the bubble. The Blazers are playing for the No. 8 seed, while the Rockets could be in a letdown spot.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +90
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ATS PICKS | +191

2-1 IN LAST 3 POR ATS PICKS | +95

UNDER 225
ORLANDO @ INDIANA | 8/04 | 6:00 PM EDT
1:58 PM
The Pacers rank 17th in the league on offense, sixth on defense and 23rd in pace. Nate McMillan's team works the ball on offense and plays tight, physical defense. Meanwhile, Orlando's offense ranks 22nd, its defense is 10th and its pace is slow with just 98 possessions per game, putting the team 28th in the NBA. Totals are overinflated because the Over was 6-0 on the second day of the restart.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 ORL O/U PICKS | +91

UNDER 7.5
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 8/04 | 8:15 PM EDT
1:51 PM
Brady Singer goes to the hill for Kansas City today. He has looked good in his first two starts, pitching 10 innings and allowing eight hits, four runs, four walks and 10 strikeouts. His fastball-slider combination has been above average. Meanwhile Kyle Hendricks is the ace of the Cubs. As his command continues to get better so do his numbers. His career 3.15 ERA will continue to go down as this strike thrower continues to dominate hitters. The wind will be blowing in from centerfield between 10 and 15 miles per hour.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +130
5-1 IN LAST 6 KC O/U PICKS | +398

UNDER 8
CHI. WHITE SOX @ MILWAUKEE | 8/04 | 8:10 PM EDT
1:46 PM
This is a great pitching duel inside Miller Park. When I say inside I'm guessing the roof will be closed. The park plays 1.4 runs fewer with the roof closed than open. Chicago's Lucas Giolito finally broke through last year with a tremendous May and June, going 9-1 with a 2.05 ERA. He is coming off a six-inning shutout performance. Giolito's stuff is in the top 20 in baseball. Meanwhile Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff's stuff is electric, featuring a 98 mile per hour fastball and a nasty 87 mile per hour changeup. Woodruff is coming off 6.1 innings allowing one hit and one walk while striking out 10. Take the Under.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +130
5-2 IN LAST 7 MIL O/U PICKS | +273

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Sportsline Computer

NBA

SAC +5.5

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Root

Pinnacle- brewers

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Jack Winningham Plays 8/4/2020


Plays today:
Dallas-5 1/2
Indians moneyline

[FATMANWINS]

4 white sox
3 angels over

[FATMANWINS]

4 white sox
3 angels over

ATS

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Sportsline Computer

NBA

Pacers +1.5

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marco dangelo

Game: (917) Chicago White Sox at (918) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Aug 4 2020 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -130

View Analysis

3% Play (918) MILWAUKEE -130

Going to back Milwaukee here as I expect a better game from them tonight after having had not played a game for a few days they looked a little rusty last night. With a game under their belt they will be better tonight. Milwaukee sends Brandon Woodruff to the mound and over the last 2+ seasons when he pitches at home the Brewers are 14-1 in his starts. It also must be noted that White Sox starter Lucas Giolito has struggled in Interleague play as in 10 interleague starts Giolito is 1-6 with a 6.96 ERA allowing 33 walks and 12 home runs in 54 1/3 innings of work. I know he pitched well in his last outing but that was against Cleveland who can’t buy a run right now. TAKE MILWAUKEE as my 3% MLB BEST BET.

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newworldinsiders

VEGAS INSIDER: Redsox OV 8

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Cal Sports-Ralph Michael WNBA
3% Phoenix Mercury -6.5