Tweet
Re: 1-22-09
indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. #722. Take Temple -11.5 over St. Louis (Thursday @ 8pm est).
7-0-1 last 8 Days (Streak of 7 College Ball Winners in tact still).
10-4 last week in Hoops (71%).
4-1-1 in Hoops this week (80%).
4 Straight Winning weeks in the NBA (2-1 this week)
Back to Back Winning weeks in College (2-0-1 this week).
+57 Units in Basketball in January (original goal was +30 units - met. Now, goal is +60 units. If that is met, we raise the bar to +75 units this month).
Wednesday: South Carolina +1 over Florida (Push)
Tuesday: Illinois -7.5 over Ohio State (W)
Monday: Pittsburgh -9 over 'Cuse (W)
Sunday: Southern Illinois -4.5 over Bradley (W)
Saturday: Illinois +7.5 over Ohio State (W)
Friday: Yale +4 over Brown (Outright W)
Thursday: Marist +8.5 over Siena (W)
Wednesday: Illinois -7 over Michigan (W)
As a dog player, it's not often that I lay it on favorites, but on this streak of 8 straight winners as we come off a push on South Carolina yesterday, we have played several favorites when the time is right such as Illinois several times. Such is the case here as we catch Fran Dunphy's team off of a conference loss to Umass on the road by a score of 75-79. For Temple, who is now 1-1 in conference play is a big loss. But, look what Temple has done this year as this team is a top 60 team in the power rankings while St. Louis is just a top 175 team. For starters, Temple is the same team that defeated Penn State, a Big 10 team on the Outright by 6 points, defeated Tennessee by 16 points at home, defeated a to p150 team in Kent State by 15 points at home, defeated College of Charleston on the road by 5 and is the same team that comes back home ticked off due to a conference loss. What has St. Louis accomplished this year -a decent amount. The better question is, what has St. Louis accomplished on the road this year? Nada. Here are the road results for St. Louis: 0-4. Those 4 road losses come by margins of a 14 point loss to Nebraska (a similarly ranked team to Temple but lower scoring than Temple), losing outright to a top 250 school in Detroit, losing to Southern Illinois by 16 and losing to Xavier by 26 on the road. In these four games, St. Louis has scored point totals of 57, 57, 48 and 44. St. Louis folks is a defensive team that is not known for scoring prowess on the highway although they are a different team at home due to the atmosphere, their level of defense and comfort at home. But, on the road, they are a different team that struggles and with Temple coming off a loss and who can put up the likes of 70+ points as they a team that is frustrated, this could be a burial from start to finish as St. Louis does not have the edge necessarily coming off some nice home wins while Temple comes home in a very sour mood. St. Louis is 1-7 ATS following a straight up win, the Owls are 5-0 ATS with a spread of this margin and the Owls are 14-3 ATS over their last 17 contests.
4 Unit Play. Take Over 192.5 between the Boston Celtics @ the Orlando Magic (Thursday @ 8pm est). I was actually waiting to see if we can get a better line at 191.5 and the possibility of it going down a half a point since this morning, but no go. Alas, we find ourselves still with a good line here at 192.5 as we look to go 3-1 this week and place ourself in a very strong position of winning our 5th straight winning week. Look, these two teams hate each other. I cannot even begin to tell you the dislike that emanates between these two squads. The NBA is all about appearances. And, there are some teams that just get up to play others and hate other teams. Such is the case here. I guarantee you, pillsbury dough boy Van Gundy (my favorite NBA Coach) has been stating over, and over again about the fact that this Magic team got pounded at Boston last time around. Let's not fool ourselves - it was a domination. The Magic lost 107-88 in much the same way the Suns lost at Boston recently. These two teams don't quit. If one has the opportunity to run up the score on the other - they will. These two teams will not quit despite being down big as well. Remember, Boston had that game secured when the first time they met and yet these two teams still kept scoring as they don't want to let the other sit in the rear-view mirror as each knows they are dangerous teams that are capable of quick strike comebacks. Orlando has put up 100+ points in their last 7 games and that includes putting up 127 against the Hawks in Orlando in a game in which the Hawks actually had revenge and are known as a defensive team. There is no reason why Orlando cannot score a 100 today with such revenge, the crowd going nuts, getting to the free throw line and Boston to keep pace with at least 95. Once again, if either team has a chance to run up the score they will. With 65% on Boston as the public dog, I see Orlando actually covering the spread, which makes me like the total even more as that indicates Orlando will have sound success scoring. I have this game totaling around 208 actually and will be glad to take the over as I see it as a significant play on my set of spreadsheets
indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. #722. Take Temple -11.5 over St. Louis (Thursday @ 8pm est).
7-0-1 last 8 Days (Streak of 7 College Ball Winners in tact still).
10-4 last week in Hoops (71%).
4-1-1 in Hoops this week (80%).
4 Straight Winning weeks in the NBA (2-1 this week)
Back to Back Winning weeks in College (2-0-1 this week).
+57 Units in Basketball in January (original goal was +30 units - met. Now, goal is +60 units. If that is met, we raise the bar to +75 units this month).
Wednesday: South Carolina +1 over Florida (Push)
Tuesday: Illinois -7.5 over Ohio State (W)
Monday: Pittsburgh -9 over 'Cuse (W)
Sunday: Southern Illinois -4.5 over Bradley (W)
Saturday: Illinois +7.5 over Ohio State (W)
Friday: Yale +4 over Brown (Outright W)
Thursday: Marist +8.5 over Siena (W)
Wednesday: Illinois -7 over Michigan (W)
As a dog player, it's not often that I lay it on favorites, but on this streak of 8 straight winners as we come off a push on South Carolina yesterday, we have played several favorites when the time is right such as Illinois several times. Such is the case here as we catch Fran Dunphy's team off of a conference loss to Umass on the road by a score of 75-79. For Temple, who is now 1-1 in conference play is a big loss. But, look what Temple has done this year as this team is a top 60 team in the power rankings while St. Louis is just a top 175 team. For starters, Temple is the same team that defeated Penn State, a Big 10 team on the Outright by 6 points, defeated Tennessee by 16 points at home, defeated a to p150 team in Kent State by 15 points at home, defeated College of Charleston on the road by 5 and is the same team that comes back home ticked off due to a conference loss. What has St. Louis accomplished this year -a decent amount. The better question is, what has St. Louis accomplished on the road this year? Nada. Here are the road results for St. Louis: 0-4. Those 4 road losses come by margins of a 14 point loss to Nebraska (a similarly ranked team to Temple but lower scoring than Temple), losing outright to a top 250 school in Detroit, losing to Southern Illinois by 16 and losing to Xavier by 26 on the road. In these four games, St. Louis has scored point totals of 57, 57, 48 and 44. St. Louis folks is a defensive team that is not known for scoring prowess on the highway although they are a different team at home due to the atmosphere, their level of defense and comfort at home. But, on the road, they are a different team that struggles and with Temple coming off a loss and who can put up the likes of 70+ points as they a team that is frustrated, this could be a burial from start to finish as St. Louis does not have the edge necessarily coming off some nice home wins while Temple comes home in a very sour mood. St. Louis is 1-7 ATS following a straight up win, the Owls are 5-0 ATS with a spread of this margin and the Owls are 14-3 ATS over their last 17 contests.
4 Unit Play. Take Over 192.5 between the Boston Celtics @ the Orlando Magic (Thursday @ 8pm est). I was actually waiting to see if we can get a better line at 191.5 and the possibility of it going down a half a point since this morning, but no go. Alas, we find ourselves still with a good line here at 192.5 as we look to go 3-1 this week and place ourself in a very strong position of winning our 5th straight winning week. Look, these two teams hate each other. I cannot even begin to tell you the dislike that emanates between these two squads. The NBA is all about appearances. And, there are some teams that just get up to play others and hate other teams. Such is the case here. I guarantee you, pillsbury dough boy Van Gundy (my favorite NBA Coach) has been stating over, and over again about the fact that this Magic team got pounded at Boston last time around. Let's not fool ourselves - it was a domination. The Magic lost 107-88 in much the same way the Suns lost at Boston recently. These two teams don't quit. If one has the opportunity to run up the score on the other - they will. These two teams will not quit despite being down big as well. Remember, Boston had that game secured when the first time they met and yet these two teams still kept scoring as they don't want to let the other sit in the rear-view mirror as each knows they are dangerous teams that are capable of quick strike comebacks. Orlando has put up 100+ points in their last 7 games and that includes putting up 127 against the Hawks in Orlando in a game in which the Hawks actually had revenge and are known as a defensive team. There is no reason why Orlando cannot score a 100 today with such revenge, the crowd going nuts, getting to the free throw line and Boston to keep pace with at least 95. Once again, if either team has a chance to run up the score they will. With 65% on Boston as the public dog, I see Orlando actually covering the spread, which makes me like the total even more as that indicates Orlando will have sound success scoring. I have this game totaling around 208 actually and will be glad to take the over as I see it as a significant play on my set of spreadsheets
Comment