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MLB(Bob Balfe)
8:10 PM EST
Rotation #967
Brewers +110 over White Sox
Houser/Keuchel
The White Sox have been on a roll, but the injuries are adding up and they will be facing a Brewers team that needs to put up a couple wins on the board. The urgency had to be there for Milwaukee tonight with Houser on the mound.Dallas Keuchel is fitting in nicely in Chicago, but in his career against the Brewers he has been knocked around.Tonight is the perfect time for the Brewers to get back into the win column.Take Milwaukee.
OKLAHOMA CITY +190
OKLAHOMA CITY @ L.A. LAKERS | 8/05 | 6:30 PM EDT
The Lakers already have clinched the No. 1 seed out West, so I’m betting on this being the old “mail-in” game for them. We saw it from Milwaukee on Tuesday, when it lost to a huge underdog in the Brooklyn Nets. This contest means a lot to the Thunder, however. If Chris Paul makes a free throw, they knock off Denver last time out. This should be a bounce-back effort from Oklahoma City.
WASHINGTON -1.5
N.Y. METS @ WASHINGTON | 8/05 | 6:05 PM EDT
3:35 PM
Max Scherzer is going for the Nats, and he has only given up two earned runs in 12.1 IP this season. Rick Porcello has given up nine earned runs in six innings pitched this season, all against the Braves. Max Scherzer is 10-5 with a 2.63 ERA in 20 career starts against the Mets, and they get Juan Soto back in their lineup. The Nats have the third best team ERA at 2.73 runs against this season, while the Mets have given up the fifth most runs at 5.23 runs against per game. These teams are trending in opposite directions, take the Nats run line.
20-13 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS | +668
CHI. WHITE SOX -115
MILWAUKEE @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 8/05 | 8:10 PM EDT
3:34 PM
Dallas Keuchel has gone 5.1 innings and only given up two earned runs in each of his first two starts. Now he’ll face a depleted Brewers lineup that is even more depleted against lefties. Adrian Houser has pitched one game giving up one earned run in five innings. The White Sox have the highest average in the league, and second highest OPS while the Brewers have the sixth worst OPS in the league and seventh worst average. The White Sox have won six games in a row, take the value in the White Sox.
18-11 IN LAST 29 MLB ML PICKS | +678
5-1 IN LAST 6 CHW ML PICKS | +400
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +360
MINNESOTA -160
MINNESOTA @ PITTSBURGH | 8/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
3:33 PM
Randy Dobnak has allowed one run through his first 9 innings this season, and now he will return home to Pittsburgh to make a start. Trevor Williams has allowed five earned runs thru 8.1 IP this season but he has yet to make it thru five innings. This Twins lineup favors righties and they are hot right now, this game should be around -200.
18-11 IN LAST 29 MLB ML PICKS | +678
8-0 IN LAST 8 MIN ML PICKS | +815
16-7 IN LAST 23 PIT ML PICKS | +809
BOSTON +135
BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 8/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
3:31 PM
The Rays are significantly worse against lefties and have their right-handed lineup in today. Ryan Yarbrough has been pitching well through his first two starts but the Red Sox have the third best average in the league against lefties. Martin Perez kept the Mets to two runs through 5.2 IP in his last outing, I like Perez to keep it close enough for the Red Sox to give good value.
18-11 IN LAST 29 MLB ML PICKS | +678
5-2 IN LAST 7 BOS ML PICKS | +268
COLORADO -135
COLORADO @ DALLAS | 8/05 | 6:30 PM EDT
1:08 PM
Phillip Grubauer and the Aves are looking to take control of the Western Conference round robin games by getting a win against the Stars. Both these teams are very good defensively with the Stars only allowing 2.52 goals per game while the Aves allow 2.71 goals per game. However, the Aves have a distinct advantage in offense scoring 3.37 goals per game and they are completely healthy now. The Stars only score 2.58 goals per game, take the value in the Aves.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS | +145
TAMPA BAY -105
TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 8/05 | 4:00 PM EDT
1:07 PM
The Lightning won their first game in OT against the Caps while the Bruins lost their first game to the Flyers. However, they were missing Tuuka Rask. The Bruins have lost six of their last eight games against the Lightning, and you know this game will be intense. Take the Lightning.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS | +145
9-4 IN LAST 13 TB ML PICKS | +359
ATLANTA -125
TORONTO @ ATLANTA | 8/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
3:03 PM
The Braves bounced back last night after the horrible news around Mike Soroka's season-ending Achilles tendon injury. I like them to make it two in a row tonight. My model has the Braves winning this game 61.43 percent of the time. A -130 spread translates to a 56 win percentage. Bettors are getting a solid 4 to 5 percent edge if they take the Braves for a price of -130 or better.
2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ML PICKS | +119
SAN FRANCISCO +150
SAN FRANCISCO @ COLORADO | 8/05 | 8:40 PM EDT
2:58 PM
My model has the Giants winning this game 44.6 percent of the time. With a moneyline around +150, you are looking at an expected win percentage of roughly 40 percent. My model sees good value here with an edge of 4 to 5 percent.
L.A. ANGELS -121
L.A. ANGELS @ SEATTLE | 8/05 | 9:40 PM EDT
3:18 PM
Seattle has struggled at the plate, with three runs or fewer in each of its four straight losses. Consecutive nights of heavy bullpen use from the Mariners spells trouble. Grab the Angel’s in Julio Teheran’s debut Wednesday.
10-7 IN LAST 17 MLB ML PICKS | +297
23-8 IN LAST 31 LAA ML PICKS | +1658
22-16 IN LAST 38 SEA ML PICKS | +574
MIAMI +115
MIAMI @ BALTIMORE | 8/05 | 5:05 PM EDT
3:14 PM
The Marlins returned back to action Tuesday and delivered a 4-0 win over the Orioles. On Wednesday, they’ll have a chance to build upon that win against Orioles starter Alex Cobb. Cobb’s pitch count in his first two starts of 78 and 87 kept him from extending beyond the fifth inning. Grab the Marlins to capitalize as a small underdog.
10-7 IN LAST 17 MLB ML PICKS | +297
21-16 IN LAST 37 BAL ML PICKS | +254
UNDER 8.5
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 8/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
12:02 PM
The Reds come in riding a four-game Under streak while the Indians have gone Under in nine straight and 11 of their 12 games overall. The Indians have done so with solid starting pitching and cold bats. Reds pitcher Tejay Antone could be someone the Indians hit, but he’s a righty and the Indians only hit .174 against righties. Under is the play.
9-2-1 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS | +665
3-0 IN LAST 3 CLE O/U PICKS | +300
CHI. WHITE SOX -115
MILWAUKEE @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 8/05 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:59 AM
Dallas Keuchel has had carbon-copy performances in his two starts this season, going 5.1 innings and allowing two runs while getting the win in each. The White Sox come in having won six straight, and every part of the team is clicking. The hitters, starting pitching and bullpen each have had key moments during the streak. It looks like they’re having tons of fun. White Sox to win.
OVER 6.5
EDMONTON @ CHICAGO | 8/05 | 10:30 PM EDT
1:19 PM
This has been a high-scoring series so far, and why would we expect anything less with the Blackhawks high-flying offense and porous defense? Chicago allows a league-high 35 shots per game, which makes for a bad matchup against an Edmonton team that features the two top point scorers in the NHL in Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. The Oilers own the top power play in the league. These teams have combined for 19 goals over the first two games of the series. Look for another high-scoring contest on Wednesday.
3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS | +430
L.A. DODGERS -130
L.A. DODGERS @ SAN DIEGO | 8/05 | 9:10 PM EDT
1:15 PM
The Dodgers and Padres are going to battle it out in the NL West, and it's not going to be easy for Los Angeles. The Dodgers have dominated this series, having won six of the last seven meetings in San Diego. Ross Stripling is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA lifetime at Petco Park. The Dodgers continue to pitch well, play great defensively and receive some timely hitting. They are an impressive 6-2 on the road.
13-5 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS | +601
N.Y. YANKEES -1.5
PHILADELPHIA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 8/05 | 4:05 PM EDT
1:11 PM
The Yankees are off to one of their best starts at 8-1 and have won seven straight. New York has hit 20 home runs through its first nine games, which is the best total over that span in team history. Anyone in the lineup can beat you with a two- or three-run shot. The Phillies are just 1-3 on the season and not in game shape like the Yankees. Zack Wheeler is 0-1 with an ERA over 7.00 in three career starts against the Yankees. This opener of the doubleheader will be just a seven-inning game. No problem. Lay the -1.5 runs for a +170 return.
13-5 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS | +601
MINNESOTA -1.5
MINNESOTA @ PITTSBURGH | 8/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:51 PM
The Twins are playing well, as their 9-2 record attests, while the Pirates are sitting at a league-worst 2-9 after having dropped six straight. Randy Dobnak, a reliever-turned-starter, has allowed just one run over nine-plus innings in two turns. The Twins' 9-2 start ties the mark for the best in franchise history. Nelson Cruz is the hottest hitter in baseball with runners on base, going 14-for-19 in those situations. The Pirates are last in the NL with a team batting average of just .194, and their pitching also has been an issue. Lay the -1.5 runs for a -120 return.
13-5 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS | +601
TORONTO -7.5
TORONTO @ ORLANDO | 8/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
12:41 PM
The Magic find themselves in a tough back-to-back spot here against a rested Raptors team that has dominated this series, winning every meeting this season and eight straight overall. Orlando lost one of its best players in Jonathan Isaac (knee) for the rest of the season, and it's tough to replace his scoring, rebounding and athleticism. The defending-champion Raptors feel they still have a lot to prove. They own the best defense in the NBA and have a very deep bench. Toronto has won six straight overall and is 2-0 since the restart, defeating the Los Angeles Lakers and Miami. Orlando's playoff hopes are dwindling.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +90
6-1 IN LAST 7 ORL ATS PICKS | +490
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