Service Plays Monday 8/10/20

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Strike Point Sports

3 Mil -6

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Alan Harris

4 under 228.5 tor/mil

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Tony George

4 Ind +4

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Vernon Croy

4 over 220 okc/phx

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Jason Sharpe

7 heat-3.5

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Mike Barner

PHOENIX -7.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PHOENIX | 8/10 | 2:30 PM EDT
12:49 PM
The Suns are undefeated in the bubble, and they should continue that Monday against an OKC team missing five key players. Look for DeAndre Ayton to dominate inside as Phoenix takes advantage of a depleted Thunder side playing on zero days' rest.

106-89-3 LAST 198 NBA SIDES | +824
48-29 IN LAST 77 PHO ATS PICKS | +1657

37-27 IN LAST 64 OKC ATS PICKS | +790

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Adam Goodwyn

DETROIT +130
CHI. WHITE SOX @ DETROIT | 8/10 | 7:10 PM EDT
1:32 PM
My model has the Tigers winning this game 49.37 percent of the time. WIth any price above +125, bettors are looking at an edge of roughly 5 percent. The price of +125 translates to a 44 percent expected win rate. Take the Tigers on Monday.

5-3 IN LAST 8 MLB ML PICKS | +377

ATLANTA +143
ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA | 8/10 | 6:05 PM EDT
1:30 PM
My model has the Braves winning this game 45.3 percent of the time. Anything over a +135 payout, and you are looking at an edge of 3-4 percent. The price translates roughly to a 42 percent expected win percentage for the Braves. I like the value Monday on one of the best offenses in baseball.

5-3 IN LAST 8 MLB ML PICKS | +377

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapping Service. MIT group.

Mets ml
Phiilies ml
Twins ml

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VIP Sports. Not Steve Stevens

Giants ml
Padres ml
Brewers over
Phillies under

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Dr. Chuck

5% Monday Massacre
Oakland Athletics -130

Manaea v. Teheran (listed)

I am not certain how long it is planned for Teheran to go in this game...he came over from the Braves having been only a starter, but really in an ideal Joe Maddon world, would likely not be already making his 2nd start this early in the season were it not for serious issues with the main 5, including Ohtani being shut down completely. So we benefit from this, as those of you who were with me in year 1 remember the number of times we faded ole JT in 2019. His first outing was rough...2 innings, 2 runs, 2 walks, and a little all over the place...as he is habitually. The A's facing RHP have been unbelievably patient at the plate when playing away from Oakland...and actually walk AND K at an identical 20% rate so far, which is a league best walk rate against RHP on the road...while splitting 3.5/.383/152!

On the other side we have Manaea, with a glorious 8+ ERA that the public HATES, but is not the real truth...his record also stares at those in the preview at 0-2...further allowing us a solid -130 price on the favorite and MUCH better team all the way around.

Manaea boasts a 0.73 BB/9 rate through 3 starts, with also a 3.18 xFIP....but with a .375 BABIP and just 33% LOB rate...both so much higher than average, both for himself and the league, that it is almost fun to find these numbers that will normalize to a great degree! Both of those happen to fall direcly in line...his personal averages fall at .280 BABIP and 73% LOB rate...while this year's league averages oddly enough, fall at .278 BABIP and 73.5% LOB rate!

On top of any of this personal stuff....the Angels have been HORRIFIC facing left handers of late...coming in at a 29th or 30th in most analytics...including a split of -6.5/.234/54 over the last 100+ PAs!

I could write about this game all day long and never get the play up...haha...but to add insult to injury...the A's bullpen has always been known to be a strength...but of late have REALLY been flexing!

A's bullpen: FIP of 1.38, K rate of 35% with BB rate of 4.8% and K/BB rate of 7.0 and a BAA of .169!

Let's win a big, easy one tonight and hopefully less stressful than our winning opening 5% play in this same matchup!

4% 1H Utah Jazz -4.5 (-105)
Maybe I'm confused...but I don't know what number I am supposed to think is appropriate here....and similar to the 1H play from the end of last week...I think the full game spread has gotten a little too wide...largely due to fatigue throughout the game as it goes 4 quarters. Carlisle has announced, a la Quinn Snyder last week...that he plans to lose the game to the Jazz today...with only Tim Hardaway Jr a go at all in this game...with DFS, Luka, Porzingis, Powell, Lee, Brunson at the least all sitting...and maybe even Curry.

The Jazz will be basically at full strength, though Spida Mitchell may be out for the game...which would be smart to sit...and maybe even lop a point off this spread closer to tip off for folks looking for a later play....the Jazz should be ahead by 10 or so at the break!

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Tony Finn

NL WEST GAME of the MONTH

5% Colorado Rockies

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Stephen Oh

NBA

33-7 last 40

Toronto Raptors +5.5

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WUnderdog

MLB

Boston +1.5 vs tampa bay

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Tony George

3 Units - #905 / #906 Washington / NY Mets (Under 8.5) -110 *7:10 EST

6 Units - #914 Colorado (-130) over Arizona *8:40 EST

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Football Jesus
NBA PACERS