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MILWAUKEE -5.5
TORONTO @ MILWAUKEE | 8/10 | 6:30 PM EDT
4:30 PM
Milwaukee will be without superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo on Monday due to oral surgery. Thus far in bubble action, the Bucks have been sub-par, with blown leads and inconsistent bench play being primary reasons. But as the regular season winds down, expect the Raptors' strong defense to lag. Grab the Bucks.
43-29-1 IN LAST 73 NBA ATS PICKS | +1111
19-11 IN LAST 30 TOR ATS PICKS | +677
18-12 IN LAST 30 MIL ATS PICKS | +496
INDIANA +4
INDIANA @ MIAMI | 8/10 | 8:00 PM EDT
4:26 PM
The Heat welcome back both Jimmy Butler (foot) and Goran Dragic (ankle) for this matchup against the Pacers. Normally, having two starters back is high value ATS. But expect Miami to be cautious and restrict their minutes. Look for Indiana to continue to excel and improve to 5-1 ATS in the bubble.
43-29-1 IN LAST 73 NBA ATS PICKS | +1111
15-9-1 IN LAST 25 MIA ATS PICKS | +506
4-2 IN LAST 6 IND ATS PICKS | +180
L.A. DODGERS -210
SAN DIEGO @ L.A. DODGERS | 8/10 | 9:40 PM EDT
3:22 PM
A rare feat for a starting pitcher is the ability to win consecutive starts against the same team. On Monday night, 22-year-old Dustin May will attempt to do so against the San Diego Padres. Look for May to not have as strong of an outing as he did Aug. 4 against the Padres, but for the Dodgers' bats to bail him out. Pay the high price here.
12-9-1 IN LAST 22 MLB ML PICKS | +231
7-3 IN LAST 10 SD ML PICKS | +443
14-9 IN LAST 23 LAD ML PICKS | +413
BOSTON +115
TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 8/10 | 7:30 PM EDT
3:21 PM
On Monday, the Tampa Bay Rays will get a dose of their own medicine from the Boston Red Sox. They’ll use reliever Ryan Brasier to start the game. Although Brasier lacks quality stats (9.00 ERA), it’s the Rays that have a more severe issue. They’re 0-5 on the road, in which they’ve averaged just over three runs per game. Grab the Red Sox to put the Rays to 0-6 on the road.
12-9-1 IN LAST 22 MLB ML PICKS | +231
4-3 IN LAST 7 BOS ML PICKS | +29
COLORADO -135
ARIZONA @ COLORADO | 8/10 | 8:40 PM EDT
4:44 PM
Arizona's Robbie Ray is really struggling, sporting a 9.45 ERA as he heads to Coors Field. Look for the Rockies to bounce back from Sunday's loss in Seattle and improve to 12-4 this season. Lay the reasonable price.
15-2 IN LAST 17 MLB PICKS | +1187
25-17 IN LAST 42 COL ML PICKS | +469
MINNESOTA +101
MINNESOTA @ MILWAUKEE | 8/10 | 8:10 PM EDT
The last time Randy Dobnak started was five days ago, and he didn’t allow a run over six innings in a 5-2 triumph at Pittsburgh that extended the Twins' winning streak to six games. But they haven’t won since and enter Monday with a four-game skid. Dobnak’s previous outing also was a scoreless effort as he scattered three hits over five frames in a 4-1 victory over Cleveland. Minnesota gets the win.
COLORADO -140
ARIZONA @ COLORADO | 8/10 | 8:40 PM EDT
5:01 PM
Jon Gray has made three starts this season and he has not given up more than three runs in any of them despite two being at Coors Field. Robbie Ray has struggled this season, and making a start at Coors Field won’t help. The Rockies hitters all have a good track record against Ray and Ray is just 5-5 with a 5.20 ERA in 17 career starts against the Rockies. The Rockies also have a better bullpen only allowing 3.19 earned runs per game while the Dbacks allow almost a full run more.
24-18 IN LAST 42 MLB ML PICKS | +482
OVER 8.5
SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 8/10 | 9:05 PM EDT
5:00 PM
Justin Dunn has made two starts this season but he has only pitched seven innings. He has had good stuff but he has also shown his inability to command the ball giving up seven walks in his seven innings. He has not pitched longer than four innings in any of his starts, and the Mariners have the fourth worst bullpen in the league with a 6.78 ERA. Kyle Gibson faced the Mariners once last season, giving up four runs in six innings.
UNDER 221
INDIANA @ MIAMI | 8/10 | 8:00 PM EDT
3:34 PM
These teams are tied for the fourth seed in the East with identical records and most likely will be playing each other in the first round of the playoffs. I always feel like teams will be more vanilla on offense when they know they might face each other in the postseason. They will play twice in the next four days, so I'm expecting one of the games will go Under the total - if not both, depending on the adjustment from the Bookmakers. Indiana plays solid defense, is average offensively and slows down the pace. It has the 18th-best offense, sixth-best defense and ranks 22nd in possessions. Miami ranks seventh offensively, 13th defensively and has the 27th-most possessions per game.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA PICKS | +190
TORONTO +5.5
TORONTO @ MILWAUKEE | 8/10 | 6:30 PM EDT
3:19 PM
There are very few NBA players worth more than six points to the spread, but reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of them. Toronto has been solid despite the loss of Kawhi Leonard and Nick Nurse is one of the best coaches in the NBA. The Raptors' No. 2 defensive ranking makes them a reliable club to back. Take the Raptors plus the points in this very even game.
3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +300
8-5 IN LAST 13 TOR ATS PICKS | +253
MINNESOTA +101
MINNESOTA @ MILWAUKEE | 8/10 | 8:10 PM EDT
3:13 PM
Milwaukee's Lorenzo Cain opted out of the 2020 season last week and Ryan Braun is on the 10-day IL. The Brewers have started poorly with a 6-7 record, but I think they are just a 500 ball club. The Twins' offense has been very good, and I expect it to get even better. They rank ninth in both OPS and wOBA. The Brewers are 21st. Minnesota's Randy Dobnak, who has a 1.25 career ERA, has earned his way into the starting rotation. Expect him to remain focused with just over 43 innings over two seasons under his belt.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +118
12-5 IN LAST 17 MIN ML PICKS | +769
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +434
UNDER 8.5
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. METS | 8/10 | 7:10 PM EDT
3:11 PM
Since Aug. 1, 65 percent of the games have gone Under the closing total. Steven Matz of New York has been very unlucky so far with a poor home run/fly ball rate rate and a lower ground-ball rate that he is accustomed to. Washington's Patrick Corbin has had two consecutive solid seasons, with a 3.02 ERA. His ERA after three starts this year is 3.00, and he also has had some misfortune. Look for value on the Under in this Monday matchup.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +118
4-0-1 IN LAST 5 WAS O/U PICKS | +402
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