Wednesday 8/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 06:08 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #7

#12 Sandro the Great	Clement charge has run just once on the turf, and that a solid 5th against open company MSW foes, who were a month better than this group, which is very modest; way too tough for these.
#6 Neuro	Price player got the comeback out of the way, and he was sprinting too, so you know this was the plan all along, and with a bit of improvement he's in the mix; could spice up your exotics.
#2 Tackle	Mott firster cost a robust 240k as a yearling, as he's out of a dam who is now 24, so they obviously liked him, but this is a patient barn, so he figures to need one; tabbing for down the road.
Race Summary	There's no chance you get that 7-2 ML on the pick, not for these connections off that open MSW run, but even 2-1 seems like fair value, so make an aggressive win and place bet if the tote allows, though you'll get some guaranteed value by singling him in the late Pk5, and to kick off that late Pk4 as well, since he looks to have this suspect group over a barrel today.

Saratoga - Race #8

#2 Forza Di Oro	Mott runner had a little following off the MSW win at Belmont in October then didn't fire in the GII Remsen in November and hasn't been seen since, but he's been tearing it up in the AM, drew well, meets a crew there for the taking, and will be a price too; look out.
#4 Lil Commissioner	Class riser was scratched out of a spot the other day to run here, and off that fast 20k win at Belmont this is an aggressive-and confident-rise in class, so he sure figures, and will be on or just off the pace too, but still, taking an underlaid price isn't ideal; trying to beat.
#3 Liveyourbeastlife	Improving sort goes for an Abreu barn having a banner meet, and that close 3rd at Belmont says he's sitting on go here, and if Franco is aggressive he might have this one on a loose lead, which is never a bad place to be going long on this main track; do not ignore.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 2, as you'd like to see him taking a bit of money off the long break, and if that's the case you can play hi in all the slots, though his real value comes in the late Pk5/Pk4, since he could fall the wagering cracks a bit, which means a win would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences.

Saratoga - Race #9

#4 Thoughtfully	Asmussen miss was bet like a good thing on debut at CD and delivered in a complete laugher at odds-on, and while the waters obviously get deeper here, this is an extremely weak GII on paper, and she sure gives the look like she's going places; love her chances here.
#5 Lucifers Lair	Pletcher charge was an easy winner here in her debut by 3, with something to spare too, and the fact she has a win over the track gives her a homecourt edge today, but the time was slow, so she's going to have to step it up if she wants to run with the pick; second-best.
#2 Make Mischief	ML favorite dueled then held 2nd behind a romping winner in the local GIII last time, and the figure was a fast one, but that was a fluky race, as her 'mate was eased at odds-on, and the winner was almost 20-1, so she's tough to trust at short odds; tread very lightly.
Race Summary	The 4 looks more like even-money than 2-1, so play her aggressively to win and place if you sniff anything close to that ML, though her real value comes in the late Pk5/Pk4, since you can single, which will allow for more coverage in the surrounding races, which look a lot deeper than this one, since the pick looks way too tough for a group that is very undistinguished on paper.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 06:08 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#7 Rum on the Rocks	He has been pretty reliable over the local footing, and there are a couple of potential forward players who can ensure a fair pace to kick at.
#9 Animal Kingston	Tough call on a guy who has been in with better in recent starts, but that form isn't anything to write home about, either. Wouldn't be a surprise to see him win this or finish a modest fifth. Your call at a likely underlaid price?
#8 Autograph	Recent form is terrible, but that came on the main track, and there are a couple of decent turf efforts back in this one's form. Speed sticks around?
Race Summary	Rum on the Rocks drops out of allowance company for this one, and a repeat of either of his last two would probably be good enough to handle this group.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#5 Fastdriven	Not too excited to take a short price here, but who can go with him early? A couple of route pace players might try to hustle early, but his pace should keep him clear into the turn, and the guess is he never looks back.
#7 Good Form	Showed a bit of pace going long on the dirt last out before settling for a distant third, and he's worth another look on the main track as he cuts back. Chase and finish run?
#4 Gottsacker	Wouldn't want this dropper at something like the 6/5 ML price, as even though he has been in with some better groups, he's still 0-for-18 without a single exacta finish in his career.
Race Summary	Fastdriven is the confirmed sprint pace in this one, and he shouldn't have much other company in the early going. 6/5 ML price Gottsacker can chase, but I'll take the sprint pace in this sprint spot.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#7 Mr. Nobody	Rare call for a career maiden in a spot where he may be able to flash some finishing ability on the cutback while the pace may be coming back late. He's fully out of excuses, and I'd want something like 3/1 to take a chance, but the race flow may flatter him enough to get him home in a bad spot.
#2 Allaboutbiz	Most likely winner has sharp pace while making the turf debut, but there are a pair of other players who may be able to keep him honest out of the gate.
#4 Eveningwithbernie	Debuter doesn't meet much in here and won't have to be a star in order to land a piece of this out of the box.
Race Summary	Mr. Nobody has been fairly reliable for a 20-start maiden, and he should get a nice pace to kick into while cutting back. He's all out of excuses, so maybe the shorter distance while legged up will perk him up.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 06:09 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #5

#6 SWEET TALKER	Followed winner’s move, finished second at big price.
#3 WINDFALL PROFITS	Has speed, first-time Lasix and Brennan to drive.
#7 COCONUT BEACH	New York invader hit board in half of 16 starts.
Race Summary	Sweet Talker awakened at 22-1, following the move of the winner and getting up for second despite racing 5-wide in the stretch. She figures tough with a duplicate or move forward off that effort. Play a 3-6-7 exacta box.

Hoosier Park - Race #1

#4 FOX VALLEY BRITZKA	All-or-nothing type if there ever was one, gets call by default.
#2 BLUEBIRD MAVERICK	Chased 2-to-5 winner around the track, gained late.
#1 GUCCIO’S JODINE	Showed pulse in recent qualifiers, draws rail, price attached.
Race Summary	Fox Valley Britzka raced in another area code as a 4-to-5 failure, but it’s hard to believe he was that bad without reason. He either shows up or he doesn’t tonight. Play a 4 with 1,2 with ALL trifecta.

Northfield Park - Race #2

#1 GONE AWAY AS	Rallied to win, expect improvement, rail a plus.
#2 OMYHEART	Won 3 of 4 at fairs, has to pick up the pace.
#6 BEST VALUE	Distant second to Omyheart, not out of this.
Race Summary	Gone Away As benefited from a couple rivals breaking stride, but he sustained a first-over bid to win after the pace picked up a bit in the third quarter. He gets the nod from the rail. Play 1-2 and 1-6 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 06:10 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #2

#1 Redyornothereicome	Has been on the board in five of six distance races and held third in a tough spot last time; has enough speed to be in a good forward position and could be difficult to catch.
#3 Barefootbootlegger	Improved position from the start but hung late; can be closer to the action throughout.
#5 Comfort Me Now	Stretches out again after an appearance going 5.5 furlongs, when he closed very well from ninth to fourth; won going longer three races back.
Race Summary	Redornothereicome improved in his latest and had been in some strong sprints; has a chance to control this one.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#6 Pass the Plate	Tough to get a wider trip turning for home in the G3 Regret and still finished fourth; a smooth trip will make her tough to deal with late in the game.
#1 In Good Spirits	Has been a solid player in distance turf races in Kentucky and comes off a third in the G3 Regret; can be close from the start.
#10 Dreamalildreamofu	Had the speed to get in good position from the outside post and has a decent chance to set a controlled pace.
Race Summary	Pass the Plate was buggy-whipped eight wide out of the far turn and into the lane last time and can get a much better trip; there's pace to set up her late run.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#2 Fancy Liquor	Has been game in all four starts and lost a three-horse photo in the G3 Transylvania; troublesome on the front end.
#3 Andesite	Was a non-threatening fourth in his first since being unplaced in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; ran well on grass last year, including a shape maiden score to debut over this course last year.
#4 Billy Batts	Was second in the G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf last year and has not been as solid in his last three; strong if he gets back to running the way he has shown.
Race Summary	Fancy Liquor is lightly raced compared to many in here and has shown an ability to mix it up on or near the front end. Getting better with experience and can dig in here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 06:12 AM

Jack Brayman

Remember last season, when the Carolina Hurricanes were labeled as jerks by famed announcer Don Cherry, because of their post-game celebrations after victories.

Well, the Hurricanes are back; Cherry is not.

While Cherry was checked into the boards, and off the air for off-color remarks, the Hurricanes return to the postseason and face the defending Eastern Conference champion Boston Bruins. It's a rematch from last season's East Final, and I like the Hurricanes to come out blazing in this first game.

After all, teams that take Game 1 in a best-of-seven series boast an all-time series record of 478-219 (68.6%).

Boston swept Carolina in four games in last year's final, and that's why I think the Hurricanes must play for this win against the President's Trophy winner. There are 18 players that dressed for the Hurricanes during last year's Conference Final and return for this series, so you can bet revenge is on the brain here.

The one person I want you keeping an eye on is Sebastian Aho, who finished the qualifying round with eight points in three games (3 goals, 5 assists) - the second-most among all players. Aho is tied for second among all NHL skaters with eight points, while's tallied 20 points (8 goals, 12 assists) through 18 career postseason games, tying him with Eric Staal and Kevin Dineen for the most points by a skater through the first 18 games of their postseason career in franchise history.

Aho has proven to be comfortable against Boston's rugged and heavy lineup, too, as he's tallied 12 points (8 goals, 4 assists) in 10 career regular season games against the Bruins.

I don't care who gets the nod in goal tonight, as coach Rod Brind'Amour hasn't announced who tonight's starter will be (as of 9 am eastern), but much like Vegas with two quality goaltenders to choose from, the 'Canes have a dynamic duo.

Petr Mrazek and James Reimer combined to stop 94 of 98 shots faced during the Eastern Conference Qualifying Round vs. the New York Rangers, recording a 3-0 record, 1.33 goals-against average and .959 save percentage. Their combined 1.33 goals-against average is the third-lowest mark in a postseason series in franchise history.

Pricey dog, nice price, solid value.

Take Carolina.

1* HURRICANES

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:02 AM

WNBA

Wednesday, August 12

Trend Report

Dallas @ Connecticut
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Connecticut is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas

Phoenix @ Chicago
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Phoenix

Atlanta @ Seattle
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:03 AM

NBA line movement for August 12
Patrick Everson

The Thunder and the Heat meet in an 8 p.m. ET Wednesday contest. Most sportsbooks waited to put up any Wednesday lines, with lineups in constant flux of late, but FanDuel has the Thunder -4.

NBA betting odds are on the board for a four-game Wednesday slate inside the NBA Bubble in Orlando. Among the highlights is a prime-time matchup between the Miami Heat and the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

It’s the fourth-place team in the East against the fifth-place team in the West when the Heat and Thunder get together for an 8 p.m. ET tipoff. Almost every book held off posting any of Wednesday’s games, with lineups in constant flux for these last few days of the regular season. However, FanDuel Sportsbook had the Thunder -4 Tuesday night.

The Raptors are among the hottest teams inside the bubble, going 5-1 SU and ATS, including a 114-106 win over the Bucks on Monday as 5.5-point underdogs. Toronto faces the 76ers in a 6:30 p.m. ET start, and FanDuel pegged the Raptors 5-point favorites.

In the 9 p.m. ET nightcap, the Clippers and Nuggets do battle, with Los Angeles 5.5-point chalk at Fan Duel.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:03 AM

NBA

Wednesday, August 12

Trend Report

Indiana @ Houston
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Houston
Indiana is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing Miami
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami

LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:04 AM

MLB public betting, line movement for August 12
Patrick Everson

Kyle Hendricks is scheduled to take the ball for the Cubs on Wednesday night against the host Indians. Caesars sportsbooks have Cleveland a -131 favorite and Chicago at +121.

MLB betting odds are up and getting attention for an almost-full Wednesday docket. Among the marquee matchups is an interleague clash between the Cubs and Indians, along with the Padres and Dodgers doing battle on the Left Coast.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s games.

MLB line movement

At 11-3, the Cubs have the best record in baseball heading into a 6:10 p.m. ET first pitch against the host Indians. Chicago, which pounded Cleveland 7-1 Tuesday night, opened a +128 underdog and closed a bit to +121, with the Indians a -131 favorite at Caesars books.

In another interleague contest, Masahiro Tanaka and the Yankees resume their series against the Braves. Caesars and most other books didn’t put this game on the board Tuesday night, awaiting clarity on Atlanta’s starter for a 7:05 p.m. ET meeting.

The Dodgers dropped the first two games of their home series against the Padres, and both teams are now 11-7, 1.5 games behind division-leading Colorado. Caesars pegged the Dodgers and starter Julio Urias -172 favorites, with the Padres +157 for a 9:40 p.m. ET meeting

MLB public betting

The Cubs are always a public team, but it was the Indians with the early edge in the Consensus on Tuesday night, drawing 61 percent of picks. And the Dodgers were out quite quickly Tuesday night, taking 74 percent of early Consensus picks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:04 AM

901CHI WHITE SOX -902 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-26 SU (-20.1 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

905ARIZONA -906 COLORADO
ARIZONA is 44-25 SU (18.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

907OAKLAND -908 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 12-3 SU (12.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.

909CHICAGO CUBS -910 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 65-43 SU (19.8 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

911MIAMI -912 TORONTO
MIAMI is 2-11 SU (-10.1 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

913KANSAS CITY -914 CINCINNATI
KANSAS CITY is 37-47 SU (-20 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

915ATLANTA -916 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 50-26 SU (30.9 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

917BALTIMORE -918 PHILADELPHIA
BALTIMORE is 17-31 SU (-21.4 Units) in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game in the last 3 seasons.

919WASHINGTON -920 NY METS
WASHINGTON is 62-38 SU (24.3 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

921MINNESOTA -922 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 475-498 SU (-72.8 Units) in home games when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1996.

923SAN FRANCISCO -924 HOUSTON
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-42 SU (-19.2 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

925TAMPA BAY -926 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-26 SU (-19 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

927SEATTLE -928 TEXAS
TEXAS are 170-160 SU (-6 Units) in home games in August games since 1996.

929SAN DIEGO -930 LA DODGERS
SAN DIEGO is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:04 AM

MLB

Wednesday, August 12

National League
Washington @ New York
Nationals (6-7):
Sanchez is 0-2, 7.84 in two starts this year; he is 5-6, 4.60 in 17 starts vs New York.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-2 Totals: 1-1

— Washington lost three of its last five games.
— Nationals won their first two road games this year.
— Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Mets (7-11)
Bullpen game for the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Mets lost nine of their last 13 games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Arizona @ Colorado
Diamondbacks (7-11):
Weaver is 0-3, 12.19 in three starts this year; he is 1-1, 6.57 in four games (3 starts) vs Colorado.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Arizona won four of its last seven games.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten road games.

Rockies (12-5):
Senzatela is 3-0, 3.18 in three starts this year; he is 2-5, 5.83 in 11 games (7 starts) vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 3-0

— Rockies won 10 of their last 14 games.
— Colorado won six of its last eight home games.
— Under is 5-3 in Colorado home games.

San Diego @ Los Angeles
Padres (11-7)
Davies is 2-1, 3.45 in three starts this year; he is 3-1, 1.98 in six starts vs LA.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— San Diego won four of its last five games.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven road games.

Dodgers (11-7)
Urias is 1-0, 2.40 in three starts this year (15 IP); he is 0-0, 1.76 in 7 games (2 starts) vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: 1-1-1

— Dodgers lost three of their last four games.
— LA is 4-4 at home this season.
— Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games.

American League
Chicago @ Detroit
White Sox (9-9):
Cease is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts; he is 3-0, 3.38 in three starts vs Detroit.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Chicago lost five of its last seven games overall.
— White Sox won six of their last eight road games.
— Under is 9-6 in their last 15 games.

Tigers (9-6):
Boyd is 0-1, 0-1, 9.20 in three starts this year; he is 4-6, 4.56 in 14 starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: 1-1-1

— Detroit won four of its last five games.
— Tigers are 4-5 at home this season.
— Under is 5-1-2 in their last eight home games.

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Rays (10-8):
Snell is 0-0, 3.38 in three opens (8 IP); he is 5-3, 3.10 in 10 starts vs Boston
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Tampa Bay won five of its last six games.
— Rays are 2-5 on the road.
— Under is 8-4-2 in their last 14 games.

Red Sox (6-11):
Godley is 0-1, 6.14 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Red Sox won three of their last four games.
— Boston lost seven of its tene home games .
— Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.

Seattle @ Texas
Mariners (7-12):
Walker is 1-2, 5.79 in three starts this year; he is 2-2, 4.86 in 7 games (6 starts) vs Texas.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 3-0

— Seattle lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Mariners are 4-5 on the road.
— Under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

Rangers (7-9):
Lyles is 1-1, 9.64 into starts this year; he is 1-2, 4.78 in six games (4 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-2 Totals: 1-1

— Texas won four of its last five games.
— Rangers are 6-4 in their new home stadium (under 7-3).

Oakland @ Anaheim
A’s (12-6):
Bassitt is 1-0, 1.08 in three starts this year; he is 2-2, 5.33 in 7 games (5 starts) vs Anaheim.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 3-0

— Oakland won nine of its last 11 games, but lost last two.
— A’s split their six road games.
— Under is 8-5 in their last 13 games

Angels (7-11):
Canning is 0-2, 5.02 in three starts this year; he is 1-2, 3.97 in four starts vs Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Angels are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— Halos split their eight home games (over 6-1-1)

Interleague
Miami @ Toronto (@ Buffalo)
Marlins (7-4):
Yamamoto allowed four runs in four IP (66 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals:over 1-0

— Miami lost its last three games, after a 7-1 start.
— Under is 7-4 in their games.

Blue Jays (6-8):
Pearson is 0-0, 2.70 in two starts (10 IP).
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— This is the Blue Jays’ first series in their temporary home, Buffalo.
— Blue Jays lost six of their last nine games.
— Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Kansas City @ Cincinnati
Royals (7-11):
Keller threw five shutout innings (75 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Royals won four of their last five games.
— KC lost seven of its ten road games.
— Under is 6-4 in their road games.

Reds (8-9):
Miley allowed six runs in 1.2 IP in his only ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
— Reds are 4-5 at home this season.
— Four of Reds’ last five games went over the total.

Atlanta @ New York
Braves (11-8):
Bullpen game for Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Braves are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Atlanta is 4-5 on the road this year.
— Under is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Bronx (11-6):
Tanaka is 0-0, 2.35 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Bronx lost five of its last eight games, but won last two.
— New York won all five of its home games, scoring 34 runs.
— Under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Orioles (8-7):
LeBlanc is 1-0, 6.91 in three starts this year; he is 2-2, 2.89 in 8 games (3 starts) vs Philly.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: over 1-0-2

— Orioles lost four of their last seven games overall.
— Baltimore won five of six road games.
— Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

Phillies (5-7):
Eflin allowed two runs in four IP (77 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Philly is 5-7 in its first 11 games, 5-6 at home.
— Under is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Chicago @ Cleveland
Cubs (11-3):
Hendricks is 2-1, 3.54 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Cubs won seven of their last eight games.
— Chicago won four of six road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Indians (10-8):
Carrasco is 2-1, 2.50 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Cleveland won five of its last seven games.
— Indians won six of their nine home games.
— Under is 15-3 in Indian games this season.

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Twins (11-7)
Maeda is 2-0, 1.64 in two starts this year; he is 2-2, 3.00 in five starts vs Milwaukee
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Twins lost five of their last six games.
— Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Brewers (7-8):
Lauer allowed six runs in three IP (70 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Milwaukee is 7-8 in its first 14 games; they’re 2-5 at home.
— Over is 4-3 in their home games.

San Francisco @ Houston
Giants (8-11):
Bullpen game for the Giants
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Giants lost seven of their last ten games.
— Under is 4-3-1 in their last eight road games.

Astros (7-10):
Greinke is 0-0, 3.00 in three starts this season; he is 13-3, 2.22 in 20 starts vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: 1-1-1

— Astros lost five of their last six games.
— Over is 6-2-2 in their last ten games.
— Houston is 1-6 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:05 AM

MLB

Wednesday, August 12

Trend Report

Chi White Sox @ Detroit
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 13 games on the road
Oakland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
LA Angels
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Cleveland
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Miami @ Toronto
Miami
Miami is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

Kansas City @ Cincinnati
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota

San Francisco @ Houston
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

Washington @ NY Mets
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:05 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 12

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 901-902
August 12, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 14.779
Detroit
(Boyd) 15.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+110); Under

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 905-906
August 12, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Weaver) 16.369
Colorado
(Senzatela) 15.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-110
12
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-110); Over

Oakland @ LA Angels

Game 907-908
August 12, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Bassitt) 15.031
LA Angels
(Canning) 16.439
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-105); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland

Game 909-910
August 12, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendricks) 15.730
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 14.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+110); Under

Miami @ Toronto

Game 911-912
August 12, 2020 @ 6:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Yamamoto) 16.492
Toronto
(Pearson) 15.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-170
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+150); Under

Kansas City @ Cincinnati

Game 913-914
August 12, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Keller) 15.169
Cincinnati
(Miley) 16.011
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-125); Over

Atlanta @ NY Yankees

Game 915-916
August 12, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Ynoa) 00.000
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta

Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
N/A

Baltimore @ Philadelphia

Game 917-918
August 12, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(LeBlanc) 00.000
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore

Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
N/A

Washington @ NY Mets

Game 919-920
August 12, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 16.669
NY Mets
(TBD) 17.797
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
N/A

Minnesota @ Milwaukee

Game 921-922
August 12, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Maeda) 15.904
Milwaukee
(Lauer) 14.810
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-140); Over

San Francisco @ Houston

Game 923-924
August 12, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cahill) 15.884
Houston
(Greinke) 14.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
N/A

Tampa Bay @ Boston

Game 925-926
August 12, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 16.339
Boston
(Godley) 17.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-165
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+145); Over

Seattle @ Texas

Game 927-928
August 12, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Walker) 14.669
Texas
(Lyles) 15.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-120); Under

San Diego @ LA Dodgers

Game 929-930
August 12, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Davies) 17.884
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 15.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+155); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2020, 08:06 AM

NHL public betting, line movement for August 12
Patrick Everson

Goaltender Carey Price and the Canadiens hope to keep the upset train on the tracks against the Flyers. Caesars has Montreal a +130 underdog and Philadelphia a -145 favorite in Wednesday's Game 1.

NHL betting odds include a bonus game Wednesday, after the Hurricanes-Bruins Game 1 was postponed Tuesday due to the five-overtime Blue Jackets-Lightning game that preceded it. The surprising Canadiens are also on the ice, for Game 1 against the Flyers.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s contests.

NHL line movement

Montreal wouldn’t be in the playoffs under normal requirements, sitting 12th in the Eastern Conference when the shutdown began. But under the revised playoff format, the Canadiens stunned the No. 5 Penguins, taking the best-of-5 qualifying-round series in four games. Meanwhile, the Flyers won the East round-robin among the top four teams, claiming the conference’s No. 1 seed.

Caesars sportsbooks opened Philadelphia a -145 favorite and Montreal +130 for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop.

The late-night game pits the defending Stanley Cup champion Blues against the Canucks in the West’s 4-5 series. St. Louis opened -150 and Vancouver +135, and the numbers moved to -140/+125 for a 10:30 p.m. ET faceoff.

The carried-over ‘Canes-Bruins tilt goes off early, at 11 a.m. ET, and Caesars has it Boston -130/Carolina +115, after opening -135/+120.

NHL public betting

The Consensus is often a good indicator of where public play is, and in the case of Canadiens-Flyers, it’s with Philadelphia. The Flyers were drawing 63 percent of picks as of late Tuesday night.

The Blues were seeing 61 percent of Consensus picks against the Canucks. And as was the case Tuesday, Hurricanes-Bruins continued landing two-way play, with Boston taking 54 percent of picks.

Wednesday 8/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 8/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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