Friday 8/14/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	Baseball – Yankees -1.5
2.	Gameday Network	Baseball – Blue Jays +120
3.	VegasSI	Baseball – Twins over 9.5
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	Baseball – Astros over 9.5
5.	Sports Action 365	Basketball – Clippers -6
6.	Point Spread Report	Basketball – Rockets -4.5
7.	Lou Panelli	Basketball – Pacers +1.5
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	Basketball – Rockets under 230
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	Baseball – Dodgers -170
10.	William E. Stockton	Baseball – Blue Jays +120
11.	Vincent Pioli	Baseball – Athletics over 8
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	Baseball – Nationals -170
13.	SCORE	Basketball – Clippers -6
14.	East Coast Line Movers	Basketball – Pacers over 221.5
15.	Tony Campone	Basketball – Rockets under 230
16.	Chicago Sports Group	Basketball – Pacers +1.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	Baseball – Astros -1.5
18.	VIP Action	Baseball – Yankees over 9
19.	South Beach Sports	Baseball – Tigers over 8.5
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	Baseball – Dodgers under 9
21.	NY Players Club	Basketball – Pacers over 221.5
22.	Fred Callahan	Basketball – Rockets -4.5
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	Basketball – Clippers -6
24.	Michigan Sports	Basketball – Pacers +1.5
25.	National Consensus Report	Baseball – Cubs +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, August 14

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 25-26
August 14, 2020 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.659
Colorado
13.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-200
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-200); Over

Montreal @ Philadelphia

Game 27-28
August 14, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
13.653
Philadelphia
12.621
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-155
5
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+135); Under

Vancouver @ St. Louis

Game 29-30
August 14, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
12.406
St. Louis
9.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+125); Over

NY Islanders @ Washington

Game 31-32
August 14, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.519
Washington
12.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-125); Under

Dallas @ Calgary

Game 33-34
August 14, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.193
Calgary
11.097
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-110
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, August 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (42 - 30) vs. HOUSTON (44 - 27) - 8/14/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 111-73 ATS (+30.7 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (46 - 26) vs. TORONTO (52 - 19) - 8/14/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 226-276 ATS (-77.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 27) vs. LA CLIPPERS (48 - 23) - 8/14/2020, 6:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (44 - 28) vs. INDIANA (44 - 28) - 8/14/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 75-55 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 238-177 ATS (+43.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
MIAMI is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, August 14

Denver @ Toronto

Game 717-718
August 14, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
120.749
Toronto
117.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 3 1/2
239
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+2 1/2); Over

Miami @ Indiana

Game 721-722
August 14, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.979
Indiana
115.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+1); Under

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers

Game 719-720
August 14, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
116.136
LA Clippers
125.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 6
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-6); Over

Philadelphia @ Houston

Game 715-716
August 14, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
113.140
Houston
122.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

715PHILADELPHIA -716 HOUSTON
PHILADELPHIA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

717DENVER -718 TORONTO
TORONTO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less in the current season.

719OKLAHOMA CITY -720 LA CLIPPERS
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

721MIAMI -722 INDIANA
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Bubble Bets - Friday
Tony Mejia

Denver Nuggets vs. Toronto Raptors

Time/TV/Venue: 1:40 p.m, Altitude, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Nuggets 46-26/3-4 (33-35-4, 4-3); Raptors 52-19/6-1 (40-30-1, 5-2)
Line: NL

Line Analysis: The Raptors rode their bench mob to a rally over the 76ers and have a chance at the East’s top record in seeding games if they come up with another win. A three-game losing streak wouldn’t be too concerning since the Nuggets have been working without multiple starters, but it would match their longest stretch without a win all season entering a complicated series against Utah. Denver’s backups have seen enough playing time in the bubble that they should be sharp.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Gary Harris and Will Barton aren’t going to suit up for a dress rehearsal, so Denver doesn’t have much to play for beyond getting through 48 minutes without incident. We’ll see a lot of Bol Bol and Noah Vonleh will remind everyone he’s on this team. Keep an ear out for whether Jamal Murray is playing since the Toronto native could swing the game with a strong half if he wants to warm up his hamstring more. It would be unnecessarily risky.

The Raptors will turn to Chris Boucher and Dewan Hernandez as their big men with Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka expected to get the day off. Terence Davis should have a big day alongside shooter Matt Thomas with the typical starting backcourt likely to rest.

Handicapping Notes: It’s hard to use this stat given that we’re likely to see so many regulars sit out, but the Nuggets have been victimized by the most suspect defense since the restart, while Toronto has been the NBA’s stingiest squad. Denver is giving up over 122 points per 100 possessions.


Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers

Time/TV/Venue: 4:10 p.m. ET, ESPN, AdventHealth Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Heat 44-28/3-4 (36-34-2, 3-4); Pacers 44-28/5-2 (39-30-3, 5-2)
Line: NL

Line Analysis: The next installment of T.J. Warren vs. Jimmy Butler will have to wait until the playoffs begin next week. Both will sit and the team’s reserves will get to know one another well before most of them sit and cheer as spectators when the real action gets underway. The deep bench will be involved in deciding this one since most everyone is getting the day off from coaches Erik Spoelstra and Nate McMillan.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Butler, Adebayo, Goran Dragic and seldomly used Gabe Vincent and KZ Okpala are out for Miami. Vets Jae Crowder, Andre Iguodala and Derrick Jones Jr. are listed as questionable, so any run they get should be limited. Tyler Herro figures to get whatever he wants as the primary playmaker for as long as he’s out there, while fellow rookie Kendrick Nunn will look to play his way out of a slump as he tries to carve out a spot in Spoelstra’s rotation going forward after leaving the bubble. Chris Silva and Meyers Leonard are due to play huge minutes up front with veteran Udonis Haslem and two-way player Kyle Alexander available for minutes. Solomon Hill also figures to close on the wing.

The Pacers may throw Malcolm Brogdon out there since he’s trying to continue ramping up his post-coronavirus conditioning and has missed multiple games due to a neck issue. It will be interesting to see what Victor Oladipo opts to do given how much time he’s missed. Count on Edmund Sumner, Goga Bitadze and JaKarr Sampson to factor heavily in this one.

Handicapping Notes: The Heat don’t need to tank this one to ensure that the Pacers don’t slip behind Philadelphia, so there should be no strategic folding from Miami. Indiana has lost three matchups against the Heat this season and may want to get on the board for the mental boost it could provide even with the opposition nowhere near full strength. The winner here gets a meaningless No. 4 seed and opens as the “home” team when the playoffs open.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Time/TV/Venue: 6:40 p.m. ET, ESPN, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Thunder 44-27/4-3 (44-27, 4-3); Clippers 48-23/4-3 (40-31, 5-2)
Line: NL

Line Analysis: OKC played so well in the bubble that it made this game inconsequential. Had the Thunder struggled in Orlando, the Clippers might have had a decision to make as to whether to start their regulars in order to guarantee a first-round matchup presuming they preferred facing OKC to squaring off in Dallas. That decision has been made for them, so the Clips get to use this as a friendly tune-up between teams that now can’t possibly meet again until the conference finals.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Montrezl Harrell won’t return for a seeding game’s worth of seasoning despite being out of quarantine, so he’ll just have to get loose during the next few days of practice. Same goes for point guard Patrick Beverley and shooter Landry Shamet, who have been nursing injuries. Their absences means this fourth quarter will feature a lot of Terance Mann and Rodney McGruder as catalysts. Center Joakim Noah should get extended time as well.

Chris Paul played both legs of a back-to-back but has ramped up to where he wanted to be and will now rest in this regular-season finale. Sixth man Dennis Schroder is still isolating after returning from paternity leave while starting guard Luguentz Dort will be out with a knee sprain. Hamidou Diallo should see big minutes at the point once Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is through. Centers Steven Adams and Nerlens Noel have each missed a few games but returned against Miami on Wednesday. Neither should play much, so Darius Bazley and Mike Muscala should continue receiving loads of touches.

Handicapping Notes: The Thunder rode Muscala’s timely 3-point shooting down the stretch to stun Miami in a game they had no business winning. The 3-ball will play a huge role in this one too since we’ll likely to see a lot of small ball once Ivica Zubac, Adams and Noel sit. JaMychal Green and Patrick Patterson have been terrific spotting up beyond the arc or playing pick-and-pop with Lou Williams and Reggie Jackson, so expect the team that’s most successful from beyond the arc to gain separation in this meaningless affair.


Philadelphia 76ers vs. Houston Rockets

Time/TV/Venue: 9:05 p.m. ET, ESPN, AdventHealth Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): 76ers 42-30/4-3 (29-39-4, 2-5); Rockets 44-27/4-3 (33-38, 4-3)
Line: NL

Line Analysis: The 76ers know they’ll be missing Ben Simmons this postseason, so they’re looking to figure things out. They’ll probably pass on doing so against the Rockets despite the national television audience.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Now that Russell Westbrook has been ruled out for the start of the postseason, the Rockets will need Eric Gordon to play a large role in order for them not to fall behind the Thunder. He looked spry in his return and should see a heavy workload. James Harden may play a half, while Danuel House looks like he’ll see minutes after missing time with a toe injury. Ben McLemore and Austin Rivers have picked it up and will be vital to staying afloat, so Mike D’Antoni has to balance keeping them in rhythm with limiting minutes so as to not expose his shorthanded team to injuries.

The Sixers want to get that Shake Milton/Josh Richardson backcourt more reps and will rely heavily on Alec Burks, so we could see Brett Brown push tempo and run with the Rockets. Raul Neto has been playing at a high level and we might get smallball out of necessity if Joel Embiid and Al Horford are given the night off. Mike Scott has been effective since being pressed into duty.

Handicapping Notes: The ‘under’ is 5-2 in Rockets games in the bubble as they’ve only scored 120 or more points in three of the seven matchups so far despite ranking second in the league behind the Bucks in points per game (118.1). Meanwhile, the high side is 5-2 in 76ers games, connecting in each of the last three contests. Philadelphia has averaged 119.7 points over its last three but has surrendered 126 in that same span. Houston won at home 118-108 on Jan. 3 in a game that stayed ‘under’ 227.5 by just 1.5 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Friday August 14
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Denver at Toronto (1:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS (12.10 ppg) off a 10+ point loss in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.


ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Miami at Indiana (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-8.41 ppg) off a road game where they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses.


OU Play OVER Trend of the Play:
Matchup: Philadelphia at Houston (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 11-0 OU (11.95 ppg) with less than two days rest off a loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.


OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Houston (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-12.60 ppg) off a loss as a favorite in which James Harden had a positive plus/minus.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, August 14

Connecticut @ Chicago

Game 673-674
August 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
106.048
Chicago
117.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 11 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5
171 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-5); Under

Seattle @ Dallas

Game 675-676
August 14, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
118.316
Dallas
102.907
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 5 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 12
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-12); Over

Atlanta @ Phoenix

Game 677-678
August 14, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
99.646
Phoenix
106.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 7
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 10 1/2
170
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+10 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, August 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (3 - 6) vs. CHICAGO (6 - 3) - 8/14/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (8 - 1) vs. DALLAS (3 - 6) - 8/14/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (2 - 7) vs. PHOENIX (5 - 4) - 8/14/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, August 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (12 - 8) at TORONTO (6 - 9) - 6:37 PM
TREVOR RICHARDS (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TREVOR RICHARDS vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

TANNER ROARK vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
ROARK is 2-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (6 - 9) at BALTIMORE (10 - 7) - 7:05 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. TOM MILONE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-30 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 7-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 6-0 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILONE is 53-39 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 32-22 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
STRASBURG is 79-41 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 17-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 111-230 (-63.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-113 (-40.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 67-156 (-60.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 67-155 (-54.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+3.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
STRASBURG is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.056.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

TOM MILONE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MILONE is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.49 and a WHIP of 0.818.
His team's record is 3-0 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (6 - 13) at NY YANKEES (12 - 6) - 7:05 PM
RYAN BRASIER (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

RYAN BRASIER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

GERRIT COLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
COLE is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (9 - 11) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 9) - 7:05 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. SPENCER HOWARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DEGROM is 17-19 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 2-7 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 12-17 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 73-86 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-7 (-9.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JACOB DEGROM vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DEGROM is 7-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 12-3 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-2.0 units)

SPENCER HOWARD vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (10 - 9) at DETROIT (9 - 7) - 7:10 PM
AARON CIVALE (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 194-152 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-63 (-36.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 120-99 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 137-107 (-23.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 63-78 (-31.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOVA is 18-10 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 14-10 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 13-7 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 10-6 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 56-120 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 28-64 (-26.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-64 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-31 (-19.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 159-186 (-54.4 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 25-57 (-27.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-35 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-94 (-34.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-62 (-26.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AARON CIVALE vs. DETROIT since 1997
CIVALE is 2-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.31 and a WHIP of 0.774.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.6 units)

IVAN NOVA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
NOVA is 3-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (4 - 13) at CINCINNATI (8 - 11) - 7:10 PM
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 83-98 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 62-97 (-30.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-10 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 430-390 (-85.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
GRAY is 24-37 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 38-42 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHAD KUHL vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
KUHL is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.395.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GRAY is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (11 - 9) at MIAMI (8 - 4) - 7:10 PM
KYLE WRIGHT (R) vs. PABLO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 110-77 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 99-78 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 164-133 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
ATLANTA is 102-60 (+37.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 154-107 (+39.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 44-30 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-8 (+12.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 96-82 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE WRIGHT vs. MIAMI since 1997
WRIGHT is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

PABLO LOPEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (8 - 11) at MINNESOTA (12 - 7) - 8:10 PM
JAKE JUNIS (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 113-71 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 76-44 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 89-51 (+22.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-0 (+4.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JAKE JUNIS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
JUNIS is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.695.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ODORIZZI is 3-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.382.
His team's record is 4-7 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (7 - 10) at CHICAGO CUBS (13 - 3) - 8:15 PM
BRANDON WOODRUFF (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-14 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
CHATWOOD is 18-5 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 91-79 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WOODRUFF is 24-8 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1887-1913 (-270.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1016-886 (-144.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 176-177 (-41.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1401-1428 (-207.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 929-955 (-201.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 240-231 (-55.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 916-831 (-151.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHATWOOD is 17-28 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WOODRUFF is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.11 and a WHIP of 1.528.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CHATWOOD is 4-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.033.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (8 - 9) at COLORADO (12 - 6) - 8:40 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. RYAN CASTELLANI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 5-23 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 86-93 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 56-57 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. COLORADO since 1997
LYNN is 3-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.5 units)

RYAN CASTELLANI vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (7 - 13) at HOUSTON (8 - 10) - 9:10 PM
YUSEI KIKUCHI (L) vs. FRAMBER VALDEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 32-29 (+10.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-55 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-32 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 (+0.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

YUSEI KIKUCHI vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KIKUCHI is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.690.
His team's record is 1-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
VALDEZ is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (13 - 7) at LA ANGELS (7 - 12) - 9:40 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. PATRICK SANDOVAL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 132-148 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 997-843 (-95.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 165-119 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 8-21 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KERSHAW is 6-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.009.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.4 units)

PATRICK SANDOVAL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (11 - 9) at ARIZONA (8 - 11) - 9:40 PM
DINELSON LAMET (R) vs. MERRILL KELLY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 81-101 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-46 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 63-63 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 953-854 (-107.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 670-617 (-87.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 5-2 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

DINELSON LAMET vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LAMET is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

MERRILL KELLY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KELLY is 4-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (13 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 12) - 9:45 PM
FRANKIE MONTAS (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-97 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 59-57 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-46 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CUETO is 41-20 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 109-71 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 95-73 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-11 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 128-89 (+36.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 135-99 (+29.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 109-56 (+31.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTAS is 16-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MONTAS is 15-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FRANKIE MONTAS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHNNY CUETO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
CUETO is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (2 - 3) at CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 9) - 8:10 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. ROSS DETWILER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ROSS DETWILER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DETWILER is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.628.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Friday August 14
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 13-0 SU since Jul 27, 2010 as a 140+ favorite off a road game in which they scored in at least five separate innings.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

--The Tigers are 0-15 SU since Jun 25, 2019 at home off a game as a dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 9-0 SU since Apr 28, 2018 when Jake Odorizzi starts at home when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga/Del Mar Wagering Strategies - 8/14/20

---

August 14, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga/Del Mar
Friday, August 14, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
*
*
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
*
The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
Today’s Best Plays:

Laurel Park – 7th race. Post Time: 3:58 PT
5 – Clear Vision (8-1) [OFF THE TURF, LATE SCRATCH]

Back at the scene of his debut maiden win in his first outing since February, and if the J. O’Dwyer-trained colt returns as well as he left he can spring a surprise in this first-level allowance middle distance affair. The barn’s “go-to” rider J. Toledo takes the call on this lightly-raced son of Artie Schiller, who has figures that fit and enough tactical speed to be within range in a race that should have soft early splits. There’s good value to be found in the win pool in Stronach-5 play (Leg A) at or near his morning line of 8-1.

*
Del Mar – 5th race. Post Time: 4:09 PT
3 – Raymundos Secret (9/5)

Makes her first start since last October for new trainer P. D’Amato and has a history of firing fresh, both in her runaway winning debut and in her first California appearance last summer over this course and distance following a six month vacation. Recent works have been superb and indicate she hasn’t lost a step, so this lightly raced but talented turf specialist should be hard to catch under top rider F. Prat in this second-level allowance miler. At 9/5 on the morning line she’s win play and logical rolling exotic single.

*
*
Saratoga Analysis/Wagering Strategies
*
RACE 1: Post 1:10 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Spanish Peaks; 7-Ain’t None Lucky

Forecast Indiana Downs shipper Spanish Peaks drops for the money run in this modest maiden $20,000 extended sprint for fillies and mares and catches a field without her kind of early speed. If the B. Cox-trained filly leaves cleanly from the rail, she should be able to establish the pace without pressure and be tough to catch, though at this extended sprint distance that final sixteenth of a mile will be interesting. Ain’t None Lucky is strictly the one to fear in the closing stages. The Maryland invader shows up in a seller for the first time, lands the cozy outside post, and has speed figures that are good enough to win. The daughter of Candy Ride might be most effective if held up early and then turned loose late. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with a very slight edge on top to Spanish Peaks.
*
*
RACE 2: Post 1:44 ET. Grade:
Use: 5-Tiple; 6-Notorious R B G

Forecast: We’re not certain Notorious R B G will offer at any real wagering value if she leaves close to her morning line of 7/5 but the race sets up nicely for the lightly-raced 3-year-old representing the powerful C. Clement/J Rosario team and with the class drop from the listed Lady Shipman S. to this first-level allowance event she certainly shouldn’t have any excuses. Apparently most effective when allowed to settle early and produce a late run, the daughter of Speightstown seems likely to enjoy the proper race shape to promote her style. Tiple has numbers that fit and is a perfect one-for-one over the local lawn, having won a restricted claimer last year with a strong late kick. Fresh from a career top score at Belmont Park in a starter’s allowance race, the Irish-bred filly will be motoring late, and with a bit of help up front and good racing luck should be heard from in the final furlong.
*
*
RACE 3: Post 2:20 ET. Grade: B
Single: 7-Mosienko

Forecast: Mosienko is a first-off-the-claim from an outfit that does very well with this particular angle, so the daughter of Hat Trick has a reasonable chance to repeat her convincingly win last month at Belmont Park while competing for this price in the softer nw-2 condition. She likes to settle and make a run and as such should be perfectly suited for this extended sprint trip under J. Rosario, who stays aboard for new trainer R. Falcone, and with the other main contender, Hefty G. an off-the-program scratch, we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single.
*
*
RACE 4: Post 2:54 ET. Grade: B+
Single: 5-Feel Glorious

Forecast: Feel Glorious makes her third start off a layoff and it should be her best. The improving English-bred filly finished a respectable third in the pace-less New York S.-G1 behind the high-class Mean Mary in her seasonal bow in June and then last month finished strongest but too late when third in the Matchmaker S.-G3 at Monmouth Park, a sharp effort that produced a career top speed figure. The C. Clement-trained daughter of Bated Breath has been kept on edge with a couple of slow and easy breezes since that race, is reunited with “win rider” J. Alvarado, and seems capable of producing a surprise at 5-1 on the morning line in this year’s edition of the Perfect Sting S. The pace of today’s race should be borderline creepy-crawler, so hopefully she won’t be given too much to do from the quarter pole home.
*
*
RACE 5: Post 3:28 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 4-New Frontier; 5-It’s a Wrap

Forecast: It’s a Wrap makes the all-important class drop from straight maiden to maiden claiming in his third start off a layoff and appears to have found a proper spot to earn his diploma in this abbreviated turf sprint for older horses. A repeat of his race-before-last when second beaten a neck at Belmont Park should be good enough to handle this lackluster field. New Frontier is a 14-race maiden and certainly not one to trust, but he has back numbers good enough to win and early speed in a race that has little of it. If the M. Maker-trained gelding clears without pressure, he could get brave, so we’ll reluctantly include him in our rolling exotics.
*
*
RACE 6: Post 4:04 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1a-Clench; 6-Life in Shambles

Forecast: Florida shipper Life in Shambles is a popular old pro with a winning spirit and the proven ability to fire a big shot fresh. First or second in 24 of 56 career starts (with 12 wins), the 9-year-old gelding makes his first start for the L. Rice barn while dropping to the $20,000 level. Given his late-running style, the son of Broken Vow should have every chance to tag the speed at this extended sprint trip, so with I. Ortiz, Jr. taking the call let’s put him on top and hope to get close to his morning line of 7/2. Clench is another dangerous class dropper with a strong look off his best effort. Fourth in a hot race here last month,, the B. Cox-trained son of The Factor has only one way to go – on the front end – and appears to be the most dangerous of the pace-types .
*
*
RACE 7: Post 4:41 ET. Grade: X
Single: 3-Fig Jelly

Forecast: At first glance Fig Jelly seems pretty solid in this restricted (nw-3) $35,000 claiming turf sprint; he’s 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower. However, his lifetime record (2 wins in 25 starts with 12 seconds) makes him very difficult to trust. The son of Forestry has never raced this cheaply but you can’t find his last win unless you look it up at equibase.com, (we did, it was July of 2018 at Belmont Park 15 races ago). Stakes-placed twice over this course and distance in his younger days, the B. Cox-trained 5-year-old arrives after missing by a neck in a second level allowance grass dash at Indiana Downs last month while earning a speed figure good enough to win today. The bottom line is that you can use him as a no-value rolling exotic single or simply pass the race.
*
*
RACE 8: Post 5:14 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Thorny Tale; 4-Tale of the Union; 5-Leaky Cup

Forecast: Tale of the Union regained his winning form with a confidence-building score last month at Belmont Park while earning a speed figure that makes him tough right back despite the one level class-hike. The lightly-raced son of Union Rags shook off his pace rivals in that race and likely will have to do the same today in a race that contains other speed types that should keep him occupied throughout. Still well regarded with further room to improve, the B. Baffert-trained colt gets the edge on top but certainly not as a slam dunk single at 8/5 on the morning line. Thorny Tale blew past ‘Union when the met in early June but a sloppy track may have muddled the form. Today, over fast going, the G. Weaver-trained colt should be able to do his best work from a second flight, stalking position, and given the projected race flow may be the last one standing in the final furlong. Leaky Cup has a prior win at Saratoga but it was accomplished over a sloppy track and it may well be that the Central Banker gelding requires a wet surface to maximum his abilities. He will assure a quick pace but we’re not really sure if he can clear the field and may need to do just that to win at this level.
*
*
RACE 9: Post 5:46 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1a-Value Engineering; 4-Mr. Alec

Forecast: The lightly-raced Mr. Alec, a facile winner in a mini-marathon here earlier this month vs. first-level allowance foes, faces tougher while moving up a level on the class ladder while shortening up to a mile and three-sixteenths, but the 4-year-glding seems on the verge of getting very, very good, as his recent stakes-quality speed figure would indicate. The C. Clement-trained son of Mr. Sidney has shown the ability to win as the controlling speed or from a pace-stalking position but given the pace projection we’ll be quite surprised if gate-to-wire tactics aren’t employed. Value Engineering missed at 4/5 when being worn down late while pressing the pace throughout over a mile and three-eighths last time out. He may be more effective at this shorter trip with patient handling so we’ll see if a change tactics is employed.
*
*
RACE 10: Post 6:18 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 8-Lucky Latkes; 9-Running On Entry; 10-Unicorn Sally

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in the finale, a state-bred maiden claiming turf miler for fillies and mares. Unicorn Sally had all kinds of trouble when eighth but beaten only four lengths in straight maiden company here last month and with a good trip today against this softer group the daughter of Point of Entry should be capable of producing the last run. Running on Entry, another Point of Entry filly and exiting the same race as ‘Sally, makes her second start off a layoff and her first in a claimer, and seems likely to step forward for a barn that has superior stats (from a small sample) with these angles. With decent early fractions to set things up and good racing luck she’ll be heard from late. Lucky Latkes has hit the board in both of her career starts with less than ideal trips and could easily be better than the form shows for C. Clement. While her morning line price (5/2 favorite) isn’t especially attractive, the daughter of Lookin At Lucky is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.
*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler

Aug 14 '20, 4:05 PM in 40m
NBA | Heat vs Pacers
Play on: Heat -110 at pinnacle

NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road teams off of a road loss as a small favorite lined 4 points or less are 470-354-13 57.0% ATS. -- Active on the Heat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Aug 14 '20, 7:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Mets vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies +200 at YouWager

1* on Phillies +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Aug 14 '20, 7:05 PM in 3h
MLB | WAS vs BAL
Play on: UNDER 9 -120

Free Total Annihilator On Nationals vs Orioles under 9 -120