Sunday 8/16/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDY LANG

Event: (7531) Ryan Blaney at (7532) Kyle Busch
Sport/League: MOT
Date/Time: August 16, 2020 3PM EDT
Play: Kyle Busch -125

Tough race to handicap as it’s their first time racing here, but Kyle is a great road course driver and has a several wins over his career. The last 4 races at Watkins Glen and Sonoma Kyle averages the second best finish in NASCAR with a 5.3 place finish. Blaney is averaging a finish of 13.5, but the big advantage I see here is starting position. On a track I believe it’s going to be tough to pass on Kyle has a huge edge starting near the front of the field where Blaney is going to be back in 24th. Normally I don’t take starting position into consideration at all, but I will this race as passing is going to be at a premium, and Blaney is going to have to race extremely well off the restarts, and in pit strategy just to break into the top 10. Kyle should be able to keep his car clean and run top 4 most of the day, and I think he’ll be there at the win trying for a win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 16

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WASHINGTON (7 - 11) at BALTIMORE (12 - 8) - 1:05 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 (+6.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.010.
His team's record is 8-6 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-7. (-1.5 units)

JOHN MEANS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (9 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 9) - 1:05 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 11-18 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 303-306 (+33.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
NY METS are 477-499 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
PORCELLO is 105-55 (+29.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 75-86 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-48 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PORCELLO is 3-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CLEVELAND (12 - 9) at DETROIT (9 - 9) - 1:10 PM
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. MICHAEL FULMER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 196-152 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-63 (-36.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 106-89 (-33.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 56-122 (-39.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 28-64 (-26.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-23 (-14.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-26 (-12.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-66 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-31 (-19.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 159-188 (-56.4 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 25-59 (-29.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-96 (-36.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-64 (-28.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 6-20 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 0-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

ADAM PLUTKO vs. DETROIT since 1997
PLUTKO is 4-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.034.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

MICHAEL FULMER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FULMER is 2-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 6.62 and a WHIP of 1.727.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-6. (-5.5 units)

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ATLANTA (12 - 10) at MIAMI (9 - 5) - 1:10 PM
ROBBIE ERLIN (L) vs. ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 111-78 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 100-79 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-9 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 103-61 (+37.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 154-108 (+38.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 97-83 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

ROBBIE ERLIN vs. MIAMI since 1997
ERLIN is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.790.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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KANSAS CITY (9 - 12) at MINNESOTA (13 - 8) - 2:10 PM
BRADY SINGER (R) vs. RANDY DOBNAK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 114-72 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 90-51 (+23.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-24 (+19.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 (+4.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

BRADY SINGER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SINGER is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

RANDY DOBNAK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DOBNAK is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (4 - 3) at CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 11) - 2:10 PM
DAKOTA HUDSON (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-35 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 42-15 (+29.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 50-24 (+18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 23-12 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 14-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-48 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
KEUCHEL is 10-19 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 (+2.9 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DAKOTA HUDSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KEUCHEL is 0-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.529.
His team's record is 0-4 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.6 units)

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SEATTLE (7 - 15) at HOUSTON (10 - 10) - 2:10 PM
JUSTUS SHEFFIELD (L) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 102-182 (-59.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
HOUSTON is 37-7 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 60-60 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-1 (+2.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

JUSTUS SHEFFIELD vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MCCULLERS JR. is 7-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 9-3 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.5 units)

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MILWAUKEE (9 - 10) at CHICAGO CUBS (13 - 5) - 2:20 PM
JOSH LINDBLOM (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 114-190 (-54.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
LESTER is 23-6 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 200-155 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 93-79 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1887-1915 (-272.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 415-341 (-86.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1016-888 (-146.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 176-179 (-43.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 952-942 (-168.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1401-1430 (-209.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 916-833 (-153.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

JOSH LINDBLOM vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LESTER is 5-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.234.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+5.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (12 - 9) at TORONTO (7 - 9) - 3:07 PM
YONNY CHIRINOS (R) vs. MATT SHOEMAKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 24-17 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 175-192 (-51.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 9-25 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

YONNY CHIRINOS vs. TORONTO since 1997
CHIRINOS is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.444.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 4-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.82 and a WHIP of 1.011.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

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TEXAS (10 - 9) at COLORADO (12 - 8) - 3:10 PM
KOLBY ALLARD (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 98-95 (+22.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 88-93 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 58-57 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ALLARD is 9-3 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

KOLBY ALLARD vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JON GRAY vs. TEXAS since 1997
GRAY is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.58 and a WHIP of 1.344.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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OAKLAND (15 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 14) - 4:05 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. LOGAN WEBB (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FIERS is 0-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

LOGAN WEBB vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WEBB is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.713.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (15 - 7) at LA ANGELS (7 - 14) - 4:10 PM
DUSTIN MAY (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 134-148 (-40.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 39-36 (-23.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 165-121 (+35.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
TEHERAN is 10-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 25-6 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 7-14 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 63-115 (-37.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DUSTIN MAY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-7 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.27 and a WHIP of 1.452.
His team's record is 1-8 (-7.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.5 units)

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SAN DIEGO (11 - 11) at ARIZONA (10 - 11) - 4:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 81-103 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 3-17 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 42-59 (-19.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-48 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 95-88 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-41 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 955-854 (-105.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 672-617 (-85.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
RAY is 2-9 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
RAY is 4-14 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-5 (+0.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
RAY is 5-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 9-8 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-9. (-2.0 units)

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BOSTON (6 - 15) at NY YANKEES (14 - 6) - 7:08 PM
CHRIS MAZZA (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

CHRIS MAZZA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 11-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 17-8 (+10.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-15. (-6.4 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRANDON LEE

MLB | Aug 16, 2020
Brewers vs. Cubs
Today's Free Pick - Chicago Cubs -119

Rating: 30*
Rot: 918
Time: 2:20 PM EST
Site (Opponent) : Home (Brewers)
Starting Pitchers: Lindblom (MIL), Lester (CHC)

This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago at home. Cubs will be motivated to finish up their series against Milwaukee with a split. They got just the guy on the mound to make sure they get the job done.

Veteran Jon Lester will toe the rubber for Chicago. He's got a sensational 1.06 ERA and 0.647 WHIP in his first 3 starts of 2020. Lester has allowed just 2 runs on 7 hits in 17 innings so far this season. He's also got a 2.97 ERA over 11 career starts against Milwaukee.

While Lester keeps the Brewers in check, the Cubs should be able to get their offense going against Milwaukee's Josh Lindblom. He's got a 5.68 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 3 starts. He's given up 8 runs on 14 hits (4 HRs) and 6 BBs in just 12 2/3 innings.

One last thing to note, Cubs are 36-12 (75%) over the last 3 seasons with Lester on the mound and they are listed as a favorite of -110 or more. Give me the Cubs -119!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SAL MICHAELS

MLB | Aug 16, 2020
Royals vs. Twins
Free Play on Twins -176

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Rolling Super High Five
Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 5:22P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * WHENDUCKSFLY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a lay off. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CIRCUS ACT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GLORY CALL: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SIERRA MELODY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	WHENDUCKSFLY	5/2	5/1
1	CIRCUS ACT	7/2	6/1
2	GLORY CALL	20/1	7/1
5	SIERRA MELODY	8/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	WHENDUCKSFLY	3	5/2	Front-runner	83	82	89.6	75.3	71.3
5	SIERRA MELODY	5	8/1	Front-runner	86	80	76.4	75.0	64.5
8	ADMIRABLY	8	4/1	Stalker	91	83	80.4	79.0	68.0
6	ALBANY FRONT	6	6/1	Stalker	75	73	68.2	73.7	62.7
2	GLORY CALL	2	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	94	83	73.8	73.6	61.6
1	CIRCUS ACT	1	7/2	Trailer	88	84	73.0	80.2	73.7
7	DARK PROOF	7	10/1	Trailer	76	77	66.3	74.0	68.0
4	INQUISITION	4	9/2	Trailer	77	78	43.4	76.0	67.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 4	$2 Daily Double (races 4-5) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box
Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $7,100 • Post: 8:06P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PERFECT JOE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRADE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DUBULL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designat ion or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PERFECT JOE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EMPTY TALK : Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	GRADE	6/5	5/1
4	DUBULL	4/1	6/1
7	PERFECT JOE	15/1	6/1
1	EMPTY TALK	2/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	PERFECT JOE	7	15/1	Alternator/Front-runner	73	67	73.2	49.8	44.3
2	GRADE	2	6/5	Stalker	78	71	78.0	67.6	64.1
1	EMPTY TALK	1	2/1	Stalker	70	74	63.0	63.0	55.0
4	DUBULL	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	67	46.1	67.9	62.4
3	STOP THE PARADE	3	20/1	Trailer	70	60	35.8	45.8	33.8
6	MAVERICK'S ACE	6	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	61	51.9	37.3	24.8
5	MY PEOPLE SING	5	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	59	42.0	43.8	35.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SEATTLE ENCOUNTER 5/2
# 3 CANNES 4/1
# 2 ROSAT 2/1

SEATTLE ENCOUNTER is the best wager in this race. His 77 average has this gelding with among the best speed figs for this event. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a very good shot. Ran a very strong last race. CANNES - This equine has to be bet on at the expected high odds. Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 73 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group. ROSAT - He has decent class ratings, averaging 85, and has to be given a shot for this event. Ordunarojas ought to be able to get this gelding to break out early in this competition.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 4:23pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#3 HE'S A GIZMO (ML=4/1)
#9 AMERICAN DRIVEN (ML=5/2)


HE'S A GIZMO - This gelding is most likely the strongest late runner in the field. This horse could be tough in today's contest, especially since Husbands rode last race out and now should be plenty familiar with this one. Recorded a nice turf number on July 5th at Woodbine. A repeat in this race, and this one has a great shot to win. AMERICAN DRIVEN - I expect this beautiful animal to astonish some fans this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 RED ASTAIRE (ML=2/1), #4 KING OF THE RING (ML=3/1), #1 MR. TODD (ML=6/1),

RED ASTAIRE - 2/1 is just too low of a price to take on this thoroughbred. KING OF THE RING - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of races. MR. TODD - Finished eleventh in his most recent effort with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - HE'S A GIZMO - Betting on this thoroughbred is a smart move. He possesses the best speed figure in grass routes.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 HE'S A GIZMO to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 79

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 TWELVE PERCENT 10/1
# 8 FILTHY RICH 8/1
# 9 CARTEL KIP 8/1

TWELVE PERCENT looks like the bet in here particularly if the morning line of 10/1 holds. This animal could upset this lot at a big price. With a nice class fig average of 89, has one of the best class advantages in this group. FILTHY RICH - Garnered a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. The average class fig alone makes this horse a solid choice. CARTEL KIP - Has performed soundly lately in short races, posting a nifty 78 avg speed rating. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in his last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

08/16/20, MTH, Race 8, 4.00 ET
08/16/20,MTH,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 16. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, For Each $1,000 To $10,500 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered InEligibility).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Nick the Cardshark	4-1	Peterson F	Delgado Jose H.	T	45.31	1.21/$1
098.5301	6	Corot(b-)	4-1	Lopez P	Hollendorfer Jerry	J	39.80	1.09/$1
096.4977	8	Sammy's Mineshaft	6-1	Mejia T B	Pimental John I.	F	45.31	1.21/$1
094.1920	1	Manolete	6-1	Maragh R R	Hawthorne Bobbi Anne		44.12	1.39/$1
093.6988	7	Refuseing	12-1	Garcia W A	Nunn Douglas	C	43.42	1.22/$1
093.6189	3	Missle Bomb	7/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Toscano. Jr. John T.	EW	45.31	1.21/$1
092.8540	2	Who's Out(b-)	8-1	Castillo I	Clark Tom A.		50.00	1.16/$1
092.7794	4	Struth	3-1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Lawrence. II James L.	L	45.31	1.21/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 35.90, ROI 0.92/$1

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Century Mile - Race #7 - Post: 8:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 53

Rating:

#2 SPANISH DIVA (ML=4/1)
#7 CLASSIC TARTAN (ML=3/1)


SPANISH DIVA - Looking at today's class rating, this pony is encountering an easier bunch than in the last race at Century Mile. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough outings since the vacation and should be fit. CLASSIC TARTAN - Was in a $12,500 Maiden Claiming race at Century Mile last time out. That affair had a class figure of 59 and she is moving down today. A certain win candidate. Look for this filly to show much better today. Last event at Century Mile finishing sixth on a track listed as good is no sign of her true ability. When a thoroughbred drops at least 5 pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but should make the difference.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PRINCESS PONTI (ML=2/1), #6 SECRET PROPOSAL (ML=6/1), #3 SARAHS ELEGANCE (ML=8/1),

PRINCESS PONTI - Just don't think she is worth the risk at the likely odds. SECRET PROPOSAL - Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this bunch off of that last rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. SARAHS ELEGANCE - Doesn't seem to be worth 8/1 this time out. Pass on her this time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 SPANISH DIVA to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/16/20, SAR, Race 1, 1.10 ET
08/16/20,SAR,1,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $72,000. (UP TO $12,528 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Stone Town	4-1	Alvarado J	Mott William I.	SFEL	36.81	1.29/$1
099.4095	1	School of Thought	7/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Brown Chad C.	J	33.50	1.15/$1
099.3932	6	Nevisian Sunrise	3-1	Ortiz J L	Brown Chad C.		25.69	1.31/$1
099.0646	3	Cantata	5/2	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		25.69	1.31/$1
097.0160	5	Family Time	15-1	Saez L	Romans Dale L.		25.69	1.31/$1
095.2635	2	Our Flash Drive	12-1	Rosario J	Casse Mark E.	WC	36.81	1.29/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.00, ROI 0.99/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 8/16/20

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August 16, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga
Sunday, August 16, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches.

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RACE 1: Post 1:10 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-School of Thought; 4-Cantata

Forecast: Two highly-regarded juvenile fillies comprise the main contention in the Sunday opener, an extended main track sprint that drew just six entrants. Cantata, a $950,000 Keeneland yearling purchase by Medaglia d’Oro from stakes winning Stoweshoe, has been impressive in the a.m. while showing good speed and athleticism in a series of drills that should have her fit and ready. Her Aug. 10 breeze (5f, 1:00.4b, fourth fastest of 14) was accomplished in company with Lutescoot N Boogie, who finished as respectable third in her debut earlier this week, with Cantata going the easier of the two and appearing best. With the barn’s “go to” rider R. Santana, Jr. taking the call, the Stonestreet Stable color bearer is playable at or near her morning line of 5/2. School of Thought, the morning line 7/5 choice, must leave cleanly from the rail but if the daughter of Empire Maker manages to avoid a troubled trip she should be prominent throughout with every chance. Though her pedigree suggests she’ll be better with more ground – and she trains like that will be the case – the $130,000 Keeneland purchase appears to have plenty of class and ability so we’ll include her as well.
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RACE 2: Post 1:44 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Chocolate Bar; 2-Complex System; 3-Seize the Hay

Forecast: Complex System, in the money in all three career starts when facing straight maiden foes, shows up in a seller for the first time in his first outing since early June, not a healthy pattern for sure. However, a steady, solid workout pattern at Monmouth Park may alleviate some fears that all is not right and the C. Brown barn hits at 25% with layoff runners such as this, so despite the mixed signals this colt – originally a $210,000 yearling purchase – certainly looks like the logical top pick though not offering much value at 8/5 on the morning line. Chocolate Bar has the blinkers off angle we like, is comfortably drawn inside, and should go better with the drop in class from straight maiden company last month at Keeneland. The Cairo Prince colt projects to enjoy a ground-saving trip from his inside draw and may prefer the patient tactics that resulted in a good runner-up try three races back. Seize the Hay is another class dropper likely to improve against this level of competition. He’s a deep closer with speed figures that fit, and if he can negotiate a clean trip from the rail he should be heard from late.
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RACE 3: Post 2:18 ET. Grade: C
Use: 2-Pick Up the Fone; 5-Lady C; 6-Our Lady of Loreto

Forecast: We’ll use three of the six entrants in this restricted (nw-3) $25,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares but otherwise pass the race. Lady C perhaps gets a very slight edge on top at 9/5 on the morning line based on a class drop to her lowest level ever and speed figures that are slightly stronger than the other two. But she doesn’t have to win. Pick Up the Fone, first or second in seven of 11 career starts, was beaten a half-length when runner-up in a similar affair here last month and not much more will be needed to handle this field. She’ll be on or near the lead throughout. Our Lady of Loreto probably is the quickest in the field and will try to take them as far as she can. She’s won two of her last three while on the front end in good style but on pure figures she has some improving to do.
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RACE 4: Post 2:54 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Lido Key; 6-Skye Snow

Forecast: Skye Snow, purchased as a yearling for $250,000, is being tossed away in this restricted (nw-2) $40,000 claimer for fillies and mares in her first start since April and just two races removed from a fairly decent maiden-special-weight score at Gulfstream Park in early March. She went a month in between works between late June and July so there may be an issue or two that comes with the package, but the M. Maker-trained daughter of Lemon Drop Kid clearly is good enough to beat this field if she has at least one good one left, so we’ll put her on top but question whether at 2-1 on the morning line she’ll be offering any real wagering value. Lido Key is dropping in class as well, but in her case she’s simply trying to find her proper level. Another daughter of Lemon Drop Kid, she has figures that fit and may be the one to fear most, but as a one-paced grinding closer she’ll need some help up front to have her best chance. In a race that should be treated cautiously, both can be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 5: Post 3:28 ET. Grade: X
Use: 1-Pillar Mountain; 6-Nakamura

Forecast: Nakamura finished third in the Elkhorn S.-G2 at Keeneland last month in a strong effort that earned a career top speed figure. He returns to the allowance ranks today over a course and distance that produced a sharp score last year, so we’re expecting the Animal Kingdom gelding to get back on track for the always-potent G. Motion/Johnny V. combo. He’s 9/5 on morning line but we suspect he’ll go lower. Pillar Mountain is another with a win over the local lawn on his resume, and while his recent form is uninspiring the Irish-bred horse is very competitive on numbers and is the one to fear most. Perhaps the switch to I. Ortiz, Jr. will help wake him up a bit. Both should be included in rolling exotics in a race that doesn’t offer much wagering value.
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RACE 6: Post 4:04 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Lost in Rome; 4-Breithorn

Forecast: Lost in Rome, in the frame in four of five career starts, has steadily rising speed figures and may finally be able to break through with a win after knocking on the door in his last pair. The sophomore gelding lacks gate quickness but at this extended sprint distance the son of Tale of Ekati might be able to wear down the leaders close home. Breithorn was third in the same race Lost in Rome exits, finishing just a head behind that one. The W. Mott-trained son of Into Mischief had a bit of a rough trip from the rail in that outing and is drawn better today, and in a field without much early speed he should find himself in a good stalking spot outside with every chance. In another lackluster betting affair, we’ll include both in our rolling exotics while otherwise passing the race.
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RACE 7: Post 4:40 ET. Grade: X
Single: 6-La Hara

Forecast: La Hara is listed as the even money favorite in this first-level allowance miler over the inner turf course and the lightly-raced gelding seems certain to go even lower than that after finishing second in a similar affair here last month in his first outing since October. The C. Brown-trained Irish-bred didn’t get the best of runs when beaten almost three lengths by the promising Colonel Liam in that affair but earned a career top speed figure in defeat, one that if repeated today should be more than good enough to win. We’ll make him a short priced rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
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RACE 8: Post 5:14 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Fierce Lady; 5-Letmetakethiscall; 6-Bertranda

Forecast: Here’s a challenging state-bred first-level allowance sprint for fillies and mares with a number of entrants quite familiar with each other. Fierce Lady, a close third as the favorite in a similar spot here last month in her first outing since February, may be a tad fitter today while retaining J. Rosario and rates a slight edge on top at 9/2 on the morning line. A stakes winner at two over the Saratoga main track, the daughter of Competitive Edge projects to be part of the pace, though she has scored from a mid-pack position so that option is available if the race flow dictates. Bertranda just edged Fierce Lady when the met last month and must be given a chance right back, although there’s a four pound shift in the weights in favor of ‘Lady. Letmetakethiscall has hit the board in each of her last six starts and should be in the fray again. She’s a quick veteran mare that probably is most dangerous when she’s on the lead, but she can stalk and pounce if necessary. She remains above her claim level in a sign of confidence and has speed figures that are quite similar to the other main contenders.
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RACE 9: Post 5:43 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Speaktomeofsummer; 2-Enola Gay; 3-Antoinette

Forecast: This year’s edition of the Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.-G1 came up light in number with just seven entrants but it’s an evenly matched group with no real front-running types. Antoinette may fall into the lead whether she wants to or not and given that role the daughter of Hard Spun has an excellent chance to steal the race at 6-1 on the morning line. A respectable third in the C.C.A. Oaks-G1 on dirt last month, she’s back on the lawn today and seems as good as any at the price. Enola Gay returned off a layoff to win the Appalachian S.-G2 at Keeneland in good style with an excellent display of late speed and should have no trouble with today’s extra three-sixteenths of a mile. She’s the logical favorite and one to beat. Speaktomeofsummer, winner of the Lake George S.-G2 at Keeneland last month, is a progressive daughter of Summer Front with a good stalking style. She’ll enjoy a ground-saving trip from the rail and have her chance from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 10: Post 6:18 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Yankee Empire; 3-Southern Bridge; 7-Dangerous Edge

Forecast: The finale is a messy restricted (nw-2) $40,000 claiming sprint that offers a number of possibilities. We’ll try to get by using just three, but best advice is to include as many as you can afford to. After nine distance races to begin his career, Southern Bridge runs short for the first time and may enjoy this trip. The class drop into a seller won’t hurt, either, so we’ll put the W. Mott-trained colt slightly on top. Dangerous Edge, an okay third in a tougher starter’s allowance sprint last month, earned his best speed figure to date and retains I. Ortiz, Jr. He’ll be within range throughout in a race that projects to have soft early splits. Yankee Empire broke his maiden for this price last month while earning a career top speed figure and with only slight improvement should be competitive right back.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Two MLB Picks & Horse Pick 8/16

Sun Aug 16, 2020
I lost with Cormier last night. Still a really nice month going winning 11 out of 15 days in August so far. Here's some picks for Sunday.

100* White Sox -150 (Keuchel)
100* Over 8.5 A's/Giants

Saratoga race 9
#2 Enola Gay $10 wps
$2 exacta box 2-1-6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING MLB

Sun Aug 16, 2020

METS (NYM) +125 PHILLIES (PHA) (1:05 PM)
MARINERS (SEA) vs. ASTROS (HOU) OVER 9.5 -110 (2:10 PM)