Sunday 8/23/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 09:22 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 23, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Hawthorne Racecourse has a 16-race card set for this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 13. The sequence will have a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

The driver with the hottest hands on Saturday was Casey Leonard with three wins. The top conditioner on the card was Mike Brink with 4 winners.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 13

1-Premier Desirey (4-1)-This barn has been going well and can send them out ready to fire hot off the bench.
4-Brownielicious (9/2)-Tough race to figure, Leonard steers and will use. May have found a field to beat and break maiden.
6-Sherri's Babe (7/2)-Not sure how much is the horse and how much has to do with the driver but this filly never seems to do it the easy way. Seems to have enough speed but pilot needs to use it at the right time.

Race 14

2-Lacarmeliliana (30-1)-Was racing well in 2 starts before a sick scratch on 8/15 and should be a large price. Fits if ready and could be forwardly placed from this spot.
4-Bad Medicine (4-1)-Ran off versus $6k claimers and now steps up and loses Wilfong to #10. Should fit with this group and Petrelli barn has been going well.
5-Unbroken Circle (4-1)-8-year-old mare has held her own versus 10k claimers having outside post draws. Has won 6 of 23 at Haw and should be in the hunt tonight.
10-Barley Nation (3-1)-Had an even effort at the Red Mile versus $12,500 claimers and now drops to level of previous 2nd place finish before shipping to Lexington. Post is an issue as may have to work hard to get on the engine and could be over bet.

Race 15

4-Double A Cash Hall (6-1)-Won last by 5 lengths and steps up like most in this field. Looks like a threat for top honors if within striking range at the top of the lane.
5-Pine Dream (2-1)-Drops out of Opens where there were mixed results. Should like the company and has had success here winning in 8 of 23 starts, but will need a good steer.

Race 16

4-Cassie Marie's T T (3-1)-Has finished 2nd in all 3 local starts and in last 2 has been the odds on favorite. First 2 tries were on an off track and last effort was a good one from the 8-hole. Looks like a player versus this crew.
6-Metaxas (10-1)-Will swing for a price and this filly has had an excuse in last 3 starts. Likes to come off of cover and Franco can make noise late if the trip is smooth.
8-Flirtnwithtrouble (5-1)-Warren's choice over #7 was off almost a month before racing on 8/16. Last line was better than it looked and did pace the last half in .55. This will be the 3rd start on Lasix and should be in the mix at a fair price.

.50 Late Pick 4

1,4,6/2,4,5,10/4,5/4,6,8
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 09:23 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Saratoga

August 23, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
You’d have to go to Breeders’ Cup Day to see a more compelling race than Saratoga’s Grade 1 Diana Stakes on Sunday. In fact, this is a good fillies and mares turf preview.

The 1 1-8th-mile turf race for fillies and mares has only six entrants, but the quality is off the charts. The Chad Brown-trained royalty of Rushing Fall and Sistercharlie will show up, but they will certainly have to work for it. in addition to having to outrun a stablemate, they’ll have to face the likes of the Kevin Attard-trained rags-to-riches success Starship Jubilee, the Graham Motion-trained pairing of Secret Message and up-and-comer Mean Mary, and the Christophe Clement-trained Call Me Love, who lost a photo to Starship Jubilee in her latest attempt.

The Diana is the third leg of an interesting Late Pick 4, and while the headliner has a short field, it’ll take a few numbers on the ticket to get that one. This week’s suggested play has four runners from the Diana: Rushing Fall, Starship Jubilee, Sistercharlie and Mean Mary and the cost is $54 with a 3x3x4x3 approach.

Here’s a look at the Late Pick 4 races:

Race 6 (4:09 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)
TOWERING GAZE showed a good closing move in two of three and is usable because of the interest in the stretch. There could be a speed collapse and he could benefit.
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH has had nine changes but comes in off her best performance. He closed well and lost by a head. Don’t think this one is a career maiden; she’s been in some fast races and her day will come. Maybe today’s the day.
SILENT EMPRESS has just one start and while she didn’t make an impact, she actually was a length closer at the end than she was at first call. This is not a great spot, so significant improvement is likely.

Race 7 (4:43 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)
LONE ROCK was rolling at the end of her last one and just missed against PETE’S PLAY CALL. LONE ROCK’s performance was a big wakeup call and she was claimed by Robertino Diodoro. Continued improvement is very possible with this barn.
PETE’S PLAY CALL’s performance in his last start was tremendous and opened up 3.5 lengths and lasted by a half-length in 1:15 2-5. His races all down the line were very quick and he was a strong player in many of them.
MOUNT TRAVERS makes his third start off an 11-month layoff and can put up a fight. He was in stakes races last year and fits here.

Race 8 (5:18 p.m. ET, Gr. 1 Diana Stakes)
RUSHING FALL is back to a two-race winning streak after doing the unthinkable for her: Losing two consecutive races, ending 2019 on a rare note. She’s back to doing what she does best and had a repeat victory in the G1 Jenny Wiley in her latest.
STARSHIP JUBILEE has won straight and went over $1 million in earnings when she won the G2 Ballston Spa. She continues to improve and should always be taken seriously. Her beginnings were humble, but she looks as good as they come.
SISTER CHARLIE was third to STARSHIP JUBILEE in the Ballston Spa and had won six straight until losing her last two. She was 2-to-5 in the Ballston Spa and hasn’t been above even-money since her win in last year’s Diana. It’s impossible not to know her capabilities.
MEAN MARY is the new kid in town and she’s has earned this shot at the best turf distaffers. She enjoys the front end and will attempt to back up the pace. That will be a best test, especially if RUSHING FALL goes with her.

Race 9 (5:51 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)
ALLIED INVASION was a closing third in his only start and can be expected to improve.
RINGGOOD has spent all of his time in maiden special weights races and takes his first drop to maiden claiming. He was close-up in his last one and will probably last much longer in this spot. Legit threat.
NERO’S FIDDLE was fourth in both of his races and with a rider change to Luis Saez can be closer to the action early, and that makes her a contender.

Saratoga Late Pick 4:
6) #1 Towering Gaze, #2 High School Crush, #5 Silent Empress.
7) #2 Lone Rock, #6 Pete’s Play Call, #7 Mount Travers.
8) #3 Rushing Fall, #4 Starship Jubilee, #5 Sister Charlie, #6 Mean Mary.
9) #2 Ringgood, #3 Allied Invasion, #5 Nero’s Fiddle.
50-cent Late Pick 4: 1-2-5 with 2-6-7 with 3-4-5-6 with 2-3-5 ($54).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 09:25 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #1

#5 Uptown Flirt	Mott miss was a good 3rd on debut, which gives her an important edge here, as several here have not started; look out.
#6 Black Sand	Expected chalk will be bet hard for Brown, and she's by all-world sire Dubawi, but the works here are light; trying to beat.
#3 Brynbella	Pletcher miss is by Flintshire, so she figures to have some talent, though this is only a 13% first-turf barn; tabbing today.
Race Summary	The experience edge the 5 has is a big one, as both the 6 and 3 are just getting acclimated to this game, so play her to win and place, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since she tipped her hand in her debut, and should only be that much tighter today.

Saratoga - Race #5

#5 Six Percent	Jerkens runner moved forward in his last, now makes the often pivotal third start of his form cycle, and could offer a hint of value as well; look out.
#1 Quiet Out East	Turf-to-dirt runner goes for a Bruce Brown barn having a strong meet, drops in class, and drew perfectly to save all the ground inside; huge chance.
#7 Cold Hard Cash	Rice runner got the job done in the MCL ranks off the break on Opening Day, so he figures, but the stretchout and bad post aren't ideal; mixed signals.
Race Summary	You should get fair value on the 5, and quite possibly a bit better than that 3-1 ML, which would make him playable in the win and place pools, though you can get some added value by keying him to end the early Pk5/Pk4, in the mandatory payout Empire 6, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since this is a wide open race, and he looks poised for a big run now that he's shakes the rust off in his last two.

Saratoga - Race #8

#1 Call Me Love	Clement miss stepped up and was a big 2nd in the local GII last time, drew perfectly, is reportedly training lights out, and will be a price too; can surprise.
#4 Starship Jubilee	Rock solid mare beat the pick last time, is 4-for-6 at the dsitance, and should trip out perfectly just off the speed, at a square price too; could double up.
#5 Sistercharlie	Two-time defending champ was short when 3rd to the top pair last time, so she'll move forward, though at 6 she could be a bit over the top; mixed signals.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like about the 1, most notably her price, post, and current form, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the mandatory payout Empire 6, late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she may fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add plenty of value to all three sequences, especially since it would be over a pair of Brown runners who will be bet hard (including the #3 Rushing Fall).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 09:25 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#3 Mistie Royale	Proved last out that she's still got something in those 11yo legs, and with any step forward in this second start off the break, she's right there.
#7 Secret or Not	Should appreciate the move back to the grass after that dull run last out, as she was an easy winner with similar two starts back and can work out a great trip.
#2 Seeing'n'believing	Tactical type is a decent fit here, but she hasn't won in quite some time and seems best used underneath tonight.
Race Summary	Mistie Royale is still knocking at age 11, and she's got some ability to sit in a good midpack spot. The class drop may be enough to get her home.

Mountaineer - Race #4

#6 Out Ona Limb	Should offer a fair price for a cold barn, and it's encouraging that she has been slowly heading in the right direction. Why not in a soft race?
#7 Ultra Diva	Gets Lasix for this second trip to post after showing little in the debut after a bad break, but off that effort at nearly 6-1, I wouldn't be champing at the bit to take 5-2 on this guy today in hopes that Lasix fixes everything.
#2 S S Alternate	Another adding Lasix for the first time, but this one brings some decent form into this and looks like the type who might be able to move up enough to score here.
Race Summary	Class hiker Out Ona Limb was slowly moving the right way earlier this year and is worth a look against the local company in a spot where the two ML chalks don't inspire a ton of fear.

Mountaineer - Race #7

#7 Miz Machen	Has a little bit of versatility and can get a really nice trip near the top here. She's facing a handful of class-rising types who may not offer fair value.
#3 Shezagoldgetter	Has always been fairly reliable, but she has really putting things together in recent starts and proved she could hang with winners right back off the maiden win.
#4 Power Forward	Owns some running lines that would surely win this, but it's tough to get that excited thinking about taking a 5-2 morning line offering on this one off a couple of no-show efforts.
Race Summary	Miz Machen should be in the mix from the start, and she stepped up nicely to factor with similar last time out. Thinking the 5/1 ML price is fair.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 09:26 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#3 Thunder Ride	Gave way late in the Mecke Stakes and returns to a better level for him, one in which he lost his last try for the price by a head. Solid chance on the front end.
#4 Louder Than Bombs	Was third in the G3 Canadian Turf two back and then ran up the track in the G3 Appleton. Classiest of this group but, needs to get back to good form and may have found his spot here.
#6 Noble Indy	Set the pace and tired last time in a race at Saratoga; he didn't pan out in New York but won his last Gulfstream appearance in March.
Race Summary	Thunder Ride has a good chance to get on the front end and has a chance to repel his rivals and hold on. Tried tougher last time and fits here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#5 Charge Account	Gets a good pace set up and will come rolling if he runs back to her last one; Panici is a good fit aboard.
#1 Panarea	Took a clear lead in the stretch and was caught last; has been good in five of his last six.
#3 Moon Pistol	Ran on for third last out and turns back in distance; should be able to make up some ground again.
Race Summary	Charge Account will get a decent trip off the pace and likely will be moving the fastest of all at the end.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#1 Battle of Blenheim	Went into the big fade in the Mecke Stakes in his first off the claim for Braddy and returns to that level; had won three of four just prior to failed in that stakes encounter.
#2 Projected	Was up in time last out and has taken two of his last three. Could get the perfect trip just behind the early leaders.
#8 Over the Channel	Is in good form and comes off a sharp win vs. state-bred company; capable of another big effort vs. open company.
Race Summary	Battle of Blenheim is back to a more familiar level and has a good chance to return to winning ways.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:27 AM

CAPPERS ACCESS

NHL Golden Knights
NBA Nuggets
MLB Phillies
MLB Rangers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:27 AM

MLB public betting, line movement for August 23
Patrick Everson

Manny Machado and the Padres go for a three-game sweep of the Astros on Sunday. San Diego is on a six-game winning streak, but it could be tough to get to seven against Houston's Zack Greinke.

MLB betting odds are on the board for a 14-game Sunday slate to wrap up the weekend. Interleague play highlights the day, with Zack Greinke and the Houston Astros taking on the San Diego Padres, and the Chicago White Sox and Chicago Cubs wrapping up a three-game set.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Padres put the brakes on the Astros’ nine-game winning streak, as San Diego won the first two games of this three-game set, including a 13-2 wipeout Saturday. The Padres are on a 6-0 spree, but will face a tough chore to make it seven against Greinke. Although the right-hander is only 1-0 through five starts, Greinke has a sterling 1.84 ERA heading into this 4:10 p.m. ET contest.

Most sportsbooks didn’t post a line Saturday night for Astros-Padres, awaiting word on who would start for San Diego.

The White Sox beat the host Cubs on Friday and Saturday, compiling 17 total runs in the process, and go for the sweep at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Despite the White Sox riding a seven-game win streak, Caesars sportsbooks pegged Yu Darvish and the Cubs a -181 favorite and ticked to -179 late Saturday night, with the White Sox at +164. First pitch is at 2:20 p.m. ET.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves play the 7:08 p.m. ET nightcap, with the host Braves going for a three-game sweep. Atlanta opened -123 favorite at Caesars and went to -121 late Saturday, with Philadelphia +111.

MLB public betting

The Consensus is a good gauge of where public betting is, and for Saturday’s games, it’s with the Dodgers. Los Angeles was landing 74 percent of early picks against the Rockies. Meanwhile, the Braves were taking 60 percent of early Consensus picks against the Phillies.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:27 AM

951MIAMI -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 60-34 SU (25 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

953BOSTON -954 BALTIMORE
BOSTON is 0-7 SU (-9.3 Units) in road games vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game in the current season.

955DETROIT -956 CLEVELAND
DETROIT is 2-12 SU (-13.4 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in the current season.

959TORONTO -960 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 71-49 SU (17.1 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

961MILWAUKEE -962 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 21-42 SU (-26.9 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

963MINNESOTA -964 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 49-34 SU (11.6 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

965CINCINNATI -966 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 13-4 SU (8.6 Units) in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

967CHI WHITE SOX -968 CHICAGO CUBS
CHI WHITE SOX is 14-6 SU (10.4 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

969LA ANGELS -970 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 7-0 SU (8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the current season.

971TEXAS -972 SEATTLE
TEXAS are 13-23 SU (-12.3 Units) in road games in August games in the last 3 seasons.

973HOUSTON -974 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 23-46 SU (-27.6 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

975ARIZONA -976 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-30 SU (-20.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

977PHILADELPHIA -978 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 98-82 SU (30.4 Units) in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.

979COLORADO -980 LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 8-22 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:27 AM

MLB

Sunday, August 23

National League
Miami @ Washington
Marlins (11-10):
Mejia is 0-1, 5.69 in two starts (6.1 IP) this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Miami lost nine of its last 13 games, after a 7-1 start.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Nationals (10-14):
Sanchez is 0-3, 8.50 in four starts this season he is 3-2, 3.35 in nine games (8 starts) vs Miami.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-4 Totals: over 3-1

— Washington is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
— Nationals lost six of their last seven home games.
— Over is 9-1 in their last ten games.

Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
Brewers (11-14):
Burnes is 0-0, 2.16 in two starts (8.1 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-12
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Milwaukee lost four of its last five games.
— Brewers won seven of their last 13 road games.
— Over is 7-4 in Milwaukee’s last 11 games.

Pirates (6-17):
Brubaker is 0-0, 9.00 in two starts (6 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Pirates lost five of their last eight games, but won last two days, scoring 19 runs.
— Over is 6-2-2 in their last ten games.

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Phillies (9-14)
Eflin is 0-1, 6.43 in three starts this year; he is 3-3, 3.66 in seven starts vs Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Philly lost their last five games.
— Phillies lost six of their seven road games this season.
— Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games.

Braves (16-11):
Tomlin allowed two runs in four IP (51 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Braves won five of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 9-3 at home this year.
— Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.

Cincinnati @ St Louis
Reds (11-14):
Mahle is 0-0, 1.80 in two starts (10 IP) this year; he is 1-2, 5.00 in five starts vs St Louis
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Cincinnati lost six of its last ten games.
— Reds are 6-7 on the road this season.
— Under is 5-2-1 in the Reds’ last eight games.

Cardinals (8-8)
Ponce de Leon is 0-2, 6.43 in two starts (6.2 IP) this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— St Louis is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
— Cardinals won four of their six home games this season.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Colorado @ Los Angeles
Rockies (13-14):
Senzatela is 3-0, 3.19 in five starts this year; he is 2-2, 6.39 in seven games (5 starts) vs Los Angeles
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 4-1

— Rockies lost 11 of their last 13 games.
— Colorado lost its last five road games.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.

Dodgers (21-8)
Stripling allowed 13 runs in 7.2 IP in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Dodgers won 11 of their last 15 games.
— LA won their last six home games.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine Dodger home games.

Arizona @ San Francisco
Diamondbacks (13-15):
Weaver is 1-3, 9.16 in five starts this season; he is starts vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Arizona lost its last four games, scoring five runs.
— Diamondbacks are 5-9 in their last 14 road games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Giants (13-16):
Cahill is 0-0, 1.59 in two starts (5.2 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Giants won their last five games.
— SF is 7-6 at home this season.
— Over is 9-2-1 in Giants’ last 12 home games.

American League
Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Blue Jays (13-12):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Blue Jays are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— Jays won seven of their last nine road games.
— Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

Rays (18-10):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Rays won nine of their 13 home games.
— Over is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games.

Detroit @ Cleveland
Tigers (10-15):
Skubel allowed four runs in two IP (52 PT) in his MLB debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Detroit lost 11 of its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 6-6 on the road this season.
— Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Detroit lost 21 of its last 22 games with Cleveland.

Indians (17-10):
Carrasco is 2-2, 3.71 in five starts this year; he is 11-8, 3.56 in 29 games (23 starts) vs Detroit.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-1-1

— Cleveland won 11 of its last 15 games.
— Indians are 7-5 at home this season.
— Under is 19-7-1 in Indian games this season.

Boston @ Baltimore
Red Sox (9-19):
Godley is 0-2, 8.79 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: 2-2

— Red Sox won three of their last four games.
— Boston lost nine of its last 12 road games.
— Over is 7-5-1 in their last 13 games.

Orioles (13-14):
LeBlanc is 0-0, 9.56 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 2-1-2

— Orioles lost six of their last seven games overall.
— Baltimore lost 11 of their last 13 home games.
— Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Twins (18-10)
Wisler threw two scoreless innings (30 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Twins won seven of their last ten games.
— Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Royals (11-16):
Bubic is 0-3, 5.59 in his first four MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-4 Team in first 5 innings: 0-4
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Royals lost five of their last eight games.
— KC won six of its last eight home games.
— Under is 8-0-1 in their last nine games.

Texas @ Seattle
Rangers (10-16):
Minor is 0-3, 8.35 in his last four starts; he is 4-4, 4.40 in 13 games (10 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-4
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 4-1

— Texas lost its last seven games.
— Rangers lost 10 of their 13 road games.
— Over is 7-0 in their last seven games.

Mariners (10-19):
Dunn is 1-1, 8.40 in four starts this year (15 IP).
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 3-1

— Seattle lost 15 of its last 21 games.
— Mariners are 6-8 at home.
— Under is 7-6-1 in their home games.

Anaheim @ Oakland
Angels (9-19):
Bundy is 3-2, 2.48 in five starts this year; he is 4-1, 3.49 in 7 games (6 starts) vs Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Angels are 7-16 in their last 23 games.
— Halos lost seven of their last nine road games.
— Over is 9-2-2 in their last 13 games.

A’s (19-9):
Montas allowed nine runs in 1.2 IP in his last start- he was 2-1, 1.57 in his first four starts. He is 2-0, 2.87 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Anaheim.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Oakland won 16 of its last 21 games.
— A’s won nine of their last ten home games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games

Interleague
White Sox @ Cubs
White Sox (17-11):
Cease is 4-0, 3.47 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Chicago won nine of its last 12 games overall.
— White Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Cubs (16-10):
Darvish is 4-0, 1.04 in his last four starts,
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Cubs lost three of their last fiour games.
— Chicago won 11 of its 18 home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Houston @ San Diego
Astros (15-12):
Greinke is 1-0, 0.44 in his last three starts; he is 13-3, 2.37 in 25 starts vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: under 3-1-1

— Astros won nine of their last 12 games.
— Houston lost seven of its last nine road games.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Padres (17-12)
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— San Diego won its last six games.
— Padres are 10-4 at home this season.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:28 AM

MLB

Sunday, August 23

Trend Report

Miami @ Washington
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
Boston is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Chi White Sox @ Chi Cubs
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games

LA Angels @ Oakland
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games
Oakland
Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games at home

Houston @ San Diego
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Texas @ Seattle
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
Colorado is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Colorado

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:28 AM

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz 8/23/20 - NBA

The Denver Nuggets look to even their NBA Western Conference best of seven quarterfinal series with the Utah Jazz in Game 4 on Sunday. Denver lost to Utah 124-87 on Friday in Game 3 to fall behind 2-1 in the series. In the loss, Denver committed 17 turnovers and shot just 37.5% from the floor, hitting just 12 of their 38 shots from three-point territory. Nikola Jokic was the leading scorer in the loss with 15 points.

Nikola Jokic is leading Denver in scoring and rebounding with averages of 24.0 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. Jamal Murray is the second-leading scorer and leader in assists with averages of 20.7 points and 6.3 assists per game. Denver has four players averaging double-figures in scoring.

Utah's point guard Mike Conley was in quarantine for 4 days but returned for Friday's game and led the Jazz with 27 points. Conley had been put into the quarantine after leaving the NBA bubble to see the birth of his son and returned on Monday. Rudy Gobert scored 24 points for Utah and pulled down a team-high 14 rebounds, while Donovan Mitchell scored 20.

Donovan Mitchell is leading Utah in scoring with an average of 35.7 points per game, while Rudy Gobert is the leading rebounder with an average of 9.3 per game and Joe Ingles is the leader in assists with an average of 6.7 per game. Mike Conley is second in scoring with an average of 27.0 points per game and one of six players for Utah averaging double figures in scoring.

Recent Betting Trends

Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5
The OVER has cashed in 10 of the Nuggets last 11
Utah is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 versus an opponent from the Northwest division
The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Jazz last 9

Free NBA Pick: Utah Jazz -3

Utah will take a commanding 3-1 in this series on Sunday with a victory in Game 4. The Jazz have too many weapons for the Nuggets to contain as Mike Conley has returned and the point guard led Utah in scoring in Game 3. In addition, Donovan Mitchell is averaging over 35 points per game in this series and Rudy Gobert is pulling down his double-digit rebounds per outing. Final Score Prediction, Utah Jazz wins and covers ATS 112-107

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:28 AM

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets 8/23/20 - NBA

The Toronto Raptors look to clinch their NBA Eastern Conference quarterfinals best-of-seven series on Sunday when playing the Brooklyn Nets in Game 4. The Raptors took a 3-0 lead in the series following a 117-92 rout over the Nets on Friday. Pascal Siakam was the leading scorer for Toronto in the victory with 26 points and the Raptors have now won seven straight and nine of 10 since the restart.

Fred VanVleet is leading Toronto in scoring during the postseason with an average of 25.3 points per game and is the leader in assists with an average of 8.7 per game. Kyle Lowry is the leading rebounder with an average of 8.7 per game. Toronto has six players averaging double-figures in scoring in the playoffs.

Brooklyn lost its fourth straight when falling to the Raptors on Friday. The Nets were led in the loss by Tyler Johnson with 23 points, while Caris LeVert chipped in with 15 points and Chris Chiozza added 14. Jarrett Allen posted a double-double in Games 1 and 2 but did not score but pulled down 17 boards in the Game 3 loss.

Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot is the leading scorer for Brooklyn with an average of 17.7 points per game, while Jarrett Allen is the leading rebounder with an average of 14.7 per game and Caris LeVert is the leader in assists with an average of 10.7 per game. Brooklyn has six players averaging double-figures in scoring.

Recent Betting Trends
Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12
The UNDER has cashed in 8 of the Raptors last 12
Brooklyn is 5-2 ATS in its last 7
The UNDER has cashed in 5 of the Nets last 6 versus Toronto

Free NBA Pick: Brookyn Nets +13

Brooklyn has its back against the wall entering Game 4 as the Nets must win or be eliminated. Brooklyn will bounce back with a strong effort and cover but fall short straight up. The Nets have covered the number in five of their last seven and eight of their last 12. Toronto will suffer a slight letdown looking ahead to its next series, but will win SU nonetheless. Final Score Prediction, Toronto Raptors win but fall short ATS 111-104.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:28 AM

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks 8/23/20 - NBA

The LA Clippers look to take a commanding lead in their best of seven NBA Western Conference quarterfinal series on Sunday when playing the Dallas Mavericks in Game 4. The Clippers defeated the Mavericks 130-122 in Game 3 on Friday to take a 2-1 lead in the series. Kawhi Leonard was the leading scorer for the Clippers with 36 points and pulled down nine rebounds and handed out eight assists.

Kawhi Leonard is leading the Clippers in scoring and rebounding with averages of 33.3 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. Lou Williams is the leader in assists with an average of 5.7 per game and Paul George is the second leading scorer with an average of 17.3 points per game. The Clippers have four players averaging double-figures in scoring.

Dallas faces a critical Game 4 as the Mavericks cannot afford to go down 3-1 in the series. Luka Doncic sprained his ankle on Friday and his status is questionable for Sunday's outing. Doncic posted a triple-double before hurting his ankle. Kristaps Porzingis scored a team-high 34 points and pulled down 13 rebounds while Tim Hardaway Jr and Seth Curry each scored 22 points.

Luka Doncic is leading Dallas in scoring and assists with averages of 27.7 points and 8.7 assists per game. Kristaps Porzingis is the second leading scorer and leading rebounder with averages of 23.7 points and 8.7 assists per game. Dallas has four players averaging in double figures in scoring.

Recent Betting Trends

LA is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 versus Dallas
The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Clippers last 9
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5
The OVER has cashed in 6 of the Mavericks last 8

Free NBA Pick: Over 220

The LA Clippers will defeat Dallas on Sunday in Game 4, but the play here is OVER. The OVER has cashed in six of the Mavericks last eight. In addition, the OVER has cashed in seven of the Clippers last nine and in each of the last two of this series between the two Western Conference rivals. Final Score Prediction, LA Clippers win but our best play is OVER 125-115

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-23-2020, 10:29 AM

Celtics vs 76ers 8/23/20 - NBA

The Boston Celtics will go for the sweep when they take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday afternoon from the Walt Disney World Resort. The third-seeded Celtics have done it with defense, holding the 76ers to an average of 98.7 points through the first three games of this series. On Friday, Boston used a game-ending 10-0 run to score a 102-94 victory.

Boston G Kemba Walker tallied a game-high 24 points on 10-for-20 shooting and pulled down eight rebounds. Jaylen Brown contributed 21 points and seven rebounds for the Celtics.

The Philadelphia 76ers are playing without All-Star G Ben Simmons (knee) and are looking at an offseason that should bring changes. In Game Three, Philadelphia missed 30 of their 39 three-point attempts and shot a woeful 30 percent from the field overall. The 76ers won the battle on the boards by a 57-45 margin and turned the ball over 12 times in defeat.

All-Star C Joel Embiid led all scorers with 30 points and converted 14 of his 16 free-throw attempts. Tobias Harris added 15 points and 15 rebounds in a losing effort for the 76ers.

Recent Betting Trends

Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Over is 11-5-1 in Celtics last 17 games as a favorite.
Over is 11-2 in 76ers last 13 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 7-3 in 76ers last 10 games as an underdog.

Free NBA Pick: OVER 213

Boston G Gordon Hayward suffered a Grade 3 right ankle sprain and is expected to miss the next few weeks. The Celtics will close this series out and they are my lean to cover. The stronger play is on the over. Final Score Prediction, Boston Celtics win in high scoring over game 114-106.