Tuesday 8/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-24-2020, 10:53 PM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
THE LEGEND!
FREE NHL PICKS
Bruins vs Lightning
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICK: Bruins -110

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-24-2020, 10:53 PM

VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!
FREE MLB PICKS
Pirates @ White Sox
TIME: 8:10 PM EST
PICKS: OVER 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-24-2020, 10:54 PM

Red Dog Sports

Aug 25 '20, 1:30 PM in 14h
Soccer | Khimki vs Arsenal Tula
Play on: Arsenal Tula +111 at jazz

Tula +111
The free soccer play takes place in Russia on Tuesday.
Khimki 0
Tula 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-24-2020, 10:55 PM

Sean Murphy

Aug 25 '20, 7:10 PM in 20h
MLB | MIN vs CLE
Play on: UNDER 8 -106

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday.
I'm expecting another low-scoring affair between the Twins and Indians on Tuesday night at Progressive Field. Veteran Rich Hill will take the ball for the Twins. His numbers are downright ugly but he's made just two starts so far this season - one good and one bad. I do expect to see some positive progress from Hill in his third outing of the campaign, noting that he'll be up against an Indians club that entered last night's action ranked T26th in runs per game and 29th in team batting average. What more can be said about Indians ace Shane Bieber's red hot start to the season? He's 5-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 0.76 WHIP, not to mention a 65:6 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The Twins offense has fared better than the Indians but they'll be in tough against Bieber on Tuesday. Take the under (8*).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 07:00 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 25, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
There are 11 races scheduled on the Tuesday night card at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 8 and it will be my focus. Looking to stay on a roll as there was a nice return ($127.13) on our 0.20 Pick 5 ticket last night.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Highland Mowgli (2-1)-Lands in a soft spot after facing very tough company in the last 4 starts. Looks the best but did break stride in one race and starting from the rail can be an issue for a young trotter, so using 2 others as well.
3-C My Kicks Hanover (4-1)-Broke in last and might be handled more conservatively. But will respect the McClure-Blais combo.
4-Four Wheelin (5/2)-If #1 doesn't mind his manners this is probably the one who will be posing. Has been racing from the back and also has faced some tough foes. This could be the time to leave, sit a 2-hole trip and rally in the late going.

Race 9

1-Walter Mitty (8-1)-Beat easier at GrVr but fits with these. Has faced better and finally draws inside, could be a player at a price.
2-Lyons Pegasus (3-1)-Has been used hard off the gate in last few, now drops and Harris should have options. O-13 this year and it's hard to be too confident but this is a spot to shine and take 1st picture of 2020.
6-Machin A Trip (5-1)-Another who beat easier and took the long way around to do so. This will be more difficult but should be in the mix. Has good gate speed and McClure can leave or come off cover at a square price.

Race 10

4-Moana (5/2)-Reunited with JMac and has done well facing this kind. Beat #5 when she broke on 8/10 and this looks like a 2-horse race.
5-Pier Ho Kado (4-1)-Has made 3 starts this year all at different tracks. Is greener than #4 having made only 6 lifetime starts but shows ability. Should be right there as long as minds manners.

Race 11

2-P L Matt (5/2)-One of only 2 in this field that comes off a win and when Matt gets good he can stay that way for a while. If pilot works a nice trip it wouldn't be a surprise if another picture takes place tonight.
6-Hemi Seelster (15-1)-Will take a swing for a big price. Filion may blast out and get a pocket ride. Winner in 9 of 53 starts here will need best but veteran could surprise.
9-Derf Hanover (3-1)-Takes a big step down and at this level McNair probably looks to get on the engine and not look back. Should be tough to beat if dialed on high.

0.20 Late Pick 4

1,3,4/1,2,6/4,5/2,6,9
Total Bet=$10.80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 07:00 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Finger Lakes - Race #1

#5 Tellmeafookystory	PID invader didn't run an inch on the fake stuff to end 2019 but won here off works to start 2019, and Conway is white hot to start the meet, so in a race there for the taking, he looks primed to have a big say; call to come back running.
#8 U Call Me Alex	The horse to beat has a recency edge on the pick and was a good 2nd last time, but this wide draw did him no favors, and he'll be overbet too, especially when you see he hasn't won a race in almost two years; trying to beat on top.
#1 Petrocelli	Well drawn runner started out the local season in good form last year before tailing off, and while he hasn't been seen since September, the fact he ran well here early in the meet says he may be able to get a slice here; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	That 6-1 ML on the pick seems mighty ambitious, especially with the way Conway started the meet on fire, but even 7-2 or so seems fair on a runner who you know likes it here, so play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk4, as there's nothing to fear here, and yet he could offer a hint of value.

Finger Lakes - Race #2

#9 Golden Galaxy Girl	Class riser just blasted N3L foes in her second start of the year, meets a pair of sketchy favorites on the rise, and yet, she may be a square price at the window; love her chances to double up.
#4 Stabilize	Class riser was up in time to win a N2L last time and a repeat puts her in the mix here, but that was in October, so she could need this, not to mention the pick is in raging form; second-best.
#6 Peggy Sue	Dicey contender was the 5-2 favorite in an ALW, was a dismal 7th, and is now in for 5k, so sure, she could still beat this reduced group, but there's no way you can trust her; tread lightly here.
Race Summary	Unlike the 4 and 6, the 9 doesn't have any questions about her status off the long layoff or her current form, as you know she's better than ever, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some additional value by keying her in the early Pk4, as she tipped her hand with the win last time, and even though this group is tougher, there's no reason to think she's slowing down today.

Finger Lakes - Race #6

#1 Ganondagan	Price player seems to be finding her form and was a much-improved 2nd last time, and while the rail is no bargain in a big field, there's enough risk-reward to find out; can surprise.
#7 Von Aldenbruck	Heavy hitter was 2nd, beaten just a head last time, in a very key race too, so if he can run back to that he'll be a real handful here, though the price will be a short one; second-best.
#12 Papa Tom B	Logical sort will be right there if he runs back to the fast 2nd last time, but note he blew a 4-length late lead in a career-best effort, so regression could be in the cards; not sold on.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 1, and it needs to be because there are some hurdles here, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win over the 7 and 12 would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 07:01 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #3

#7 Unbridledselection	Has had eight chances, but he's in the best, most consistent, form of his career and can get a great pressing trip from the outside.
#1 Northern Ridge	Turned in a decent effort in the first lifetime dirt try, but the rail draw will force him to work out a trip. The upside is that he's not exposed after just two starts and only has about a length to turn on the top choice.
#4 Strong Heart	Pace finished ahead of both of the listed top pair, but the barn has been ice cold, so I wouldn't be too thrilled about taking a short price here.
Race Summary	Unbridledselection gets the edge in a rematch between these top three, as he draws the best outside and can get the perfect kind of pressing trip.

Mountaineer - Race #5

#5 High Score	Exits a couple of modest efforts at Indiana Grand, but he has shown a little bit of chasing pace in both of those starts and might be able to turn a forward trip into a score here.
#2 Flug	Ran a good one at 23/1 in the local debut, and even though the price gets much shorter today, he's an obvious player if he's able to hold that form right back.
#4 Grazed My Biscuits	Has some upside with just the one career try under his belt, and he tracked the pace nicely that day before coming up empty in the final eighth.
Race Summary	High Score might be a decent fit with the locals, and he owns enough early pace to get in the mix with these. The 6/1 ML price would seem plenty fair.

Mountaineer - Race #7

#5 Pflash of Red	Won't be much of a price with these, but he'll add Lasix for this one while meeting a softer bunch than he faced in the Oaklawn debut run.
#2 Americain Joey	Has had nine chances, but his last at Belterra was a wake-up call, and something similar to that would keep him in the mix.
#6 He's a Momma's Boy	Stayed on a little bit better when trying the locals for the first time, and he might be quick enough to find a spot near the top early and hang around for a piece at a price.
Race Summary	Pflash of Red faced better in the Oaklawn debut try, and he can probably get another good trip right up near the splits. Guessing he'll stay better with Lasix.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 07:02 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1

#5 APRIL AVA	In top form, faces better, will need A-game.
#3 TOUCHAMATIC	Won last three from post 4 inward, nearing $500k.
#4 PACE BABY PACE	Parked long way at Scioto as 4-race win streak ended.
Race Summary	April Ava buried lesser rivals two starts ago locally, but couldn’t reach the pace setter when second at Scioto Downs after a :55.2 back half. She meets quality field at unproven level but offers plenty of betting value.

Pocono Downs - Race #1

#1 MIGHTY SURF	Mare has ingredients to pull of upset, early position the key.
#2 ADAGIO DE LA TOUR	Can make maximum use of his speed, driver’s choice of three.
#4 MAGIC VACATION	Ran second twice in July at a comparable level to this.
Race Summary	Mighty Surf earned the top recent speed figures in the field from outside posts against better rivals. Suspect she’ll be asked for more speed off the gate to get position in a field that lacks it. Play 1-2 and 1-4 exactas.

Pocono Downs - Race #4

#4 INAPERFECTWORLD	Second at big prices in last pair, can eclipse $100,000 in earnings.
#9 ALEXANDER HANOVER	Speed to get position and last a long way despite post 9 starting spot.
#5 O JONNIE	Chased 1-to-9 winner two back at this level, use in all gimmicks.
Race Summary	Inaperfectworld ran second to the 2-to-5 favorite two starts back at this level, then passed the 2-to-5 favorite at Harrah’s Philadelphia to finish second again last week. Play a 4-5-9 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 07:03 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #1

#4 Reelfoot	Came up short in his first local attempt and can turn it around here; well handled and ready for a much-improved effort.
#3 Not Now Rand	Ran on well and finished second at Churchill Downs. Makes his first for Patrick, who claimed him in his latest. Tough late when he fires.
#1 Papajudgy	Has speed and the rail and has a good chance to control the pace; could get clear and if he does will be difficult to catch.
Race Summary	Reelfoot was pressed to keep up last time and has a good chance at a more relaxed run here; can run them down in this spot.

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#2 Balandeen	Ran well in three of his last four and can score with a well-timed move; makes his fourth start of the year and can run on late.
#1 Restoring Hope	Tired and finished fourth in his first since September; was third in the Wood Memorial in 2018 and his only win came in an optional claiming race last year. Has raced for Baffert and Jason Servis in the past and makes his second for Calhoun.
#6 Better Charge It	Lost a photo in a solid allowance race two back and won an optional claiming race the race just prior to that; has done his best running over this strip this year.
Race Summary	Balandeen has a decent closing move and can stay within range; can be there in the end.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#10 Fever Temple	Ran on for third and fourth in his last two, keeps hot-riding Parker and gets a good pace set-up.
#6 Comes N Threes	Has shown a liking for the Indiana Grand turf hit the board in his last two; late threat.
#1 Leading the Charge	Was third in a stakes race last time, can be in a forward spot throughout and can be difficult to catch.
Race Summary	Fever Temper has improved on turf and can get the distance vs. these; can make his move earlier and can engage in the stretch. Due for another victory.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 09:06 AM

NBA public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 25
Patrick Everson

Luka Doncic and Kawhi Leonard square off in Game 5 Wednesday night, when the Mavericks take on the Clippers. The series is tied at 2, and The SuperBook has Los Angeles -6.5 for Game 5.

NBA betting odds heat up as the schedule slims down for a conference quarterfinal Tuesday. Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks land in the prime-time spotlight against the Los Angeles Clippers, preceded by the Utah Jazz against the Denver Nuggets.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

The Mavs-Clippers series is tied at 2 after Luka Doncic’s buzzer-beating 3-pointer in Game 4 gave Dallas a 135-133 overtime win Sunday. West No. 2 seed Los Angeles opened as a 6.5-point Game 5 favorite at The SuperBook, and that line was stable Monday night for a 9 p.m. ET Tuesday tipoff.

In a 6:30 p.m. ET start, the sixth-seeded Jazz can finish off the third-seeded Nuggets in Game 5. The SuperBook opened the Jazz -3, and that line also hadn’t moved by Monday night.

NBA sharp money

Reyna Hernandez, manager at The SuperBook, said the book saw some sharp action on Jazz-Nuggets Over 220.5, nudging the total to 221 Monday night.

NBA public betting

Hernandez said The SuperBook wasn’t seeing much early public play, though Mavs-Clippers will surely get a lot more popular as game time draws closer, particularly after Sunday’s entertaining game. The Consensus indicated two-way play on both games, though with a lean to both underdogs: the Mavericks were landing 57 percent of picks and the Nuggets 55 percent through Monday night.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 09:06 AM

713UTAH -714 DENVER
UTAH is 21-9 ATS (11.1 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

715DALLAS -716 LA CLIPPERS
DALLAS are 36-19 ATS (15.1 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 09:07 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 25

Utah @ Denver

Game 713-714
August 25, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
115.862
Denver
116.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 3
221
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+3); Over

Dallas @ LA Clippers

Game 715-716
August 25, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
114.850
LA Clippers
126.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 12
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 6 1/2
235 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-6 1/2); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 09:09 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (47 - 29) vs. DENVER (47 - 30) - 8/25/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 98-77 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-7 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (45 - 34) vs. LA CLIPPERS (51 - 25) - 8/25/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 42-33 ATS (+5.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 88-71 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 78-59 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 79-53 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 73-52 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 74-52 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 72-58 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 244-299 ATS (-84.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-6 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-25-2020, 09:10 AM

NBA

Tuesday, August 25

Trend Report

Utah @ Denver
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 12 games

Dallas @ LA Clippers
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Dallas