Wednesday 8/26/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON

TAMPA BAY
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston

BOSTON
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

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COLORADO @ DALLAS

COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games

DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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WED, AUG 26TH - 7:30PM ET:
NASHVILLE SC @ ORLANDO CITY FC PICKS, EXPERT PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS (SOCCER)

The proverbial honeymoon appears to be over for Orlando City. The Lions made a Cinderella run to the final of the MLS is Back Tournament before falling to the Portland Timbers. However, they were unable to build on that momentum when they paid a visit to expansion franchise Inter Miami this past Friday and suffered a bad 3-2 loss. Another expansion club awaits on Wednesday, when Nashville SC visits Orlando. By the standards of a new team, Nashville has not been terrible. In five matches it has lost by multiple goals only once (2-0 to 2018 MLS Cup champion Atlanta United) and recently took a total of four points in two contests against FC Dallas–the other club that missed the MLS is Back Tournament due to coronavirus issues. Following a bad defensive performance against Miami and with a lot of matches on the upcoming schedule, Orlando manager Oscar Pareja is rotating pieces more than usual and giving his lineup new looks. That could lead to more vulnerability in the short term. Go with Nashville on a draw no bet, as at worst you should get a push and the benefit of +200 value on a win is enticing.

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WED, AUG 26TH - 8:00PM ET:
ATLANTA UNITED @ INTER MIAMI CF PICKS, EXPERT PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS (SOCCER)

Atlanta United Win
+185

It is true that Atlanta United is not quite the same club on the road than it is at home, but the fact that it is an underdog (+185) against Inter Miami (+135) is a bit absurd regardless of the location. Miami is an expansion franchise and has been playing like one, with five losses in six matches. The Herons actually managed to pick up their first-ever win last Friday over Orlando City, but the Lions were quite clearly suffering from a proverbial hangover on the heels of their runner-up finish at the MLS is Back Tournament. Atlanta has no such hangover, having exited the tournament following three losses in the group stage. On the bright side, the Five Stripes got more rest than expected and they came back playing inspired soccer last weekend. At home, they got the best of Nashville SC–another expansion franchise–by a 2-0 scoreline. Pity Martinez scored both of his team’s goals, and that is exactly what this club needs in the absence of Jozef Martinez (out for the year with a torn ACL). The win came in interim manager Stephen Glass’ first match, having taken over for the fired Frank de Boer. Atlanta seems to playing with more interest now and has great value in this one as an underdog.

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WED, AUG 26TH - 8:30PM ET:
COLORADO RAPIDS @ FC DALLAS PICKS, EXPERT PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS (SOCCER)

Colorado Win or Draw
+100

Both FC Dallas and the Colorado Rapids have been terrible heading into Wednesday’s meeting in Dallas. Because it has home-field advantage, Dallas is a considerable favorite–all the more reason to avoid the Toros and jump all over Colorado. Even at home, they have not been great this season. After beating Philadelphia, the Toros drew with Montreal and then took just one point in a pair of matches against Nashville SC (the other club that missed the MLS is Back Tournament due to coronavirus issues). In its last three outings–including this past Friday’s 0-0 draw with Houston–Dallas has not found the back of the net a single time. That gives the Rapids a very good chance of coming away with at least one point via something like a 0-0 or 1-1 deadlock. They have been awful of late, as well, but at least managed to earn a 2-2 draw with Minnesota in one of their three tournament contests in Orlando. Colorado may be able to exploit a Dallas squad that has been tinkering with its formations. Manager Luchi Gonzalez opted for a variation of a 3-5-2 formation against Houston, which out-shot the Toros by an alarming 17-7 margin and kept 56.9 percent of the possession. Take the Rapids to either win or draw.

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WED, AUG 26TH - 9:30PM ET:
LOS ANGELES FC @ REAL SALT LAKE PICKS, EXPERT PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS (SOCCER)

Over 3.5 Game Totals
+108

Until recently, it appeared that Real Salt Lake was one of the most defensive-minded teams in all of MLS. They had only scored and allowed three goals each through their first five games of the season. Their last two games, however, tell an entirely different story. Salt Lake was eliminated from the MLS is Back Tournament in a 5-2 thrashing by San Jose, but rebounded on Saturday to take their first post-tourney contest, scoring four second-half goals to beat Colorado 4-1. Los Angeles games are the highest-scoring affairs in the league: they’re tied for the league lead with 15 goals scored in their six games, and they’ve also allowed 12, which is the third-most of any team. The two teams are tied for fifth in the standings with nine points each, and both will be looking to get the upper hand as only the top five clubs qualify for the 2021 Leagues Cup. With one team known to be a high scorer and the other showing notable goal-scoring ability in their recent games, your best bet is to take the over.

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WED, AUG 26TH - 10:30PM ET:
PORTLAND TIMBERS @ SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES PICKS, EXPERT PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS (SOCCER)

Portland Win Or Draw Double Chance
-132

After winning the MLS is Back Tournament, expectations were (and remain) high for the Portland Timbers, but their return to Oregon did not go as planned, folding quickly at the end of the game and losing 3-0 to Seattle. Still fourth in the table, two points above San Jose, they feel as though they can’t afford to lose a second consecutive game, which could potentially take them out of a playoff spot, depending on other results. San Jose is a high-scoring team, averaging two goals per game thus far in 2020, but they haven’t played in almost a month following their quarterfinal loss to Minnesota United in the tournament. These two teams split their meetings last year, and it was Portland who finished five points ahead of San Jose to reach the playoffs. San Jose is favored on Wednesday night, but they haven’t shown enough to be able to beat a team that just won a knockout tournament over the entire league. Double your chances and take a draw or a Portland win.

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WED, AUG 26TH - 11:00PM ET:
SEATTLE SOUNDERS @ L.A. GALAXY PICKS, EXPERT PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS (SOCCER)

Seattle Sounders Win Money Line
+180

The LA Galaxy’s signing of former Manchester United star Chicharito made headlines, but the big-money contract hasn’t worked out for them so far. The Mexican international only scored once before picking up a calf injury at the MLS is Back Tournament, and he’s not expected to be ready for Wednesday’s clash with Seattle. They still have enough depth to compete with the best teams in the league, and they’re coming off an important win in the El Trafico derby against crosstown rivals LAFC. Defending champions Seattle look just as strong as they did last year, and they’ve only allowed four goals in six regular-season games, including a 3-0 embarrassment of MLS is Back champions Portland on Sunday. The Sounders won their most recent meeting a year ago, scoring an 89th minute winner to defeat Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s Galaxy. With no Ibrahimovic or Chicharito to look to, the Galaxy will have an even harder time coming away with a win on Wednesday, so go with the defending champs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 7	$2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 3 (races 7-9) $1 Wheel
Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $6,900 • Post: 9:12P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. QUEENS DUDE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * QUEENS DUDE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DERBYDAYROMANCE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. BARA VELLI: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. POSTIMPRESSIONIST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CABO HEADACHE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.
4	QUEENS DUDE	3/1	9/2
2	DERBYDAYROMANCE	6/1	6/1
7	BARAVELLI	5/2	8/1
3	POSTIMPRESSIONIST	7/2	9/1
1	CABO HEADACHE	4/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	BARAVELLI	7	5/2	Front-runner	68	68	70.4	45.0	38.0
3	POSTIMPRESSIONIST	3	7/2	Front-runner	67	66	50.6	58.8	52.3
4	QUEENS DUDE	4	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	67	59.4	62.2	57.7
2	DERBYDAYROMANCE	2	6/1	Trailer	71	70	46.2	61.6	52.6
1	CABO HEADACHE	1	4/1	Trailer	64	67	36.8	56.8	49.3
6	FLASHTOUR	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	72	52.2	49.8	40.3
5	IT'S A MAJOR AWARD	5	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	12.7	34.8	24.3

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park

Arapahoe Park - Race 9	W/P/S / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta 1st half of late Daily Double
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 4:20P
SPICY S. - THREE YEAR OLD AND OLDER COLORADO BRED FILLIES AND MARES. WEIGHT THREE YEAR OLD 120 LBS, OLDER 124 LBS. .

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BLOOMIN PERFECT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dir t or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CELEE'S TE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Sp eed Figure at the distance/surface. ROCKIN MARIE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	BLOOMIN PERFECT	7/2	7/2
2	CELEE'S TE	9/2	6/1
1	ROCKIN MARIE	5/2	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	CELEE'S TE	2	9/2	Front-runner	83	69	88.0	72.8	65.8
5	BLOOMIN PERFECT	5	7/2	Front-runner	94	84	77.4	73.0	70.0
1	ROCKIN MARIE	1	5/2	Front-runner	68	64	73.0	67.3	60.8
3	TWISTED REGAN	3	10/1	Trailer	79	80	56.3	61.2	54.2
4	BEHOLD THAT WORD	4	12/1	Trailer	84	72	37.0	65.8	59.8
6	BEHOLD DE DANCER	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	46	45	48.0	39.0	27.0

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JULY 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $8,000 1 LB. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 MY WYNTER ROSE 10/1
# 6 VIOLATION 4/1
# 2 MY GIRL ROCKET 6/1

MY WYNTER ROSE is the best wager in this contest and is a very good value bet given the line at 10/1. The speed rating of 77 from her latest affair looks decent in here. Formidable average Equibase speed figs in turf sprint races make this horse a contender. VIOLATION - Her 74 average

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,500 Class Rating: 52

Rating:

#3 BLISTERING PAKSHI (ML=6/1)
#4 GIFT OF OAK (ML=7/2)
#7 TAPSHOT (ML=6/1)


BLISTERING PAKSHI - Barbaran rode this horse for the first time last time around the track and comes right back this time. The improved Equibase speed figs over the last three races is solid. McDonald drops him in this contest fit and ready to go. I like the case that this gelding's last fig, 54, is tops in this field. This horse is not the M/L favorite, yet he finished ahead of today's chalk in their last race together. GIFT OF OAK - He finished runner up August 10th, but was well in front of the 3rd horse. Bookman brings him right back. I advocate you stick with this hot gelding. Trainer, Bookman, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. TAPSHOT - Forgive the off the board finish on the off track last time around the track. On a fast track, has a chance today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 IT'S A MANS WORLD (ML=5/2), #5 SUSIE'S KID (ML=9/2), #6 QUALITY MAN (ML=8/1),

IT'S A MANS WORLD - This gelding is always hitting the board, but just doesn't win. Hard to invest in him on the win end. Can't really invest in this kind of oft beaten favorite. SUSIE'S KID - Doubtful that this equine will finish better than he did last time when finishing third. When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to register a much better speed fig than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint. QUALITY MAN - Not probable that this horse will finish better than he did last time when placing ninth.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 BLISTERING PAKSHI to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JULY 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 CARTER CAT 4/1
# 1 MY MAE DAY 5/1
# 7 CADRON FLATS 6/1

CARTER CAT has a solid shot to take this race. Has to be given consideration against this group displaying very good numbers lately and an average speed rating of 77 under similar conditions. Ran a solid last race. Is difficult not to consider given the company run in lately. MY MAE DAY - This gelding with Mojica in the irons makes him a solid choice. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last race. CADRON FLATS - Recent figures for the jock - 21 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Emerald Downs - Race #11 - Post: 7:24pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,400 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#5 FIERY CAUSE (ML=6/1)
#3 SADIE SUE (ML=5/2)


FIERY CAUSE - Sophisticated handicappers will tell you that this thoroughbred has strong early speed. This filly is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. SADIE SUE - This thoroughbred coming off a nice performance in the last 30 days is a solid contender in my humble opinion. Look at this filly's PP lines. With each race she keeps getting closer. This filly is clearly on the improve with speed figures of 63, 66, 68 last 3 out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CATE'S GOLD (ML=2/1), #2 SHE'S AN EAGLE (ML=9/2), #7 BELL OF RAINIER (ML=6/1),

CATE'S GOLD - Hasn't raced or had any drills since July 23rd. Not much value on this morning-line favorite. SHE'S AN EAGLE - If you keep playing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down most every time. BELL OF RAINIER - Will be hard for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SADIE SUE - With the highest last speed rating of 68, this filly looks exceptional against these ponies.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 FIERY CAUSE to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/26/20, SAR, Race 4, 2.29 ET
08/26/20,SAR,4,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $49,000. (UP TO $8,526 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Bold Article	8-1	Gaffalione T	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	W	37.14	1.66/$1
096.6620	8	Who Knows What	5-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Trombetta Michael J.	J	37.14	1.66/$1
095.6754	3	Tiz Splendid News	4-1	Davis D	Ward Wesley A.	T	36.84	2.07/$1
094.3017	1	Krubera	10-1	Ortiz J L	Gullo Gary P.	L	37.14	1.66/$1
093.5869	4	Katies Courage	6-1	Saez L	Englehart Jeremiah C.		36.84	2.07/$1
090.4140	2	Dash to the Top	3-1	Santana. Jr. R	Catalano Wayne M.	SFEC	37.14	1.66/$1
090.3272	5	Joqular	5-1	Franco M	Ribaudo Robert		50.00	1.56/$1
088.0992	7	Dressy	6-1	Alvarado J	Tagg Barclay		50.00	1.56/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 5.56, ROI 0.42/$1