Saturday 8/29/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2020, 10:08 AM

Race of the Week: FL Sire Stakes Affirmed at Gulfstream

August 26, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$200,000 FLORIDA SIRE STAKES SERIES AFFIRMED STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, August 29, 2020
By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
A quartet of stakes races and a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 pool highlight a fantastic day of betting at Gulfstream Park on Saturday. It's the Affirmed and Susan's Girl divisions of the Florida Sire Stakes series for 2-year-old boys and girls on dirt, along with a pair of open-company juvenile turf stakes races.

Field Depth:
Late summer 2-year-old racing is about class risers often from the maiden ranks, but this field does include the 1-2 finishers in the Florida Sires Stakes series opener in the Dr. Fager, BREEZE ON BY and GATSBY. The rest will have to prove themselves, including some moving from open company maiden victories to the restricted stakes ranks.

Pace:
BREEZE ON BY went wire-to-wire in the Dr. Fager and should be on the engine again. BIG DADDY DAVE and TOP BOSS both won in front-running fashion last out, as did FLORALA AL. Expect a solid pace over 7 furlongs, a stretch-out trip for nearly all of these.

Our Eyes:
The 1-length decision in the Dr. Fager, where BREEZE ON BY was the 3-5 favorite, certainly gave some credence to runner-up GATSBY as well. GATSBY was a step or 2 slow from the gate and spotted BREEZE ON BY several lengths in the opening jumps. The favorite was in command until the quarter-pole, when GATSBY had advanced up the rail and angled out to the 2-path to take him on. BREEZE ON BY briefly surrendered the lead off the bend, but dug back in on the inside to improve to 2-for-2. The final eighth in :13-1/5 didn't ignite confidence for the additional distance of the Affirmed, which will be a furlong farther. Since the Dr. Fager, GATSBY has been more active with 2 workouts to the one for BREEZE ON BY, suggesting he might have come out of the race a bit better than the winner.

That BREEZE ON BY owner/trainer Stonehedge LLC and Ralph Nicks entered not only their top gun, but also BIG DADDY DAVE and SEAZAN might not be a rousing endorsement. But it is a $200,000 stakes for juveniles in restricted company, so it's hard to pass.

SEAZAN 'rallied' to win over 7 furlongs, the only to cover this distance to date, on the same day of the Dr. Fager Stakes. But his final furlong in :13-2/5 was also on the slow side. SEAZAN adds blinkers, but loses jockey Emisael Jaramillo to BREEZE ON BY. Jaramillo also rode BIG DADDY DAVE to victory in his only start in late May. Pedigree-wise, the 'other' Nicks trainees are appealing, both by sire Khozan. His offspring are a very strong 18: 6-2-1 in Gulfstream 7-furlong sprints, and 4: 2-1-1 at this trip as 2-year-olds, including a stakes winner. Compare that to BREEZE ON BY's sire Cajun Breeze. We've seen his offspring struggle at this 2YO stakes distance in recent years, 4: 0-0-1, including well-backed disappointments at 2-1 and 5-2.

Further in the pedigree file, BIG DADDY DAVE's full-brother last year at age 2 went from a debut win at 4-1/2 furlongs to win a mile in his second start. BIG DADDY DAVE moves from the 5-furlong dash ranks and expands an additional quarter-mile with a chance to follow similar suit. He's got another half-sister who won sprinting 7 furlongs at Tampa. He may be the biggest price of the Nicks trio, and the one preferred.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: GATSBY doesn't need the lead and should be fit and ready for this test. Damsire Aldebaran was as good of a 7-furlong sprinter as you'll see.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender: TOP BOSS ran fast against maiden claimers and sire Khozan has strong numbers with his offspring at this trip. Trainer Kathleen O'Connell's barn is going well of late.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $60 win BIG DADDY DAVE. $10 exacta key-box BIG DADDY DAVE with GATSBY and BREEZE ON BY ($40). I would use BIG DADDY DAVE, BREEZE ON BY and GATSBY in the Rainbow 6.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2020, 10:37 PM

August 29: Cross Country Pick 5 feat. Saratoga & Monmouth

August 27, 2020

SARATOGA SPRINGS, N.Y. - The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) will host a Cross Country Pick 5 that will offer three graded stakes in total, featuring action from historic Saratoga Race Course as well as Monmouth Park and Woodbine Racetrack on Saturday.

Saratoga will start the wager with an exciting juvenile maiden sprint, with a field of 10 contesting at six furlongs on the main track in Race 6 at 3:57 p.m. Eastern. Trainer Chad Brown has a pair of entrants in Highly Motivated and Founder, while Hall of Fame trainers Mark Casse and Steve Asmussen will send out Majestic Street and Happymac, respectively. Trainer Todd Pletcher will see Newbomb depart from the inside post.

Action will shift to Monmouth in Race 9 with a 4:14 p.m. post for the 1 1/2-mile turf route for 3-year-olds and up in an optional claimer. The 10-horse field will see trainer Kelly Breen saddle Epic Bromance, while Decisive Triumph and No Mans Land will be running with blinkers on.

Woodbine will commence the stakes portion of the Cross Country Pick 5 in the third leg with the Grade 3, $125,000 Ontario Colleen for 3-year-old fillies going one mile. Slated as Race 7 at 4:17 p.m., the contest will ironically feature Saratoga Vision. Owned and trained by Alexander Patykewich, the Kentucky-bred won't be running at the Spa, but instead will be looking to break her maiden in her 13th start and is coming off a runner-up effort as an 84-1 longshot in the Grade 3 Selene last month at Woodbine. The field also includes stakes-placed Avie's Samurai and Fly So Pretty, who won last year's Stewart Manor, as well as multiple stakes-winner Two Sixty and multiple graded stakes-placed Walk In Marrakesh.

Saratoga will close the sequence with a pair of Grade 1 contests, starting with the $300,000 Forego presented by America's Best Racing in Race 8 at 5:07 p.m. The seven-furlong contest for older horses on the main track will showcase Whitmore, who won the race's 2018 edition and will now attempt to join Groovy (1986-87) and Quick Call (1988-89) as the only horses to win multiple runnings of the Forego. The 7-year-old enters with a record of 35-14-11-3 and lifetime earnings of over $3.1 million. The Forego will also see Mind Control looking to become a Grade 1-winner at the Spa at ages 2, 3 and 4, while six-time graded stakes-winner Firenze Fire seeks his first Grade 1 triumph since taking the 2017 Champagne during his 2-year-old campaign.

The wager concludes in Saratoga's Race 9 with the Grade 1, $500,000 Sword Dancer for 4-year-olds and up going 1 1/2 miles on the inner turf at 5:43 p.m. A "Win and You're In" qualifier for the Breeders' Cup Turf on November 7 at Keeneland Race Course, the Forego will see trainer Mike Maker send out a trio of contenders in Aquaphobia, Marzo and Cross Border. Also in the race will be Sadler's Joy, who will make his fourth appearance in the Sword Dancer for trainer Tom Albertrani. The 7-year-old Kitten's Joy horse won this event in 2017, finished sixth in 2018 and last year rallied bravely to finish second by a neck to Annals of Time.

The minimum bet for the multi-track, multi-race wager is 50 cents. Wagering on the Cross Country Pick 5 is also available on ADW platforms and at simulcast facilities across the country. Every week will feature a mandatory payout of the net pool.

Cross Country Pick 5 - Saturday, August 29

Leg 1 - Saratoga, Race 6: (3:57 p.m.)
Leg 2 - Monmouth, Race 9: (4:14 p.m.)
Leg 3 - Woodbine, Race 7: G3 Ontario Colleen (4:17 p.m.)
Leg 4 - Saratoga, Race 8: G1 Forego (5:07 p.m.)
Leg 5 - Saratoga, Race 9: G1 Sword Dancer (5:43 p.m.)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2020, 10:38 PM

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2020, 10:42 PM

Saturday Saratoga Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 28, 2020 | By Johnny D
Saturday Saratoga Late Pick 4 Analysis

The final four Saturday Spa races provide a challenging sequence. Two Grade 1 stakes races—a loaded 7-furlong sprint and a collection of familiar faces going a mile and one-half—offer plenty of options to horseplayers. A maiden 2-year-old heat and a first level, state-bred allowance race, with 9 and 12 runners, respectively, don’t make things any easier. Of course, hitting Pick 4 wagers never is easy. This one, though, ought to reward those that can bring it to its knees. Below is one man’s humble attempt at a knockout punch. At best, perhaps, we can put you on a four-bagger. At worst, you might extract a handicapping nugget or two that aids your construction of a winning Pick 4 wager.

Race 8 – Forego Stakes
This is a loaded race with some real tough competitors signed on to exchange blows over seven furlongs. If you don’t like #2 Whitmore, then you don’t like horseracing. He’s a pro that shows up every time. He’s not always good enough to win but he’s always trying. Including the 2018 BC Sprint, #2 Whitmore has made 12 starts and has won 3 races with 4 seconds. He’s lost to the following foes: Roy H; Mitole (3 times); Maximum Security and Volatile! This is a tough race and #2 Whitmore is 7 years old and needs some pace to run at, so he’s no cinch. But we’d hate for him to beat us.

#3 Lexitonian shipped to California and nearly won the Gr. 1 Bing Crosby with a powerful late kick. This field is tougher than that one was but the 4-year-old clearly is in good form.

#6 Complexity is a sharp allowance winner for Chad Brown. He’s won 4 of 7 starts, is 1-for-1 at Saratoga and 1-for-3 at the distance. He cuts back from a one-turn mile win at Belmont. His past performances are nearly schizophrenic as his losses are complete blowouts. He’s got a Gr. 1 win, but it came at 2 in the Champagne.

#8 Firenze Fire has had a nice career with a reputation somewhat diminished by guilt by association. He transferred from federally indicted trainer Jason Servis’ barn to Kelly Breen’s outfit three races ago. He’s won one of those starts—Gr. 2 True North. Overall, he’s racked up 11 wins in 27 starts and that’s against quality foes, too. He’s earned nearly $2 million! Like #2 Whitmore, he’s been beaten by the very best—Volatile, Vekoma, Mitole, Imperial Hint—and none of those monsters are in here, so he’s got to be respected.

#10 Mind Control won the Gr. 1 Allen Jerkens at Saratoga last year against fellow 3-year-olds and then added a pair of Gr. 3 Aqueduct scores to his resume in January and March. He appeared to not like a sloppy track in the Gr. 1 Carter but bounced back with a solid try in the Vanderbilt against #2 Whitmore and #8 Firenze Fire. Seven wins in 14 starts, plus 2 out of 3 at the Spa and 4 of 7 at the distance make this guy a ‘must use.’ This outside post position also should help matters.

#11 Fortin Hill is a wild card in this race. He’s won 3 of 4 starts for Chad Brown and, therefore, can’t be ignored. He has no stakes experience and, obviously, has lingering physical issues—he’s raced in Oct. ’18; June ’19; April ’20 and July ’20. Perhaps Brown has him finally healthy enough to put two races back-to-back, but what a bunch of pros to have to defeat in your first stakes try!

Race 9—Sword Dancer
Five of these 8 runners come out of the same race—Bowling Green, Aug. 1—and 4 of those finished within 2 lengths of each other. That afternoon, #8 Sadler’s Joy closed well, arrived first, but was disqualified for drifting in and causing interference. That’s a shame because the 7-year-old produced one of his best races in a while and the win would have snapped a winless streak that extends back to November of ’19. Can he duplicate the effort? He’s got to stay wide, in the clear, so he can launch his closing charge.

#6 Cross Border ran as well as #8 Sadler’s Joy and was bothered by the original winner. He was a mere neck back at the finish and may have been best. By virtue of a stewards’ decision he kept an amazing Saratoga turf course streak alive with 5 wins in as many tries. That’s impressive, even if he needed help from above in the stews stand to keep it going. These two runners--#6 Cross Border and #8 Sadler’s Joy must be respected right back in the Sword Dancer.

#1 Highland Sky closed reasonably well on the outside of all the commotion and was not hindered at all. He ran well, but he’s 1 for his last 9 and that win came in a restricted stakes race. He’s also never hit the board in 4 tries at the distance.

#5 Channel Maker originally was fourth in the Bowling Green and was moved to third via disqualification. He did not appear to be going as well late as the first three finishers. He’s now 1 for his last 13, with his previous tally in May of ’19.

#3 Marzo and #2 Aquaphobia are examples of Mike Maker claims that have done well in graded distance turf races under the new trainer’s care. The former set the pace in the Bowling Green and should do the same in here. He’s a Grade 3 stakes winner at the Sword Dancer distance. #2 Aquaphobia won the Grade 1 United Nations in fine style last out and gets Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He’s certainly going great at the moment but is 0-4 over the Spa green and 0-2 at the distance. The latter would be the only one of the two we would consider using.

Race 10—Maiden
It doesn’t take a genius to assume that discussion of a 2-year-old maiden race at Saratoga ought to begin with runners trainer by Todd Pletcher and Chad Brown. We’ll start with #2 Always Carina by Malibu Moon. She’s worked out at Saratoga every 6-8 days since July 10, with 3 three-eighths of a mile works, 2 half-miles, a five-eighths and another half-mile. The last in the series was from the gate in :47 1/5 and appears to have been in even company with Brown’s other starter in the race #5 Zainalarab. She also has worked steadily—every 6 or 7 days since July 15—including 2 half-mile gate drills, two five-eighths works and a bullet half and a bullet three-eighths. She seems the better of the two Browns that are ridden by Irad and Jose Ortiz, respectively. Difficult to ignore any Brown/Ortiz brother combination.

#3 Jouster hails from the Pletcher barn and has a shorter work tab than either Brown runner but has a :59 4/5 gate drill—a serious sign of intent. John Velazquez rides.

For ticket building purposes, we’ll go against the grain a bit and use fillies with acceptable previous racing experience and hope to connect on a price. #6 Peachy Queen has a race under her belt and that’s often a plus, especially when it’s a decent try—third, beaten less than four lengths—while running till the end. Trainer Danny Gargan is 30% with 20 maiden 2-year-old second time starters, according to ThoroGraph stats. An extra half furlong ought to be acceptable to her highness. Plus, with all the advertising Mattress Mac has done, you’ve got to root for Runhappy to sire a Spa winner for a $100k bonus.

#7 O’Gotten Girl has a turf start under her belt and it was a decent effort. Her trainer is 22% with runners going turf to dirt.

#8 Spun d’ Etat has been third in two previous six-furlong tries—one at Keeneland and one at the Spa. She’s not without a chance and draws a nice outside box for this. Hustling Luis Saez takes over in the saddle, so expect early fireworks.

#9 Rookery, a Pennsylvania bred, had a decent start for trainer Tom Amoss, as she closed for trainer Wayne Catalano to miss by a mere neck. Jockey Jose Lezcano moves from #8 Spun d’Etat to #9 Rookery for this and he’s 21% with Catalano.

Race 11—State-Bred Allowance
We conclude the Pick 4 sequence with a first-level, state-bred allowance race. There’s an interesting handicapping angle at play in here. #8 Miss Jimmy invades from Finger Lakes, a lesser New York track. Normally, she’d be a pretty quick toss. However, she’s won 6 races out of 11 starts and that’s 3 more than everyone else in the field (#1 Kinky Sox has 3 wins in 15 starts). Because those victories came in races with smaller purses they don’t count against #8 Miss Jimmy and she qualifies for this condition and she’s 15-1 on the morning line. Now, she may not be good enough at the Spa but her affinity for winning is something worth attention in a race where others seem allergic to it.

#7 Midnight Surprise has Pletcher/I. Ortiz power working for her off a solid state-bred maiden score as favorite. Back-to-back wins wouldn’t be out of the question.

#6 Flashpackinbarbie has good speed, 2 wins in 4 tries and experience at this level—a well-beaten second last out.

#5 Firenze Freedom, making her first start for Kelly Breen after switching from Jason Servis, broke her maiden against state-bred foes and then sandwiched a couple of stakes tries around a try at the optional $80k/n1x level. She wasn’t close in those races but wasn’t completely dusted either. She may go much better in here.

#3 Eloquent Speaker cuts back from a mile and one-eighth attempt last out where she stumbled at the start, recovered and then led into the stretch. That effort ought to have her legged up sufficiently for this. She’s got a win in 3 tries, a second and a third last out.

#4 Bustin Scones finished second at this level last out and also on June 13 at Belmont. Trouble with her is that she has just 1 win in 13 tries with 4 seconds.

Suggested $.50 Late Pick 4 Ticket ($72)
8th Race: 2, 6, 8, 10
9th Race: 2, 6, 8
10th Race: 6, 7, 8, 9
11th Race: 3, 7, 8

Race On!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 07:18 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 29, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is a huge night of racing at Woodbine Mohawk Park featuring the $1,000,000 North America Cup and a mandatory Jackpot Hi-5 payout. The Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it will be my focus. Part of the sequence includes the Roses Are Red Final, the North America Cup, and the Eternal Camnation for 2-year-old fillies.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10-Roses Are Red Final-Purse $290,000

3-Major Occasion A (9/2)-Comes off an even effort at Tioga but this mare can go from looking okay to great. Gets a good post draw and should be forwardly placed throughout. Looks like a player at a fair price and does good work on a big oval.
6-Warrawee Ubeaut (7/2)-Winner in 3 of 5 starts at Wbsb and Gingras could be flying off the gate. Won the Breeders Crown here last year and should be in the hunt once again.
7-So Much More (5-1)-Steps-up to meet some tough mares but this gal loves taking pictures. Has won 16 of 34 at Wbsb and 26 of 52 lifetime. The pace could be hot and that helps, so best to respect at a nice price.

Race 11-Pepsi North America Cup Final-Purse $1,000,000

4-Tall Dark Stranger (7/5)-Makes 3rd start on Lasix and wasn't dominant in last week's elimination but Gingras said there was an issue with pulling the ear plugs. Also, that was the 1st start since 8/8 and should be even better coming right back. Many will single and that is understandable, should be tough to beat with a decent trip but will likely be tested.
5-Capt Midnight (9/2)-Alagna trainee has no excuses starting next to the Stranger from a good post. If McNair pushes the button at the right time this colt may finally get some revenge over the odds-on favorite.

Race 12-Eternal Camnation-Purse $71,638

5-Best Head West (3-1)-Has hit the board in 3 of 4 starts at Wbsb with 2 wins. Hasn't shown much gate speed but can roll late and short field won't hurt chances.
6-Scarlett Hanover (2-1)-It's best to respect the program chalk with Gingras taking a seat tonight. Will toss last when a poor start hampered any chance of winning. Can take a picture with a top effort but not sure gunning out for the lead at this track leads to a picture.
7-Lady Midnight (5/2)-Another Alagna pupil that appears to be getting better and maybe will show some gate speed here. McClure is back aboard after a nice 2nd tier win versus easier.

Race 13

5-Traceur Hanover (3-1)-Classy veteran takes a good drop in class. $1,000,000 earner isn't dominant very often but if he gets the top and sets his own pace his determination can become evident. Roy will probably be on the engine or in the pocket.
7-Sports Column (12-1)-Started from the 2nd tier and did pace the last half in 53.3 on 8/22. McNair can put in play from this post and get a good early seat. Using and looking for a price to pump up the Pick 4 payout.
9-Points North (6-1)-Winner of 6 in 25 starts at Wbsb was part of very quick mile last week and raced well after stepping-up to this level. Drury may blast out, this 6-year-old has big gate speed and could trip out at a solid price.

0.20 Late Pick 4

3,6,7/4,5/5,6,7/5,7,9
Total bet=$10.80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 07:44 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #5

#3 Love and Love	Price player goes for a Miceli barn that has quietly had a good meet with limited starters, aired the last time she was on the main track, got the perfect tightener out of the way last time, and meets a crew there for the taking; upset special.
#4 Archumybaby	Popular miss has been claimed five times in her last seven starts and now goes for Rodriguez, who knows how to move them up, and the win over open 25k foes last time should set her up nicely for this NYB AOC group; looms very large.
#1 Letmetakethiscall	The chalk and inside speed might also be a Lone F, which would be problematic for the top pair, as she just took pace pressure and almost wired, but she's also going an unknown 7Fs today, and figures way overbet as well; trying to beat.
Race Summary	That 8-1 ML sure seems juicy on the 3, who fits nicely on paper with these and looked like she was aimed for this spot all along, so play her in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add plenty of value at the end of both sequences.

Saratoga - Race #8

#6 Complexity	GI winner has had his share of issues but when right he can be a freak, and now, off the big win last time, he finally puts races together, has a world of upside, and looks primed for a lifetime best run; love his chances here.
#3 Lexitonian	Hard-knocker rarely gets any publicity but runs his race every time and just missed in the Dmr GI, and while this group is a lot tougher, his recent form and run anywhere persona says he can play with these; do not ignore.
#10 Mind Control	Saratoga specialist has won a pair of GI 7F races over this oval, so this trip is perfect for him, and the close 3rd to Volatile here last time going 6Fs was sharp, and the pace will be more to his liking today as well; very playable.
Race Summary	This is a very solid group, but it's also one where we know what the top contenders are capable of, as they have all hit their peak, while the 6 has run just seven times and still has plenty of upside, so play him aggressively in all the slots, while getting some added value by keying him in the late Pk5/Pk4, since he looks poised to throw down a race today that the others simply might not be able to handle.

Saratoga - Race #9

#1 Highland Sky	Longshot ran quite well when 3rd to a few of these last time in the local GII prep, and he should like this longer trip today too, so from a ground-saving post, while hinting he's coming up to a biggie, against a group there for the taking, he may blow this up; bombs away.
#5 Corelli	Tactical sort ran well when 3rd in the Mth GI last time, in what was just his third start in the US, for Thomas, and since September too, so he's getting acclimated, is another who should like the trip, and may be primed to put it all together today; expecting a big run.
#8 Sadler's Joy	Grizzled veteran won this in 2017 and was best winning the prep last time, only to be DQ'd (and rightfully so), and his overall form is best here, but the price is short, the post isn't ideal, and his deep closing style leaves no margin for error; willing to make him prove it on top.
Race Summary	The price sure will be right on the pick, and he's not so far behind the favorites that he should be 10 times their mutuel, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as he's always hinted he could be something, and this might finally be the spot where he puts it all together.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 07:45 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #4

#11 Palace Intrigue	Debuts for a capable turf team, and while the wide draw is a bit of a concern, he's probably a big player here if he can find a spot into the first turn.
#4 Gandolfo	Delacour barn debuts this one, and although the pedigree isn't incredibly turfy, this is a sharp barn with these kinds.
#8 Elusive	Connections don't inspire much confidence, but this one brings a pretty solid turf pedigree to this and might be able to snag a share of this underneath.
Race Summary	Palace Intrigue gets the slight edge from the high draw, as those who have run in here haven't produced much, and this one might avoid some trouble while drawn out wide.

Laurel Park - Race #7

#5 Nautical Nature	Speed doesn't meet a wild bit of other pace in here, and that may give him a chance to wire this field if he doesn't take too much early heat. 6-1 ML offering would be fair.
#4 Padrino's Heart	Seems quick enough to find a decent spot tracking the pace, and he can get first jump on the deeper finishers into the lane.
#3 Joseph	Has some upside in this second start off the layoff after offering only a mild rally in that comeback run. He's got some back races that would do the trick, so don't count him out with some upside today.
Race Summary	Nautical Nature should be able to find the front with these on the hike while meeting a group that isn't all that imposing for this level.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#4 Atreyu	Steps up for this one, but there's no denying he has become an entirely different horse since moving to the turf. He's a perfect 6-for-6 on the grass and should be in line for a great trip from close range.
#10 Hard Fought	Forward player occasionally shows a bit of a pressing gear, and that would allow him to get a perfect kind of trip to get the jump on any deeper-finishing threats.
#12 Artemus Bridge	Recent form stacks up, but he gets a tough draw for his running style and might be resigned to a wide trip. One of many who can win this.
Race Summary	Atreyu has done nothing wrong in six turf starts, and he has earned today's class test as he tries the deepest bunch yet. The 6-1 ML price would be fair on the hike.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 07:46 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Pocono Downs - Race #1

#1 BETTER B ROLLING	Loves to win, could return quick claim – and betting – dividend.
#3 KEYSTONE STEAM	Picked up steam too late, galloped out in front, gets ideal set-up.
#4 JOHNNY Q	Seeks three straight on the class hike, can stalk and pounce.
Race Summary	Better B Rolling made a quarter-pole move to the lead, shrugged off pressure on the final turn and drew away on the lead despite ‘broken equipment’ issues. He’s too good to pass up at 10-1 on the morning line for new connections. Play a 1-3-4 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2

#6 POSTSCRIPT	Good recovery from break as beaten fave, good value play in deep field.
#5 CAVIART AUDREY	Tons best in PA sire stakes, but blown turn proved costly.
#1 BET ON BECKY	Won all four starts at odds-on, starts from rail.
Race Summary	Postscript went off stride early, advanced steadily while 4-deep in the outer flow and 5-wide in the stretch, and finished on her own courage. She’s worth a bet at an inflated price in talent-laden stakes field. Play 6-1 and 6-5 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #6

#5 SPORTSLINE	Giant effort in defeat, patient handling could reverse outcome.
#3 BEST IN SHOW	Rallied from clouds for a win and a third from outer posts.
#7 REAL SURREAL	Steps up off Moreau claim, seeks third win in a row.
Race Summary	Sportsline chased longshot Highlandbeachlover through a torrid 1:21 third-quarter split, burst clear after he pulled from the pocket and got caught late. Let’s make him today’s Best Bet off that performance.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 07:47 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#9 Castle King	Made a power move into contention and wore down rivals for a maiden win at a mile on the grass last time; seems better with distance and is definitely better on grass.
#7 Fulmini	Responded to his first turf run with a solid score going five furlongs; bred for longer distances and Maker's runner have been a must use for quite a while.
#2 Rememdador	Rallied from far back and finished fourth in his only start, and this is not the strongest stakes spot, so it would not be out of the question for one like this to rise up.
Race Summary	Castle King moved strongly after a half-mile and continued on for the win; a good option here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#1 Freak	Is a maiden after two races but opened up in the stretch and was caught late in a stakes races in her latest; clearly a runner and can break her maiden in this restricted stakes event.
#4 Go Jo Jo Go	Broke her maiden in her four try and it came when she beat Freak last time; could enjoy the seven furlongs.
#5 Princess Secret	Was caught by Go Jo Jo Go last time and has not had a bad day in three starts; troublesome on the front end.
Race Summary	Freak should get a good trip just off the speed and a well-time move can help her break her maiden in a stylish way.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#5 Spanish Loveaffair	Had an easy time of it as she won her debut by 11 lengths; the pace will be faster and the competition better, but the fact that she was so dominant in a two-turn turf race on her first career start was an eye opener.
#2 Can't Buy Love	Coasted in a five-furlong race in her debut and should have no problem stretching out; well spotted and a big player.
#4 Director's Cut	Broke her maiden in a mile turf race last time out and she's bred to go a long distance. Would not be a major surprise.
Race Summary	Spanish Loveaffair was powerful in her debut as she went the final half-mile in 48 seconds, which is a decent time for a 2-year-old filly. Steps up in class and has a good chance to handle the challenge.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 10:51 AM

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MLB (Sat) Cardinals
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NBA (Sat) Thunder
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 10:54 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 29

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DALLAS (5 - 10) vs. INDIANA (5 - 9) - 8/29/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (12 - 3) vs. CHICAGO (10 - 5) - 8/29/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (2 - 12) vs. LAS VEGAS (11 - 3) - 8/29/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 6-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 10:54 AM

WNBA

Saturday, August 29

Trend Report

New York @ Las Vegas
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing New York

Seattle @ Chicago
Seattle
Seattle is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Dallas @ Indiana
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 10:55 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, August 29

New York @ Las Vegas

Game 671-672
August 29, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
104.456
Las Vegas
113.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 8 1/2
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 16 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+16 1/2); Over

Seattle @ Chicago

Game 669-670
August 29, 2020 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
118.778
Chicago
110.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 8
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5
166
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-5); Under

Dallas @ Indiana

Game 667-668
August 29, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
106.963
Indiana
108.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
173
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1 1/2); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2020, 10:55 AM

NBA line movement for August 29
Patrick Everson

LeBron James and the Lakers can finish off the Trail Blazers in Game 5 Saturday. Portland won't have Damian Lillard (ankle), and Los Angeles is a 13.5-point favorite at The SuperBook.

NBA betting odds are up for Saturday’s trio of conference quarterfinal matchups. The top seeds in each conference can advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs, with the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks in position to end their respective series in five games.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

With Portland Trail Blazers star Damian Lillard out due to a knee injury, The SuperBook opened the Lakers 13-point favorites for Saturday’s 9 p.m. ET tipoff. Late Friday night, the point spread moved to Lakers -13.5. Los Angeles boatraced Portland 135-115 in Game 4 Monday to take a 3-1 series lead.

Mirroring the Lakers, the Bucks lost Game 1 of their series against the Orlando Magic, then won the next three, including a 121-106 victory Monday night. And like L.A., Milwaukee is laying a big number, opening -13.5 with no line movement Friday night for a 3:30 p.m. ET start.

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets meet in Game 5 at 6:30 p.m. ET, with that series tied at 2. Rockets star Russell Westbrook is expected to make his first playoff appearance, after sitting the first four games with a quad strain. The SuperBook opened Houston -5.5 and ticked down to -5 Friday night.

The Thunder-Rockets total was also on the move Friday night, opening at 225.5 and moving to 227.