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5 Unit Play. Take #716 Los Angeles Clippers -7 over Dallas (9:00p.m., Tuesday August 25 TNT) I know Luka Magic was nothing but brilliant in Game #4 and this series is all tied 2-2 but tonight I see the Clippers defense stepping up. The two games the Clippers won in this series they beat the Mavs 130-122 and 118-10 and tonight I see a Clipper cover. Hidden from Game #4 was the production from Lou Williams off the Clippers bench and I see him and more offense from a struggling PG13. The Dallas Mavericks are 4-12 ATS after given up 100 points or more in their last game. The LA Clippers are 20-6 ATS following a ATS loss and the last 8 meetings between these two teams 6 of them have been covered by the Clips.
Paul Leiner:4-0 and 2500* Over Thunder/Rockets Game 4 hits yesterday for us. Today we step it up with a 3000* play in the the Jazz/Nuggets game. This has been a very entertaining series and I expect both offenses to keep things rolling. Vegas has adjusted the number but it is still not enough. I see at least a 8 point cover. Thanks and goodluck.
3000* Over 221 jazz/Nuggets 500* Over 9 Cardinals/Royals (Wainwright/Harvey) 500* Mavericks +6.5
-Dallas played to their max effort in their Game 4 win; it was a complete team win; regression
-offense scored 135 points after shooting 50% (52-104) from the field; 5 players in double digits
-Mavericks defense is terrible; they’ve allowed 263 points in their last 2 games; bad matchup
-Los Angeles is a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS off their last 6 losses; average win coming by 18.3 ppg
-offense got terrible games from 3 of their starters; they scored just 26 total points; bounce back
-Clippers defense played one of their worst games of their entire season; expect a focused effort
The Colorado Rockies travel to Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks on Tuesday night. Colorado is 13-15 SU overall this year while Arizona comes in with a 13-16 SU overall record on the season. German Marquez is 0-3 with a 7.00 ERA his last 3 starts. He has allowed 25 hits in 18 innings during that time. Alex Young has a 2.08 ERA at home this year. Young is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his 2 career starts vs Colorado. Colorado is scoring only 3.5 runs per game on the road this year and 3.3 runs per game past 7 games overall. Colorado is allowing 6.7 runs per game past 7 games overall and 6.4 runs per game against division opponents this year. Arizona is 5-1 at home this year when the money line is -125 to +125. We'll play Arizona for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
This series is tied at 2-2 making tonight’s Game 5 the most crucial game of the series. I expect both teams to play with even more intensity as the team that goes up 3-2 more often than not goes on to win the series. Three of the 4 games have gone Over the Total but I see things playing out totally different tonight. The Clippers have not been playing their preferred style of basketball as they have let Dallas dictate the pace. The Clippers identity starts with defense as this team was #4 in defensive shooting % this year allowing the opposition to connect on just 44.1% of their shots. They were #5 defensively against 3 point shots as opponents were hitting just 34.7% of their 3 point shots. For the Clippers to win they need to get back to a hard nosed defensive game plan. The Clippers can’t run with Dallas they need to slow the game down and make Dallas work for their shots. Kawhi Leonard needs to put this team on his back like he did last year carrying Toronto to the NBA Finals. Dallas has shot 50% from the field for 3 straight games but that doesn’t happen tonight. Note going back to last year the Clippers are 22-10 to the UNDER when they are are revenging a road loss. We also find that the Clippers have scored 130 or more points 14 times this year and they are 11-3 to the UNDER the game after scoring 130 or more. The Bookmakers have kept moving the total up due to the last 3 high scoring games but tonight this total is just too high. My projected total is 227 or less total points scored. TAKE DALLAS/LA CLIPPERS UNDER 235.5 as my 4% NBA PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE WEEK.
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