Scott Spretizer MLB
3-Unit Play: Take 907 Twins -145 over Tigers (1:10 p.m., Friday, August 28) NOTE: I'm playing the Twins in game 1 of the double-header).
Back to back wins by Detroit and back to back losses by the Twins as the teams head into Friday but I'm betting on Minnesota. The Twins are top-7 in MLB in the offensive metrics I care about the most and in bullpen metrics I deem most important, while the Tigers are outside the top-15 in both categories. The Twins have clobbered lefties on the road, batting .278 in this spot and will take their shots at the vulnerable Matthew Boyd. The Tiger southpaw has not only been a disaster in 2020 but he's been bombed for a 7.76 ERA in his last five starts against the Twins, while giving up 13 home runs in 29 IP, for a 4.03 HRs per 9 IP ratio. Meanwhile, Twins' starter Randy Dobnak is pitching well in 2020 and didn't allow a single run and only three hits in 7 IP against Detroit last season. His team is hitting just .225 at home against righties and .217 against righties overall. I'm backing the Twins in Friday's game 1 of the double-header. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
5-Unit Play: Take 923 Dodgers -1.5, -140 over Rangers (8:05 p.m., Friday, August 28)
When your handicap says to play the Dodgers and it's looking like a possible mismatch, the runs line play is not a bad way to go. After a runs line sweep in yesterday's double-header in San Francisco, the Dodgers are 20-4 against the runs line in their 24 wins this season. Meanwhile, the Rangers have covered the runs line in just one of their last 18 losses. Texas will face Dustin May and it's unlikely they'll post the numbers needed to hang around. May has a 3.28 ERA & 1.17 WHIP on the road this season and the Rangers have been horrible against right-handed starters. Texas is dead-last 30th in the league, batting .177 at home against righties (.197 against righties overall). And with the way Mike Minor has been pitching, the Dodgers ought to put enough on the scoreboard to win by two or more runs. I'm laying the runs line with the Dodgers on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 907 Twins -145 over Tigers (1:10 p.m., Friday, August 28) NOTE: I'm playing the Twins in game 1 of the double-header).
Back to back wins by Detroit and back to back losses by the Twins as the teams head into Friday but I'm betting on Minnesota. The Twins are top-7 in MLB in the offensive metrics I care about the most and in bullpen metrics I deem most important, while the Tigers are outside the top-15 in both categories. The Twins have clobbered lefties on the road, batting .278 in this spot and will take their shots at the vulnerable Matthew Boyd. The Tiger southpaw has not only been a disaster in 2020 but he's been bombed for a 7.76 ERA in his last five starts against the Twins, while giving up 13 home runs in 29 IP, for a 4.03 HRs per 9 IP ratio. Meanwhile, Twins' starter Randy Dobnak is pitching well in 2020 and didn't allow a single run and only three hits in 7 IP against Detroit last season. His team is hitting just .225 at home against righties and .217 against righties overall. I'm backing the Twins in Friday's game 1 of the double-header. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
5-Unit Play: Take 923 Dodgers -1.5, -140 over Rangers (8:05 p.m., Friday, August 28)
When your handicap says to play the Dodgers and it's looking like a possible mismatch, the runs line play is not a bad way to go. After a runs line sweep in yesterday's double-header in San Francisco, the Dodgers are 20-4 against the runs line in their 24 wins this season. Meanwhile, the Rangers have covered the runs line in just one of their last 18 losses. Texas will face Dustin May and it's unlikely they'll post the numbers needed to hang around. May has a 3.28 ERA & 1.17 WHIP on the road this season and the Rangers have been horrible against right-handed starters. Texas is dead-last 30th in the league, batting .177 at home against righties (.197 against righties overall). And with the way Mike Minor has been pitching, the Dodgers ought to put enough on the scoreboard to win by two or more runs. I'm laying the runs line with the Dodgers on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer

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