Saturday 9/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Bob Valentino

It's time for another maximum wager special delivery on the college football gridiron.

I once heard a funny saying, "They couldn't score with a fistful of 50's in a Cat House" and that saying applies currently to the Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars.

The Knights have scored only 9 goals in their last 6 playoff games and ALL 6 of those games have ended up holding Under the total. The Under for Vegas also happens to be 8-2 for their last 10 this postseason.

The Stars were lighting up the scoreboard like a Christmas tree not that long ago in the playoffs, but in this series they too have had a tough time lighting the lamp, as Dallas has tallied just 4 goals in 3 games - 3 of them on Thursday in their overtime win over Vegas.

The Under is now 4-1 in Dallas' last 5 postseason affairs.

So, the lack of scoring now looking like a real issue for both clubs I will play the Under in Game 4 here on Saturday night in Edmonton.

4* VEGAS-DALLAS UNDER

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 5	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 5-6) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 5-6-7) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 5-6-7-8-9) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 2:40P
(RAIL AT 70 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. DITEN is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * FIRST IN LINE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designat ion. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MUHLENBERG: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equiba se Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6	FIRST IN LINE	10/1	3/1
9	MUHLENBERG	2/1	4/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	STORM TOWER	2	4/1	Front-runner	67	54	64.2	66.0	58.5
10	SPIDER BITE	10	3/1	Front-runner	68	59	33.2	44.6	32.1
1	DITEN	1	15/1	Stalker	67	64	49.3	67.3	52.3
9	MUHLENBERG	9	2/1	Trailer	76	74	82.0	72.8	68.3
7	GLACIER PARK	7	8/1	Trailer	68	58	50.2	60.7	53.7
6	FIRST IN LINE	6	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	86	68	78.8	74.6	68.1
4	LUNAR CYCLE	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	46	76.9	46.8	34.8
8	CURLEE FOX	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	58.1	46.1	34.1
3	FELLOW	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	52	55.0	23.7	5.2
5	BROWN CHOCOLATE	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	11.4	11.4	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 97 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 9:16P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. 124 LBS; (NO SEX ALLOWANCE).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * YOU CAN RUN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. TELL CARTEL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ra ting. JUST BE REAL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RUNFORYOURLIFE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
5	YOU CAN RUN	3/1	5/1
2	TELL CARTEL	5/2	5/1
1	JUST BE REAL	6/1	8/1
8	RUNFORYOURLIFE	3/1	8/1
6	SUITE EXPECTATIONS	9/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	JUST BE REAL	1	6/1	Average	94	91	3.8	0.0	0.0
2	TELL CARTEL	2	5/2	Average	98	96	4.3	0.0	0.0
3	STOLEN LIVES	3	15/1	Slow	81	81	7.1	0.0	0.0
4	REASON ENUF	4	30/1	Average/Trouble-prone	83	80	4.2	0.0	0.0
5	YOU CAN RUN	5	3/1	Fast	96	94	3.0	0.0	0.0
6	SUITE EXPECTATIONS	6	9/2	Average/Trouble-prone	97	94	3.6	0.0	0.0
7	JESS A LITTLE MORE	7	30/1	Average	84	80	5.2	0.0	0.0
8	RUNFORYOURLIFE	8	3/1	Fast	94	88	3.0	0.0	0.0
9	GIVING FREELY	9	15/1	Fast/Trouble-prone	86	86	3.2	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #11 - Post: 5:21pm - Maiden Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#9 PERFECT ENOUGH (ML=4/1)


PERFECT ENOUGH - I like this gelding. Has the uppermost EPS (earnings per start) in today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CALL BROS (ML=5/2), #2 UNPOPULAR OPINION (ML=3/1), #11 SOUTH POINTE DRIVE (ML=4/1),

CALL BROS - This horse hasn't shown much effort in the last couple events. This runner ran a quite unimpressive speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely lose in today's event running that number. UNPOPULAR OPINION - Doesn't seem to have enough positive angles to warrant the reward. SOUTH POINTE DRIVE - Extended time off, then came back and finished fifth. Tough to expect much better this time. A bit of a lackluster performance when this gelding finished fifth.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #9 PERFECT ENOUGH on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR OKLAHOMA-BRED TWO-YEAR-OLDS WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THESE TRIALS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 DALTS FANCY PISTOL 1/1
# 1 SIN SATIONAL KISSER 3/1
# 6 BRISCOE MOUNTAIN 5/1

DALTS FANCY PISTOL has a very good shot to take this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look very good in this contest. Could beat this group given the 73 speed figure earned in her last outing. Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. SIN SATIONAL KISSER - Is tough not to examine based on Equibase speed figs which have been formidable - 71 avg - of late. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Willis running at this distance are the top in this group of animals. BRISCOE MOUNTAIN - Very strong profits have been scored by bettors using this jockey and conditioner tandem lately. Will probably compete very well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #7 - Post: 8:41pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,414 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#10 ALLEN'S ROCKET (ML=7/2)
#4 SCRATCH N SNIFF (ML=9/2)
#6 SUPERSERG (ML=8/1)


ALLEN'S ROCKET - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. I like that most recent race on September 4th at Prairie Meadows where he finished first. SCRATCH N SNIFF - This horse is tops in earnings per race. He looks sharp in today's contest. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Ran third in the last race and comes back quickly. This gelding is most certainly on the improve with speed figures of 41, 58, 65 last three out. SUPERSERG - I surely see portentous signs for this mount right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 RUNFORUSRUN (ML=5/2), #1 MAFIA DON (ML=6/1),

RUNFORUSRUN - Hasn't been on the Prairie Meadows oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. This gelding is always in the mix, but just doesn't get the job done. Tough to bet on him on the win end. MAFIA DON - This racer gave a lackluster effort last time finishing fifth. Don't expect any improvement in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #10 ALLEN'S ROCKET to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,6,10] with [4,6,10] with [1,4,5,6,10] with [1,4,5,6,10] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 13 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $49700 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 13 TALLESTOFTHETALL 8/1
# 6 GUESTIMATION 3/1
# 1 EMBRACE MY UNCLE 20/1

TALLESTOFTHETALL is my selection especially at a long price. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look respectable in this contest. Last time out, this gelding ran against a stronger crew. GUESTIMATION - Strong returns have been scored by bettors using this rider and handler duo lately. Ranked high in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

09/12/20, MTH, Race 11, 5.07 ET
09/12/20,MTH,11,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 STAKES. Mr. Prospector Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $1,000 to start. The owner of the winner to receive $60,000, $20,000 to second, $10,000 to third, $5,000 to fourth, $3,000to fifth and $2,000 to sixth through last. Three-Year-Olds: 121 lbs.; Older: 124 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes in 2020 allowed 2 lbs.; $60,000 once since July 1, 2020, 4 lbs.; $40,000 once in 2020, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and State Bred Allowance races not considered). The winning owner to receive a trophy. Closed Saturday, September 5, 2020 with 13 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	Absentee	8-1	Castillo I	Duarte. Jr. Jorge	TFC	87	37.93	1.18/$1
098.6604	6	Awesome Anywhere	3-1	Bravo J	Hollendorfer Jerry	J	58	34.48	1.36/$1
098.3126	7	Share the Ride	6-1	Peterson F	Arriaga Antonio	S	116	43.10	1.16/$1
097.2016	3	Mind Control	8/5	Ferrer J C	Sacco Gregory D.	E	116	43.10	1.16/$1
096.2652	2	Epic Dreamer	4-1	Juarez N	Breen Kelly J.	W	58	34.48	1.36/$1
094.9975	5	Speightsford	12-1	Torres J	Perkins. Jr. Benjamin	L	58	34.48	1.36/$1
094.9608	4	Wendell Fong	9/2	Vargas. Jr. J A	Lynch Natalia		58	34.48	1.36/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 24.29, ROI 0.62/$1

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Arizona w/Gallon -160 over Seattle

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday September 12, 2020
9/12 10:05 AM PT / 1:05 PM ET
MLB (951) BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS (952) NEW YORK YANKEES

Take: over

Reason: Your free play for Saturday, Sept 12, 2020 is in the MLB Scheduled contest between the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees. The Baltimore Orioles have not played badly this year considering they are usually huge dogs in games. In fact, I don't know of any other team in baseball that has won more games as a +1.50 dog than the O's have. They have lost three straight though as they enter Saturday's game at the Yankees. Dean Kremer will start only his second game of the year for the O's. Kremer pitched well in his other start, going six innings vs these Yankees and allowing just one run in a win as a +1.80 dog. Now he gets to face them again here today. The Yankees will send Jordan Montgomery to the hill today. Montgomery is 2-2 in his seven starts with a 5.72 ERA and 1.411 WHIP. I look for lots of runs in this contest today. Your free play is on the OVER.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: UTEP/TEXAS OVER the total of 58

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Totals4U

Late Saturday's Free Selection: Vegas Golden Knights/Dallas Stars under 5 1/2 goals

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Roz Wins

Roz's SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 12, 2020 Free Pick

College Football

403. Coastal Carolina +7 (7 PT / 10 ET)

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Atlantic Sports

Late Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: LA Angels + 122

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#1 Sports

Late Saturday's Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers - 150