Service Plays Wednesday 9/9/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

OVER 220.5
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DENVER | 9/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
4:26 PM
The Nuggets are the equals if not superior to the Clippers offensively led by Nikola Jokic, but Denver simply can't get the key defensive stops when needed because it doesn't have a stopper like Kawhi Leonard, Paul George or Patrick Beverley. The Over is 8-2 in the Nuggets' past 10 after a loss, and more than 70 percent of model simulations have Game 4 going Over the total on Wednesday.

44-17 IN LAST 61 NBA PICKS | +2528
8-4 IN LAST 12 DEN O/U PICKS | +357

TAMPA BAY -170
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 9/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
4:20 PM
Tampa Bay dominated the New York Islanders in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Final series on Monday, 8-2, for a fifth straight victory. Brayden Point had two goals and three assists as the Bolts scored at least twice in every period. They are simply the much more talented team, and nearly 65 percent of model simulations have Tampa taking a 2-0 lead Wednesday. The Isles are 4-13 in their past 17 as underdogs.

14-5 IN LAST 19 NHL ML PICKS | +735
7-2 IN LAST 9 TB ML PICKS | +450

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYI ML PICKS | +65

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Big AL

Boston / Toronto Under

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newworldinsiders

NYC INSIDER: Yankees OV 10

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R.J. White

Super Bowl 55 Odds

Best value

New Orleans Saints (12-1):

This Saints team is built to win the title this season in what could be Drew Brees' last in football. With the future Hall-of-Famer back under center, the Saints feature the best offense in the NFC, one that was able to re-sign guard Andrus Peat to a long-term deal while also adding an excellent No. 2 receiver in Emmanuel Sanders. And if that wasn't enough, they reunited with safety Malcolm Jenkins to help overcome the loss of Vonn Bell and brought in multiple talented prospects via the draft to fortify their roster.

Even with Tom Brady joining the division, there's plenty to love about New Orleans, a team that finished second in the conference in Pythagorean wins (calculated by points scored and allowed) last year and came close to earning the No. 1 seed at 13-3. As a distant fourth in the championship odds, the Saints aren't getting nearly enough love.

Best longshots

Indianapolis Colts (25-1)

Despite the fact their franchise quarterback made the stunning decision to retire weeks before the 2019 season, the Colts shot out to a 5-2 start but ultimately petered out, finishing short of the playoffs due to injuries and several close losses. But the bones of this team are strong, with excellent talent on the offensive line and defensive front seven. Now coach Frank Reich has Philip Rivers to run his offense while the team also added a marquee player on the other side of the ball in defensive tackle DeForest Buckner.

Even last year, the Colts were neck and neck with Houston in terms of Pythagorean wins, and though Tennessee leads the way in the statistic, you have to wonder if Ryan Tannehill's elite-level play can be repeated in 2020. If not, the Colts could be the AFC South team playing for a Super Bowl bid, and with their status as division favorites at 7-5, these title odds present a great value.

Denver Broncos (50-1)

I'm not ready to fully buy into Drew Lock, but he did a solid job in his five-game rookie season, with the team going 4-1 while he posted decent numbers. For the Broncos to make waves in January, he's going to need to take a big step forward in his development, and at these odds, I'm willing to take the gamble that he can.

The Broncos unquestionably did a great job of retooling their roster during free agency. They've upgraded the offensive line by bringing in Graham Glasgow to be the reliable pivot Lock needs. They traded for key defenders like Jurrell Casey and A.J. Bouye to replace outgoing talent while making sure Justin Simmons stayed in Denver via the franchise tag. They even threw in a bargain of a deal for Melvin Gordon, because why not? And they also added plenty of talent in the draft, starting with a top-tier receiving prospect in Jerry Jeudy. This looks like a team ready to take a leap and win a wild card, and if they do, 50-1 odds are going to look pretty fantastic.

Arizona Cardinals (60-1)

I almost included the Cardinals in my first version of this post, as I laid out in the Broncos section of that version. Then they went out and pulled off a heist that should have been impossible, to the extent I might petition Hollywood to give Arizona general manager Steve Keim the lead role in the next Mission:Impossible movie in place of Tom Cruise. The Cardinals added one of the best receivers in football (DeAndre Hopkins) to their offense and unloaded a contract (David Johnson) that should have been unmovable, all for virtually a second-round pick. Remember: A second-round pick is what a certain team that shall remain nameless spent to offload its own horrendous contract (Brock Osweiler) once upon a time.

But that's not the team we're talking about here. Kyler Murray could explode in his second year with the weapons surrounding him, especially if the Cardinals are able to keep Kenyan Drake from leaving via the transition tag. The defense made some underrated additions in the form of Devon Kennard, De'Vondre Campbell and Jordan Phillips. And they landed an impact defender early in the draft in Isaiah Simmons before upgrading the offensive line with the third-round value selection of Josh Jones. This looks like a team capable of making a playoff run in the wide-open NFC.

Teams to avoid

San Francisco 49ers (7-1)

I don't think the 49ers were a fluke by any means, and the stats back up their Super Bowl LIV run as they finished first in the NFC in Pythagorean wins by more than one full win. But they had to win several close games late in the season, particularly against their NFC West rivals. Can they repeat in what figures to be the strongest division, top to bottom, in the NFL in 2020? With the fourth-toughest schedule in the league, taking the 49ers as a favorite to win the title doesn't make much sense from a value perspective.

Dallas Cowboys (12-1)

Keeping Amari Cooper was a boon for the Cowboys, but I'm worried about the talent that did escape via free agency. While there's nothing wrong with Dallas' offense, I'm not sure Gerald McCoy and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix are significant upgrades from the players they're replacing, and neither addresses the key loss of Byron Jones from the secondary. This still is a good team, but not one that deserves to have the third-lowest odds (6-1) to come out of the NFC.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-1)

Of course, the team that's now tied with the Cowboys is overvalued as well. The Buccaneers made the biggest splash - maybe ever - during free agency by signing Tom Brady, but the quarterback who took the field for New England last year isn't the same guy who dominated the league for two decades as he finished 2019 with career lows - or close to them - in completion percentage, yards per attempt and percentage of passes to go for a touchdown. With plenty of other issues on the roster to address and a tough championship contender ahead of them in the division, the Bucs should be behind Seattle, Philadelphia and Green Bay, at the very least, instead of their current position.

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Elite Sports Picks

Chicago Cubs (Darvish) -150 over Cincinnati (Bauer)

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Insider Sports Report

4* Colorado (Senzatela)/San Diego (Davies) UNDER 8.5
Range: 9 to 10

3* N.Y. Yankees (Garcia) -130 over Toronto (Roark)
Range: -115 to -155

3* L.A. Clippers/Denver UNDER 220 (NBA)
Range: 222 to 218

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National Sports Service

4* Chicago Cubs (Darvish) -150 over Cincinnati (Bauer)

3* Milwaukee (Burnes)/Detroit (Boyd) UNDER 8.5

3* Boston -3 over Toronto (NBA)

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Primetime Sports Picks For 09/09/20

4 Unit --> Milwaukee (Burnes) -140 over Detroit (Boyd)

3 Unit --> Cleveland (Carrasco) -1.5 runs -105 over Kansas City (Duffy)

3 Unit --> Denver +7.5 over Denver (NBA)

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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 09/09/20

4★ N.Y. Yankees (Garcia) -130 over Toronto (Roark)

3★ Milwaukee (Burnes)/Detroit (Boyd) UNDER 8.5

3★ Toronto/Boston UNDER 210.5 (NBA)

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SDQL

OAKLAND -172
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 9/09 | 9:10 PM EDT
10:02 AM
The Athletics are 15-0 as 140-plus home favorites following a game in which they did not score after the third inning. Oakland has won these 15 games by an average of exactly five runs. Houston is 0-11 as a road underdog before game 110 after it had more strikeouts than hits. We make the Athletics the play.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ML PICKS | +189

3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK ML PICKS | +160

CHI. WHITE SOX -177
CHI. WHITE SOX @ PITTSBURGH | 9/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:54 AM
Chicago is a reliable 12-0 as a favorite in the last game of a series when it is coming off a loss in which it had more than three hits, but more strikeouts than hits. Pittsburgh is 0-17 as an underdog of more than 160 following a game in which it struck out its opponent 10-plus times and its starter has averaged at least three strikeouts per game. The White Sox get the victory.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
10-1 IN LAST 11 CHW ML PICKS | +855

CHI. CUBS -153
CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 9/09 | 8:15 PM EDT
9:50 AM
Since the start of the 2018 season, the Reds are 0-9 before game 130 as a road underdog after being shut out on the road, getting outscored by an average of 3.56 runs. In their two games in this spot this season, they scored a total of two runs. The Cubs have shown no mercy in this spot, as they are 9-0 as a 120-plus home favorite against a team that has lost at least it last two games. We are on Chicago.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
9-3 IN LAST 12 CHC ML PICKS | +474

L.A. DODGERS -290
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 9/09 | 9:40 PM EDT
9:48 AM
The Dodgers have crushed souls in this spot. Los Angeles is 12-0 as a 150-plus road favorite over a team that has a worse record when it is not a series opener. The Dodgers are 7-0 in this spot this season, winning every game by multiple runs, and have trailed for a total of one inning in that span. Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 0-11 when it is not the first game of a series and they are facing a team that has a better record. The Dodgers roll.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
10-4 IN LAST 14 LAD ML PICKS | +260

2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ML PICKS | +79

SAN FRANCISCO -145
SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/09 | 9:45 PM EDT
9:44 AM
The Mariners are 0-8 on the road following an away contest in which they did not score after the third inning, getting beaten by an average of 6.25 runs. The Giants are 10-0 as a favorite in the finale of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, including two multi-run wins this season. San Francisco turns the screw.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-0 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ML PICKS | +60

SAN DIEGO -180
COLORADO @ SAN DIEGO | 9/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:37 AM
The Padres are 8-0 at home after a game in which Manny Machado had multiple hits and 7-0 as a favorite after they struck out their opponent at least 10 times, winning by an average of 5.14 runs. San Diego is rolling and Colorado's Antonio Senzatela has pressed in this spot. The Rockies are 0-10 with Senzatela when visiting a team that has won at least three straight, getting beaten by an average of 4.60 runs. We are laying the price.

63-35-1 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS | +602
3-1 IN LAST 4 COL ML PICKS | +143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
9:37 AM

DETROIT +1.5
MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT | 9/09 | 1:10 PM EDT
This is the only matinee of Wednesday, and getaway day games hugely favor the home team, regardless of whether fans are in the stands. On the surface, the season numbers for Tigers pitcher Matt Boyd (1-5, 6.64) are ugly, but he has allowed just five earned runs over his past three outings. The Brewers, meanwhile, have lost three in a row overall and seven of their past eight away. Detroit could well win this outright, but we will take it as a short -120 favorite on the runline to be safe.

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Doc Sports

3* reds+140

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VSI

4* Indians-1.5 even

[golden contender]

Rob V: Hump day Comp Play

Wednesday card has the 100% NBA Western Conference Play of the Year and an MLB Platinum Supreme move. MLS Soccer Comp play below


The MLS soccer total is to play OVER 2.5 Goal in the Toronto vs Montreal game at 8:00 eastern. Toronto comes in off a tough 3-2 road loss in Vancouver and has played Montreal tough the last two meetings with both teams winning on the others field. Our Simulation model shows this game playing over the total and despite the series being played very tight here we look for this one to get 3+ goals Play the over. On Hump day we have our NBA Western Conference Playoff game of the Year along with an MLB Supreme Model top play. See us on facebook to jump on . For the MLS Soccer play. Go over 2,5 goals in the Montreal vs Toronto Canadian Derby Match. RV- GC Sports.