Service Plays Monday 9/14/20

[rocky57]

H&H Sports
NFL - Triple Dime Denver Broncos +3.5 (-120)
NHL Icecrusher - Double Dime Vegas Golden Knights -165
MLB
Triple Dime - Chicago White Sox +130
Double Dime - Atlanta Braves -160
Dime Play - Seattle Mariners +150 (Game #1)

[citybeat]

Bobby Ligs

• Game: (481) Tennessee Titans at (482) Denver Broncos
  Date/Time: Sep 14 2020 10:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Denver Broncos +3.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  5% play +3 or more
  4% play down to Den-1
  

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al N.F.L. NYG /Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Karl Garret

50 Dime

Winner


Western Conference Dog Lock


VGK -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin


Opening Monday Night Total of the Year

50 dime- Steelers under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ink Bets

3* NFL: Denver Broncos +3 @ 2.02/+102
-Rule #1 of betting: People remember what they saw last. And that was the Titans toppling the almighty Ravens and Henry being the most dominant RB in the entire NFL. And, the average person thinks "Shit, and now they are even better after adding Clowney." However, that isn't reality. Reality is this - Tannehill greatly overperformed to end the season, they lost an all-pro LT in Conklin, they lost an all-pro DE in Jurrell Casey, and also lost their defensive coordinator. Losing Conklin is HUGE considering the fair majority of runs were designed to the left side, including the highlight reel 99-yard TD vs JAX. Vrabel will be calling the defensive plays on top of the head coach role. A lot of things going against them.

Now let's contextualize the Broncos. The average person thinks "They lost Von Miller, they're screwed!" but that's the furthest thing from the truth. Let's go back to All-pro DE Jurrell Casey... he's now a Bronco. He has publicly said he felt disrespected with the Titans trading him, and now he gets the first game versus his old team. Bradley Chubb is available, and they added a pro-bowler CB in A.J. Bouye to line up against a very weak WR core, obviously covering AJ Brown. Although Von Miller out hurts them - this defense, even without Miller, is BETTER than last years defense. Cortland Sutton may be hurt as well but Jeudy & Hamler are no slouches at WR, also added Melvin Gordon giving them a huge improvement in receiving out of the backfield.

As I type this I almost want to upgrade it to 4 units even, but going to stick with 3. Titans cross-country travel in high altitude after a shortened training camp and a whole lot of hype around them. Catching a FG at home is just ridiculous here. Broncos win outright IMO

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

4 Units - #955 / #956 - Atlanta / Baltimore (Under 10) -110 *7:35 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

Double dime - Steelers team total under 26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

MLB

STL +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

20-5 ATS NFL MONDAY NIGHT TOP SHELF WAGER

Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
5:45 PM

PITTSBURGH -6
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
Though fading Ben Roethlisberger on Monday nights is usually a good idea, there will be no fans in the stands for this game and his preparation schedule will not be affected since it is Week 1. With that concern out of the way, the swinging factor for me in this game is Pittsburgh's defense, which should be able to take advantage of Daniel Jones and a New York team playing its first game under Joe Judge. Whereas the Giants are breaking in a new coach, Mike Tomlin and the Steelers are the model of consistency. Plus, Big Ben, JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Conner are all healthy. Will Saquon Barkley be able to do this on his own? Don't think so.

4-2-1 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS | +180
7-3 IN LAST 10 NYG ATS PICKS | +365

4-2 IN LAST 6 PIT ATS PICKS | +174

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Lean – NY GIANTS (+6) over Pittsburgh

Lean – Steelers Team Total Under 26 (now 25.5)

The market was at Steelers -3.5 for the majority of the summer before getting a lot of action on Pittsburgh earlier this week. Our model is more in line with the summer price favoring the Steelers by 3.3 points, with a predicted total of 45.8 points.

The Giants have one of the least talented defenses in the NFL with zero Pro Bowl-caliber players but Pittsburgh’s offense historically underwhelms on the road against bad defenses. The Steelers are 9-15 ATS in the last 6 years as a road favorite of 3+. Perhaps of greater note, Pittsburgh is 31-4-1 Under in their last 36 games as a road favorite and they’re 32-3-1 Under in all road games when the Over/Under is 49 points or less.

Roethlisberger averaged 7.1 yards per pass play during his last full season (9th), but it wouldn’t be surprising if the 38-year-old quarterback struggles coming back from injury in 2020, especially given the amount of hits he’s taken throughout his career, and the fact that he doesn’t have Antonio Brown to throw to anymore.

Pittsburgh’s defense loses interior defender Javon Hargrave (4th in pass rush efficiency), but the Steelers should still be dominate up front with Stephon Tuitt back from injury playing alongside TJ Watt (2nd in pass rush efficiency) and Cameron Heyward (6th in pass rush efficiency). The Steelers led the league in averaging 2.4 takeaways per game in 2019 and will certainly regress in this category. The last two league leaders in takeaways, Bears (2018) and Ravens (2017), have both dropped by a full takeaway per game the following season.

Furthermore, Giants’ quarterback Daniel Jones likely won’t turn the ball over as much as he did last year (29 in his 12 starts) but I expect New York’s offense to be predictable with Jason Garrett calling the plays and Saquon Barkley may struggle this season, especially with the team likely to be playing from behind in most games. I’ll lean with the Giants based on the line value and with the Steelers team Total Under given how conservative they tend to be offensively under Tomlin on the road (16-34-2 on Team Totals on the road since 2014), especially when visiting an inferior opponent.