Thursday 9/17/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 2 Odds: Heat vs. Celtics
Michael Crosson

The Eastern Conference Finals will continue Thursday from the NBA Bubble in Orlando, Florida and the Boston Celtics will look to rebound after dropping an overtime setback to the Miami Heat in Game 1 on Tuesday.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Eastern Conference Finals Game 2
Series: Miami Heat lead 1-0
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Thursday, Sept. 17, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Miami Heat rookie Tyler Herro almost recorded a triple-double in Game 1, finishing with 12 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. (AP)

Line Movements

The red-hot Miami Heat pulled off the 117-114 overtime upset in Game 1, but that has not swayed the oddsmakers prior to the second contest of this series as the Celtics still head into Game 2 as two and a half-point favorites, already trailing Miami 1-0.

It has been a bad month to be an ‘over’ bettor in the 2020 NBA Playoffs so far, as the ‘under’ has cashed in 19 out of 26 post-season games inside the bubble.

Game 1 between the Celtics and Heat was not one of those games though, as these teams combined for 212 points in regulation – securing ‘over 209’ before they tacked on almost 20 more in the OT stanza. The line for Thursday night’s tilt fallen a little bit though, siting at a tempting line of OU 208.5.

Spread: Boston -2.5
Money-Line: Boston -140, Miami +120
Total: 208.5
Updated Series Price: Miami -150, Boston +130

Game 1 Recap

It sure is a shame that there are no fans present to witness these grueling playoff battles in the bubble, because there is no doubt Boston’s TD Garden would have been rocking for Game 1 on Tuesday night.

It could have even been just what some of the Celtics’ young stars needed to push them over their competitive edge in overtime during their first battle with Miami in these Eastern Conference Finals.

No complaints from Brad Stevens’ corner though as Jayson Tatum and Marcus Smart combined for 56 points on 45% shooting in their 2020 ECF debuts – putting their team in a reasonable position to extend/win the game by closing the gap to a two-point differential in OT with just 12 ticks remaining on the clock.

Tatum had his game-tying dunk attempt emphatically denied at the rim by Bam Adebayo though, earning Erik Spoelstra’s team its first victory in an Eastern Conference Finals matchup since the LeBron James years (2014).

Game 1 Betting Results

Outcome: Heat 117 Celtics 114 (OT)

Game: Heat Win, Heat Cover (+2), Over 2019
First Quarter: Celtics Win (26-18), Celtics Cover (-0.5), Under 54.5
First-Half: Tied (55-55), Heat Cover (+0.5), Over 108
Second-Half: Heat Win (62-59), Heat Cover (+1.5), Over 103.5

Heat Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Overall: 12-6 SU, 12-6 ATS, 8-9-1 O/U
Bubble: 9-1 SU, 9-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Miami came out of the gates flat and it looked like the Celtics might run away with the opening game of this series in the early-goings when they jumped out to a 26-18 first quarter lead. However, that shifted rather quickly as the Heat lit up the scoreboard in the second stanza for 37 points on 68.2 percent shooting to close out the half.

The Heat managed to post another insane offensive column of basketball in the fourth quarter of Game 1, racking up 35 points on 71.4 percent shooting to force OT in the final stanza of the contest.

The Heat needed every bit of the 72 points they dropped in the second and fourth quarters to force overtime in series opener, PLUS and insane block from Adebayo at the buzzer to seal the deal.

Not to rain on Miami’s parade here, but they cannot afford to ride the roller coaster in this series like they did in Game 1. The Heat need to string together four good quarters of basketball in Game 2 if they want to take a two-game advantage over a Boston team that has been devastatingly consistent this season. And somebody tell Duncan Robinson to stay out of foul trouble, holy cow.

Celtics Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Overall: 13-6 SU, 11-7-1 ATS, 6-11-2 O/U
Bubble: 8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 3-9 O/U

No need to panic if you are a Celtics series bettor following their loss on Tuesday night, but if Boston fails to get over the hump again in Game 2 then it might be time to admit that Jimmy Butler and company are just on a magical run and may need to avoid betting against them at all costs for the near future.

I do not believe that is the kind of situation we are dealing with here though, as the heroes in Game 1 for Miami were Goran Dragic and Jae Crowder who went for a combined 51 points in the contest on 60% shooting.

The Dragic-Crowder-Butler trio shot a combined 10 of 18 from downtown in the contest, and I have a tough time believing they are going to be able to replicate those numbers over the course of a series.

I think Boston ultimately comes out on top in this series, but there is no doubt the Heat will make me eat those words if their role-players keep burying 3’s at a 55% clip the rest of the way.

Key Injuries

Miami

PF Chris Silva: Pelvis - Out

Boston

SG Javonte Green: Knee - Game Time Decision
SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle - Game Time Decision

Celtics forward, Gordon Hayward, has been upgraded to a “game-time decision” for Boston’s Game 2 tilt with the Heat on Thursday night.

The Butler product has not played since injuring his ankle in Game 1 of their opening round playoff series with the 76ers – his return should add some much needed size and scoring depth to Celtic rotation moving forward in this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (14 - 9) at MINNESOTA (14 - 8) - 9/17/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (11 - 12) at LOS ANGELES (15 - 7) - 9/17/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 8-3 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-4 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Thursday, September 17

Trend Report

Phoenix @ Minnesota
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Phoenix
Minnesota is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Connecticut @ Los Angeles
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, September 17

Phoenix @ Minnesota

Game 605-606
September 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.581
Minnesota
110.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3
164 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+3); Under

Connecticut @ Los Angeles

Game 607-608
September 17, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
106.582
Los Angeles
115.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 9
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 4 1/2
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement September 17
Patrick Everson

Randy Arozarena and the Rays look to regain their August form in a Thursday doubleheader against the Orioles. Tampa Bay will surely be favored when sportsbooks post lines Thursday morning.

MLB betting odds are on the board for Thursday’s schedule, a slightly abbreviated 12-game docket. That includes the AL East-leading Tampa Bay Rays facing the Baltimore Orioles in a doubleheader, and Shane Bieber taking the ball for the Cleveland Indians against the Detroit Tigers.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s games.

MLB line movement

Tampa Bay was large and in charge in the AL East by the end of August, but has been mediocre since then, including 3-5 in its last eight games. Baltimore could help solve the Rays’ woes, as the Orioles are 2-6 in their last eight. Most sportsbooks held off Wednesday night on posting either game of this doubleheader in Baltimore, with the first game slated for a 4:35 p.m. ET start.

Bieber suffered his first loss of the season last week against the Minnesota Twins, but he’s still been superb overall, going 7-1 with a stout 1.53 ERA. The right-hander aims to stop the bleeding for the Indians, who are on an 0-8 nosedive heading into a 7:10 p.m. ET meeting with the host Tigers. Caesars books opened at Indians -270/Tigers +230, and there was no movement through Wednesday night.

The New York Yankees put up 33 runs over the past two days while drubbing the Toronto Blue Jays, and the Pinstripes go for a three-game home sweep today. Toronto was on a nice 12-6 run to overtake New York for second in the AL East, but the Yanks are now back in second. The Yankees opened -210 and the Blue Jays +185 at Caesars, with no movement Wednesday night for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch.

MLB public betting

Not surprisingly, the Consensus showed plenty of early support for Bieber and the Indians, who were landing 73 percent of early picks against the Tigers. The Yankees were attracting 61 percent of Consensus picks against the Jays through Wednesday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901MINNESOTA -902 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 30-13 SU (20.1 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

903ARIZONA -904 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 7-18 SU (-12.9 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

905TAMPA BAY -906 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 16-5 SU (10.8 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

907TORONTO -908 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) as a home favorite of -150 or more in the current season.

909NY METS -910 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 SU (5.9 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in the current season.

911ST LOUIS -912 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 11-2 SU (8.6 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) in the current season.

913TEXAS -914 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 4-15 SU (-18.1 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

915CLEVELAND -916 DETROIT
CLEVELAND is 79-53 SU (22.8 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

917LA DODGERS -918 COLORADO
LA DODGERS are 14-27 SU (-18.7 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

919SAN FRANCISCO -920 SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 27-16 SU (10.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

921BALTIMORE -922 TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 16-5 SU (10.8 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

923BOSTON -924 MIAMI
MIAMI is 116-83 SU (24.7 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 17

National League
New York @ Philadelphia
Mets (22-27)
Lugo is 1-1, 2.60 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: under 3-0-1

— Mets lost five of their last eight games overall.
— New York is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— Over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games.

Phillies (24-24)
Nola is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 4.38 against the Mets this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-4 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-9 Totals: under 5-4

— Philly lost nine of its last 14 games.
— Phillies won six of their last eight home games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

St Louis @ Pittsburgh
Cardinals (22-23)
Hudson is 3-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: over 3-1 last four

— St Louis lost six of its last nine games.
— Cardinals are 7-6 in their last 13 road games.
— Under is 8-1-2 in Cardinals’ last 11 road games.

Pirates (14-34):
Brault is 0-3, 7.36 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-7 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-8 Totals: under 7-1

— Pirates are 5-15 in their last 20 games.
— Pittsburgh split its last eight home games.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.

Los Angeles @ Colorado
Dodgers (35-14)
Urias is 1-0, 4.43 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 5-9 Totals: over 6-0 last six

— Dodgers split their last ten games overall.
— LA won eight of its last 11 road games.
— Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 road games.

Rockies (22-26):
Freeland is 0-0, 4.81 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 4.22 in six home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 last six Team in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: under 7-3

— Rockies lost 10 of their last 15 games.
— Colorado lost 12 of its last 17 home games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

American League
Minnesota @ Chicago
Twins (31-20)
Maeda is 3-1, 2.33 in his last six starts; he is 3-1, 3.45 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-2 Team in first 5 innings: 6-0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-9 Totals: under 5-0 last five

— Twins won 11 of their last 15 games.
— Minnesota lost eight of its last ten road games.
— Under is 9-1-1 in their last ten road games.

White Sox (32-17):
Unknown starter
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Chicago won 10 of its last 12 games overall.
— White Sox won 14 of their last 16 home games.
— Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Rays (31-18):
Snell is 4-1, 3.56 in his last six starts; he is 3-0, 4.00 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-9 Totals: over 6-2-1

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Tampa Bay won three of its last five games overall.
— Rays lost three of their last four road games.
— Over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 home games

Orioles (21-27):
Kremer is 1-0, 1.64 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Orioles lost six of their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 8-3 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-4 in their last nine home games.

Toronto @ Bronx
Blue Jays (26-22):
Anderson is 0-1, 6.49 in seven starts, 0-0, 9.00 in two road starts (7 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 3-1 last four

— Blue Jays are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Jays are 1-4 in their last five road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six road games.

Bronx (28-21):
Tanaka is 2-1, 2.95 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 5.40 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 5-1-2

— Bronx won its last seven games- they scored 33 runs the last two games.
— New York won 10 of its last 12 home games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Cleveland @ Detroit
Indians (26-23):
Bieber is 4-1, 1.46 in his last six starts; he is 4-1, 1.70 in seven road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 8-2 Team in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-10 Totals: under 9-1

— Cleveland lost its last eight games.
— Indians are 2-7 in their last nine road games.
— Over is 5-3 in Cleveland’s last eight games.

Tigers (21-27):
Mize is 0-2, 6.20 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Detroit lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Tigers won seven of their last nine home games.
— Over is 9-6 in their last 15 home games.

Texas @ Houston
Rangers (18-31):
Lyles is 0-3, 9.87 in his last three starts; he is 0-3, 10.05 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5
Allowed run in first inning: 4-6 Totals: over 4-2

— Texas lost 22 of its last 30 games.
— Rangers lost seven of their last eight road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Astros (24-25):
Valdez is 4-0, 5.45 in his last six starts; he is 2-1, 4.07 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-5
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 6-2

— Astros are 9-14 in their last 23 games overall.
— Houston won 13 of its last 16 home games.
— Over is 16-9 in their last 25 games.

Interleague
Boston @ Miami
Red Sox (18-32):
Eovaldi is 1-1, 5.48 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 5.54 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: over 4-3

— Red Sox are 6-6 in their last 12 games.
— Boston is 8-15 in its last 23 road games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Marlins (25-22):
Urena is 0-1, 8.68 in two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: over 1-0-1

— Miami won nine of its last 14 games overall.
— Marlins won four of their last six home games.
— Over is 10-4-1 in their last 14 games.

Arizona @ Anaheim
Diamondbacks (19-31):
Young is 0-3, 5.25 in five starts this year; he is 0-3, 6.14 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 4-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Arizona lost 20 of its last 26 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost 11 of their last 14 road games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games.

Angels (20-30):
Canning is 0-0, 4.67 in his last five starts; he is 0-1, 4.39 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-9 Totals: 4-4-1

— Angels won eight of their last 13 games.
— Halos won five of their last seven home games.
— Over is 7-1 in Angels’ last eight home games.

Seattle @ San Francisco
Mariners (22-27):
Margevicius is 1-4, 5.33 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Seattle lost five of its last seven games overall.
— Mariners are 6-7 in their last 13 road games.
— Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

Giants (24-24):
Anderson is 2-2, 4.56 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-8 Totals: over 5-3

— Giants lost three of their last four games.
— SF won its last six home games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in Giants’ last nine games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 17

Trend Report

Boston @ Miami
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chi White Sox is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

Arizona @ LA Angels
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

San Francisco @ Seattle
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Toronto @ NY Yankees
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
St. Louis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

NY Mets @ Philadelphia
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Cleveland @ Detroit
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Texas
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
LA Dodgers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 17

Boston @ Miami

Game 923-924
September 17, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Eovaldi) 14.855
Miami
(Urena) 16.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-125); Under

Minnesota @ Chicago White Sox

Game 901-902
September 17, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Maeda) 16.297
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 17.055
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+130); Under

Arizona @ LA Angels

Game 903-904
September 17, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Young) 15.934
LA Angels
(Canning) 14.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); Over

San Francisco @ Seattle

Game 919-920
September 17, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Anderson) 13.767
Seattle
(Mrgevicius) 15.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+130); Over

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore

Game 905-906
September 17, 2020 @ 4:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 17.975
Baltimore
(Kremer) 16.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-180
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-180); Over

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore

Game 921-922
September 17, 2020 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(TBD) 00.000
Baltimore
(TBD) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay

Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh

Game 911-912
September 17, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Hudson) 14.180
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 15.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-165
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+145); Under

Toronto @ NY Yankees

Game 907-908
September 17, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Anderson) 12.813
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 19.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 6
15
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-200); Over

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 909-910
September 17, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Lugo) 16.337
Philadelphia
(Nola) 14.733
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+105); Over

Cleveland @ Detroit

Game 915-916
September 17, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.810
Detroit
(Mize) 13.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-270
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-270); Over

Texas @ Houston

Game 913-914
September 17, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lyles) 14.009
Houston
(Valdez) 15.570
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-240
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-240); Under

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 917-918
September 17, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 17.600
Colorado
(Freeland) 14.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-165
12
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-165); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 13-0 SU since Sep 12, 2019 as a road favorite after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at Houston (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 0-17 SU since Aug 26, 2018 as a 140+ dog after they were shut out in the first 6 innings.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Phillies are 10-0 OU (3.85 ppg) since Jul 24, 2018 as a favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Phillies are 14-0 SU since Apr 27, 2018 when Aaron Nola starts as a home 140+ favorite after he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start.


Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (31 - 20) at CHI WHITE SOX (32 - 17) - 2:10 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MAEDA is 10-17 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 32-17 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-7 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-11 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 48-54 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 132-84 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-43 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 412-417 (+46.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 102-59 (+24.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 (+0.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)



KENTA MAEDA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MAEDA is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)



REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.44 and a WHIP of 1.523.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (19 - 31) at LA ANGELS (20 - 30) - 4:10 PM
ALEX YOUNG (L) vs. GRIFFIN CANNING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 22-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-45 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 20-30 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 9-16 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 (+3.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)



ALEX YOUNG vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.



GRIFFIN CANNING vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TAMPA BAY (31 - 18) at BALTIMORE (22 - 27) - 4:35 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. DEAN KREMER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SNELL is 0-5 (-11.3 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 13-8 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 220-159 (+29.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 123-250 (-64.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-11 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-2 (+3.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)



BLAKE SNELL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SNELL is 2-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.134.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)



DEAN KREMER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (26 - 22) at NY YANKEES (28 - 21) - 7:05 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 79-33 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 44-12 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 49-18 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 59-20 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 36-15 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)



CHASE ANDERSON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.



MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TORONTO since 1997
TANAKA is 13-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.010.
His team's record is 15-6 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-14. (-9.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NY METS (22 - 27) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 24) - 7:05 PM
SETH LUGO (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 22-27 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 32-51 (-19.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 119-100 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 (+3.4 Units) against NY METS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)



SETH LUGO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LUGO is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.552.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)



AARON NOLA vs. NY METS since 1997
NOLA is 8-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.6 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (22 - 23) at PITTSBURGH (14 - 34) - 7:05 PM
DAKOTA HUDSON (R) vs. STEVEN BRAULT (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 492-444 (+60.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 61-36 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 27-14 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 17-4 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 6-25 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 13-38 (-20.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+2.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)



DAKOTA HUDSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HUDSON is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.646.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)



STEVEN BRAULT vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BRAULT is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 8.06 and a WHIP of 1.835.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS (18 - 31) at HOUSTON (24 - 25) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. FRAMBER VALDEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 5-18 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 2-13 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 0-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 24-25 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 51-39 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 5-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
HOUSTON is 99-103 (-40.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 13-17 (-8.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 48-41 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-3 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)



JORDAN LYLES vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LYLES is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.948.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 8.21 and a WHIP of 1.956.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEVELAND (26 - 23) at DETROIT (21 - 27) - 7:10 PM
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. CASEY MIZE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 210-166 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-21 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 133-110 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 149-117 (-25.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 68-140 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-71 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-73 (-31.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 48-113 (-39.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-77 (-26.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-4 (+0.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)



SHANE BIEBER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BIEBER is 4-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.779.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)



CASEY MIZE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA DODGERS (35 - 15) at COLORADO (22 - 26) - 8:40 PM
JULIO URIAS (L) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 1011-851 (-97.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 36-30 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 103-110 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FREELAND is 16-4 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-4 (+0.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)



JULIO URIAS vs. COLORADO since 1997
URIAS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.06 and a WHIP of 1.661.
His team's record is 4-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)



KYLE FREELAND vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
FREELAND is 2-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 5-6 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-11. (-12.4 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN FRANCISCO (24 - 24) at SEATTLE (22 - 27) - 4:10 PM
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. NICK MARGEVICIUS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 10-7 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-24 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-54 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 242-225 (+42.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-7 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 87-99 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)



TYLER ANDERSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.353.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)



NICK MARGEVICIUS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MARGEVICIUS is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BALTIMORE (22 - 27) at TAMPA BAY (31 - 18) - 7:35 PM
DAVID HESS (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 123-250 (-64.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-67 (-29.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 75-169 (-61.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 76-171 (-55.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 220-159 (+29.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 85-44 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-2 (+3.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)



DAVID HESS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HESS is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.381.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)



TREVOR RICHARDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
RICHARDS is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON (18 - 32) at MIAMI (25 - 22) - 1:10 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. JOSE URENA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 102-110 (-39.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-32 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-34 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 49-60 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-62 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-22 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 20-12 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 22-7 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 85-48 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
URENA is 16-36 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)



NATHAN EOVALDI vs. MIAMI since 1997
EOVALDI is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.81 and a WHIP of 1.894.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)



JOSE URENA vs. BOSTON since 1997
URENA is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11TAMPA BAY -12 NY ISLANDERS
TAMPA BAY is 20-2 ATS (17.8 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (56-25-0-7, 119 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (48-28-0-13, 109 pts.) - 9/17/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 100-79 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 29-27 ATS (+63.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 118-56 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-16 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-3 ATS (+14.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-9 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-8 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 8-6-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, September 17

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, September 17

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

Game 11-12
September 17, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
13.879
NY Islanders
12.423
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-165); Over