Sunday 9/20/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NFL odds Week 2: Opening lines, line movement
Patrick Everson

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks notched a 38-25 victory at Atlanta in Week 1. The SuperBook then opened Seattle -3.5 and quickly moved to -4 against visiting New England in Week 2.

NFL Week 1 is almost in the books, with NFL Week 2 odds posted and already getting some attention. Among the marquee matchups, the New England Patriots travel to face the Seattle Seahawks, and the Las Vegas Raiders open their brand-new stadium – albeit with no fans – against the New Orleans Saints in the Monday night game.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NFL Week 2 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

NFL Week 2 odds

These are the current NFL Week 2 odds, as of September 13.


Rams at Eagles

Opening line
Eagles -2.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Murray said there was no early movement on this game, which was pulled off the board once the Cowboys-Rams game began Sunday night. It will go back up Monday morning.
"Philadelphia is a very banged-up team with a decimated offensive line," Murray said, pointing specifically to right tackle Lane Johnson (ankle). "It's hard to recommend a play in this game without knowing the status of Johnson."


Panthers at Buccaneers odds

Opening line
Buccaneers -8, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Broncos at Steelers

Opening line
Steelers -6.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Falcons at Cowboys

Opening line
Cowboys -7, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
This line was only up Sunday until the Rams-Cowboys game kicked off, and there was no movement at The SuperBook. The line will go back up Monday morning.


49ers at Jets

Opening line
Jets +6.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Bills at Dolphins

Opening line
Dolphins +4, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Vikings at Colts

Opening line
Colts -3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Lions at Packers

Opening line
Packers -5.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
The Packers were a big public play in Week 1 and proved deserving in a 43-34 road victory over Minnesota. But there was no line movement on the Lions-Packers game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Giants at Bears

Opening line
Bears -5.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Jaguars at Titans

Opening line
Titans -10, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
There was no line movement on this game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Washington at Cardinals

Opening line
Cardinals -6.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Although Arizona posted an impressive Week 1 win at defending NFC champion San Francisco, there was no line movement on this Week 2 game Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Ravens at Texans

Opening line
Ravens -6, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
"We opened -6 and moved quickly to -6.5. No point in waiting," Murray said of a quick move at The SuperBook. "The public will be all over the Ravens in this game, after watching both of these teams play in Week 1. The Texans may be the biggest need of the week for sportsbooks next Sunday in the early games."


Chiefs at Chargers

Opening line
Chiefs -7, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Kansas City looked good in a 34-20 Thursday night home win over Houston. Los Angeles didn't look that good in barely beating host Cincinnati 16-13 Sunday. So it was no surprise Sunday night to see the Chiefs quickly move to -7.5 for this AFC West clash.


Patriots at Seahawks

Opening line
Seahawks -3.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
"We opened Seahawks -3.5 and moved quickly to -4," Murray said of a Sunday night uptick at The SuperBook. "Seattle looked very potent offensively (at Atlanta). Mr. Unlimited Russell Wilson looked like an MVP. This will be a huge test for Cam Newton. The public will be on the Seahawks, and the books will be rooting for another 'dog on Sunday night."


Saints at Raiders

Opening line
+4.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
"We opened Saints -4.5 and moved quickly to -5.5," Murray said. "It pains me to talk about this game, thinking about how great it could’ve been for this city. What an event that would’ve been at the new stadium. It will still be a huge handle game, with the public all over the Saints on the road."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL betting tips for Week 2: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan

Cam Newton looked great in his debut as the New England Patriots QB, including 75 yards rushing and two touchdowns in a Week 1 win over the Miami Dolphins.

I’m a big fan of Week 2. The NFL betting markets overreact to one week of results and there are a lot of extra points hanging around for the picking.

The best NFL betting strategy is to spot those overreactions early and plan your attack: do you grab the number now or wait it out and bet later? It all comes down to your opinion on the spread or total.

If you’re scouring the NFL Week 2 odds, these are our NFL betting tips for the best games to bet now and later.

Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) vs Dallas Cowboys: Bet Now

The freshest game in the minds of NFL bettors when the Week 2 odds hit the board is the Sunday Night Football result. And this past Sunday night, we saw the Dallas Cowboys stacked offense flounder for only 17 points and come up short with the game on the line in a loss to the Los Angeles Rams.

The Week 2 spread opened Dallas as high as -7 hosting the Atlanta Falcons (and there are still some sevens out there as of Monday morning) but has started to drop to -6.5, with early play on the Falcons. The Cowboys’ loss in L.A. as well as injuries to key contributors on both sides of the ball is influencing that action.

Atlanta, on the other hand, fell to Seattle 38-25 in Week 1 but still posted 450 yards through the air — a stat that should make Dallas’ shaky pass defense very nervous. If you like the road underdog in this 1 p.m. ET matchup, get the Falcons now at +7 or +6.5 before it dips to six.


Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins (+5.5): Bet Later

This spread opened as low as Buffalo Bills -5, with books hanging a dead number and allowing early action to dictate the move to the key number. That initial money pushed the spread to Buffalo -5.5 and will likely go to -6 very quickly.

The Bills’ 2020 debut wasn’t bad, but it wasn’t great either. They raced out to a 21-3 halftime lead over the New York Jets before getting outscored 14-6 in the final 30 minutes, but the offense looks like a capable complement to an already-stingy stop unit.

The Miami Dolphins fell in Foxborough to the new-look New England Patriots but weren’t blown away by any means. Miami was held back by three interceptions from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (Tua time?) and made New England bettors sweat until the final five minutes. If you’re getting down on the Dolphins, wait and see if this gets to +6 or higher.


New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks (Over 44): Bet Now

The Seattle Seahawks just walked into Hot-lanta and outscored the Falcons on their fast home track, which is not an easy feat. Seattle posted 38 points with Russell Wilson airing it out for 322 yards to a bevy of receiving options while keeping the defense guessing with a versatile rushing corps.

Cam Newton was the engine behind the Patriots in Week 1, giving New England fans 75 yards and two scores on the ground to go along with a steady day dropping back. Granted, those results came against Miami and the Seahawks defense is a tougher task, but we expect the Pats offense to continue to grow and gain traction.

This Over/Under opened at 44 points and outside of some tinkering with the juice, it’s staying there as of Monday morning. However, with the "Yes we Cam" headlines flooding the NFL news wires and the Seahawks scoring 38 points (as well as no 12th Man advantage in CenturyLink in Week 2), I expect money to show on the Over. Grab the Over 44 points now before this total steps off the key number.


Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans (Over 52.5): Bet Later

This Over/Under was as big as 54.5 points when select books posted lookahead lines for Week 2 back in the spring. The true Week 2 opener went up at 53 points Sunday night, and immediate money took the Under and slimmed the total to 52.5.

The Houston Texans' offense looked lost for the majority of its season opener versus Kansas City last Thursday, and it was obvious Deshaun Watson missed having DeAndre Hopkins as a failsafe. But, the Texans have had that mini-bye to tighten the bolts and should show better with the football at home in Week 2.

The Baltimore Ravens showed zero signs of rust in its Week 1 walkthrough versus Cleveland. The Ravens scored 38 points and limited the Browns to only six, which was a combo of solid defense from Baltimore and Cleveland trying out a new system for the first time.

Plenty of books have 52.5 Over/Under on the board and have already discounted the juice on the Over to slow the early play on the Under. If you predict plenty of offense for this 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff, be patient and see how low it will go.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 2 Injuries, Weather
Patrick Everson

49ers star tight end George Kittle suffered a sprained left knee in a Week 1 loss to Arizona. His status for Week 2 against the New York Jets is currently up in the air.

NFL Week 1 is in the rearview mirror, NFL Week 2 odds are on the board, and several betting factors are already in play. Maybe a key player got dinged up last weekend, or public opinion is forming around a convincing Week 1 winner.

This week’s NFL Cheat Sheet will serve as one-stop shopping for all that information and more.

Week 2 Injuries

New York Jets: Running back Le’Veon Bell will be out this week at home against the 49ers, and perhaps longer, with a hamstring injury suffered in Sunday’s loss to the Bills. The SuperBook at Westgate has New York a 6.5-point home underdog to San Francisco.

San Francisco 49ers: Star tight end George Kittle has a sprained left knee, the team announced Monday. More will be known on Kittle’s status by midweek, but it wasn’t affecting the line much at The SuperBook at Westgate. The 49ers opened -6.5 at the Jets and bounced to -7 a couple of times, then back to -6.5.

New Orleans Saints: Wideout Michael Thomas suffered a high ankle injury against the Buccaneers, but early indications are that he’ll be OK for Week 2 at the Raiders. Bettors aren’t concerned, having already helped push the Saints from -4.5 to -6 at The SuperBook.

Indianapolis Colts: Running back Marlon Mack tore his Achilles in the second quarter of Sunday’s loss to Jacksonville, and he is done for the season. Whatever impact Mack’s absence has on the line was factored into The SuperBook’s opening number of -3, which stuck after going up Sunday night.

Week 2 Weather

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon in Tampa, with a 40 percent chance, with north/northeast winds of 10-20 mph. SuperBook oddsmakers opened the total at 49 and left it there through Monday.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: As in Tampa, there’s a 40 percent chance of afternoon rain in Miami on Sunday. The total, though, is steady at 41.5 at The SuperBook.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

261LA RAMS -262 PHILADELPHIA
LA RAMS are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.

263CAROLINA -264 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.

265DENVER -266 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 79-46 ATS (28.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.

267ATLANTA -268 DALLAS
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after an upset loss in the last 3 seasons.

269SAN FRANCISCO -270 NY JETS
NY JETS are 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) off a road loss against a division rival since 1992.

271BUFFALO -272 MIAMI
BUFFALO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) off a home win against a division rival since 1992.

273MINNESOTA -274 INDIANAPOLIS
MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points since 1992.

275DETROIT -276 GREEN BAY
DETROIT is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.

277NY GIANTS -278 CHICAGO
NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. in the last 3 seasons.

279JACKSONVILLE -280 TENNESSEE
JACKSONVILLE is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.

281WASHINGTON -282 ARIZONA
WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better in the last 3 seasons.

283BALTIMORE -284 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 2 seasons.

285KANSAS CITY -286 LA CHARGERS
KANSAS CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

287NEW ENGLAND -288 SEATTLE
NEW ENGLAND is 33-11 ATS (20.9 Units) after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.

289NEW ORLEANS -290 LAS VEGAS
NEW ORLEANS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2


Sunday, September 20

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LA RAMS (1 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 1) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 149-192 ATS (-62.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 76-107 ATS (-41.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (7 - 9) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 8) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (7 - 9) at DALLAS (8 - 8) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (15 - 4) at NY JETS (7 - 9) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (10 - 7) at MIAMI (5 - 11) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (11 - 7) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 9) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (3 - 12 - 1) at GREEN BAY (14 - 4) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 199-146 ATS (+38.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (4 - 12) at CHICAGO (8 - 8) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 54-81 ATS (-35.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 2-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (6 - 10) at TENNESSEE (11 - 8) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 125-159 ATS (-49.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (3 - 13) at ARIZONA (5 - 10 - 1) - 9/20/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 68-97 ATS (-38.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (14 - 3) at HOUSTON (11 - 7) - 9/20/2020, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (15 - 4) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 11) - 9/20/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (12 - 5) at SEATTLE (12 - 6) - 9/20/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 270-208 ATS (+41.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 270-208 ATS (+41.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 88-49 ATS (+34.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-97 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-97 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-90 ATS (+31.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, September 21

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NEW ORLEANS (13 - 4) at LAS VEGAS (7 - 9) - 9/21/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

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Trend Report


Sunday, September 20

Detroit @ Green Bay
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit

NY Giants @ Chicago
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville

Atlanta @ Dallas
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

San Francisco @ NY Jets
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
NY Jets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

LA Rams @ Philadelphia
LA Rams
LA Rams is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home

Denver @ Pittsburgh
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games

Minnesota @ Indianapolis
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Buffalo @ Miami
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Washington @ Arizona
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Washington

Kansas City @ LA Chargers
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games

Baltimore @ Houston
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Monday, September 21

New England @ Seattle
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing Seattle
New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing New England
Seattle is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report - Week 2
Matt Blunt

NFL Week 2 Betting Angles

Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season is officially in the books now, and there were some interesting results across the board.

History suggests there are some loose conclusions we can come to going forward into this week and the NFL futures market based on Week 1's results, and I'll get to that in a minute.

It was nice to see that last week's “Hot” trend continued to stay that way, as that 18-4-1 SU run by playoff vs non-playoff teams coming into this year ending up going 5-2 SU again this year with the late Monday game still pending.

But it's all about staying ahead of the game in this industry and as Week 2 always gets hyped up for being “overreaction” week, in that good or bad starts for any particular team shouldn't be too concerning long term, historically there isn't a whole lot of truth to that at least in terms of teams that did lose in Week 1.

Who's Hot

Backing Week 2 underdogs against a favorite that lost SU in Week 1 is 14-7 ATS the past three seasons, including 5-1 ATS a season ago.

You'll hear time and time again this week that one poor showing in Week 1 doesn't mean the sky is falling on that specific organization, and in a general sense that is true.

There is still 15 games in the year to make up for that one defeat, but if those teams are a 'chalk' in Week 2, I wouldn't want to be laying any wood with them.

Week 2 underdogs that are playing against a favored 0-1 SU team went 5-1 ATS a season ago, and has not posted a losing record in any of the three most recent seasons.

It was 5-1 ATS in 2019 with Tampa, Seattle, San Francisco, Jacksonville, and Denver all covering their underdog lines and three of those five won the game outright. The lone outlier? Cleveland's 23-3 win as road chalk against the New York Jets last year.

Furthermore, within that 14-7 ATS run for these Week 2 underdogs vs an 0-1 SU team, not one of those years has posted a losing record. It went 5-1 ATS last year, 4-4 ATS in 2018, and 5-2 ATS in 2017. Not a bad blind system to at least begin your handicapping with this week.

So who does it apply to in Week 2?

Bengals
Rams
Jets
Vikings
Falcons
Panthers
Broncos
Jaguars

It starts with the Cincinnati Bengals catching +6 in Cleveland on Thursday Night Football after the Browns got beat down in Baltimore on Sunday.

From there, at least based on current lines from Draft Kings, it would suggest plays on the LA Rams (+1) vs Philadelphia, the NY Jets (+7) vs San Francisco, Minnesota (+3) vs Indianapolis, Atlanta (+5) vs Dallas, Carolina (+9) vs Tampa Bay, and potentially Denver (+6.5) vs Pittsburgh and Jacksonville (+10.5) vs Tennessee should the Steelers and Titans lose on MNF.

That's quite the card build already for those that would prefer to follow. Three years is far from a great sample size though, as it never hurts to simply use these things as support for your own weekly methods.


Who's Not

Since realignment in 2002, only 8 teams (of 36) have gone on to make the Super Bowl that year after starting out 0-1 SU

For much of the lead-up into the year we heard a lot about Tampa Bay and Dallas getting so much love for Super Bowl futures, if this history is any indication, those tickets may want to start to be ripped up.

Look, there is a lot of football left, and of those 8 teams to make a Super Bowl after starting the year 0-1 SU, four of them did end up hosting the Lombardi Trophy. Problem with that is they were only two specific franchises – New England (2003, 2014) and the New York Giants (2007 and 2011).

With quarterback Tom Brady in Tampa Bay this season, all those Bucs futures may have a bit more hope then futures on other 0-1 SU teams – including my own on the Minnesota Vikings to win the NFC – but it's still a severe uphill battle against history in that regard.

The funny thing about those four seasons with the Patriots and Giants winning those Super Bowls after starting out 0-1 SU is that all four of those Super Bowls had some wild finishes to them.

New England's two victories in those years came thanks to a tie-breaking FG with 4 seconds left over Carolina, and them picking off Seattle's 1-yard pass in that 2014 shocker. The Giants two wins came over New England and I probably don't need to get into those finishes with the wild catches David Tyree and Mario Manningham made late in those contests.

Needless to say, had we had those four games finished just slightly differently, this trend would be sitting at 100% in that no 0-1 SU team has won the Super Bowl that year.

So how is this actionable?

You can look at the flip side of this and say that 28 of the last 36 teams to be involved in the Super Bowl did so after starting that season 1-0 SU. I'm not going to list all the teams that won this week, but if you are a big believer in history, and like to get down on some futures tickets – to win conference or Super Bowl – you probably want to limit your choices to those 16 squads.

The odds on those teams probably took a slight hit (as of now) after starting out with a win, but this is something to keep in mind long down the road. Futures price shopping every week can be done if you keep that list of the 16 teams that started the year 1-0 SU handy.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2


Sunday, September 20

Jacksonville @ Tennessee

Game 279-280
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.428
Tennessee
140.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 13
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 8 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-8 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Green Bay

Game 275-276
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
124.472
Green Bay
135.772
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 11 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 6
49
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-6); Under

LA Rams @ Philadelphia

Game 261-262
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
129.099
Philadelphia
131.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 1 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+1 1/2); Over

Carolina @ Tampa Bay

Game 263-264
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
117.969
Tampa Bay
132.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 14 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 9
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-9); Over

NY Giants @ Chicago

Game 277-278
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
127.935
Chicago
125.243
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 2 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+5 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Indianapolis

Game 273-274
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
132.236
Indianapolis
124.957
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3); Over

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 267-268
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
127.155
Dallas
138.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 11 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ NY Jets

Game 269-270
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
137.701
NY Jets
128.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 9
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-6); Under

Washington @ Arizona

Game 281-282
September 20, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
128.947
Arizona
130.072
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 7
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7); Over

Baltimore @ Houston

Game 283-284
September 20, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
139.888
Houston
136.032
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 4
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 7 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+7 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ LA Chargers

Game 285-286
September 20, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
147.055
LA Chargers
126.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 20 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 8 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-8 1/2); Under

New England @ Seattle

Game 287-288
September 20, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
135.503
Seattle
136.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4
45
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(+4); Under


Monday, September 21

New Orleans @ Las Vegas

Game 289-290
September 21, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
133.470
Las Vegas
130.218
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 6 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(+6 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall


Sunday, Sept. 20

L.A. RAMS at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Rams haven’t played at Philly since 2014. LA entered 2020 on 14-7 spread uptick.
McVay 5-3 as dog since 2017, and 9-3 vs. spread last 12 away from LA, also 6-0 vs. spread playing “early” games in Eastern Time Zone (so much for the time zones messing with the Rams’ clocks).
Birds on 4-13 spread skid since early in 2018 season (4-9 last 13 as home chalk), also “under” last seven at Linc in 2019.

Tech edge: Rams and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Panthers have covered 5 of last 6 at Raymond James, but totally different casts both ways these days. Since mid 2019, Carolina 1-6-1 vs. line.
Bucs were 2-5 as chalk last season pre-Brady.
Panthers on 13-5 “over” streak after Raiders opener.
Note Bruce Arians 28-12 “over” run with his Cards and Bucs teams.

Tech edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

DENVER at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Fangio now 8-4 as dog for Broncs after Monday vs. Titans.
Broncs also now on 19-7 “under” run after Titans game.
Steel now on 18-6 "under" run after Giants result.

Tech edge: “Under” and slight to Broncos, based on “totals” and team trends.

ATLANTA at DALLAS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Falcons won and covered their last four on road in 2019, they were also 7-3 “under” down stretch last year.
Cowboys entered 2019 on 22-12 “over” run.

Tech edge: Slight to Falcons, based on team trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at N.Y. JETS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

49ers 6-2 vs. spread as visitor last season en route to 13-7-1 overall spread mark.
Jets covered 4 of last 5 at MetLife dog in 2019, also 6-2 “under” as host.

Tech edge: Slight to 49ers and “under,” based on team and “totals’ trends..

BUFFALO at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Series has mostly tilted Buffalo’s way the past seven years, with Bills 9-4-1 vs. line last 14 meetings vs. Dolphins.
Note Bills “under” 15-6 since late 2018 (though “over” in Jets opener), but “over” in last three in series with Dolphins.

Tech edge: Slight to Bills, based on series trends.

MINNESOTA at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Mike Zimmer Vikes teams only 3-6 last nine as dog entering 2020.
Vikes also “over” last six reg.-season games a year ago, Colts “over” 11-5 last 16 at home.

Tech edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

DETROIT at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Recent series trends favor Lions, who have covered last six meetings.
Even after Chicago loss, notoriously fast-starting Detroit 13-7-1 vs. spread in first four games of season since 2015.
Lions did drop last five vs. spread away in 2019 with Stafford absence not helping.
Pack 9-4 vs. spread last 13 at Lambeau, even with recent problems covering vs. Detroit.

Tech edge: Lions, based on series trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

G-Men covered 4 of last 5 as road dog in 2019, 10-3 vs. spread in role since 2018.
NYG has covered last two years vs. Bears and dog team has covered last three in series since 2016.
G-Men also “over” 8-2 last ten away.
Bears entered 2020 on 4-13 spread skid, but did rally in opener vs. Lions.

Tech edge: Giants, based on team and series dog trends.

JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Jags no covers last five at Nashville.
“Overs” last five in series at Nissan Stadium.
Titans on 16-10 reg.-season “over” run” since mid 2018.

Tech edge: Titans and “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.

WASHINGTON at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Ron Rivera was 19-12 last 31 as dog with Panthers, and WFT won last week as “short” vs. Eagles.
Cards 0-3 as chalk the past two seasons (0-1 LY), though they are 11-5-1 vs. spread overall since LY for Kingsbury.

Tech edge: Slight to Cards, based on team trends.

BALTIMORE at HOUSTON (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Ravens on 10-1 spread surge on road since mid 2018.
Texans 2-6 vs. number as NRG Stadium host in 2019.
After KC loss in opener, Houston only 5-5 as dog since last season.

Tech edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

KANSAS CITY at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Chargers debut at SoFi Stadium in front of empty house.
After opening win against Texans, Chiefs are now on 10-0 SU and spread win streak since mid 2019.
Andy Reid 6-1 vs. spread last seven vs. Bolts, dating to last Charger game in San Diego at end of 2016.
Chargers were 1-8 vs. number last nine as host at the MLS Stadium in Carson.

Tech edge: Chiefs, based on team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at SEATTLE (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

If Belichick a dog, note 12-3 spread mark in role since 2010.
Seahawks only 2-7 last nine as host since late 2018.
Seattle also 9-4 “over” last 13 as host.
Super Bowl XLIX rematch!

Tech edge: Patriots, especially if dog, and slight to “over” based on team and “totals” trends.


Monday, Sept. 21

NEW ORLEANS at LAS VEGAS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

Raiders LV debut but no fans at Allegiant Stadium.
Saints won and covered their last seven on road in 2019, and 13-4 “over” last 17 away since late 2017.

Tech edge: Saints and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement September 20
Patrick Everson

Fernando Tatis and the Padres aim to end a 1-3 hiccup when they wrap up a road series with the Mariners on Sunday. The SuperBook pegged San Diego a solid -230 favorite.

MLB betting odds are up for a full Sunday schedule and a little more, with 16 games on the docket. Among the noteworthy matchups, the San Diego Padres look to rebound from a mini-slump when they face the Seattle Mariners, and the Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs wrap up their three-game series.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s games.

MLB line movement

San Diego went on an 8-0 run that had the squad on the Dodgers’ heels, then lost three of their last four games – two against Los Angeles, and the third on Saturday night at Seattle, 4-1. For Sunday’s 4:10 p.m. ET tilt, Caesars books opened at Padres -230/Mariners +200, and there was no line movement through late Saturday night.

Milwaukee and Chicago split the first two games of their interleague series, with the Brew Crew pounding the Cubs 8-1 on Saturday night. In the rubber match, the Cubs trot out Yu Darvish (7-2, 1.86 ERA) and as such are -150 favorites at Caesars books, with the Brewers +140 for a 7:08 p.m. ET first pitch.

The Oakland Athletics go for a three-game sweep of the Bay Area rival San Francisco Giants in a 4:10 p.m. ET contest. Most books held off posting this game Saturday night, so check back Sunday morning.

MLB public betting

The Consensus showed plenty of early support for the Padres, who on Saturday night were drawing 71 percent of picks against the Mariners. Twins-Cubs was closer to two-way play, with Chicago landing 59 percent of early picks.

Among games posted Saturday night – a few were not – the New York Yankees were the most popular play, attracting 76 percent of Consensus picks for a 1:07 p.m. ET road game against the Boston Red Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951TORONTO -952 PHILADELPHIA
TORONTO is 20-39 SU (-23.4 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the last 3 seasons.

953ST LOUIS -954 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 13-3 SU (9.1 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) in the current season.

955TAMPA BAY -956 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 12-4 SU (8.3 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

957CHI WHITE SOX -958 CINCINNATI
CHI WHITE SOX is 26-10 SU (18.3 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

959ATLANTA -960 NY METS
ATLANTA is 9-0 SU (9 Units) when playing on Sunday in the current season.

961CLEVELAND -962 DETROIT
CLEVELAND is 80-55 SU (21.3 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

963WASHINGTON -964 MIAMI
WASHINGTON is 5-17 SU (-17.9 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

965NY YANKEES -966 BOSTON
BOSTON is 10-18 SU (-11.3 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

967KANSAS CITY -968 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 2-11 SU (-10.4 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

969ARIZONA -970 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 26-9 SU (16.1 Units) when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

971MINNESOTA -972 CHICAGO CUBS
MINNESOTA is 7-18 SU (-14.2 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

973LA DODGERS -974 COLORADO
COLORADO is 7-27 SU (-22.7 Units) in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

975SAN FRANCISCO -976 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 8-2 SU (5.8 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.

977SAN DIEGO -978 SEATTLE
SAN DIEGO is 13-20 SU (-15.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

979TEXAS -980 LA ANGELS
TEXAS are 8-17 SU (-16.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

981WASHINGTON -982 MIAMI
WASHINGTON is 5-17 SU (-17.9 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 20

National League
St Louis @ Pittsburgh
Cardinals (25-24)
Flaherty is 1-2, 8.62 in his last four starts; he’s allowed 13 runs in 7.1 IP in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: over 5-2

— St Louis is 6-5 in its last 11 games overall.
— Cardinals are 10-7 in their last 17 road games.
— Under is 9-4-2 in Cardinals’ last 15 road games.

Pirates (15-37):
Musgrove is 0-5, 5.74 in six starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 0-6
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: 3-3

— Pirates are 6-18 in their last 24 games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-7 in its last 12 home games.
— Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 home games.

Washington @ Miami
Nationals (19-31):
Scherzer is 1-2, 4.42 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-4 Team in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-10 Totals: under 5-4-1

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Washington lost six of its last nine games.
— Nationals are 4-11 in their last 15 road games.
— Under is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Marlins (27-24):
Alcantara is 2-2, 5.65 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: 0ver 3-2

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Miami won 11 of its last 18 games overall.
— Marlins won six of their last ten home games.
— Over is 12-6-1 in their last 19 games.

Atlanta @ New York
Braves (30-22):
Wright is 1-3, 7.58 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 4-2

— Braves lost four of their last six games.
— Atlanta won nine of its last 13 road games.
— Over is 14-5-3 in their last 22 games.

Mets (24-28)
Porcello is 0-4, 5.75 in his last seven starts; he allowed 11 runs in six IP in two starts vs Atlanta, back in July.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-8 Team in first 5 innings: 3-6-1
Allowed run in first inning: 7-10 Totals: under 6-2-1 last nine

— Mets lost four of their last seven games overall.
— New York is 5-8 in its last 13 road games.
— Over is 14-4-2 in their last 20 games.

Los Angeles @ Colorado
Dodgers (38-15)
Gonsolin is 1-0, 1.17 in six starts (30.2 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 5-0-1

— Dodgers are 8-5 in their last 13 games overall.
— LA won 11 of its last 14 road games.
— Over is 14-6-2 in their last 22 road games.

Rockies (22-29):
Senzatela is 1-0, 2.39 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts vs LA this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-5 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 4-10 Totals: under 4-2 last 6

— Rockies lost 13 of their last 18 games.
— Colorado lost 15 of its last 20 home games.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

American League
Cleveland @ Detroit
Indians (28-24):
Carrasco is 0-1, 1.80 in his last four starts; Indians scored 8 runs in those 4 games.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-6 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-10 Totals: over 5-3-2

— Cleveland lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Indians are 4-8 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 6-5 in Cleveland’s last 11 games.

Tigers (22-29):
Boyd is 2-2, 4.79 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-5 Team in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-9 Totals: 4-4-1

— Detroit lost 12 of its last 17 games.
— Tigers won eight of their last 12 home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Bronx @ Boston
Bronx (31-21):
Garcia is 2-1, 3.65 in his four MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 2-1-1

— Bronx won its last ten games- they’ve won 11 in a row against Boston.
— New York lost five of its last eight road games.
— Under is 8-6 in their last 14 games.

Red Sox (19-34):
Houck allowed two hits, no runs in five IP, in his first MLB start, at Miami.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Red Sox are 7-8 in their last 15 games.
— Boston is 2-8 in its last ten home games.
— Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games.

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Rays (35-18):
Yarbrough is 0-1, 4.70 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 0-4-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 6-2

— Tampa Bay won seven of its last nine games overall.
— Rays are 18-4 in their last 22 road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games

Orioles (22-31):
Means 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts (12 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-7 Team in first 5 innings: 1-6-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 5-3

— Orioles lost ten of their last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 1-5 in its last six home games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

Texas @ Anaheim
Rangers (18-34):
Cody is 0-1, 3.24 in three opens this year (8.1 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Texas lost 25 of its last 33 games.
— Rangers lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

Angels (23-30):
Teheran is 0-3, 9.25 in seven starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-5
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 7-0

— Angels won 11 of their last 16 games.
— Halos won eight of their last ten home games.
— Over is 7-3-1 in Angels’ last 11 home games.

Interleague
Toronto @ Philadelphia
Blue Jays (26-26):
Walker is 1-1, 4.67 in four starts for Toronto.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Blue Jays are 3-9 in their last 12 games overall.
— Jays lost their last six road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Phillies (27-25)
Unknown starter
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Philly won its last three games.
— Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
— Over is 11-4 in their last 15 games.

Chicago @ Cincinnati
White Sox (34-17):
Cease is 1-0, 3.32 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-4 Team in first 5 innings: 7-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: 5-5

— Chicago won 12 of its last 15 games overall.
— White Sox won six of their last eight road games.
— Under is 11-1-1 in their last 13 games.

Reds (26-27)
Lorenzen allowed one run in five IP (76 PT) in his only ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games.
— Reds are 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— Under is 5-1-1 in the Reds’ last seven games.

Arizona @ Houston
Diamondbacks (20-33):
Bumgarner is 0-4, 8.81 in seven starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 6-2

— Arizona lost 22 of its last 29 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost 13 of their last 17 road games.
— Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 road games.

Astros (26-26):
Urquidy is 1-1, 2.70 in his three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Astros are 11-15 in their last 26 games overall.
— Houston won 15 of its last 19 home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Kansas City @ Milwaukee
Royals (21-31):
Keller is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Royals won seven of their last ten games.
— KC is 6-7 in its last 13 road games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Brewers (25-26):
Lindblom is 0-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 6-2

— Milwaukee won six of its last seven games overall.
— Brewers won 11 of their last 16 home games.
— Under is 6-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last ten games.

Minnesota @ Chicago
Twins (32-22)
Berrios is 3-0, 2.60 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-5 Team in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-10 Totals: under 4-1-2 last seven

— Twins won 12 of their last 18 games.
— Minnesota lost 10 of its last 13 road games.
— Under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 road games.

Cubs (31-21):
Darvish is 7-1, 1.68 in his last nine starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 8-2 Team in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-10 Totals: under 4-1 last five

— Cubs won five of their last six games overall.
— Chicago is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 home games.

San Francisco @ Oakland
Giants (25-26):
Cueto is 0-1, 6.23 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-4 Team in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-10 Totals: over 5-3-2

— Giants lost five of their last seven games- they didn’t score the last two days.
— SF lost its last six road games.
— Under is 4-0-1 in Giants’ last five road games.

A’s (33-19):
Minor is 1-0, 3.48 in two starts for Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Oakland is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
— A’s won six of their last seven home games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games

Seattle @ San Diego
Mariners (23-29):
Dunn is 2-0, 1.35 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 5.68 in five road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: under 3-1 last four

— Seattle lost seven of its last ten games overall.
— Mariners are 7-9 in their last 16 road games.
— Over is 9-3 in their last 11 games.

Padres (33-20)
Lamet is 1-0, 2.61 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-0 last five Team in first 5 innings: 6-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-10 Totals: over 4-1 last five

— San Diego won 23 of its last 31 games.
— Padres are 15-5 in their last 20 home games.
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 20

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

NY Yankees @ Boston
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games

Chi White Sox @ Cincinnati
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games

Cleveland @ Detroit
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Cleveland is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Washington
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Atlanta @ NY Mets
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 12 games

Kansas City @ Milwaukee
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games at home

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
St. Louis is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Texas @ LA Angels
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing at home against Texas
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas

San Francisco @ Oakland
San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games at home

San Diego @ Seattle
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games at home

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Washington
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Minnesota @ Chi Cubs
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

705DENVER -706 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 40-23 ATS (14.7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 20

Denver @ LA Lakers

Game 705-706
September 20, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.106
LA Lakers
129.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 13
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 7 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-7 1/2); Over