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Monday 9/21/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Sep 21 '20, 7:05 PM in 17m
MLB | CHC vs PIT
Play on: UNDER 8½ +100
PICK - Cubs/Pirates UNDER 8.5 RATING: 30* ROT#: 912
I like the value here with the UNDER 8.5 between the Cubs and Pirates. These two offenses are simply not swinging the bat well right now. Chicago scored a whopping 2 runs over their 3-game series with the Twins. Cubs are hitting .216 as a team over their last 7 games.
As bad as that looks, the Pirates offense has been even worse of late. Pittsburgh is scoring just 2.6 runs/game and hitting a mere .168 as a team over their last 7. Which isn't far off from their season averages of 3.6 and .216.
Jon Lester will start for the Cubs, while Pittsburgh sends out J.J. Brubaker. Both have had their struggles in 2020, but both are coming in off a strong start. Lester has allowed just 2 runs over his last 2 starts. Brubaker gave up just 1 run in 5 1/3 innings at Cincinnati in his last start. He also recently held the Cubs to just 1 earned run in 5 innings. Play the UNDER 8.5!
Sep 21 '20, 7:05 PM in 17m
MLB | Cubs vs Pirates
Play on: Cubs -150 at pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Chicago Cubs -150
The Chicago Cubs should be bigger favorites tonight. They are trying to wrap up the NL Central this week and now enter a series with the worst team in baseball in the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have gone 1-12 in their last 13 games overall.
Jon Lester has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in five starts away from home. He is also 12-6 with a 3.30 ERA in 25 career starts against Pittsburgh.
J.T. Brubaker is 1-2 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.08 ERA and 1.672 WHIP in five home starts. He is averaging just 4.4 innings per start on the season.
Lester is 22-4 (+15.3 units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons. Pittsburgh is 3-21 after batting .225 or worse over a 5-game span this season. Chicago is 5-1 in its six meetings with the Pirates in 2020. Bet the Cubs Monday.
Sep 21 '20, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Royals
Play on: Cardinals -1½ -111 at pinnacle
1 Unit FREE PLAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-111)
Adam Wainwright is pitching like the Adam Wainwright of old this season. He is 5-1 with a 2.87 ERA in eight starts this season and 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA in three road starts. The Cardinals have won four straight while the Royals have lost three straight coming in. And the Cardinals have a lot more to play for right now trying to make the playoffs, while the Royals have nothing but pride to play for in this final week. The Cardinals are 13-2 in road games off a one-run win over the last two seasons. St. Louis is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings in Kansas City, and 5-1 in the last six meetings overall. Give me the Cardinals on the Run Line.
Sep 21 '20, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Royals
Play on: Royals +144 at 1BetVegas
1* Free Sharp Play on Royals +144
The Royals (+144) are worth a look here as a big home dog against the Cardinals. This is just too good a price to pass up with Kansas City. Royals are going to be motivated here after getting swept at Milwaukee over the weekend. Cardinals come in having won 4 straight, but have to be running on fumes. St Louis has played 10 road games over the last 7 days. They had to travel from Pittsburgh to Kansas City after yesterday's game. Really easy for them to come out flat here. Play the Royals +144!
Sep 21 '20, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Royals
Play on: Cardinals -177 at YouWager
My free play is on the StL Cards at 8:05 ET.
COVID-19 kept the Cardinals off the field for 17 days but through it all, St Louis finds itself on the postseason 'bubble' with SEVEN days remaining in the regular season. The Cards would love to 'make hay' with their three-game series in KC Monday-Wednesday, as the Royals are 21-32. The 26-24 Cards enter Monday on a three-game winning streak but find themselves involved in a muddy playoff situation in the National League. They are currently a half-game ahead of the Phillies for the seventh playoff spot but a half-game behind the Phillies is a three-way gaggle of the Reds, Brewers and Giants. ONE of the three teams from the NL Central will claim the second automatic spot from the division, while the other four teams will be battling for two spots. Putting even more pressure on the Cards (especially the team's pitching staff) is that they may have to play 10 games. There are eight games remaining on the schedule, including a five-game series with the Brewers in St. Louis to conclude the regular season but if the two other games need to be played, they'll be played in Detroit Sep 28 against the Tigers.
It stands to reason that this three-game series against the "playing out the string" Royals is VERY important. Anything less than TWO wins (3-0 sweep would be 'gravy') is MANDATORY! Adam Wainwright (5-1, 2.87 ERA) gets the nod for St Louis, while KC counters with rookie Carlos Hernandez (0-0, 3.86 ERA). St Louis converted Wainwright to a starter in 2007 and over the next seven seasons, he twice won 20 games and two other times won 19 games. During those four seasons, (2009, '10, '13 and '14), he twice finished second in the Cy Young voting and twice finished third. Injuries limited him to less than 10 starts in TWO of the next four years (2015-18) but at 37, he made 31 starts in 2019. He won five decisions last September to finish with his most victories (14) since winning 20 in 2014. Wainwright drew the season's second start on the strength of the throwing program he maintained during the pandemic shutdown. Wainwright's been excellent this season, allowing three ERs or less in SEVEN of his eight starts (Cards are 6-2). He's pitched at least six innings in all but one start, the exception being a five-inning effort in a doubleheader game (7 innings). Wainwright has pitched well against the Royals in his 15-year MLB career, going 5-2 with a 3.96 ERA in 13 games (10 starts / Cards are 6-4). In fact, that's the most appearances and starts against any American League team, with the exception of the Astros, who were in the National League for the first seven years of Wainwright's career.
Hernandez has made three appearances in 2020, all since Sep 1. He made his first career start Sep 12 against the Pirates, allowing three runs on three hits (all solo HRs). Hernandez's longest outing this year was 3.2 innings in relief, so the Royals bullpen will need to be ready early. Expect Wainwright to continue his VERY good year and give St Louis six-plus innings. Cards NEED this one and GET it!
Sep 21 '20, 9:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Astros vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners +128 at 5Dimes
920 Houston at Seattle
Lance McCullers has a huge home/road dychotomy as he has really struggled to pitch outside of Houston. With a league average game score of 50, his four road starts have resulted in grades of 31, 37, 16 and 34. When comparing how these two hit vs lefties and righties we see no advantage for either team. The Astros entered the year with championship aspirations, and currently sit at 27-26. This young Seattle team continues to play with a ferver this veteran Houston team lacks.
PLAY SEATTLE
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