Service Plays Thursday 9/24/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
11:03 AM

UNDER 47.5
UAB @ SOUTH ALABAMA | 9/24 | 7:30 PM EDT
The total for this game has been coming down since originally posted, and I want to get on the right side before it gets any lower. Neither one of these teams moves at a quick pace on offense, and the best unit on the field tonight will be the UAB defense. All of which makes the Under look like the right play. Plus, the Under is 5-1-1 in UAB's last seven road games. Bill Clark's teams stick to their strength, and that will be the case again here.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB O/U PICKS | +280

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 10:00 PM

JACKSONVILLE -3
MIAMI @ JACKSONVILLE | 9/24 | 8:20 PM EDT
Gardner Minshew is completing 75.4 percent of his throws and has thrown six TDs against two INTs. The Dolphins' defense is terrible and last week's loss to the Bills wasn't as close as the score indicates. Lay the points.

7-5 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +150
8-3 IN LAST 11 MIA ATS PICKS | +471

9-4 IN LAST 13 JAC ATS PICKS | +459


Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
YESTERDAY 4:39 PM

JACKSONVILLE -160
MIAMI @ JACKSONVILLE | 9/24 | 8:20 PM EDT
I refuse to bet an NFL game with a line at 3 points (or 7) because of a potential push. Because we can't buy points in this format and don't have a huge take on the total, moneyline it is. The Fins will be without top cornerback Byron Jones, which should benefit Gardner Minshew. He's T2 in the NFL in TD passes. Meanwhile, Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick dating to last year has been MUCH worse on the road than at home. It could be Tua time after this one. The Fins are 6-19 in their past 25 as dogs.

3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
4:37 PM

JACKSONVILLE -3
MIAMI @ JACKSONVILLE | 9/24 | 8:20 PM EDT
D.J. Chark's absence hurts the Jags, but Gardner Minshew spreads the ball around. He's facing a Miami defense that allows the highest passer rating in the league and an NFL-worst 7.2 yards per play. Dolphins CB Byron Jones is out, and without him the secondary looked confused last week versus Buffalo. Ryan Fitzpatrick will put up a bunch of yards and likely a couple of TDs, but he'll also make key mistakes. His TD/INT ratio is 95/94 on the road, compared to 117/90 at home. Lay it as Minshew improves to 10-5 ATS in his young career.

7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +260
7-2 IN LAST 9 MIA ATS PICKS | +475

11-6-1 IN LAST 18 JAC ATS PICKS | +450

[Can'tPickAWinner]

warren sharp


301 Miami Dolphins +3 (0.75 units)

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Vernon Croy


Nfl: 5 units over 49 jax/mia

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Brandon Lang

60 Dime - Miami +3

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Las Vegas Pipeline

50 JAX - 2.5

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AJ Hoffman Pregame Hit 9 out of his last 11
PLAY: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

This boils down to health. Byron Jones is out and it looks like possible cluster injuries with Fejedelem banged up in the secondary as well. I think both teams should be able to pass the ball at will, but definitely prefer the Jags run defense at this point. I would also consider a little play on the over here,

Pick Made: Sep 23 2020 5:11PM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Budin

50 dime- Lakers