Service Plays Saturday 9/26/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOY

TCU +3

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELSALL FOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (401) Louisville at (402) Pittsburgh
  Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Louisville +3.5 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  NOTE: CFB lines as volatile and I always expect at least a 1.5 line move against us.
  Play as a 5% at +1.5 or more
  #401 5% Louisville +3.5 Pittsburgh Saturday
  I have Louisville as a3 pt Fav giving up 6 ½ points of line value off the top. The Cardinals have played two quality opponents and after dominating WKU with a 487-248 yard edge they did lose to Miami, Fl giving up value as they had a 515-485 yd edge but were -3 turnovers! The Pitt D is a top 20 unit and maybe better but do not be overwhelmed as they have faced Austin Peay & Syracuse. Louisville put up 30+ and the Panthers offense will not be able to keep pace.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Notre Dame at Wake Forest postponed

North Texas at Houston postponed

Tulsa at Arkansas State postponed

USF at FAU postponed

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

UNDER 77
UCF @ EAST CAROLINA | 9/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:25 PM
I understand why the number is so high. After all, Dillon Gabriel and the Knights looked incredible in last weekend’s win over Georgia Tech. Sure, the defense allowed Tech to stay in it awhile, but the team speed was on full display. East Carolina won’t be able to get to 20 … so will UCF go north of 50? Maybe, but I doubt they’ll want to after making their statement last weekend. Cruise control will put this game Under the total.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +185

BAYLOR -16.5
KANSAS @ BAYLOR | 9/26 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:23 PM
Ok, Baylor. NOW it’s time to kick off the Dave Aranda era. The Bears will do it in style against a Kansas defense that clearly has issues in the athleticism department. Quarterback Charlie Brewer is going to show just how much of a weapon he is, and how potent the offense can be with running back John Lovett and wide receiver Tyquan Thornton. This one will get incredibly ugly.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +275
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAYLOR ATS PICKS | +500

UNDER 44.5
IOWA ST. @ TCU | 9/26 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:21 PM
The Cyclones had nothing offensively against Louisiana last time out, and don’t expect much to change. They just don’t have the size and speed to be explosive on that side of the ball no matter how good Brock Purdy is. TCU is going with Matthew Downing under center instead of Max Duggan. This will be an old-school battle of defenses in which neither team will score 20.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Florida International +6.5
405 Tennessee -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OSKEIM SPORTSALL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (431) Iowa State at (432) TCU
Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 1:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: TCU +3.0 (-115)

View Analysis

The Horned Frogs remain a 5% investment at +2 or better at -110 odds or less.

[citybeat]

Kevin Dolan

5% CFB SUPERCHARGED PLAY
Game: (409) Troy at (410) BYU
Date/Time: Sep 26 2020 10:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: BYU -14.0 (-110)

[rocky57]

Kevin Davis (VegasInsider CFB)
Army +490 (Moneyline)
Kevin is (2-0) with his Moneyline Winners.
Week #1 UL Lafayette +390
Week #2 Liberty +470

The rest of his plays:
Army +14
Baylor -17
Georgia Tech/Syracuse Under 53
Alabama Under 42 (Team Total)

[rocky57]

Brian Edwards (VegasInsider)
CFB 3 pak
Florida -13
Mississippi State +17.5
Alabama -15 (1st half play)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus NCAA text Texas Longhorns -pts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 4:21 PM

ARMY +13.5
ARMY @ CINCINNATI | 9/26 | 3:30 PM EDT
This one is calling to me like the sirens called Odysseus to the rocks. Unlike our hero, I am not afraid to come to their sweet, sweet tune. I love when I can get Army as a dog, particularly when it's nearly a two-touchdown dog. Army is 18-9-1 ATS under Jeff Monken any time it's a dog of 3.5 points or more. It's one of the perks of running an option offense.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CFB ATS PICKS | +290
3-1 IN LAST 4 CINCY ATS PICKS | +192

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU
10:49 AM

LSU -16.5
MISS. STATE @ LSU | 9/26 | 3:30 PM EDT
The Mike Leach hype is too much. Do we really believe that a system that spreads everybody out, including up front, is going to have a chance against fast and physical front sevens? No way, no how. This line is way too small due in large part to the uncertainty surrounding LSU’s roster. Don’t worry about it. They Tigers will out-athlete the Bulldogs.

5-2 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +275
6-2 IN LAST 8 LSU ATS PICKS | +380

2-1 IN LAST 3 MISSST ATS PICKS | +95

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th Hour Saturday NCAAF: 5u: 431 Iowa State -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 4 college football picks, bets, nuggets

Here is your guide to Week 4 of the CFB season with the two college football analysts.
Records
Stanford Steve (0-3 last week, 4-3 overall)
The Bear (2-3, 3-6)
The plays


No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (-27, 56) at Missouri Tigers

Stanford Steve: This is one I'm not trying to overthink. One team has as much talent as anyone in the country and the other has a new head coach and just 69 players to get ready to play this week. Nick Saban has never gone more than three years without a national title since taking over in Tuscaloosa in 2007, and the Crimson Tide starts Year 3 since they won their last national title. I expect an angry Tide football team this season, especially starting this Saturday in Columbia. I'll lay the points with the Crimson Tide.
Pick: Alabama -27 (Alabama 54, Missouri 7)

Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears (-17, 62)

Stanford Steve: We haven't seen Baylor yet, but we have seen Kansas. I'll lay the points with the team from Waco.
Pick: Baylor -17 (Baylor 41, Kansas 14)

West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 15 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-8.5, 51.5)

Stanford Steve: I am going in with the expectation that QB Spencer Sanders will not be under center for the Cowboys. Since this schedule was announced on Aug. 12th, the Mountaineers had to pinpoint this game as the one that they would be able to go out and show themselves and the country how much they have improved since last season, which was the first under head coach Neal Brown. I think they have enough to keep it close or even win the game. I'll take the points.
Pick: West Virginia +8.5 (Oklahoma State 27, West Virginia 26)

Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5, 46)

The Bear: The Blue Devils' 0-2 mark is a bit deceptive. They played Notre Dame tough for a half in South Bend and then did themselves in with five turnovers against Boston College. I'm curious to see Virginia's offense this year without QB Bryce Perkins, as he did essentially everything for the Cavaliers in 2019. I'll back Coach Cut and Duke here.
Pick: Duke +5.5

Tulane Green Wave (-3.5, 54.5) at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

The Bear: Yes, I'm going in for more Tulane! I mean, that was about the least likely comeback from 24-0 down one could ever have imagined. It will go one way or another for the Green Wave this week -- either they will go out and take care of a team that has allowed 30-plus points in both games or they will be demoralized by giving a game away last week that they should have won. I'll opt for option one, especially against a team that's 0-2, has a new coach and gave away a 17-point lead of its own last week against Louisiana Tech.
Pick: Tulane -3.5
The Bear's 10-point, 3-team teaser of the week

Based on current odds, $130 wins $100.
Miami -1 vs. Florida State
Georgia-Arkansas under 62.5
Duke +15.5 at Virginia
The Bear's money line parlay of the week

Six-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current odds, $100 returns $48.64.
UCF -4000
Baylor -1000
Georgia -2800
LSU -800
Boston College -1000
Alabama -3500
Would you rather ...

Take Vanderbilt... which might not score... +30.5 at Texas A&M, or take Arkansas... which might not score and is 0-fer against the SEC the last two years... +26.5 vs. Georgia?
Take Texas Tech... which allowed 600 yards and survived a late two-point conversion vs. Houston Baptist... +18 vs Texas, or take Kansas, which got steamrolled at home vs. Coastal Carolina +16.5 at Baylor.
Bear Bytes

Taggart under .500 as favorite
In his 13 games as a favorite at Florida State, current FAU coach Willie Taggart was 5-8 straight up. FAU is a 3-point favorite at home against South Florida.
UCF a favorite yet again
This is the 37th straight non-bowl game which UCF has been favored. The Knights, who travel to play East Carolina, are 2-6 ATS as a 24-point favorite in their last eight games.
Favorite struggles ATS in Noles-Canes matchups
Favorites are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 and 5-17 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the Seminoles and Hurricanes. Five of the last six games in the rivalry which featured a team favored by greater than a TD saw the underdog cover. Three of the six were decided by four points or fewer, and two of the six games featured an FSU team that won the national title.
2018: Miami (-14) won by 1
2013: Florida State* (-21.5) won by 27
2012: Florida State (-21) won by 13
2011: Florida State (-11) won by 4
2002: Miami (-13) won by 1
1999: Florida State* (-14) won by 10
*Won national championship
Syracuse an underdog again
Syracuse is 3-9 in its last 12 games vs. FBS opponents and are an underdog for the 11th time in its last 13 games. Syracuse is just 3-7 ATS in its previous 10 games as a 'dog.
Since the start of last year, Georgia Tech has played six road games. The Jackets have been an underdog of at least nine points in all of them (+36, +9, +17.5, +18.5, +16 and +13). the Yellow Jackets actually won two of them outright: +13 at FSU to open this season and +18.5 at Miami last year.
Vols finally a road favorite
The Vols are a road favorite for the first time since 2016 when they were a 7-point favorite at Vanderbilt -- a game the Vols lost 45-34. Tennessee has lost each of its last two games as a road favorite, also losing at South Carolina that year 24-21 as a 14-point favorite. The Vols are favored by 3.5 at South Carolina.
Second time not a charm for Boston College
Last year after winning its opener, BC lost its second game of the year at home as a 20-point favorite to Kansas. The Eagles are an 18-point favorite this week at home against Texas State.
Arkansas has been a bad 'dog
Since 2017, Arkansas has been greater than a 20-point underdog eight times. The Razorbacks have lost those games by 36, 41, 4, 38, 46, 34, 31 and 32 points, respectively. They are 26.5-point underdogs at home against No. 4 Georgia.
Iowa State struggles ATS as favorite
The Cyclones have failed to cover each of their last five games as a favorite, losing three times outright. They are favorites on the road at TCU.
Virginia Tech's record as a favorite fails to impress
Virginia Tech is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games as a favorite, losing six of the 13 outright. The Hokies host NC State.
Kentucky relishes role of underdog
Kentucky is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog, winning five outright. The Wildcats travel to Auburn on Saturday.
Army thrives as big 'dog
In Army's last 10 instances as a 14-point road underdog, the Black Knights are 8-1-1 ATS with an outright win at Temple in 2016. But its the last three games in such situations that have garnered the nation's attention:
2019: 17-point underdog at Air Force (lost by 4)
2019: 22.5-point underdog at Michigan (lost by 3 in OT)
2018: at Oklahoma (lost by 7 in OT)
Texas A&M a huge favorite
This is the first time A&M is a 30-plus point favorite in an SEC game. The last time A&M was a 30-point favorite in a conference game was 2011 when the Aggies beat Kansas 61-7 as a 31-point favorite. The Aggies are 31-point favorites against Vandy.
Texas tends to keep it tight on the road
In the last two years, No. 8 Texas is 4-4 in road games with the four wins coming by 11, 7, 7 and 5 points, respectively. The Horns head to Lubbock to play Texas Tech.