Thursday 10/1/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #46
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pimlico



    Pimlico - Race 2
    EXACTA &TRIFECTA / DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 2-3) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 2-3-4) / 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
    Maiden Special • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Age 2 CR: 74 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 1:13P
    (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. WHICH HAVE NOT BEEN PERMITTED LASIX WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE ANDONE SIXTEENTH).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JIMMY P: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average E quibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ROMP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race.
    5
    JIMMY P
    4/5
    9/5
    4
    ROMP
    9/2
    6/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    2
    PLAMEN
    2
    5/1
    Front-runner
    75
    59
    55.9
    55.9
    46.4
    6
    MARKET CAP
    6
    15/1
    Front-runner
    0
    0
    51.2
    51.2
    40.7
    5
    JIMMY P
    5
    4/5
    Trailer
    83
    75
    52.1
    71.1
    69.1
    9
    EXCURSION
    9
    5/1
    Trailer
    0
    0
    52.1
    52.1
    44.6
    4
    ROMP
    4
    9/2
    Trailer
    78
    59
    23.7
    55.9
    49.4
    8
    TAKE PROFIT
    8
    12/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    61.6
    50.2
    38.2
    7
    ELUSIVE
    7
    30/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    49.3
    24.6
    10.6
    1
    DAISY'S DOC
    1
    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    56.9
    56.9
    48.9
    3
    LET US MAKE GOLD
    3
    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    34.1
    34.1
    17.6
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #47
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32000 Class Rating: 73

      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 11 STASH MY MONEY 5/1
      # 12 MOONSHINE MAKER 8/1
      # 6 LIQUOR 4/1
      My pick in this race is STASH MY MONEY. Diprima has this gelding racing well and is a strong choice based on the respectable Equibase speed figs recorded in sprint races lately. His 71 average has this gelding with among the strongest Speed Figures for this event. Ran a very solid last race. MOONSHINE MAKER - Make a note that this entrant runs with second time Lasix today. The average class figure alone makes this one a solid choice. LIQUOR - His 73 average has this colt with among the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures here. Could best this field based on the speed figure - 68 - of his last affair.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #48
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 91

        Rating:

        #5 JOURNEY TO RUN (ML=8/1)
        #6 IMAGINEIAMFASTEST (ML=8/1)
        #4 COOL HUNTER (ML=6/1)


        JOURNEY TO RUN - You'll be generating profits left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jockey/conditioner combination. I'm focusing on the class of this beautiful animal, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch. IMAGINEIAMFASTEST - The jockey and trainer combination have a positive ROI when they partner up. COOL HUNTER - Baker has this gelding signed up for the right contest.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TOP OF THE GAME (ML=7/5), #3 MO BOB (IRE) (ML=2/1),

        TOP OF THE GAME - This chalk horse hasn't been to the track in awhile. No workouts since last race. MO BOB (IRE) - Showed some physical problems in the last race at Golden Gate Fields. Should be difficult for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #5 JOURNEY TO RUN on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,6]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

        SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
        Skip
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #49
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 84

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ; SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, FOR EACH $625 TO $5,000 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 2 WISE MARKET 7/2
          # 4 SQUARE DANCER 5/2
          # 3 MUSTACHIO 4/1
          WISE MARKET is my choice. Solid average Speed Figures in dirt route races make this racer a contender. The average class rating of 77 makes this one hard to beat. Vaunts solid Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses in this race. SQUARE DANCER - Looks like a strong candidate for the exotics. When a trainer brings any horse back this soon it is a positive signal. MUSTACHIO - Love when any animal makes a quick turnaround. Has been constatntly running well recently.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #50
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Thistledown - Race #3 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 79

            Rating:

            #3 KENNEDIE SKY (ML=8/1)
            #7 PASZ THE PEPPER (ML=12/1)
            #8 CREATE AN EDGE (ML=10/1)


            KENNEDIE SKY - The last time she tried this distance she got a fig good enough to win this affair. This mare is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Have to like the way Johnson has raced this mare back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. PASZ THE PEPPER - This rider and conditioner have a great winning pct when they combine forces. Entered a $4,000 Claiming race at Canterbury Park last out and raced on a track listed as good finishing sixth. Have to do better today. CREATE AN EDGE - This mare is in fine physical condition. Finished first on Sep 16th. I like the piece of information that this mare's last speed figure, 72, is tops in this field.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HAPPY ISSUE (ML=5/2), #5 YURUBI (ML=7/2), #4 SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS (ML=9/2),

            HAPPY ISSUE - You should normally bet against morning-line choices that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. The finish of third in the last affair shows me that this horse may be going off form. Unlikely that the speed fig she registered on September 3rd will be enough in this contest. YURUBI - Going to have a tough go of it with all of the other early foot in this contest. SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS - There's speed, early speed, and more early speed in this clash. Doesn't seem too promising for this horse. Not probable that this equine will finish better than she did last time out when finishing seventh.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 KENNEDIE SKY to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,7,8]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Box [3,7,8] Total Cost: $6
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369837

              #51
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



              10/01/20, BEL, Race 9, 5.20 ET
              10/01/20,BEL,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
              . . . .
              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
              100.0000 12 Moonshine Maker 8-1 Castellano J Breen Kelly J. T 51 45.10 2.45/$1
              098.7610 14 Victory Built 15-1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              096.9378 8 Imperio D 3-1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Rudy R. JE 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              095.8016 10 Slugo 12-1 Marquez C Nevin Michelle 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              094.4597 9 Black Irish 10-1 Franco M Donk David G. W 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              093.8441 1 Competitive Cloud(b-) 10-1 Davis D Bond H. James L 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              093.5375 4 Talespin 15-1 Hernandez B Sciacca Gary 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              093.5019 11 Stash My Money 5-1 Alvarado J DiPrima Gregory S 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              093.2418 13 Permanentresident 20-1 Carmouche K Toscano. Jr. John T. 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              092.0119 6 Liquor 4-1 Cardenas L Ferraro James W. FC 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              091.8496 5 Apex Predator 30-1 Harkie H K Friedman Mitchell E. 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              091.6449 7 Never Hold Back 20-1 Cancel E Schosberg Richard E. 135 34.07 1.53/$1
              090.5733 2 Gratto Swing 30-1 Luzzi M J Pringle Edmund 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              089.0651 3 Have a Heart 50-1 Martinez J R Persaud Randi 96 35.42 1.82/$1
              * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.00, ROI 0.83/$1
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369837

                #52
                Dustin Hawkins

                Oct 01 '20, 3:10 PM in 1h
                MLB | White Sox vs A's
                Play on: White Sox -102 at YouWager

                1 Dimer on White Sox -102
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369837

                  #53
                  Cole Faxon

                  Oct 01 '20, 3:30 PM in 1h
                  Soccer | Barcelona FC vs Celta de Vigo
                  Play on: Barcelona FC -185 at Bovada

                  FREE PLAY on Barcelona FC -185
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369837

                    #54
                    Hunter Price

                    Oct 01 '20, 4:05 PM in 2h
                    Fighting | Brian Moore vs Simone D'Anna
                    Play on: Simone D'Anna +170 at 5Dimes

                    1* Free Pick on Simone D'Anna +170
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369837

                      #55
                      Dave Price

                      Oct 01 '20, 7:08 PM in 5h
                      MLB | STL vs SDG
                      Play on: UNDER 9 -115

                      Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
                      1* on Cardinals/Padres UNDER 9
                      The Key: I like the price we are getting with the UNDER 9 runs tonight after these teams combined for 11 runs yesterday. The total appears to be inflated because of it. Zach Davies is 7-4 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 12 starts for the Padres this year. Adam Wainwright has had a nice comeback season, going 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 10 starts, and 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 4 road starts. Wainwright is 7-4 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts against the Padres. Davies has yielded exactly 2 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts against the Cardinals. Take the UNDER.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369837

                        #56
                        Brandon Lee

                        Oct 01 '20, 7:08 PM in 5h
                        MLB | Cardinals vs Padres
                        Play on: Padres -151 at 5Dimes

                        PICK - San Diego Padres -151
                        RATING: 30*
                        ROT#: 967
                        It's a shame the Padres lost both Dinelson Lamet and Mike Clevinger to injuries in their final starts before the playoffs. It forced them to roll the dice with Chris Paddack in Game 1 and it didn't go well. He gave up 6 runs before he was yanked in the 3rd inning (recorded just 7 outs).
                        Those injuries clearly put the Padres behind the 8-ball. The good news is they have a top notch starter ready to take the mound in Game 2, as they give the rock to Zach Davies. In 12 starts this season, Davies posted a 2.73 ERA and 1.067 WHIP.
                        Cardinals will have veteran Adam Wainwright on the mound. The 39-year-old was better than expected, but I wonder how much of that is facing all those bad offenses in the NL Central and AL Central. This Padres lineup is a different beast and they will be locked in for an elimination game. Give me San Diego -151!
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369837

                          #57
                          Ray Monohan

                          Oct 01 '20, 8:20 PM in 6h
                          NFL | Broncos vs Jets
                          Play on: UNDER 41½ -115

                          UNDER 41.5
                          Thursday night football and we get the Broncos 0-3 (2-1 ATS) vs. the Jets 0-3 (0-3 ATS)
                          Both teams are struggling and desperate coming into this matchup. Both teams are 0-3 and dealing with a multitude of injuries.
                          These teams rank at the bottom of the league in a majority of offensive stats. The Jets score 12.3 points per game, which is fewer than any other team in the league. At 30th in points per game, the Denver offense hasn’t played much better.
                          Head coach Vic Fangio announced Tuesday that Brett Rypien will get his first start at quarterback. Rypien was just activated from the practice squad earlier this week, and may take awhile to adjust to game speed.
                          Both of these teams are converting less than 35% of third downs, so they are likely to struggle at turning any offensive success into points.
                          The total is set low, but take the under in this matchup of poor offenses.
                          Play the UNDER 41.5.
                          Good Luck, Razor Ray.
                          Thursday 5* FREE NFL O/U Play
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369837

                            #58
                            Rocky Atkinson

                            Oct 01 '20, 10:08 PM in 8h
                            MLB | Brewers vs Dodgers
                            Play on: Dodgers -1½ -115 at 5Dimes

                            Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Thursday 10-1-20
                            Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers (10:05 PM EST)
                            Play On: LA Dodgers -1.5 -115
                            The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Dodgers in Los Angeles in Game 2 on Thursday night. The Dodgers took Game 1 by a 4-2 score. Milwaukee is 29-32 SU overall this year while the LA Dodgers come in with a 44-17 SU overall record on the season. Milwaukee is scoring only 2.1 runs per game past 7 games overall. LA Dodgers are scoring 5.8 runs per game overall this year, 5.8 runs per game at home this season, 6 runs per game against right handed starters, 5.7 runs per game past 7 games overall, 5.8 runs per game on grass and 5.9 runs per game at night. LA Dodgers are allowing only 3.5 runs per game overall this year, 3.3 runs per game at home this season, 3.7 past 7 games overall, 3.5 runs per game on grass and 3.9 runs per game at night. Woodruff has a 7.94 ERA in his 1 career start vs the Dodgers. Kershaw has a 3.02 ERA in 17 starts vs the Brewers. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers on the run line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369837

                              #59
                              Larry Ness

                              Oct 01 '20, 10:08 PM in 8h
                              MLB | Brewers vs Dodgers
                              Play on: Brewers +215 at YouWager

                              My free play is on the Mil Brewers at 10:08 ET.
                              The Brewers, like the Astros, made the expanded playoff field in 2020 with a losing record (both at 29-31). The Astros KO'd the Twins by winning two straight (then again, the Twins have now lost 18 straight postseason games!) while the Brewers find themselves down 0-1 against the Dodgers, after losing 4-2 in last night's Game 1. Wouldn't the Brewers have liked to draw the Twins (I know they are in different leagues) instead of the MLB-best LA Dodgers (43-17 regular season record was on pace for a 116-win season over 162 games!).
                              It's "win or go home time" for Milwaukee as it sends Brandon Woodruff (3-5, 3.05 ERA) to the mound against LA's Clayton Kershaw (6-2, 2.16 ERA).Woodruff had a breakout season in 2019, making the All Star team. He posted his 11th victory in his first start after the All-Star break but then suffered an oblique strain that sidelined him for nearly two months. He made just three starts (including a wild card game vs the Nats) after returning on Sep 17. Of note is, the Brewers were a MONEY-MAKING 18-4 in his 22 regular season starts in 2019. Woodruff took the mound for 13 starts in 2020 (NEVER missed a turn) and while he won just THREE times and the Brewers went just 6-7 in his starts, that does NOT tell the whole story. He's allowed three ERs or less in 12 of those 13 starts, including out-dueling the Cards' Adam Wainwright last Saturday 2-0, when he pitched eight scoreless innings with a 10-1 KW ratio,
                              Kershaw and another "Kershaw-like" season, going 6-2 with a 0.84 WHIP and .194 BAA (5th time he's posted a BAA of under .200 in his career) to go along with his 2.16 ERA. However, Kershaw's playoff woes are well-documented. His 9-11 (4.43 ERA) postseason record is shockingly mediocre when compared to his Hall of Fame regular-season form (175-76, 2.43 ERA). Why not "take a shot" here and "go-against" Kershaw at this price?
                              Good luck...Larry
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369837

                                #60
                                The Sports Consensus

                                MLB Dodgers under 7.5
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