Sunday 10/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:55 AM

Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears 10/4/20 - NFL

The Colts are coming to the game here with a 2-1 record overall. The last game on the field for the Colts ended up being a 36-7 win over the New York Jets. What was really impressive was the fact that the Colts defense showed up huge in the game and was able to keep the Jets offense kept in complete control in the game here and the offense looked just as impressive.

Philip Rivers showed up huge for the Colts in the win. Rivers ended up going 17-21 in the game for 217 yards and a touchdown. The rushing offense for the Colts was not as dominating, but they were led in the game by Jonathan Taylor who carried the ball 13 times for 59 yards and a touchdown in the game.

Chicago has to be one of the luckiest teams in the NFL this year. The downside is the Bears did end up having to replace their starting quarterback in the middle of the game to get going. The Bears managed to win their last game by a score of 30-26 in what ended up being a great game for Chicago that helped them improve to 3-0 on the year.

With the Bears the player that replaced Mitchell was Nick Foles. Foles ended up going 16-29 on the day for 188 yards and 3 touchdowns, but was picked off in the game. The rushing offense was not the greatest on the day was Mitchell Trubisky who was the replaced quarterback, but the leading running back in the game with a single carry for 45 yards.

Recent Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 6 games.
Indianapolis are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games.
Chicago are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.
Chicago are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Free NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts -2.5

At some point the Bears luck is going to run out. In this instance, this is going to be the week that the Bears luck starts to run out as Rivers is a very experienced quarterback and should be able to continue to play great against the Bears defense. Look for the Colts offense, which is led by Rivers to be the team that is able to come out on top in this game as Rivers is able to carve up the defense of the Bears. Final Score Prediction, Indianapolis Colts win and cover ATS 27-20.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:55 AM

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals 10/4/20 - NFL

Jacksonville is coming to the game here with a little bit of a problem in the game. The Jaguars have to find some form of an identity in the game as the Jags lost to the lowly Dolphins in their last game. That loss ended up dropping the Jaguars to the 1-2 mark on the year and looking to see if their defense can step up.

The passing attack for the Jaguars has went 79-107 with 787 yards on the year. The offense has thrown for 6 touchdowns, but also was picked off 3 times. The rushing offense on the year for the Jaguars is severely lacking with a total of 67 carries for only 328 yards and 3 touchdowns. The defense for the Jaguars has 3 sacks and 2 picks in the game.

The Bengals are one team that has a lot to build up on this year. The Bengals have ended up with an 0-2-1 record. The last game for the Bengals ended up being a 23-23 tie in what is a very odd end result for the teams that have been playing on the year so far. One glaring issue for the Bengals is the lack of pass protection and that is going to be a major problem.

This season the Bengals have done okay in the passing game when Burrow has time to throw. Burrow has ended up going 91-141 with 821 yards and 5 touchdowns, but has been picked off twice on the year. On the year the rushing offense for Cincinnati has been so-so and not really made much of a difference in the games as the Bengals are relying on Burrow. Up until this past week the Bengals defense has been ripped apart and now the Bengals had a good showing, but the Eagles offensive line was downright horrible.

Recent Betting Trends

Jacksonville are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
Jacksonville are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games.
Cincinnati are 2-17-1 SU in their last 20 games.

Free NFL Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -3

Cincinnati has shown gradual improvement on the year so far and that should continue in the game here. Thankfully the Bengals may be able to protect Burrow in the game as the Jaguars do not have as good of a pass rush as the Eagles, but also the defense for the Jaguars has been questionable all year long. Look for the Bengals, though, to actually show up in the game offensively and have a good showing defensively to bring home the win. Final Score Prediction, Cincinnati Bengals win and cover ATS 24-20.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:55 AM

Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys 10/4/20 - NFL

The Browns are one team that has been fairy impressive on the year. The Browns ended up getting a 2-1 record on the season so far. The Browns have ended up winning their last game by 14 points over the Washington football team. The final score was 34-20 which definitely showed that the Brows offense can play good, but the defense needs to have some help.

In the game for the Browns the team ended up going 16-23 in the passing attack for a total of 142 yards and 2 touchdowns, but did not get picked off at all. The rushing offense for Cleveland looked impressive with a total of 37 carries for 158 yards and 2 touchdowns in the game.

Dallas is heading to the game here looking in a little bit of a slump. The Cowboys were coming to the last game on a little bit of a high after winning the last game before this weeks game against Seattle. The game against the Seahawks ended up being a 38-31 loss in the game.

The losing effort did see the Cowboys passing game play great. The Cowboys ended up going 37-57 for 461 yards and 3 touchdowns, but ended up being picked off twice in the game. Dallas for the rushing offense was not that good at all with only 21 carries which gained 61 yards and a touchdown.

Recent Betting Trends

Cleveland are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
Dallas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games.

Free NFL Pick: Cleveland Browns +5

Cleveland will have a little bit of a challenge playing on the road in the game here. However, the Browns are coming in playing better offensively than the Cowboys and have been more consistent as well. Look for the Browns to play good in the game and that will actually make it easier for the Cleveland team to be considered a threat in the game here which allows the Browns to outperform the Cowboys. Final Score Prediction, Cleveland Browns win in upset but grab the points just in case 34-28.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:55 AM

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions 10/4/20 - NFL

Detroit is coming to the game here after finally picking up their first win on the year. The Lions in the win ended up getting a 26-23 win over the Cardinals. However, the Lions still have to make some improvement on their defensive side of the ball as they have not kept their opponents under 20 points at all on the season.

In the win the Lions were able to rely on Matthew Stafford to do really well in the passing game. He ended up going 22-31 for 270 yards and 2 touchdowns in the game. The rushing offense for the Lions was led by Adrian Peterson who carried the ball a total of 22 times for 75 yards in the game.

New Orleans is coming to the game here after losing their second game here in a row. The downside is the game that New Orleans just lost was a 37-30 loss to the Packers. The offense for the Saints was definitely questionable in the loss, but the defense was a major problem for the Saints and they did not look like a Saints defense that has been around.

Drew Brees ended up doing good in the game for the Saints with a good performance that seen him go 29-36 for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns in the game. The rushing offense for the Saints was lacking for the most part with Latavius Murray leading the Saints in the ground attack with 12 carries for 58 yards.

Recent Betting Trends

New Orleans are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 6 games.
Detroit are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games.

Free NFL Pick: Detroit Lions +4

The game here is one that the Saints have to win. If the Saints are unable to win the game here they could start to consider next year or even looking towards the way the team should be looking next year. The Saints are facing a Lions defense that has played good this year and should continue to play good and that will make it hard for Brees to do good in the game as the Lions defense can smother him and the way the Saints defense has played Stafford could have a great game. Final Score Prediction, Detroit Lions win but grab the points just in case 28-24.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:55 AM

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans 10/4/20 - NFL

Two undefeated AFC teams meet up when the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans. The Steelers have gotten to 3-0 through the Giants, Broncos and most recently a 28-21 win over the Houston Texans. Tennessee has played in three close games this season, sneaking away with wins over Denver, Jacksonville and in Week Three over Minnesota behind 6 Stephen Gostkowski field goals including a 55 yarder with a minute left to take the lead.

After a trip to the AFC Championship last season the Titans have started off the season 3-0 but have not looked like the same team. Sneaking out close wins over inferior teams and this will be the first time this season they are truly tested with a great defense. The key for the Titans offense is all-pro running back Derrick Henry. Henry hasn’t had the same production of last season and is averaging 3.9 yards per carry but will continue to face stacked boxes all-season.

At the helm for Tennessee is Ryan Tannehill, in the first season of his four year 118 million dollar contract. Tannehill acts as more of a game-manager but has flourished in that role behind a solid offensive line and with one of the best running backs in the league. Tannehill has been solid this season completing 67.3% of his passes and throwing for 6 touchdowns and 1 interception.

A stout defense and the return of future Hall of Famer Ben Roethlisberger after injuries last season has led the Steelers to 3-0 on the year. Roethlisberger is completing 67% of his passes for seven touchdowns and has thrown just one interception in year 16 of his NFL career. His favorite target this season has been Juju Smith-Schuster who has caught 17 balls for 160 yards and three touchdowns.

The Steelers defense is allowing 19.3 points per game ranking them 5th in scoring defense and allowing just 290 yards per game which ranks second in total defense. The Steelers defense is one of the best in the NFL and will be tested by the Titans offense that was third in total rushing last season. The Titans defense ranks 28th in total defense and is allowing 24.7 points per game this season.

Recent Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games.
Pittsburgh are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tennessee's last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

Free NFL Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -1

The Titans have had one of the easiest opening stretches in the NFL this season with a combined opponent record of 1-5 and have had all three games decided by a combined 6 points. The Steelers defense is going to slow down the dangerous rushing attack of Derrick Henry and the Titans, with Big Ben Roethlisberger looking solid through three games the Steelers go on the road and win this game. Big Ben and the Steelers offense exploit a struggling Titans defense that has ranked 28th in total offense in 2020. Final score prediction, Pittsburgh Steelers win and cover ATS 24-20.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:55 AM

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins 10/4/20 - NFL

The Seattle Seahawks travel on the road to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins. Miami finally notched one in the win column after a road trip to Jacksonville, winning 31-13 and improving to 1-2 on the year. Seattle has been an offensive force and opened there season with three straight wins, the most recent a 38-31 win over the Dallas Cowboys.

Russell Wilson is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL and has been a huge asset to Seattle this season. Russ has looked like an MVP this season completing nearly 80% of his passes for 925 yards and 14 touchdowns to just one interception. Russ looks the way of both second-year DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Metcalf is one of the most dangerous deep threats in the NFL and has caught 12 passes for 297 yards and three touchdowns. Lockett functions as more of an underneath option but has reeled in 24 passes for 259 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Miami is in the midst of a rebuild and while 5th overall pick Tua Tangouluva awaits for his turn, the Dolphins look to Ryan Fitzpatrick to run the offense. Fitzpatrick was great against Jacksonville completing 90% of his passes for 160 yards and two touchdowns. But has thrown four touchdowns to three interceptions; all three against New England in week one.

The Dolphins offense is averaging 23.3 points per game this season and have looked competent with Fitzpatrick at the helm, although everybody in the organization understands that this could be another disappointing season while they wait for Tua to develop.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 28.7 points per game ranking 23rd in scoring defense and has specifically struggled to stop the pass, allowing a league worst 430 passing yards per game. Miami ranks 10th in scoring defense allowing 21.7 points per game but is allowing 265.7 passing yards per game which ranks 24th in passing defense.

Recent Betting Trends

Seattle are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games.
Miami are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Free NFL Pick: Seattle Seahawks -6.5

Russell Wilson and his dynamic playmaking abilities are going to be too much for this Dolphins team to handle. Coming in ranking 24th in pass defense, the Dolphins defense is going to get toasted by an MVP candidate in Russell Wilson. The Seahawks defense has already faced off with a ton of offenses far superior to this Dolphins team led by Ryan Fitzpatrick and although they have struggled to this point in the year, they should be able to refine their schemes against a bad Miami team. The Seahawks look poised to be one of the best teams in a stacked NFC West division where every game could have a lot of meaning for making the playoffs and Seattle knows this. They roll through Miami behind a big game from Russel Wilson and the offense. Final score prediction, Seattle Seahawks win and cover ATS 38-21.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:56 AM

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers 10/4/20 - NFL

The Arizona Cardinals are set to visit Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina for an NFC clash against the Carolina Panthers. The Arizona Cardinals come into this matchup with a 2-1 record, and they will be looking to rebound after dropping their recent home game against the Detroit Lions, 26-23. QB Kyler Murray didn’t have the best game through the air for the Cardinals as he connected on 23 of his 35 pass attempts for 270 yards, 2 TDs, and 3 interceptions, but he did run for a TD. WR DeAndre Hopkins was once again the top target for Murray and the Cardinals as he hauled in 10 catches for 137 yards.

The Arizona Cardinals struggled on the defensive side of the ball against the Detroit Lions as they allowed them to score 26 points while allowing a total of 322 yards of offense. Safety Budda Baker led the way for the Arizona defense as he contributed 8 tackles and 1 TFL. The Cardinals were able to get into the Detorit backfield a handful of times as Hasson Reddick, Corey Peters, and Devon Kennard combined for 3 TFLs and 3 sacks.

The Carolina Panthers come into this matchup with a 1-2 record, and they will be looking to continue their success after winning their recent road game against the Los Angeles Chargers, 21-16. QB Teddy Bridgewater had an efficient game through the air for Carolina as he connected on 22 of his 28 pass attempts for 235 yards and 1 TD. RB Mike Davis had a heavy workload against the Chargers as he ran for 46 yards on 13 carries while also hauling in 8 catches for 45 yards and a TD.

The Carolina Panthers were solid on the defensive side of the ball against the Los Angeles Chargers as they held them to 16 points while allowing 436 yards of offense. LB Shaq Thompson led the way for the Carolina defense with 13 tackles and 2 passes defended. The secondary had a productive outing for the Panthers as Jeremy Chinn contributed 12 tackles and 1 TFL while Donte Jackson hauled in an interception.

Recent Betting Trends

Arizona are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Carolina are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games.

Free NFL Pick: Arizona Cardinals -4

The Arizona Cardinals are a very fun team to watch as they have one of the most explosive offensives in the NFL which is in large part to Murray and Hopkins forming one of the top duos. The Panthers are in the middle of rebuilding their franchise with 1st year coach Matt Rhule, and it was made even harder to win with the injury to Christian McCaffery. The Panthers have an extremely young defense and I don’t see many guys who can stop Hopkins on the outside or even the running ability of Kenyon Drake. Arizona will force Teddy Bridgewater to win this game with his arm, and the secondary is fairly solid with Peterson, Baker, and Simmons. Final Score Prediction, Arizona Cardinals win and cover ATS 31-21.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:56 AM

Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans 10/4/20 - NFL

The Minnesota Vikings are set to visit NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas for a Week 4 clash against the Houston Texans. The Minnesota Vikings come into this matchup with a 0-3 record, and they will be looking to rebound after dropping their recent home game against the Tennessee Titans, 31-30. QB Kirk Cousins was inconsistent through the air for Minnesota as he connected on 16 of his 27 pass attempts for 251 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 interceptions. RB Dalvin Cook had a big game on the ground for Minnesota as he ran for 181 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries.

The Minnesota Vikings struggled on the defensive side of the ball against the Tennessee Titans as they allowed them to score 31 points and rack up a total of 444 yards of offense. LB Eric Kendricks led the way for the Minnesota defense with 10 tackles and 1 pass defended. The secondary had a productive outing for the Vikings as Harrison Smith recorded 9 tackles, 1 TFL, and 1 interception.

The Houston Texans come into this matchup with a 0-3 record, and they will be looking to rebound after dropping their recent road game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, 28-21. QB Deshaun Watson had a productive game through the air for Houston as he connected on 19 of his 27 pass attempts for 264 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 interception. WR Randall Cobb was the top target for Watson and the Texans as he hauled in 4 catches for 95 yards and 1 TD.

The Houston Texans struggled on the defensive side of the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers as they allowed them to score 28 points and rack up a total of 387 yards of offense. The LBs had a productive game for the Texas as Benardrick McKinney led the way with 11 tackles while Zach Cunningham pitched in 10 tackles. The Houston pass rush was fairly dead as they only recorded 2 sacks, but Carlos Watkins and Charles Omenihu were the lone Texans to record a sack.

Recent Betting Trends

Minnesota are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games played on a Sunday.
Houston are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played in October.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games.

Free NFL Pick: Houston Texans -3.5

The Houston Texans have had a tough start to the season as they played the Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers, but they have shown flashes in those game, especially the dynamic QB Deshaun Watson. The Minnesota Vikings have really struggled on the defensive side of the ball this season as they are allowing 34 PPG through the first 3 games, and I expect Watson to carve up that defense at home. The Minnesota offense has some weapons with Cook, Thielen, and Jefferson, but they aren’t nearly as good as the first three teams that the Texans have seen. Expect Houston to put up points at will against the Minnesota defense, and finally get in the win column. Final Score Prediction, Houston Texans win and cover ATS 38-31.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:56 AM

NY Giants at LA Rams 10/4/20 - NFL

The New York Giants look for their first victory of the season when heading out west to play the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday. The Giants fell to 0-3 following a 36-9 loss at home to the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. Even though the Giants faced a San Francisco team without its starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, the New York defense was put on its heels too often thanks to too many turnovers by quarterback Daniel Jones. Through just 12 quarters this season, Jones has already committed six turnovers including two on Sunday against San Francisco.

Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has passed for 699 yards with two touchdowns, four interceptions and has been sacked nine times. Jones is also the leading rusher for the Giants with 92 yards. The running back with the most yards for the Giants is Dion Lewis with just 21 and one touchdown. Wide receiver Darius Slayton is leading the Giants with 188 yards and two touchdowns. On defense, linebacker Blake Martinez has a team-high 30 tackles.

Los Angeles fell to 2-1 following its 35-32 loss to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. The Rams were very upset about a pass interference penalty called against them on fourth down that they said was the wrong call and prevented the Rams from capping off a huge comeback. Los Angeles had trailed 28-3 with just over eight minutes to play in the third quarter before making a comeback that just fell short on the pass interference call that gave Buffalo another chance to score and the Bills did just that to beat the Rams on the next play.

Quarterback Jared Goff has passed for 863 yards with five touchdowns, two interceptions and has been sacked eight times. Running back Darrell Henderson Jr has rushed for 201 yards and two touchdowns, while Malcolm Brown has rushed for 145 yards and two touchdowns. The leading receiver for Los Angeles is Cooper Kupp with 228 yards and one touchdown. On defense, linebacker Micah Kaiser has a team-high 26 tackles.

Recent Betting Trends

New York is 13-3- ATS in its last 16 on the road
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Giants last 5
Los Angeles is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 at home
The OVER has cashed in 5 of the Rams last 6

Free NFL Pick: New York Giants +13

The Rams are not playing very well this season as they have absolutely no running game without Saquon Barkley on the field and quarterback Daniel Jones is turning the ball over too often. However, when playing head-to-head against the Rams, the Giants have covered eight of the last nine and each of the last five played in LA. The visiting team (New York) in this matchup has covered the number in four the last five. Final Score Prediction, Los Angeles Rams win but fall short ATS 31-20.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:56 AM

New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs 10/4/20 - NFL

The New England Patriots visit Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon to play the Kansas City Chiefs. The Patriots improved to 2-1 on the season following a 36-20 victory at home on Sunday over the Las Vegas Raiders. The Patriots rushed for 250 yards in the victory against the Raiders led by Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead, who scored three touchdowns. Michel finished with 117 yards on the ground. Cam Newton passed for 162 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Quarterback Cam Newton has thrown for 714 yards with two touchdowns, two interceptions and has been sacked five times. Running back Sony Michel has rushed for a team-high 173 yards and one touchdown, while Newton has rushed for 149 yards and four touchdowns. Julian Edelman is the leading receiver with 259 yards. On defense, safety Adrian Phillips has a team-high 22 tackles.

The Kansas City Chiefs improved to 3-0 following an impressive 34-20 victory on Monday Night Football over the Baltimore Ravens and showed why the Chiefs are the defending Super Bowl champions and expected to battle again this season to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes became the fastest player to pass for 10,000 yards in a career with a completion in the first quarter. The Chiefs signal-caller finished with 385 yards passing and four touchdown passes.

Patrick Mahomes has passed for 898 yards with nine touchdowns and has been sacked just twice. The leading rusher for Kansas City is Clyde Edwards-Helaire with 240 yards and one touchdown. The leading receiver is tight end Travis Kelce with 227 yards and two touchdowns, while Tyreek Hill has 222 yards receiving and three touchdowns. On defense linebacker Anthony Hitchens is the leading tackler with 21.

Recent Betting Trends

New England is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 on the road
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Patriots last 5 on the road
Kansas City is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 at home
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Chiefs last 5 at home

Free NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -7

Even though Kansas City will have a shorter week this week after playing on Monday Night Football, the Chiefs will win and cover against the New England Patriots on Sunday. The Chiefs offense is clicking on all cylinders as quarterback Patrick Mahomes has already thrown for nine touchdown passes and rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for 240 yards. The Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight played at home in Arrowhead Stadium. Final Score Prediction, Kansas City Chiefs win and cover ATS 33-17.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:56 AM

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders 10/4/20 - NFL

The Buffalo Bills put their perfect record on the line when they visit Sin City on Sunday to play the Las Vegas Raiders. Buffalo improved to 3-0 following its last second victory on Sunday over the Los Angeles Rams. Buffalo led the Rams midway through the third quarter 28-3, but needed a touchdown in the final seconds to win. Buffalo may have been given a bit of help as a pass interference call on fourth down gave Buffalo one more play and the Bills took advantage to score the winning touchdown.

Quarterback Josh Allen has thrown for 1,038 yards with 10 touchdowns, one interception and has been sacked 8 times. The leading rusher for Buffalo is Devin Singletary with 157 yards while Allen has rushed for 84 yards and touchdowns. Stefon Diggs is the leading receiver with 288 yards and two touchdowns, while Cole Beasley has 228 yards receiving. On defense, safety Jordan Poyer is the leading tackler with 26.

Las Vegas dropped to 2-1 following its 36-20 loss on the road to the New England Patriots on Sunday. Las Vegas was done in by a mix of penalties, turnovers and a missed field goal. Derek Carr passed for 261 yards and two touchdowns but fumbled the ball twice including one that was recovered in the end zone for a Patriots touchdown. Running back Josh Jacobs also had a fumble. Oakland also had to play without receiver Henry Ruggs III, as the rookie had injuries to both his hamstring and knee.

Derek Carr has passed for 784 yards with six touchdowns and has been sacked five times. Running back Josh Jacobs has 252 yards rushing and three touchdowns to lead the Raiders. Tight end Darren Waller has 159 yards receiving and one touchdown, while Hunter Renfrow has 142 yards receiving and one touchdown. On defense, linebacker Nicholas Morrow is the leading tackler with 21.

Recent Betting Trends

Buffalo is 7-2-2 ATS in its last 11 on the road
The UNDER has cashed in 6 of the Bills last 7
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5
The UNDER has cashed in 6 of the Raiders last 7

Free NFL Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +2.5

Buffalo is off to a very good start winning each of his first three games, but the Bills have had problems covering the number against the Raiders, failing to cover five of the last six between the two. Las Vegas has covered the number in four of its last five overall and in nine of its last 13 following a loss straight up. Look for Derek Carr to bounce back with a solid game under center and Josh Jacobs to have a big game on the ground against the Bills defense. Final Score Prediction, Las Vegas Raiders win and cover ATS 27-24.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:57 AM

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers 10/4/20 - NFL

The Philadelphia Eagles visit the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday looking for their first victory of the season. The Eagles are 0-2-1 following a 23-23 tie with the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz played poorly for most of the game throwing two interceptions. Wentz finished the day with 225 yards passing and one touchdown, while rushing for 65 yards and another score. Wentz has thrown two or more interceptions in each of the first three games this season.

Carson Wentz has passed for 737 yards with three touchdowns, six interceptions and has been sacked 11 times. The leading rusher for Philadelphia is Miles Sanders with 190 yards and one touchdown while Wentz has rushed for 74 yards and two touchdowns. The leading receiver for Philadelphia is Dallas Goedert with 138 yards and one touchdown, while Zach Ertz has 130 yards and one touchdown.

The San Francisco 49ers look for their third consecutive victory when hosting the Eagles on Sunday. The 49ers improved 2-1 following a 36-9 victory over the New York Giants. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo did not play due to an injury and is questionable in Sunday's game with Philadelphia. Backup quarterback Nick Mullens passed for 343 yards and one touchdown as the 49ers ate up the clock on offense and forced turnovers on defense in the victory over the Giants.

Quarterback Nick Mullens has passed for 414 yards, with one touchdown, one interception and has been sacked four times. The leading rusher for San Francisco is Raheem Mostert with 148 yards and one touchdown, while Jerrick McKinnon has rushed for 139 yards and two touchdowns. The leading receiver for the 49ers is Kendrick Bourne with 164 yards. On defense linebacker Fred Warner has a team-high 28 tackles.

Recent Betting Trends

Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in its last 4
The UNDER has cashed in 4 of the Eagles last 5 as the underdog
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7
The OVER has cashed in 6 of the 49ers last 8 at home

Free NFL Pick: San Francisco 49ers -6.5

Philadelphia has problems scoring points and has been decimated at wide receiver with three of its wide receivers already out injured. Quarterback Carson Wentz has turned the ball over too often throwing two or more interceptions in each of the first three games. San Francisco used turnovers committed by the New York Giants to control the ball on offense to beat the Giants in Week 3. Look for those trends to continue and the 49ers to easily defeat the Eagles at home. Final Score Prediction, San Francisco 49ers win and cover ATS 28-17.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:57 AM

NFL odds Week 4: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson

NFL Week 3 is in the books, NFL Week 4 odds are on the betting board, and a few games are already getting action. Among the noteworthy matchups are a couple of AFC clashes: the New England Patriots visit the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Las Vegas Raiders host the unbeaten Buffalo Bills.

The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 4 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.

NFL Week 4 odds

These are the current NFL Week 4 odds, as of September 27.

Colts at Bears odds

Opening line
Bears +2.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
The Bears are 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS), but SuperBook oddsmakers were more impressed with the 2-1 SU and ATS Colts. And apparently, early bettors were, too, as this line moved to Colts -3 Sunday night.

Saints at Lions odds

Opening line
Lions +5.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
There was no line movement Sunday night at The SuperBook before this game came off the board at kickoff of the Packers-Saints contest. Saints-Lions will go back up Monday morning.

Cardinals at Panthers odds

Opening line
Panthers +4.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
After the Cardinals' unexpected home loss to the Lions and the Panthers' surprising road upset of the Chargers, early bettors seemed to think 4.5 points was too many for visiting Arizona in Week 4. This line dipped to Cardinals -3.5 Sunday night at The SuperBook.

Jaguars at Bengals odds

Opening line
Bengals -3, Over/Under 48

Why the line moved
Jacksonville looked awful in a 31-13 Thursday night home loss to Miami, while Joe Burrow and the Bengals scratched out a 23-23 tie as 5.5-point underdogs at Philadelphia. So The SuperBook gave the Bengals a 3-point nod, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

Browns at Cowboys odds

Opening line
Cowboys -4.5, Over/Under 56

Why the line moved
Cleveland (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) has a better record than Dallas (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS), but Cleveland's two wins were at home over Cincinnati and Washington, while Dallas' two losses were on the road against the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks. The SuperBook opened at Cowboys -4.5 and moved to -5 Sunday night.

Vikings at Texans odds

Opening line
Texans -4, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
In a battle of winless teams, The SuperBook opened Houston -4 against Minnesota, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

"Talk about a must-win spot for the Texans. They’ll be desperate after falling to 0-3 on Sunday. They’ve played a brutal schedule," Murray said Sunday night, noting Houston's first three weeks were at Kansas City, vs. Baltimore and at Pittsburgh. "The Vikings finally showed some life today. I still don’t really know what to make of them."

Minnesota lost to Tennessee 31-30 Sunday, giving up a late field goal.

Seahawks at Dolphins odds

Opening line
Dolphins +7, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
Seattle is 3-0 SU and ATS, putting both those marks on the line in a cross-country trek in Week 4. The SuperBook didn't move Sunday night off the opener of Seahawks -7.

Chargers at Buccaneers odds

Opening line
Buccaneers -6.5, Over/Under 45

Why the line moved
Tom Brady and Tampa Bay (2-1 SU and ATS) won and cashed their last two, and after the Chargers laid an egg against the Panthers, early bettors apparently put some early dollars on the Buccaneers. The SuperBook opened Tampa -6.5 and moved to -7 Sunday night.

Steelers at Titans odds

Opening line
Titans -1.5, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved
Tennessee opened -1.5 at The SuperBook, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

"Both teams come in to this matchup at 3-0," Murray said. "The Steelers have been impressive, while the Titans seem to just barely squeak by every week. I'm thinking the public will look to back Pittsburgh here."

Ravens at Washington odds

Opening line
Washington +13.5, Over/Under 52

Why the line moved
No surprise that The SuperBook opened this game with a nearly two-touchdown spread. But nobody was biting Sunday night, and the Ravens remained -13.5.

Giants at Rams odds

Opening line
Rams -11, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved
Los Angeles (2-1 SU and ATS) rallied from a 21-3 deficit at Buffalo and nearly pulled out the win, falling 35-32 on a last-minute Bills TD. New York (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) had a great opportunity at home in Week 3, going off as a 3-point pup against a 49ers outfit in need of a M*A*S*H unit. Yet the Giants got boatraced 36-9. So The SuperBook felt Rams -11 was about right Sunday night, and in fact, the line later went to -11.5.

Patriots at Chiefs odds

Opening line
Chiefs -7, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
"We opened this game Chiefs -7. We discussed using -7.5, but we’ve noticed sharps betting against the Chiefs every week this season – with varying results so far," Murray said. "I expect good two-way handle here, with the Chiefs included in a lot of moneyline parlays, especially if they get by Baltimore on Monday Night Football."

Bills at Raiders odds

Opening line
Raiders +2.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
The spread didn't move early, but the price did, with Buffalo going from -2.5 to -2.5 (-120). Murray has high expectations for betting on this Sunday matchup.

"This could end up being the monster-handle game of the week," Murray said. "The Bills come in 3-0, and Josh Allen is playing at a Pro Bowl level. I didn't expect to be saying that three weeks ago. The Raiders were in a terrible spot Sunday against the Patriots, and they wore down in the second half, but we still think they’re a solid team. I expect good two-way action here."

Eagles at 49ers odds

Opening line
49ers -5.5, Over/Under 45

Why the line moved
San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) could return in Week 4, and early bettors might be thinking just that, as this line moved to Niners -6 Sunday night.

Falcons at Packers odds

Opening line
Packers -6.5, Over/Under 58

Why the line moved
This line went up before Sunday night's Packers-Saints game, and per The SuperBook's standard operating procedure, the line was taken off the board once Packers-Saints kicked off.

"I don’t even have a joke about coach Dan Quinn and the Falcons here. It’s like they’re trying to choke away these games," Murray said, alluding to Atlanta blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads in two consecutive games. "The Packers will finish off the majority of the moneyline parlays that survive next Sunday."

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-30-2020, 07:58 AM

Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 33-13-1
Against the Spread 25-22

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 25-21-1
Against the Spread 24-23

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 28-18-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Panthers (+6, ML +240) at Chargers, 21-16
Lions (+5.5, ML +200) at Cardinals, 26-23
Packers (+3, ML +145) at Saints, 37-30

The largest favorites to cover

Colts (-11.5) vs. Jets, 36-7
Browns (-7) vs. Washington, 34-20
Patriots (-7) vs. Raiders, 36-20
Buccaneers (-6) at Broncos, 28-10
Seahawks (-5.5) vs. Cowboys, 38-31

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

If you were holding an under ticket in the Cincinnati Bengals-Philadelphia Eagles battle, congrats. If you were holding an over ticket, my condolences.

The Bengals were leading 23-16 before QB Carson Wentz desperately scrambled for the right corner of the end zone, diving for the pylon with 21 seconds left in regulation to tie the game 23-23. Over bettors everywhere likely said bad words. I, personally, was holding a Bengals +5 ticket, so all of a sudden my smile disappeared, as a potential touchdown in overtime by Philadelphia would sink me after I'd been on the correct side most of the day. Thankfully that scenario didn't play out.

Anyway, neither team did much of anything in the overtime session, never really threatening to score. The Eagles did drive down the field late, and PK Jake Elliott was about to trot out for the 59-yard field goal to win it. However, a false start penalty caused the Eagles to back it up five yards and head coach Doug Pederson elected to punt the ball away and accept the tie.

Oddly enough, these teams who meet every four years have played to a tie in two of the previous four meetings. Remember when Donovan McNabb didn't know that overtime ended in a tie? That was a game on Nov. 16, 2008 in Cincinnati.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week -- Part 2

The Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) were leading 26-10 heading to the fourth quarter over the Chicago Bears. It looked like Atlanta was going to avenge last week's disgusting collapse on the road against the Dallas Cowboys when they blew a 39-24 lead to fall 40-39. The Week 3 Falcons told the Week 2 Falcons, hold my beer. They allowed 20 unanswered points in the fourth quarter on their home field, becoming the first team in NFL history to lose consecutive games when leading by 15 or more points in the final quarter. If you plan to bet the Falcons in the future, make sure to play the opponent on the second-half or live betting in the fourth quarter.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board was in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Denver Broncos (42.5) game, one which saw future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady squaring off against backup QB Jeff Driskel, with QB Drew Lock sidelined due to injury. The game looked like it was going to be a slam-dunk over, as the Bucs led 23-10 at halftime. Over bettors rejoiced. Then we saw a total of five points in the second half, including a scoreless fourth quarter. Ouch.

The second-lowest total (43.5) was in both the San Francisco 49ers-New York Giants game and the battle between the Carolina Panthers-Los Angeles Chargers. The 49ers led the Giants 29-9 late in the fourth quarter before RB Jeff Wilson Jr. punched one in from two yards out to push the total just over, 36-9.

The Panthers surprised the Chargers in a field-goal fest. The Panthers settled for a total of five field goals, including four on trips to the red zone. The game featured just three touchdowns, and only one team posted a double-digit point total (Panthers, 12) in a single quarter.

The highest total on the board Sunday didn't disappoint. The Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks (57) saw the line rise from 55.5 to 57 during the week. It could have gone way higher. The teams were tied 9-9 after the first quarter, and Seattle led 23-15 at halftime. The scoring continued in the second half, as the Seahawks won 38-31, hanging on to the end similar to their Week 2 SNF win. The teams combined for at least 14 points in every quarter in this one.

The first two primetime games saw the total go 1-1, with the Monday night game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens (55) pending. The Miami Dolphins routed their Sunshine State neighbors, the Jacksonville Jaguars, 31-13. The over was on pace at halftime, with a total of 28 points on the board, but a low-scoring second half send under bettors to the window with a win. The anticipated shootout between the Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints (52) lived up to the hype despite the fact both WRs Davante Adams and Michael Thomas were sidelined for their respective teams.

So far this season the over is 5-4 (55.5%) across nine primetime games. In 2019, the 'over' was just 17-31-1 (35.4%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 4

Denver Broncos at New York Jets (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Broncos slipped to 0-3 when they lost to the Bucs in Week 3. Driskel, the replacement for the injured Lock, was benched in the fourth quarter in favor of QB Brett Rypien, who was just recalled from the practice squad Saturday. Ouch. Jets QB Sam Darnold, meanwhile, had a pair of pick-sixes in a loss to Indianapolis. The offensive play in this Thursday night battle might be so bad that the opening total of 40 might be a bit high.

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The Seahawks have scored 35 or more points in each of their three victories, all over results. This will be the second of their five trips to the Eastern Time Zone this season. Seattle won 38-25 in Week 1 as a pick 'em on a total of 49.5. The Dolphins have gotten a couple of extra days to prepare for the Seahawks after topping the Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field last Thursday. That might not be the only advantage the Dolphins face, as they also have the advantage of the heat and humidity of South Florida, a 10 am PT kickoff time for the Seahawks and, of course, the high travel for Seattle.
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The Patriots square off with the defending champions, who have had a brutal schedule to date. The Chiefs have already faced playoff teams Houston, Baltimore and now New England in three of the first four games, and they had a difficult overtime win on the road against the Chargers in Week 2. The Patriots have a highly-anticipated game for the second time in three weeks. They came up just short in a Week 2 Sunday Night Football battle in Seattle, losing 35-30 as QB Cam Newton was stuffed at the goal line at the gun to end the game. That's how close they are to being 3-0 SU.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The collapsing Falcons take a trip to Lambeau Field on Monday night, getting an extra day to watch the excruciating film from their loss to the Bears. There are a lot of people who feel head coach Dan Quinn could be out of a job soon after his team made NFL history with the two big blown fourth-quarter leads. The Packers are probably the absolute worst opponent for Atlanta to face in Week 4, as they lead the NFL with 40.7 points per game, hitting the over in all three of their outings. In fact, Green Bay games have seen the over hit by at least 12 points in each of the three outings.

Sunday 10/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 10/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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