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4.5-Star Broncos at Jets OVER 40 - The Jets have scored 17, 13 and 7 points respectively so far this season, and this has dropped the odds considerably on Adam Gase being the first coach NFL fired in 2020. Teams in this spot have, not surprisingly, become more aggressive early in the season in an effort to get more points on the board. As evidence, home teams that are below 300 and have scored under their team total for two games in a row are 24-0 OU before week 6 when they are not a FG-plus favorite and they forced at least four punts in their last game. The SDQL text is:
week<=5 and H and p:dps<0 and pp:dps<0 and line > -3 and WP < 30 and po
unts >= 4 and season>=2006
It is not surprising that a focus on more risk-taking has led to points for their opponent. These games have gone over the total by an average of 14.21 ppg with an average final score of 25.5 points to 31.5 points.
Turning our attention to the Broncos, we find that they are 11-0 OU on the road when they are off a loss as a dog and their QB was sacked three-plus times in each of their last two games, going over by an average of 12.36 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL:
team=Broncos and A and p:LD and 3<=po:sacks and 3<=ppo:sacks and date>=19951224
Lets go OVER this low number.
4.5-Star Broncos at Jets OVER 40 - The Jets have scored 17, 13 and 7 points respectively so far this season, and this has dropped the odds considerably on Adam Gase being the first coach NFL fired in 2020. Teams in this spot have, not surprisingly, become more aggressive early in the season in an effort to get more points on the board. As evidence, home teams that are below 300 and have scored under their team total for two games in a row are 24-0 OU before week 6 when they are not a FG-plus favorite and they forced at least four punts in their last game. The SDQL text is:
week<=5 and H and p:dps<0 and pp:dps<0 and line > -3 and WP < 30 and po
unts >= 4 and season>=2006 It is not surprising that a focus on more risk-taking has led to points for their opponent. These games have gone over the total by an average of 14.21 ppg with an average final score of 25.5 points to 31.5 points.
Turning our attention to the Broncos, we find that they are 11-0 OU on the road when they are off a loss as a dog and their QB was sacked three-plus times in each of their last two games, going over by an average of 12.36 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL:
team=Broncos and A and p:LD and 3<=po:sacks and 3<=ppo:sacks and date>=19951224
Lets go OVER this low number.
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