Service Plays Sunday 10/4/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

NFL

Seattle -6 @miami.

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King Creole Sports

NFL Sunday 3-Gm TOTALS TRIPLE PLAY

Over AZ at Carolina
Over NE at KC
Over Seattle at Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 4

Colin Cowherd Blazing 5

(8-7) YTD

Dallas -5.5 (Cleveland 26 Dallas 33)
Chicago +2.5 (Colts 23 Chicago 24)
Miami +6 (Seattle 27 Miami 26)
Tampa Bay -7 (LAC 23 Tampa 33)
Buffalo -3 (Buffalo 32 Las Vegas 27)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

3* TOM

Chargers Under 45

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Brett Anderson

DETROIT +3.5
NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
4:54 PM
This actually isn't the best spot for the Lions, as the Saints are getting desperate for a win while Detroit is coming off a good victory. But, boy, is New Orleans beat up. Six Saints starters have been ruled out, including both starting cornerbacks (Marshon Lattimore, Janoris Jenkins) and Michael Thomas. They'll also be without Marcus Davenport, Jared Cook and Andrus Peat. Drew Brees is clearly struggling without Thomas, and it will be a tall task for the Saints D to get stops. Grab the points.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +685
2-1 IN LAST 3 DET ATS PICKS | +90

CHICAGO +2.5
INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
2:11 PM
The Colts have the NFL's top defense so far and they're coming off two dominant wins ... but let's not forget that they opened Jags-Vikings-Jets. Indy still managed to lose one of those, and now it's laying points on the road against a 3-0 team that upgraded at QB? It's never comfortable to pick against Frank Reich, but a costly Philip Rivers INT is always in play, and Rivers' offense is down two WRs (Parris Campbell, Michael Pittman) and a RB (Marlon Mack). Grab the points.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +685
6-3 IN LAST 9 IND ATS PICKS | +269

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

**8-UNIT NFL GAME OF THE YEAR

Arizona -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

5 - Raiders +3.5

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R.J. White

HOUSTON -3.5
MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:12 PM
The Texans knew coming into the season that the first few weeks would be incredibly tough with their schedule, so I don't think they'll get as discouraged from being 0-3 as the Vikings should be. Minnesota is a legit winless team with a terrible pass defense and an inconsistent offense. Houston's rush defense has been abysmal, so maybe the Vikings can chew up first downs on the ground and stay in this for 60 minutes, but if they start to slip, do you have any confidence in Kirk Cousins storming back? Throw in what's functionally a short week for the Vikings with their facility closed due to the Titans' COVID-19 scare, and Houston should have the preparation and talent edge in this one.

20-14 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS | +435
35-9-3 IN LAST 47 MIN ATS PICKS | +2492

3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ATS PICKS | +190

DALLAS -4.5
CLEVELAND @ DALLAS | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:11 PM
The Cowboys can score any number of points in this matchup, because the Browns defense hasn't been impressive (and throw out that performance against Dwayne Haskins, who was telegraphing his throws in a way Dak Prescott won't). The Browns were actually in a tight game last week until Washington imploded offensively; that won't happen to Dallas, who is expected to have Tyron Smith back. The Browns have to win with the run, but Kareem Hunt is banged up and the Cowboys are 10th in yards per rush allowed. The Cleveland defense can't get stops (25th in points per drive allowed), and I don't have confidence in Kevin Stefanski keeping up in a shootout against this talented Cowboys offense.

20-14 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS | +435
13-8-2 IN LAST 23 CLE ATS PICKS | +417

JACKSONVILLE +3
JACKSONVILLE @ CINCINNATI | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:11 PM
The Jaguars are coming off a Thursday night dud, but they'll roll into this one with extra rest against a team that just played 70 minutes of football with a quarterback who has thrown 105 passes over the last two weeks. Joe Burrow is obviously a young player at peak health, but at some point doesn't his arm have to start feeling a little bit of fatigue? Either way, I think the Jags are clearly the better team right now. Cincy is bottom two in both yards per pass attempt and yards per rush on offense, so the Jags defense actually has a chance of looking decent. If we get the Gardner Minshew from the first two weeks, we'll wonder why the Jags weren't favored.

20-14 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS | +435
16-11 IN LAST 27 CIN ATS PICKS | +389

10-7 IN LAST 17 JAC ATS PICKS | +232

NEW ORLEANS -4
NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:09 PM
I will continue to back the Saints because I don't think they can go from the presumptive favorites to win the NFC to being a bad team in the span of a month. This is a perfect matchup for them to get right, and here's why: Detroit has the highest opponent passer rating on throws less than five yards down the field, which lines up with the Saints' strength. Plus, the Lions are allowing 5.7 yards per carry, so Alvin Kamara should have a field day. The Lions needed a +3 turnover margin to barely beat the Cardinals, but New Orleans doesn't turn the ball over (at least, not unless Taysom Hill is under center). The Saints should cover here more often than not.

20-14 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS | +435
12-3-1 IN LAST 16 DET ATS PICKS | +869

6-4 IN LAST 10 NO ATS PICKS | +134

CHICAGO +2.5
INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:07 PM
I don't think this is getting to three, so let's just take it here. Nick Foles takes what was an eight-win team on the market preseason to a nine- or 10-win team, and when you're at that level, you shouldn't be getting nearly a FG at home to anyone but Chiefs-level teams. The Colts aren't that just because they beat up on a pair of awful teams over the last two weeks. They benefited from six picks in those games, but Foles is a lot better at protecting the ball. He may not win games with his arm, but Philip Rivers won't either at this point. I think we're getting the better defense in this matchup, and maybe even the better offense?

20-14 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS | +435
30-15-1 IN LAST 46 CHI ATS PICKS | +1382

25-14-1 IN LAST 40 IND ATS PICKS | +929

ARIZONA -3
ARIZONA @ CAROLINA | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/1
This line has moved well off the lookahead of Cardinals -5 based on the surprising results of last week, when the Cards lost as favorites and the Panthers won as underdogs. But the Cards were also -3 in turnover margin in their close loss, while the Panthers were +4 in the same stat in their close win. Don't overreact! The Cardinals offense is consistently good (and should remain so even if DeAndre Hopkins sits), and the defense has played great situational football, ranking first in third-down percentage and second in red-zone percentage. I love the Cardinals to roll here unless we have another wild turnover swing, which would surprise me.

20-14 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS | +435
3-0 IN LAST 3 ARI ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Vikings +4

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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 8:44 PM

MINNESOTA +3.5
MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
These are two 0-3 teams going at it and both of them have had a rough schedule to start, But I think Minnesota is still the better team which is why the spread looks off. Anything over +3 has value.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +290
12-4-1 IN LAST 17 HOU ATS PICKS | +767

8-6-2 IN LAST 16 MIN ATS PICKS | +136

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

CAROLINA +3
ARIZONA @ CAROLINA | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:09 PM
Over the last few weeks, we've seen steady improvement from the Panthers on the defensive side. Last week against the Los Angeles Chargers, they were finally able to turn the ball over. Offensively speaking, they have shown to move the ball pretty well. QB Teddy Bridgewater does a great job of setting his team up for success each week. What they have on defense that gives them a shot in this game is the athleticism to matchup with Arizona.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
12-7 IN LAST 19 ARI ATS PICKS | +420

3-0 IN LAST 3 CAR ATS PICKS | +300

INDIANAPOLIS -2.5
INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:07 PM
With Nick Foles in the Bears lineup, expect the passing game to have much more consistency than it did with Mitch Trubisky under center. What the Bears lose by not having Trubisky starting at QB is in the athleticism department. Expect the Colts; defense to be extra aggressive in getting after Foles, as he won't be able to escape and extend plays like Trubisky. Also, the Colts' offense looks to be hitting its stride at the right time.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
4-2 IN LAST 6 CHI ATS PICKS | +181

3-2 IN LAST 5 IND ATS PICKS | +79

SEATTLE -6
SEATTLE @ MIAMI | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:06 PM
Seattle's offense can strike with the quickness from anywhere on the field. While they Seahawks will be without Chris Carson this week, I don't expect the run game to have that much of a drop off. Defensively for the Dolphins, they will have to play with contain against Russell Wilson, but also have to remain disciplined in coverage. That's a tough ask for a defense that is still trying to find its way at this juncture of the season.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
13-5 IN LAST 18 SEA ATS PICKS | +746

4-3 IN LAST 7 MIA ATS PICKS | +72

BUFFALO -3
BUFFALO @ LAS VEGAS | 10/04 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:05 PM
Buffalo's 3-0 start is definitely legit, and the Bills are one of the best teams in the NFL. Because of their continuity along both sides of the line of scrimmage, and in the secondary, the Bills just seems as if they are playing at a faster tempo than their opponents. The Raiders are looking to bounce back after a loss to the Patriots, and now have to deal with yet another athletic, mobile quarterback who can extend plays.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
3-1 IN LAST 4 BUF ATS PICKS | +195

KANSAS CITY -7
NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 10/04 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:04 PM
The gameplan to stop the Chiefs is always a simple one: Don't allow them to possess the ball. But what gets lost on game day is how good their defense has gotten over the latter part of last season, into this year. The Patriots will stylistically try to attack the Chiefs defense in a similar way the Ravens tried to. I just don't know if the Patriots defensively can matchup up with the speed of Kansas City.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
10-1 IN LAST 11 NE ATS PICKS | +889

19-12 IN LAST 31 KC ATS PICKS | +598

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

LAS VEGAS +3
BUFFALO @ LAS VEGAS | 10/04 | 4:25 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:41 PM
Defensive leader Nick Kwiatkoski (pectoral) is expected back for the Raiders, which will be huge for this struggling unit. Buffalo is 3-0 but has been far from dominant. Take the points with a Raiders team that should show up big at home all season.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL ATS PICKS | +165
14-8-2 IN LAST 24 BUF ATS PICKS | +504

3-2 IN LAST 5 LV ATS PICKS | +86

ARIZONA -3
ARIZONA @ CAROLINA | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:37 AM
I expect DeAndre Hopkins to play, and for Kyler Murray to rebound strong from his three-interception debacle. We're getting great value here on the Cards coming off an uncharacteristically bad performance. Lay it.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL ATS PICKS | +165
4-1 IN LAST 5 ARI ATS PICKS | +289

3-1 IN LAST 4 CAR ATS PICKS | +190

HOUSTON -3.5
MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON | 10/04 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:03 AM
We're getting good value in this line because the Texans are 0-3. Look who they've played: the Ravens, Chiefs and Steelers. Lay it as Deshaun Watson exposes a terrible Minnesota defense.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL ATS PICKS | +165
19-4-1 IN LAST 24 MIN ATS PICKS | +1455

22-12-1 IN LAST 35 HOU ATS PICKS | +890

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Cris

5% - Buffalo Bills -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL postpones New England/Kansas City game due to positive Covid test. May move it to Monday or Tuesday. They also moved Indianapolis/Chicago game to a 4:25 E start.

[rocky57]

Sunday Night Football Best Bet
Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
NFL Best Bet - Philadelphia Eagles +7.5