Service Plays Thursday 10/8/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 8:55 PM

TULANE +7
TULANE @ HOUSTON | 10/08 | 7:30 PM EDT
My model says the Green Wave cover the spread in well over 60 percent of simulations, so you're getting great value with them. After splitting its first two games of the season, Tulane erupted for 66 points in its destruction of Southern Mississippi last time out. The Cougars are playing their first game of 2020 after having a number of contests postponed or rescheduled due to the coronavirus pandemic. Expect them to be a bit rusty and the Green Wave to keep it close.

5-1 IN LAST 6 CFB ATS PICKS | +390
3-2 IN LAST 5 HOU ATS PICKS | +79

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
10:34 AM

CHICAGO +5.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
The Bears looked awful offensively in losing to the Colts on Sunday but at least got out of that quite healthy. The Bucs, on the other hand, had to rally from 17 down to beat the Chargers and are incredibly banged up. Expected out at a minimum for the quick turnaround are WR Chris Godwin, TE OJ Howard (done for year) and RBs Leonard Fournette and LeSean McCoy. WR Mike Evans is dealing with an ankle injury but likely will tough it out. The Chicago defense is good enough against that depleted unit to keep this game within a field goal at worse.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
9:47 AM

CHICAGO +4.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
Just like last season, the Buccaneers' defense is not one to run on. They were No. 1 against the run in 2019 and they’re No. 2 this season, allowing just 64 yards per game. But the Bears don’t know who they are, or what they do well. Every game plan is kind of on the fly with no direction. But this is a spot where I think QB Nick Foles can gash Tampa Bay's secondary, similar to how Chargers rookie Justin Herbert did last week. Home-field advantage is worth barely a point, but the Buccaneers have some WR and TE concerns. Chicago's defense battles. I took the points with the Bears.

7-2-1 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +480
4-2 IN LAST 6 CHI ATS PICKS | +179

6-4-3 IN LAST 13 TB ATS PICKS | +163


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 9:12 PM

TAMPA BAY -4.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
I was on the Bears last week and was shocked at how poorly the offense played. With the Bucs bringing a defensive unit into this matchup that ranks second in DVOA to only the Colts, it's hard to see them finding a magical fix in just a few days time. That will leave this game in the hands of Chicago's quality defense, but I don't expect them to completely shut down the Bucs, even if Tampa Bay will be missing several key position players. The key to Tampa Bay's success on offense so far has been the excellent play of the O-line. Play at last week's level again and Tom Brady plus the running game should do enough to get the cover.

30-16-1 IN LAST 47 CHI ATS PICKS | +1272

20-9-4 IN LAST 33 TB ATS PICKS | +998


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 9:10 PM

UNDER 44
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
With so much uncertainty on who will suit up at the skill positions for the Bucs, I think we're in a great spot to take the Under here. We should already be looking to play Bears Unders with their excellent defense and awful offense to date, and even though their games are 2-2 on the Under this year, they benefited from a bunch of injuries to the Lions secondary in Week 1, which finally allowed them to move the ball in the fourth quarter. Their other Over required another fourth-quarter rally against the Falcons. This Bucs defense is several levels above those two units, so I don't see the opportunity to put up points for Chicago here unless they get some more in-game injury luck.

5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL O/U PICKS | +170
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHI O/U PICKS | +190


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 1:49 PM

CHICAGO +5.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
This number is trending downward as the Bucs' injuries start to pile up. Nick Foles and the Bears' offense could not have looked worse last week, but I think they'll be solid against a Tampa Bay defense allowing opponents to complete 71 percent of their throws. Grab the points in what should be a close game.

5-1 IN LAST 6 CHI ATS PICKS | +390

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Calvert

2020 FRENCH OPEN SEMIFINALS

Friday 8:45 AM ET

French Open 2020 semifinal No. 1

The men's singles semifinals at the 2020 French Open are set for Friday at Roland Garros, Paris and the first that's set is Rafael Nadal versus Diego Schwartzman.

And this one could be quite something, with Schwartzman in excellent form at the moment, while Nadal is yet to be really tested this week in conditions that are far from ideal for the King of Clay.

Twitter followers will know that Schwartzman was my +7500 each-way outright bet for this Roland Garros men's singles and so he needs one more win to cash the place part of that bet.

On the face of it, the Argentine has his work cut out if you believe the bookies' prices on this, with Nadal given roughly an 85% chance of winning per the odds.

But that price is much too short in my opinion and seemingly based on previous French Opens that were played in massively different conditions.

In the past, Nadal has had things by and large just how he likes them in Paris in the early summer, with sunshine, dry courts and (crucially) Babolat balls that take a lot more of his heavy topspin than this year's new Wilson ones do.

It was telling pre-tournament that both Nadal and Dominic Thiem, who both use tons of topspin, were bemoaning the loss of the Babolat ball. Thiem, as I said in my outright preview, was always a bit of a long shot to win this week in these conditions, as well as facing a tough draw and also fatigue after an epic US Open win.

Stats have shown that Nadal's ball is some way down from his norm in terms of the height it reaches off the court this fortnight, which was always going to be the case playing on damp courts and with a Wilson ball in cold conditions.

We saw in Rome how Schwartzman was able to get the better of Nadal in such conditions and I see no reason why he can't at least make this a real test for Nadal again.

Obviously it'll be tough to take three sets rather than two off Nadal, but conditions could scarcely be less favorable for Rafa and this looks a fine opportunity for Schwartzman.

Nadal has enjoyed an absolute cakewalk of a draw (yet to face a top-70 ranked opponent), against two mediocre fast court players (Gerasimov and McDonald) who are all at sea on clay, followed by a journeyman clay courter in Travaglia and then young Seb Korda, who seemingly was just there to collect a signed shirt from his idol.

Then 19-year-old Jannik Sinner gave what looks a rather slow Nadal (remember, he hasn't had his usual 15 or so clay matches ahead of the French Open this year and had only played three matches since February before this fortnight) all he could handle and more in their quarterfinal Tuesday.

Sinner served for set one of that clash and with more experience the young Italian may have made a match of that one, but surely Schwartzman won't make that same mistake given the opportunity.

Schwartzman has the confidence of knowing that he can beat Rafa in these conditions now, and having just beaten the current US Open champion and two-time Roland Garros finalist Thiem as well, his mood should be at an all-time high.

One obvious concern is fitness after that epic Thiem encounter, but he's got two days off to recover, while Rafa was playing until after 1am local time on Wednesday morning, which, of course, he wasn't too happy about.

Another possible negative is that this match will be played in the afternoon, rather than in the cold at night, but the forecast is for yet more rain and so conditions will be slow (probably under the roof) and cool.

If we look back at what Schwartzman was doing well in that Rome clash it was hitting his flat, aggressive backhand and taking Nadal's time away, not allowing the Spaniard to set up that huge lefty forehand and get that weapon into play much.

And that weapon of Rafa's is nullified anyway by this Wilson ball and the cool, damp conditions, allowing Schwartzman to defend more effectively, as we saw him able to do against the power of Thiem on Tuesday.

Assuming Schwartzman isn't physically impaired after that epic Thiem clash, this looks a real opportunity for him –perhaps a unique one – and I hope he isn't too nervous to take it.

The bets for me here are Schwartzman to win at +450, Schwartzman to win a set at -120 and the match to go Over 33.5 games at -110.

It doesn't often pay to take on Nadal at Roland Garros, but this isn't a 'normal' French Open and we have to take a chance in these circumstances.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:25 AM

TULANE +6.5
TULANE @ HOUSTON | 10/08 | 7:30 PM EDT
The tough-luck Houston Cougars have yet to play a game 2020, with a total of five games postponed or canceled because of the pandemic. While you might expect them to come out inspired and aggressive, most teams, all of which are using makeshift rosters to varying degrees, have been sloppy in their season debuts. This doesn't bode well against a solid Tulane club that already has played three games and has shown a powerful run offense that racked up more than 400 yards against Southern Miss in its last outing.

10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +559
5-3 IN LAST 8 TULANE ATS PICKS | +168

2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +90

[rocky57]

Bruce Marshall (VegasInsider Technical Trend Plays CFB)
Hitting 60% on the CFB Season
CFB - Tulane +7

[rocky57]

Joe Nelson (VegasInsider CFB) - Tulane/Houston Over 59.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

Golf - Thursday morning

4 - B. Harman -145 over M. Nesmith

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus Podcast BEARS +points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

10GoldTips

DENMARK: Landspokal Cup
Esbjerg – Silkeborg
Silkeborg over 1.5 @ 2.30
EGYPT: Premier League
Zamalek – Wadi Degla
Zamalek over 1.5 @ 1.85

[Can'tPickAWinner]

daily-treble uk

Bosnia & Herzegovina - Northern Ireland : Bosnia to qualify @ 1.45
Bulgaria - Hungary : Hungary to qualify @ 1.55

Odds : 2.24

[golden contender]

Rob V: Thursday Comp Play

Thursday card has Top Plays in the NFL And College Football both from perfect database systems. There is also MLB Divisional Series Plays. Soccer comp Below.

The Thursday comp play is on the Under in the Deportivo at Medellin match. Solid simulation totals Play here as Deportivo takes on Medellin at 9:10 eastern. The game projects to play under. Both teams have struggled to score and Medelin has been blanked in 4 matches already this season. Deprtivo has shutouts in back to back games and will be in this throughout. Medellin has 14 wins 3 losses and 6 draws in the series. Both teams have struggled in the table with Medellin in 13th place and Deportivo in 17th. Look for a lower scoring game that goes under. On Thursday Both football Plays are up ands backed with perfect systems. MLB Divisional series plays and soccer up as well. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Soccer comp play. Make it the under Medellin vs Deportivo. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEATURED PICK

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 5:00 PM

TAMPA BAY -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
Tampa Bay's offense has seemingly hit its stride, and everyone is getting involved in the act. Although the Bucs lose tight end OJ Howard to an injury, expect Cameron Brate to pick up the slack. Chicago is facing a young, athletic defense that will force Nick Foles to get rid of it quickly. And with no run game to speak of, the Bears' offense will once again be held in check.

11-2 IN LAST 13 NFL ATS PICKS | +885
8-4-1 IN LAST 13 TB ATS PICKS | +358

5-2 IN LAST 7 CHI ATS PICKS | +281


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 2:49 PM

TAMPA BAY -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
I don't know why people would be betting the Bears here. I don't like Nick Foles against that defense. It's kind of a revenge game for Tom Brady, for that Super Bowl loss to Foles when he was with the Eagles. Brady had five touchdown passes last week and he's so comfortable in that offense.

7-3-4 IN LAST 14 TB ATS PICKS | +362

2-1 IN LAST 3 CHI ATS PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:03 AM

ATLANTA -140
ATLANTA @ MIAMI | 10/08 | 2:08 PM EDT
Miami lacks the leadership and mental toughness to slow down the steamrolling Braves. The Marlins are 0-6 at ‘home” vs. a team that has won at least its last three games and 0-13 as underdogs of more than 110 in at least the third game of a series when coming off a shutout loss and their opponent’s starter has an ERA under 6.00. The Braves are 12-0 as favorites when it is not the first game of a series and coming off a game in which they drew one or fewer walks. Atlanta is also 15-0 in at least the third game of a series coming off a home game in which it left fewer than 10 men on base, as long as it is not a dog of more than 130. The Dodgers are 2-0 in their series, so the Braves will want to get their series over as soon as possible.

110-62-1 IN LAST 173 MLB PICKS | +1098
16-4 IN LAST 20 ATL ML PICKS | +1014

4-1 IN LAST 5 MIA ML PICKS | +240