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MIAMI +7
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 10/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
Facing elimination in the NBA Finals, Jimmy Butler is not going to let the Heat go down quietly. Getting Bam Adebayo back from injury in Game 4 was huge, and he could be even better in Game 5 after having a couple of days off to rest. Although I expect the Lakers to win to end the season, the Heat can keep it close with Adebayo back/more in form, so give me the points.
137-83-4 IN LAST 224 NBA ATS PICKS | +4570
18-4 IN LAST 22 MIA ATS PICKS | +1360
19-13-2 IN LAST 34 LAL ATS PICKS | +465
Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 10:53 AM
MIAMI +7
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 10/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Lakers are one game away from another championship but may have wait to celebrate. They did a great job to hold on in Game 4. Bam Adebayo was back on the court for 33 minutes. He was 6-of-8 from the field and scored 15 points with seven boards. He will have to be much better and much more aggressive from the field for the Heat to have a shot to win outright. Miami will continue to fire away from beyond the arc and so will Los Angeles, but that approach isn't to the Lakers’ advantage. For the second straight game, they took as many two-pointers as threes, and the Heat like to get out in transition. Expect Miami to deliver another stunner.
23-14-1 IN LAST 38 NBA PICKS | +695
8-6-1 IN LAST 15 LAL ATS PICKS | +140
LOUISVILLE -4.5
LOUISVILLE @ GEORGIA TECH | 10/09 | 7:00 PM EDT
Though each team stands 1-2 straight-up, Louisville has weathered the more difficult schedule. QB Malik Cunningham (head) appears good to go after enduring a hard tackle last Saturday. With him, the Cardinals can dissent Tech’s shaky defense. The Jackets lack dynamism on offense with promising but unseasoned frosh QB Jeff Sims. Tech enjoys a limited home-field edge under normal circumstances, as its recent 3-13 ATS record suggests, and it will be negligible on a Friday night in Atlanta.
12-10 LAST 22 CFB SIDES | +95
3-1 IN LAST 4 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +190
TAMPA BAY +1.5
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 10/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
I get why the Yankees are solid favorites because oddsmakers see Gerrit Cole on the mound. However, he has NEVER pitched on three days of rest in his big-league career and the Rays have had success against him this year. Yes, Tampa is starting Tyler Glasnow on just two days of rest, but he will simply act as an opener (to get past Giancarlo Stanton) and then the Rays turn it over to their much superior bullpen. Getting +1.5 runs at a price of -125 is stealing -- also consider the Rays are the "home" team. Take Tampa on the runline.
SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:06 AM
N.Y. YANKEES -153
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 10/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
Since August 2019, the Yankees are 18-0 as 130-plus favorites coming off a “home” game in which they allowed fewer than eight hits and their opponent left fewer than 20 men on base. Since September 2019, the Yankees are 13-1 on the run-line in this spot. The Rays have a long history of failure in this spot, as they are 0-15 as 130-plus dogs vs. a divisional opponent that has a worse record and is not on a three-plus game winning streak. Finally, the Rays are 0-13 coming off a game as road underdogs in which they allowed six-plus hits, did not score after the third inning, scored fewer than four runs and had fewer than eight hits. Tampa lost each one of its last nine games in this spot by multiple runs and it was the favorite in four of them. We make the Yankees the play.
111-62-1 IN LAST 174 MLB PICKS | +1198
5-3 IN LAST 8 NYY ML PICKS | +45
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