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Monday 10/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Your Monday night total will be to play the Chargers-Saints game Over the total.
Los Angeles just was involved in a high-scoring affair last weekend in their loss to Tampa Bay, as the Chargers landed Over the total for the first time this season.
New Orleans has been involved in nothing but Overs so far this year. The Saints have allowed 11 touchdown passes to be thrown against them, so it is not surprising that they are allowing nearly 31 points per game to be scored on them. The Saints have responded though by posting an average of almost 31 points per game themselves.
With this game being played indoors and no remnants of Hurricane Delta to play havoc with the field, look for the highly-touted rookie Justin Herbert to trade scoring shots with the future Hall-of-Fame veteran Drew Brees as this Chargers-Saints game lands Over the total.
My free play for Monday is on the Los Angeles Dodgers against the Atlanta Braves, as I like the pitching mismatch in this one.
Let me just say off the bat that I am well aware of Atlanta's success when Max Fried is on the hill. The Braves are 12-1 in his starts this season - including 2-0 this season.
But let's look at the body of work: Mets (2x), Rays, Blue Jays, Phillies (2x), Marlins (2x), Yankees, Red Sox and Nationals. In the postseason, the Reds and Marlins.
The Rays, Jays and Yankees made the postseason, but let's be real, the Jays... eh. And while the Marlins were an odd bird this season, they tagged Fried for four tuns last week in Game 1. Point is, I'm not impressed at all by the fact Atlanta was able to go 12-1 in his outings, especially when he had five no-decisions, including both playoff outings.
And, he's yet to face a lineup like the Dodgers, who are hitting .258 in the playoffs and have scored a league-high 46 runs in their seven playoff games.
I would rather back Walker Buehler, who Buehler starts his third Game 1 of the postseason after allowing three runs across eight innings (four frames in each). He has not thrown more than 95 pitches at any point in 2020 and will come in strong tonight.
Big win for the Dodgers, who tee off on Fried and take a 1-0 series lead.
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